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N\u00fczhet Kandemir
\n<\/b> B\u00fcy\u00fckel\u00e7i, SDE Y\u00f6netim Kurulu Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131<\/p>\n
ABD D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Hillary Clinton\u2019un Ermenistan\u2019\u0131 ziyaretin, bu \u00fclke Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Serj Sarkisyan\u2019\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye ile Ermenistan aras\u0131nda Z\u00fcrich\u2019te imzalanm\u0131\u015f olan Protokolleri ask\u0131ya al\u0131rken de s\u00f6yledi\u011fi gibi, Parlamento onay\u0131 i\u00e7in ilk ad\u0131m\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye taraf\u0131ndan at\u0131lmas\u0131 ve iki \u00fclke aras\u0131ndaki s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 beklentisinin, ABD\u2019nin de kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 ile kuvvetle ifade edilmesini ve ge\u00e7mi\u015ften bu yana oldu\u011fu gibi, \u00f6zverinin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den beklendi\u011fi mesaj\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnya kamuoyuna bir kez daha iletilmesi sonucunu vermesi beklenir.<\/p>\n Hillary Clinton, Washington\u2019dan ayr\u0131lmadan \u00f6nce, D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Avrupa ve Avrasya \u0130\u015flerinden Sorumlu Bakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Philip Gordon\u2019un da dile getirdi\u011fi gibi, ABD\u2019nin Amerikan Kongresi ve kamuoyundaki Ermeni yanl\u0131s\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ak\u0131m\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda durabilmesi ve bu alanda daha dengeli bir s\u00f6ylem ve siyasetin sahibi olmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemek fazla iyimserlik olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n Ancak, Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n sorunlar\u0131 sadece T\u00fcrkiye ile ili\u015fkili de\u011fildir. Bu \u00fclkenin i\u015fgal etti\u011fi Yukar\u0131 Karaba\u011f topraklar\u0131 \u00fczerinde ya\u015fayan bir milyona yak\u0131n sivil halk\u0131n, kendi \u00fclkelerinde, bunca y\u0131ld\u0131r sefalet i\u00e7inde g\u00f6\u00e7ebe hayat\u0131 ya\u015f\u0131yor olmalar\u0131 ger\u00e7e\u011finin, demokrasi, insan haklar\u0131, g\u00fc\u00e7 kullanmama gibi prensipleri s\u0131k\u00e7a dile getirip d\u00fcnyaya ders vermekte olan ABD \u00fczerinde k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 etkiler yaratmakta oldu\u011fu yads\u0131namaz.<\/p>\n Bu arada, hat\u0131rlanmas\u0131 gereken bir di\u011fer husus da, Yukar\u0131 Karaba\u011f topraklar\u0131ndaki bu i\u015fgalini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi halinde, silahl\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7 kullanmaktan ba\u015fka \u00e7are kalmayaca\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin Azerbaycan a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131n Ermeni taraf\u0131nda ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla Amerikan Y\u00f6netiminde yaratm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu endi\u015fe ve rahats\u0131zl\u0131kt\u0131r. Bu rahats\u0131zl\u0131k, Ermeni Y\u00f6netiminde giderek artmakta olsa gerektir ki, Amerikan D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131, bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131nda, \u201cg\u00fc\u00e7 kullan\u0131m\u0131 ya da tehdidinin Helsinki Prensiplerine ayk\u0131r\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini\u201d vurgulamak zorunlulu\u011funu hissetmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n Hal b\u00f6yle olunca, ABD taraf\u0131n\u0131n, Hillary Clinton\u2019un 4 Temmuz\u2019da Bak\u00fc ziyaretine ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan \u00f6nce, enerji konular\u0131nda zaten ikili d\u00fczeyde mevcut olan uyu\u015fmazl\u0131klar\u0131 daha da alevlendirmemek i\u00e7in, Ermenistan Silahl\u0131 Kuvvetlerinin i\u015fgalindeki Yukar\u0131 Karaba\u011f konusunda, halen Rusya Federasyonu (RF) ve Fransa\u2019n\u0131n e\u015f ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, \u201cMinsk Grubu\u201d taraf\u0131ndan ba\u015flat\u0131l\u0131p uzun y\u0131llard\u0131r y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen ve bug\u00fcne kadar da olumlu sonu\u00e7 vermeyen s\u00fcrece d\u00f6rt elle sar\u0131lmaktan ba\u015fka bir \u00e7are bulamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Philip Gordon\u2019un bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131nda \u00f6zellikle vurgulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi, bir s\u00fcre \u00f6nce Ba\u015fkan Barack Obama\u2019n\u0131n Azerbaycan Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 \u0130lham Aliyev\u2019e g\u00f6nderdi\u011fi ve iki \u00fclke aras\u0131ndaki uzla\u015fmazl\u0131k konular\u0131na \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm beklentisini i\u00e7eren mektupta da, Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerine fazla gitmeye \u00f6zen g\u00f6sterir \u015fekilde, sadece Minsk s\u00fcrecine at\u0131fta bulunulmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n Sonu\u00e7ta, Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n bir kez daha T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin s\u0131rt\u0131ndan propagandas\u0131n\u0131 yapaca\u011f\u0131 Amerikan Y\u00f6netimi\u2019nin de Ermeni diasporas\u0131 ile Amerikan kamuoyu ve Kongresindeki Ermeni tezleri taraftarlar\u0131na ho\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcnmek isteyece\u011fi bir senaryodan \u00f6te, bu ziyaretten olumlu bir sonu\u00e7 beklemek ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i olmayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n Hillary Clinton\u2019un son dura\u011f\u0131n\u0131 G\u00fcrcistan olu\u015fturacakt\u0131r. G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131n, o b\u00f6lgedeki ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131larla m\u00fccadele etmek \u00fczere, A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 Osetya ve Abhazya\u2019ya y\u00f6nelik olarak, A\u011fustos 2008\u2019de ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 askeri harekata RF Silahl\u0131 Kuvvetlerinin bilfiil m\u00fcdahalesi sonucunda cereyan eden ve \u201cBe\u015f G\u00fcn Sava\u015f\u0131\u201d \u015feklinde an\u0131lan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma sonras\u0131, RF ile G\u00fcrcistan aras\u0131nda var\u0131lan ate\u015fkes anla\u015fmas\u0131ndaki \u015fartlar uyar\u0131nca, RF Silahl\u0131 Kuvvetlerinin Osetya ve Abhazya\u2019dan geri \u00e7ekilmesi ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar \u00f6ncesi duruma d\u00f6n\u00fclmesi gerekmekte idi. Oysa RF, an\u0131lan ate\u015fkes anla\u015fmas\u0131 h\u00fck\u00fcmlerine bug\u00fcne kadar uymam\u0131\u015f ve bu durum da Amerikan Y\u00f6netiminde rahats\u0131zl\u0131k yaratm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n Hillary Clinton\u2019un, G\u00fcrcistan ziyareti vesilesiyle, RF\u2019na silahl\u0131 kuvvetlerini geri \u00e7ekmesi zorunlulu\u011funu kuvvetle hat\u0131rlatmas\u0131 ve Amerikan Y\u00f6netiminin bu ba\u011flamdaki beklentilerini kamuoylar\u0131 \u00f6n\u00fcnde ifade etmesi beklenir. Ayr\u0131ca, G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k ve toprak b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne riayetin vazge\u00e7ilmez bir \u015fart oldu\u011funa dair Amerikan Y\u00f6netimince her f\u0131rsatta dile getirilen siyasetin de, bu arada vurgulanmas\u0131 do\u011fald\u0131r. Ancak bu beyanlar\u0131n da elle tutulur bir sonuca varmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemek fazla ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i g\u00f6z\u00fckm\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n Sonu\u00e7 itibariyle, Kafkasya sahas\u0131ndaki ABD-RF kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n, s\u00f6ylemler baz\u0131nda bir g\u00fc\u00e7 g\u00f6sterisi \u015feklinde cereyan etmekten \u00f6teye ge\u00e7ecek bir sonu\u00e7 vermesi beklenemez.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Nüzhet Kandemir Büyükelçi, SDE Yönetim Kurulu Başkan Yardımcısı ABD Dışişleri Bakanı Hillary Clinton’un 2 Temmuz 2010 Ukrayna’dan başlattığı Polonya, Azerbaycan, Ermenistan ile devam edip Gürcistan’la sonuçlanacak olan Doğu Avrupa ve Kafkasya cephesindeki ziyaretleri, artık klasikleşmiş olan söylemlerin dışında, uygulama alanında işlevsel sonuçları da beraberinde getirir mi ya da Türkiye bağlamında düşünüldüğünde ne tür sonuçları olabilir? 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\n2 Temmuz 2010 Ukrayna\u2019dan ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 Polonya, Azerbaycan, Ermenistan ile devam edip G\u00fcrcistan\u2019la sonu\u00e7lanacak olan Do\u011fu Avrupa ve Kafkasya cephesindeki ziyaretleri, art\u0131k klasikle\u015fmi\u015f olan s\u00f6ylemlerin d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, uygulama alan\u0131nda i\u015flevsel sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 da beraberinde getirir mi ya da T\u00fcrkiye ba\u011flam\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde ne t\u00fcr sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 olabilir? Hillary Clinton\u2019un Ukrayna\u2019da ve Polonya\u2019n\u0131n Krakov \u015fehrinde \u201cDemokrasiler Toplumu\u201d ad\u0131 alt\u0131nda, 2000 y\u0131l\u0131nda eski Amerikan D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Madelin Albright ve zaman\u0131n Polonya D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Buronis Law Geremek taraf\u0131ndan kurulan STK\u2019n\u0131n 10. y\u0131l d\u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fc m\u00fcnasebetiyle yar\u0131n yapaca\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fmada verece\u011fi mesajlar \u00f6ncelikle \u00fclkesi ile bu iki \u00fclke aras\u0131ndaki ekonomik ve askeri i\u00e7erikli ili\u015fkileri kapsayabilir ve \u00f6zellikle Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n yeni se\u00e7ilen Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Victor Yanukovi\u00e7\u2019in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir Rus yanl\u0131s\u0131 olu\u015fu dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, daha fazla demokrasi ve insan haklar\u0131na y\u00f6nelen ve Ukrayna ba\u011flam\u0131nda, pusulan\u0131n sadece \u2018kuzeyi\u2019 de\u011fil \u2018g\u00fcneyi\u2019 de g\u00f6stermesi ve dengeli bir ili\u015fkiler a\u011f\u0131n\u0131n beklentilerini yans\u0131tan i\u00e7erikte olmas\u0131 do\u011fald\u0131r. Polonya\u2019da, zaten mevcut olan iyi ili\u015fkileri teyit ve daha da g\u00fc\u00e7lendirme amac\u0131na y\u00f6nelik, Ukrayna\u2019da ise kuzey-g\u00fcney eksenindeki dengeyi sa\u011flamay\u0131 hedefleyecek gayret ve s\u00f6ylemlerin hakim olmas\u0131; ancak uygulamada her iki \u00fclke ile ili\u015fkiler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan b\u00fcy\u00fck bir yenilik beklenmemesi gerekir.<\/p>\n