{"id":11008,"date":"2019-03-23T13:00:20","date_gmt":"2019-03-23T18:00:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/circassiancenter.com\/tr\/?p=11008"},"modified":"2019-03-23T13:00:20","modified_gmt":"2019-03-23T18:00:20","slug":"kafkasyada-degisim-zamani","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.circassiancenter.com\/tr\/kafkasyada-degisim-zamani\/","title":{"rendered":"KAFKASYA’DA DE\u011e\u0130\u015e\u0130M ZAMANI"},"content":{"rendered":"

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D<\/span>iplomatikG<\/span>ozlem.C<\/span>om<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n

D\u00fcnyan\u0131n en dinamik b\u00f6lgesi Kafkasya, \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 bir de\u011fi\u015fim s\u00fcrecine girdi. De\u011fi\u015fim G\u00fcney Kafkasya’dan ba\u015flad\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye-Ermenistan hatt\u0131nda olup-bitenler kadar, “Pankisi” ve “Kodor” da \u00f6nemli. Pankisi ve Kodor’da a\u00e7\u0131lan t\u00fcneller, d\u00fcnyadan tecrit olan Kafkasya’y\u0131 d\u00fcnya ile b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fece\u011fi yar\u0131na ta\u015f\u0131yacak. DG-Kafkasya sosyal ve politik \u00f6zellikleri ile d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli bir b\u00f6lgesi. Belki de Avrasya’n\u0131n geli\u015fmelere en duyarl\u0131 kesimi. Pankisi Vadisi ve Kodor Ge\u00e7idi Kafkasya’da geli\u015fmelerin \u015fekline ve gelece\u011fine \u0131\u015f\u0131k tutuyor.<\/p>\n

Pankisi’de olanlar ana hatlar\u0131yla ter\u00f6rizme kar\u015f\u0131 k\u00fcresel sava\u015f \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde, G\u00fcney Do\u011fu Asya’da Endonezya ve Filipinler’de, Orta Asya’da K\u0131rgizstan ve \u00d6zbekistan’da ya\u015fanan hareketlili\u011fin Kafkasya aya\u011f\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmeli.<\/p>\n

ABD’nin Al-Qaeda militanlar\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131\u011f\u0131na\u011f\u0131 haline geldi\u011fi gerek\u00e7esiyle G\u00fcrcistan’\u0131n Kuzey Do\u011fusunda \u00c7e\u00e7enistan s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131nda yer alan Pankisi’de Filipinler’de Ebu Sayyaf \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fcne y\u00f6nelik y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen operasyonda oldu\u011fu gibi \u00f6zel birliklerinin birtak\u0131m g\u00f6revler \u00fcstlendi\u011fi ihtimali \u00e7ok kuvvetli.<\/p>\n

Bu konuda \u00fczerinde durulmas\u0131 gereken bir ayr\u0131nt\u0131 ise, \u015eevardnadze’nin Moskova’dan gelen ortak operasyon \u00f6nerilerine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Amerikan yard\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 istemesi. Pankisi’de saklanan veya bar\u0131nan toplulu\u011fun siyasi niteli\u011fi hakk\u0131nda tart\u0131\u015fmalar s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Tart\u0131\u015fmalar, s\u00f6z konusu grubun \u00c7e\u00e7en m\u00fclteci veya ter\u00f6rist oldu\u011fu y\u00f6n\u00fcnde. Bununla beraber tart\u0131\u015fmalarda \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kmayan, ama belki de harekat\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir nedeni olan husus ise, Kodor’un Rusya Federasyonu ile G\u00fcrcistan, dolay\u0131s\u0131yla G\u00fcney Kafkasya aras\u0131ndaki zor s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n en zay\u0131f noktalar\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda gelmesi. Balkar-Kabartay ve G\u00fcrcistan aras\u0131nda yer alan bu b\u00f6lge Kafkasya’n\u0131n kuzeyi ile g\u00fcneyini hem ay\u0131r\u0131yor hem de birle\u015ftiriyor.<\/p>\n

Harekata kadar; Panki’de m\u00fcltecilerin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra \u00c7e\u00e7en sava\u015f\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n bar\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve \u00c7e\u00e7enistan’daki sava\u015f\u0131n buradaki yap\u0131lanmalardan lojistik destek g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc iddia ederek Tiflis’i k\u00f6\u015feye s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan Rusya, Usame Bin Ladin ve adamlar\u0131n\u0131n Pankisi’ye gitti\u011fini ileri s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u2026
\nBu \u00e7er\u00e7eveyi g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra Kremlin ve Beyaz Saray aras\u0131nda ter\u00f6rle m\u00fccadelede Pankisi i\u00e7in bir rekabet oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Kodor Da\u011flar\u0131, s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 ge\u00e7irgenli\u011fi kadar karayollar\u0131 arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla \u00f6nemli noktalara da ula\u015f\u0131m sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Kodor’da G\u00fcrcistan’a girildi\u011fi zaman, ba\u015fta G\u00fcney Osetya ve Abhazya olmak \u00fczere bir\u00e7ok yere ula\u015fmak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Keza s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n di\u011fer taraf\u0131nda da s\u0131n\u0131r boyunca dizilen Balkar-Karatay, Kuzey Osetya, \u00c7e\u00e7en-\u0130ngu\u015f, Da\u011f\u0131stan, \u00c7erkez-Kara\u00e7ay ve Adige’ye ula\u015fmak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n

Kodor ve Pankisi ilk defa Ekim 2001’de 1992-1993’te Abhaz Sava\u015f\u0131 ile duyuldu. 200-300 ki\u015filik bir silahl\u0131 grup bu yolu kullanarak Abhazya’ya ula\u015ft\u0131. \u00c7e\u00e7enistan’dan ayr\u0131ld\u0131ktan sonra Pankisi’de bar\u0131nan Gelayev’in ba\u015f\u0131nda bulundu\u011fu grup konusunda \u00e7ok fazla spek\u00fclasyon ya\u015fand\u0131.
\nRusya Savunma Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131’n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131nda Moskova’n\u0131n Kodor’dan uzak durmay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmedi\u011fi anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. Rusya Savunma Bakan\u0131 Sergey \u0130vanov, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz g\u00fcnlerde yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir a\u00e7\u0131klamada, “Rus Bar\u0131\u015f G\u00fcc\u00fc askerlerinin Kodor’da kontrol yapmaya devam edece\u011fini” duyurdu. Ajans Kafkas’\u0131n haberine g\u00f6re \u0130vanov, “Rus bar\u0131\u015f koruyucular\u0131 Kodor’un yukar\u0131 ve a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131mlar\u0131nda haftada en az bir kez kontrol yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131” bildirdi.
\n13 Nisanda Rusya lideri Vladimir Putin ile G\u00fcrcistan lideri Eduard Shevardnadze aras\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen telefon g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesi yap\u0131ld\u0131. Moskova kaynakl\u0131 bilgi ve haberlere g\u00f6re, G\u00fcrc\u00fc lider, G\u00fcrc\u00fc askerlerin Kodor’da protokol\u00fc ihlal edildi\u011fini kabul etti. \u0130vanov’un a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131na g\u00f6re, Kodor’daki askerlerin \u00e7ekilece\u011fine dair de s\u00f6z verdi. G\u00fcrcistan ve Abhazya, 2 Nisanda Kodor’un askerlerden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6ren bir protokol imzalam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Kodor ve gelecekle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 bir di\u011fer detay ise, Abhazya Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Anri Cergeniya’n\u0131n Rus bas\u0131n\u0131na yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamaya g\u00f6re, Abhazlar\u0131n Tiflis ile yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerde “taraflar\u0131n sorunlar\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6zmede g\u00fc\u00e7 kullanmayacaklar\u0131 prensibinin” kabul edildi\u011fi.<\/p>\n

Cergeniya, ayr\u0131ca 1994 Moskova Anla\u015fmas\u0131 ve 2 Nisan 2002 tarihli Tiflis protokol\u00fc gere\u011fince askerlerden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 gereken Kodor’da 900 silahl\u0131 G\u00fcrc\u00fc askerinin bulundu\u011funu iler s\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Cergeniya, 12 Nisanda Rus Bar\u0131\u015f G\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn taraflara bilgi vermeden Kodor’a girmesini de\u011ferlendirirken “Bar\u0131\u015f g\u00fc\u00e7leri, yapaca\u011f\u0131 faaliyetlerde \u00f6nce G\u00fcrcistan’la de\u011fil Abhazya’yla ile mutab\u0131k olmal\u0131” g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc savunuyor. Cergeniya’ya g\u00f6re, 12 Nisandaki Kodor ge\u00e7idinin yukar\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 denetleme operasyonu bar\u0131\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc misyonunun genel \u00e7er\u00e7evesine ayk\u0131r\u0131 de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

G\u00fcrcistan makamlar\u0131 Kodor’da Ruslar\u0131n bloke edildi\u011fini bildirirken Abhaz kaynaklar Rus Bar\u0131\u015f G\u00fcc\u00fc’n\u00fcn planland\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi Acara’da bir kontrol noktas\u0131 kurdu\u011funu duyurdu. Sorun giderek daha karma\u015f\u0131k bir hale geliyor. Abhazya’daki Rus Bar\u0131\u015f G\u00fcc\u00fc Bas\u0131n Merkezi, Rus Bar\u0131\u015f G\u00fcc\u00fc’n\u00fcn Acara yerle\u015fim merkezi yak\u0131nlar\u0131nda 102 nolu kontrol noktas\u0131n\u0131 kurdu\u011funu bildirdi.<\/p>\n

Bar\u0131\u015f G\u00fcc\u00fc’n\u00fcn Bas\u0131n S\u00f6zc\u00fcs\u00fc \u0130gor Kona\u015fenkov, Kodor’un a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 ve yukar\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 birbirine ba\u011flayan k\u00f6pr\u00fcn\u00fcn bozuk olmas\u0131 nedeniyle bar\u0131\u015f g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin helikopterle b\u00f6lgeye ula\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

G\u00fcrcistan’\u0131n Kodor’dan asker \u00e7ekerken, yerine s\u0131n\u0131r g\u00fcvenlik g\u00fc\u00e7lerini g\u00f6nderdi\u011fi ifade ediliyor. G\u00fcrcistan Savunma Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yetkilisi Mirian Kiknadze, 9 Nisanda Civil Georgia’ya yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, Kodor’daki d\u00fczenli ordunun yerini s\u0131n\u0131r g\u00fcvenlik g\u00fc\u00e7lerine terketti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.
\nKiknadze, Kodor’un \u00fcst k\u0131s\u0131mlar\u0131ndaki Savunma Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 birliklerinin 2 Nisan protokol\u00fcnde taahh\u00fct edildi\u011fi gibi 10 Nisan’a kadar \u00e7ekilip \u00e7ekilmeyece\u011fi konusunda net bir \u015fey s\u00f6ylemedi. Kiknadze, askeri birliklerin \u00e7ekilmesine paralel olarak s\u0131n\u0131r g\u00fcvenlik g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin b\u00f6lgeye g\u00f6nderilmesiyle vadide ya\u015fayan G\u00fcrc\u00fc n\u00fcfusunun garanti alt\u0131na al\u0131nm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu ifade etti.<\/p>\n

Di\u011fer taraftan Londra’da d\u00fczenlenen bir konferansta konu\u015fan ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131 Vladimir Kakalya, G\u00fcrcistan’\u0131n Abhazya’da olas\u0131 bir rejim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011finde devreye sokabilece\u011fi bir Abhaz H\u00fck\u00fcmetini besledi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi
\nBirle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi’nin Abhaz-G\u00fcrc\u00fc sorununun \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcne ili\u015fkin ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 karar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan yeniden alevlenen tart\u0131\u015fmalarda Londra \u00dcniversitesi’ne ba\u011fl\u0131 King’s College London’\u0131n Sava\u015f ve Askeri Et\u00fctler B\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan “Abhazya-G\u00fcrcistan:Sorununa \u00c7\u00f6z\u00fcm Aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131” ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 konferans \u00f6nemli bir yer tutuyor.<\/p>\n

Kakalya’n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra Kafkasolog George Hewitt, Abhazya’da din ve kimlik \u00fczerine yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131yla tan\u0131nan Oxford \u00dcniversitesi \u00f6\u011fretim \u00fcyesi Dr.Rachel Clogg ve Abhazyal\u0131 akademisyen Liana Kvarchelia’n\u0131n yan\u0131s\u0131ra Abhazya’daki baz\u0131 projelerde yer alm\u0131\u015f olan Britanyal\u0131 sivil toplum \u00f6rg\u00fctlerinin temsilcileri, Londra’daki \u00e7e\u015fitli \u00fcniversitelerde Kafkasya \u00fczerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131 ve akademisyenler konferansa izleyici olarak kat\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

Kafkasya’da de\u011fi\u015fimin ilk halkas\u0131 olmas\u0131 gereken Abhaz-G\u00fcrc\u00fc anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131, Konferans\u0131n ilk b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde, Abhazya-G\u00fcrcistan ili\u015fkilerinin d\u00fcn\u00fc ve bug\u00fcn\u00fc \u00fczerine k\u0131sa a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda bulunan Kakalya, Abhaz-G\u00fcrc\u00fc sorununun temelinde “Abhazya’n\u0131n sahibinin kim oldu\u011fu sorusunun yatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131” s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Abhaz ve G\u00fcrc\u00fclerin hi\u00e7bir zaman bat\u0131l\u0131 anlamda bir ulus-devlet yap\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde ya\u015famad\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izen Kakalya, buna ilaveten taraflar\u0131n ayn\u0131 dili konu\u015fmad\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131, bunun sonucu olarak sorunlar\u0131na \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm bulmada geli\u015fme kaydedemediklerini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

\u00d6zet konu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan izleyicilerden gelen sorular\u0131 cevapland\u0131ran Kakalya, \u015funlar\u0131 kaydetti:
\n“G\u00fcrcistan h\u00fck\u00fcmeti, sava\u015f \u00f6ncesi Abhazya Parlamentosu’nun G\u00fcrc\u00fc \u00fcyelerinden olu\u015fan paralel bir ‘Abhaz h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin’ yakla\u015f\u0131k on y\u0131ld\u0131r G\u00fcrcistan’da faaliyet g\u00f6stermesine f\u0131rsat veriyor. Yani G\u00fcrcistan Abhazya’da olas\u0131 bir rejim veya iktidar de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011finde ba\u015fa ge\u00e7ecek ‘yasal bir kurumu’ yedekte tutuyor.”<\/p>\n

S\u00f6z konusu konferanstan \u00e7\u0131kan \u00f6nemli bir sonu\u00e7 var: Kafkasya’n\u0131n genelinde de Abhaz-G\u00fcrc\u00fc \u00f6zelinde de sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc “ortak paydan\u0131n” geli\u015ftirilmesinden ge\u00e7iyor.<\/p>\n

Hem Abhazya’da hem de G\u00fcrcistan’da, sokaktaki insan\u0131n en \u00f6nemli sorun \u015fu anda g\u00fcvenlik. G\u00fcvenlik ve g\u00fcven \u00fcretiminin ba\u015flat\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131nda uygulanacak sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir sosyo-ekonomik ilerleme program\u0131, gelece\u011fe \u015fans verir.<\/p>\n

1994’den bu yana yakla\u015f\u0131k 1.000 ki\u015finin s\u0131n\u0131r b\u00f6lgelerinde ve \u00f6zellikle de Gal \u00e7evresinde meydana gelen \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalarda \u00f6ld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc biliniyor. Abhazya’da s\u00fcrekli bir sava\u015f psikolojisinin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/p>\n

B\u00fcy\u00fck bir olas\u0131l\u0131kla G\u00fcney Kafkasya’da yer alan \u00fclkelerin tamam\u0131nda “b\u00f6lgesel anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc ama\u00e7l\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131mlar\u0131n” h\u0131z kazanmas\u0131 ile Rusya’da kendi b\u00f6lgesel anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 amac\u0131na uygun sinyaller vermeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Moskova’da bir grup sivil toplum kurulu\u015fu ve enstit\u00fc, Kremlin’e \u00c7e\u00e7enistan i\u00e7in bir bar\u0131\u015f plan\u0131 sundu.<\/p>\n

The Moscow Times’da yer alan bir haber \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde Kafkasya’da farkl\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131mlar\u0131n ortaya \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli. Yevgenia Borisova’n\u0131n imzas\u0131n\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yan haberde, Rusya Bilimler Akademisi Etnoloji ve Antropoloji Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc, Bar\u0131\u015f Sa\u011flama Misyonu, Moskova’da k\u00f6kenli sivil toplum kurulu\u015fu Non-Violence International ve Forum on Early Warning and Early Response’un Moskova \u015fubesi taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan bar\u0131\u015f plan\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nmal\u0131.<\/p>\n

Plan ilk etapta \u00c7e\u00e7en sivilleri Rus ordusunun aleyhine d\u00f6nd\u00fcren operasyonlar\u0131 durdurmak ve b\u00f6lgeyi rant elde eden askeri ekonominin g\u00f6lgesinden kurtarmak oldu\u011fu ifade ediliyor. Bunlar ger\u00e7ekten \u00e7ok dikkat edici ve kal\u0131c\u0131 istikrar\u0131n kurulmas\u0131 amac\u0131na uygun ad\u0131mlar. G\u00f6r\u00fcnen o ki, Rusya bug\u00fcne kadar izledi\u011fi politikan\u0131n sonu\u00e7 vermedi\u011fini art\u0131k kabul ediyor.<\/p>\n

Planda anlamazl\u0131k \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcnde ekonomik ve ticari ad\u0131mlar, askeri y\u00f6ntemlerin yerine aday g\u00f6steriliyor. \u0130\u015f imkanlar\u0131 yaratmak, ekonomik altyap\u0131y\u0131 restore etmek ve \u00c7e\u00e7enistan’da yat\u0131r\u0131mlar yapmaya elveri\u015fli iklim olu\u015fturmak raporda alt\u0131 \u00e7izilmesi gereken yerler. \u00c7e\u00e7enistan’da yasad\u0131\u011f\u0131 petrol ve silah ticaretinin ve yolsuzlu\u011fun giderilmesi kadar g\u00fcvenlik ve sorun eksikliklerinin yarg\u0131 ve emniyet sahalar\u0131nda i\u015fbirli\u011fi ile a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki \u00f6neri de hayata ge\u00e7irilebilir.<\/p>\n

Plan\u0131n paralelinde Ba\u015fbakan Mikhail Kasyanov, G\u00fcney Federal B\u00f6lgesi Temsilcisi Viktor Kazantsev, \u00c7e\u00e7enistan’dan sorumlu bakan Vladimir Yelagin, Kremlin’in atad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00c7e\u00e7en y\u00f6netici Ahmet Kadirov’a ayr\u0131ca sava\u015f\u00e7\u0131 gruplarla bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin yap\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131da bulundu.
\nYine The Moscow Times’\u0131n haberine g\u00f6re Ti\u015fkov, ge\u00e7en hafta Strasboug’ta Avrupa Konseyi Parlamenterler Meclisi ve Rus Dumas\u0131 \u00c7e\u00e7enistan Ortak \u00c7al\u0131\u015fma Grubu’nun \u015femsiyesi alt\u0131nda kurulan Dan\u0131\u015fma Konseyi’nin plan\u0131n uygulanmas\u0131nda rol alabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. <\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

DiplomatikGozlem.Com Dünyanın en dinamik bölgesi Kafkasya, çok hızlı bir değişim sürecine girdi. Değişim Güney Kafkasya’dan başladı. Türkiye-Ermenistan hattında olup-bitenler kadar, “Pankisi” ve “Kodor” da önemli. Pankisi ve Kodor’da açılan tüneller, dünyadan tecrit olan Kafkasya’yı dünya ile bütünleşeceği yarına taşıyacak. DG-Kafkasya sosyal ve politik özellikleri ile dünyanın çok önemli bir bölgesi. Belki de Avrasya’nın gelişmelere en 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