![](\"http:\/\/www.circassiancenter.com\/cc-turkiye\/yz-image5\/0135-kafkasya.GIF\")
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Aylin Yard\u0131mc\u0131
\n<\/b> Cumhuriyet Strateji, 15 Eyl\u00fcl 2008<\/p>\n
Yak\u0131n tarihe kadar d\u00fcnya kamuoyunca varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 dahi bilinmeyen G\u00fcney Osetya, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftalarda, k\u00fcresel anlamdaki g\u00fc\u00e7 dengesini yerinden oynatan bir sava\u015fla uluslararas\u0131 g\u00fcndeme damgas\u0131n\u0131 vurdu.\u00a0 Tskhinvali kentinde ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131yla uzun vadede toprak b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc tehlikeye sokan G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131n, verdi\u011fi \u00f6fkeli yan\u0131tla tepkileri \u00fczerine \u00e7eken Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ve tarihsel bir gelene\u011fi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrcesine bu soruna de el atma gereksinimi duyan Bat\u0131 d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcndeminde, sava\u015f ve ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k ilan\u0131yla iki \u015fekilde ad\u0131n\u0131 duyuran G\u00fcney Osetya\u2019n\u0131n gelecekteki stat\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn ne olaca\u011f\u0131 tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 var.<\/p>\n K\u0131sacas\u0131, olayl\u0131 bir filmin ba\u015frol oyuncusu gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de, mevcut sistem dolay\u0131s\u0131yla fig\u00fcranl\u0131\u011fa mahkum edilen G\u00fcney Osetya, bu kaos ortam\u0131 i\u00e7inde stat\u00fcs\u00fcyle ilgili olarak Kremlin\u2019in alaca\u011f\u0131 karar\u0131 bekliyor.<\/p>\n Sava\u015f\u0131n Tarihi Altyap\u0131s\u0131 Osetya\u2019y\u0131 payla\u015fan bu cumhuriyetlerin ikisi de varl\u0131k m\u00fccadelelerini kaybedince, 1921 itibariyle Sovyet Sosyalist Cumhuriyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin egemenli\u011fine ge\u00e7ti. G\u00fcney Osetya, t\u0131pk\u0131 Kuzey\u2019in Rusya\u2019ya ba\u011fl\u0131 kalmaya devam etti\u011fi gibi, SSCB d\u00f6neminde de varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 G\u00fcrcistan Sovyet Sosyalist Cumhuriyeti\u2019nin bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olarak s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. SSCB\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131yla, G\u00fcrc\u00fc-Oset anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda yeni bir d\u00f6nem ba\u015flad\u0131. 1991 y\u0131l\u0131nda Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nden ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ilan eden G\u00fcrcistan, G\u00fcney Osetya b\u00f6lgesini de yeni s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131n i\u00e7ine ald\u0131. Ancak bu durum, Rus y\u00f6netiminin egemenli\u011findeki Kuzey Osetya ile birle\u015fme amac\u0131 g\u00fcden Osetlerin, ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yeni kazanm\u0131\u015f G\u00fcrcistan\u2019a ba\u015fkald\u0131rmas\u0131yla ve 1991-1992 y\u0131llar\u0131 aras\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck bir sava\u015f\u0131n patlak vermesiyle sonu\u00e7land\u0131. G\u00fcney Osetyal\u0131 direni\u015f\u00e7ilerin, Kuzey Osetyal\u0131 g\u00f6n\u00fcll\u00fc milislerin ve onlar\u0131 destekleyen Rus \u00e7ete sava\u015f\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n G\u00fcrcistan merkezi y\u00f6netimine kar\u015f\u0131 m\u00fccadele etti\u011fi \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n sonucunda, 1992\u2019de Boris Yeltsin y\u00f6netimindeki Rusya Federasyonu\u2019nun arabuluculu\u011fuyla bir ate\u015fkes sa\u011fland\u0131. Ancak iki taraf aras\u0131ndaki gerginli\u011fin, siyasi s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftiren ve s\u00fcperg\u00fc\u00e7leri kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya getiren bir sava\u015f halini almas\u0131, bu as\u0131rl\u0131k anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011fa bamba\u015fka bir boyut kazand\u0131rd\u0131. 2003 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u201crenkli\u201d bir devrimle i\u015fba\u015f\u0131na gelen Mikhail Saaka\u015fvili\u2019nin AB ve NATO\u2019yla kurdu\u011fu yak\u0131n ili\u015fkinin g\u00fcvencesiyle G\u00fcney Osetya b\u00f6lgesi \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131lar\u0131 artt\u0131rmas\u0131, zaten gerginli\u011fin artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n sinyallerini vermekteydi. \u00d6yle ki, etnisite merkezli, k\u00fcresel sermaye destekli post-modern \u201cyeni sava\u015flar\u201d teorisiyle, g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcz sava\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fen \u00f6zelliklerine dikkat \u00e7eken Mary Kaldor\u2019un Ocak ay\u0131nda yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir makalesinde G\u00fcney Osetya\u2019n\u0131n 2008 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k ilan edece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rmesi s\u00fcrpriz olmad\u0131.<\/p>\n G\u00f6zler Moskova\u2019da Rus strateji uzman\u0131 Alexei Makarkin, b\u00f6yle bir ad\u0131m\u0131n Kremlin a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u015fimdilik \u201cimk\u00e2ns\u0131z\u201d oldu\u011funu belirtse de, ba\u015fta AB\u2019li ve G\u00fcrc\u00fc yetkililer, tek tarafl\u0131 kararlar almamas\u0131 hususunda Rusya\u2019y\u0131 uyarmaya devam ediyor. G\u00fcney Osetya y\u00f6netiminin, Kokoyti ve Medvedev aras\u0131ndaki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin \u201cumut verici\u201d oldu\u011funun alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izmesi de Rusya\u2019n\u0131n olas\u0131 bir bl\u00f6f\u00fcn\u00fc destekler nitelikte. Nitekim 2006 y\u0131l\u0131nda G\u00fcney Osetya\u2019da yap\u0131lan ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k referandumundan %99 oran\u0131nda olumlu sonu\u00e7 al\u0131nmas\u0131 ve b\u00f6lgede ya\u015fayan Oset halk\u0131n %70\u2019inin Rus pasaportuna sahip olmas\u0131, zaten G\u00fcney Osetya\u2019n\u0131n Rusya s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131na dahil olma iste\u011finin sinyallerini veriyordu. Kuzey Osetya Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Taymuraz Mam\u015furov\u2019un, 2004 gerginliklerinden bu yana Kuzey ve G\u00fcney Osetya halklar\u0131n\u0131n ayr\u0131 olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclemeyece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde deme\u00e7ler vermesi de, Kuzey\u2019in de bu \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131ya olumlu bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7iziyor.<\/p>\n T\u00fcm bu geli\u015fmeler Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ataca\u011f\u0131 bir sonraki ad\u0131m\u0131n ilhak olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n sinyallerini verse de, bu konuda kesin bir \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ma varmak \u015fu an i\u00e7in riskli. Putin\u2019in iktidara geldi\u011fi 2000 y\u0131l\u0131ndan beri, da\u011f\u0131n\u0131k etnik yap\u0131s\u0131 ve merkeze ba\u015fkald\u0131rma potansiyeliyle Rusya\u2019n\u0131n toprak b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc en \u00e7ok tehdit eden Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesinde sa\u011flanm\u0131\u015f s\u0131k\u0131 bir devlet\u00e7i kontrol s\u00f6z konusu. Putin\u2019in izinden giderek bu politikay\u0131 devam ettirmek isteyecek olan Medvedev\u2019in bir di\u011fer se\u00e7ene\u011fi, Kafkasya\u2019da resmi olarak Rusya Federasyonu s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kalan yeni bir hakimiyet alan\u0131 olu\u015fturmak. Medvedev, gerek temkinli tutumu, gerekse di\u011fer bir taraftaki Abhazya\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6zerklik de\u011fil ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k taraftar\u0131 duru\u015fu dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, G\u00fcney Osetya\u2019y\u0131 \u015fimdilik topraklar\u0131na katmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n sinyallerini veriyor.<\/p>\n Eduard Kokoyti\u2019nin birle\u015fme \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131lar\u0131na hen\u00fcz net bir cevap vermekten ka\u00e7\u0131nan Rusya, t\u00fcm d\u00fcnya kamuoyunun seyretti\u011fi g\u00fc\u00e7 g\u00f6sterisinin ard\u0131ndan sert ve emin ad\u0131mlar pe\u015finde. G\u00fcney Osetya\u2019n\u0131n gelece\u011fini belirleyecek olan bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te, Kremlin\u2019den \u00e7\u0131kacak karar\u0131 her zaman oldu\u011fu gibi yaln\u0131zca Rusya\u2019n\u0131n stratejik \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 belirleyecek. Petrol ve do\u011fal gaz rezervleri dolay\u0131s\u0131yla Bat\u0131 d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n dikkatini \u00e7ekmeye ba\u015flayan Hazar B\u00f6lgesi ve Orta Asya\u2019ya bir giri\u015f kap\u0131s\u0131 niteli\u011findeki G\u00fcney Kafkasya, Rusya Federasyonu\u2019nun gelece\u011fe y\u00f6nelik d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131nda i\u015fini \u015fansa b\u0131rakmak istemeyece\u011fi bir b\u00f6lge. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, Osetler\u2019in birle\u015fme iste\u011fine ra\u011fmen \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131ndan taviz vermeyece\u011fi kesin gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnen Rusya, ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z fakat Moskova g\u00fcd\u00fcm\u00fcnde bir G\u00fcney Osetya yaratma s\u00fcrecine girece\u011finin sinyallerini veriyor.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Aylin Yardımcı Cumhuriyet Strateji, 15 Eylül 2008 Yakın tarihe kadar dünya kamuoyunca varlığı dahi bilinmeyen Güney Osetya, geçtiğimiz haftalarda, küresel anlamdaki güç dengesini yerinden oynatan bir savaşla uluslararası gündeme damgasını vurdu. Tskhinvali kentinde başlattığı saldırıyla uzun vadede toprak bütünlüğünü tehlikeye sokan Gürcistan’ın, verdiği öfkeli yanıtla tepkileri üzerine çeken Rusya’nın ve tarihsel bir geleneği sürdürürcesine bu […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"0","ocean_second_sidebar":"0","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"0","ocean_custom_header_template":"0","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"0","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"0","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"0","ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"off","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13015","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-arastirma-ana-sayfa","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.circassiancenter.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13015","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.circassiancenter.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.circassiancenter.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.circassiancenter.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.circassiancenter.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13015"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.circassiancenter.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13015\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13017,"href":"https:\/\/www.circassiancenter.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13015\/revisions\/13017"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.circassiancenter.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13015"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.circassiancenter.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13015"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.circassiancenter.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13015"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
\n<\/b>
\n1917 y\u0131l\u0131nda Bol\u015fevik zaferiyle par\u00e7alanan Rus \u0130mparatorlu\u011fu, olu\u015fan k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli siyasi belirsizlik sonucu Kafkasya\u2019daki h\u00e2kimiyetini, yeni olu\u015fan Azerbaycan, Ermenistan ve G\u00fcrcistan Cumhuriyeti gibi ulus devletlere ve Transkafkasya Demokratik Federatif Cumhuriyeti gibi \u00e7ok uluslu federasyonlara b\u0131rakmak zorunda kald\u0131. O g\u00fcne kadar yaln\u0131zca Kafkas da\u011flar\u0131 nedeniyle co\u011frafi bir ayr\u0131ma sahip olan Osetya, g\u00fcney b\u00f6lgesinin 1918\u2019de sosyal demokrat Men\u015fevik Partisi\u2019nin iktidar\u0131yla kurulan G\u00fcrcistan Cumhuriyeti\u2019nin egemenli\u011fine girmesiyle ikiye ayr\u0131lm\u0131\u015f oldu. Kuzey Osetya ise, Terek Sovyet Cumhuriyeti\u2019nin bir par\u00e7as\u0131 haline gelerek g\u00fcneyinden ayr\u0131ld\u0131. Yani, atalar\u0131 Alanlar\u0131n Kafkasya\u2019ya ne zaman yerle\u015fti\u011fi konusunda G\u00fcrc\u00fclerle bir t\u00fcrl\u00fc anla\u015famayan Osetler\u2019in kuzey ve g\u00fcney olarak iki ayr\u0131 siyasi b\u00f6lgeye ayr\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n Ekim Devrimi sonras\u0131na, yani 1920\u2019li y\u0131llar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131na dayanan bir ge\u00e7mi\u015fi var.<\/p>\n
\n<\/b>
\nG\u00fcrc\u00fc-Oset gerginli\u011fi olarak ba\u015flay\u0131p G\u00fcrcistan-Rusya sava\u015f\u0131 ve ard\u0131ndan Bat\u0131-Rusya rekabeti haline gelerek G\u00fcrcistan aleyhine sonu\u00e7lanan Kafkasya\u2019daki sava\u015f ortam\u0131, Rusya taraf\u0131ndan ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131klar\u0131 tan\u0131nan Abhazya ve G\u00fcney Osetya\u2019y\u0131 nas\u0131l bir gelecek bekledi\u011fi sorusunu g\u00fcndeme getirdi. Tarihsel olarak y\u0131llard\u0131r Kuzey Osetya ile Rusya \u00e7at\u0131s\u0131 alt\u0131nda birle\u015fme politikas\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcren G\u00fcney Osetya, ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan art\u0131k bu hedefini a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a uluslararas\u0131 kamuoyuna kabul ettirmek istiyor. 14 A\u011fustos\u2019ta Rusya Federasyonu Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Dmitry Medvedev\u2019le Moskova\u2019da g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fen G\u00fcney Osetya Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Eduard Kokoyti, G\u00fcney Osetya Bas\u0131n ve Bilgi Komitesi\u2019nin internet sitesinde yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, bundan sonra g\u00fcndemde Kuzey Osetya\u2019yla birle\u015fmenin oldu\u011funu, bunun da ancak Rusya\u2019n\u0131n hamlesiyle ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilece\u011fini, hatta bu geli\u015fmeyi \u201cbirka\u00e7 g\u00fcn i\u00e7erisinde\u201d beklediklerini ifade etti.<\/p>\n