{"id":14236,"date":"2019-06-26T18:29:37","date_gmt":"2019-06-26T23:29:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/circassiancenter.com\/tr\/?p=14236"},"modified":"2019-06-26T18:29:37","modified_gmt":"2019-06-26T23:29:37","slug":"avrupa-birligi-guney-kafkasya-devletleri-iliskileri","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.circassiancenter.com\/tr\/avrupa-birligi-guney-kafkasya-devletleri-iliskileri\/","title":{"rendered":"AVRUPA B\u0130RL\u0130\u011e\u0130 G\u00dcNEY KAFKASYA DEVLETLER\u0130 \u0130L\u0130\u015eK\u0130LER\u0130"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-14237\" src=\"http:\/\/circassiancenter.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/Avrupa-Birligi-Guney-Kafkasya-Devletleri-Iliskileri-b.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"541\" height=\"304\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.circassiancenter.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/Avrupa-Birligi-Guney-Kafkasya-Devletleri-Iliskileri-b.jpg 541w, https:\/\/www.circassiancenter.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/Avrupa-Birligi-Guney-Kafkasya-Devletleri-Iliskileri-b-300x169.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 541px) 100vw, 541px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><b><span style=\"font-family: Arial; font-size: small;\">Rovshan \u0130brahimov<\/span><\/b><span style=\"font-family: Arial; font-size: small;\"><b><br \/>\n<\/b><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial;\">Ankara \u00dcniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc Uluslararasi \u0130li\u015fkiler Anabilim Dal\u0131<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Arial; font-size: small;\"><b>I. B\u00d6L\u00dcM<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\n<b>I. 1991 SONRASINDA AB\u2019N\u0130N AVRUPA KITASINDAK\u0130 DI\u015e POL\u0130T\u0130KASI VE ARA\u00c7LARI<\/p>\n<p>1. AB Ortak D\u0131\u015f ve G\u00fcvenlik Politikas\u0131n\u0131n Olu\u015fumu ve Ama\u00e7lar\u0131<\/p>\n<p><\/b>AB ile G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleri aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkilerin nas\u0131l geli\u015fti\u011fini anlamak i\u00e7in, bu kurumun d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131n\u0131n ne oldu\u011funu ve nas\u0131l geli\u015fti\u011fini anlamak gerekmektedir. Avrupa Topluluklar\u0131na \u00fcye devletler, 1970 y\u0131l\u0131nda d\u0131\u015f ili\u015fkiler konusunda ortak tutum olu\u015fturulmas\u0131n\u0131n gerekli oldu\u011fu konusunda g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f birli\u011fine vard\u0131lar. O d\u00f6nemde Avrupa Siyasi \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi (AS\u0130) ad\u0131nda Topluluk Antla\u015fmalar\u0131nca d\u00fczenlenmemi\u015f bir yap\u0131 olu\u015fturulmu\u015ftur. Kendisine duyulan gereksinim ve \u00f6nemi art\u0131nca olu\u015fumun hukuki dayana\u011f\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in daha sonra Tek Senet\u2019te ayn\u0131 (Avrupa Siyasi \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi) ba\u015fl\u0131k alt\u0131nda hukuki bir d\u00fczenlemeye gidilmi\u015ftir. (1<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0AS\u0130 vas\u0131tas\u0131yla, AT\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f d\u00fcnya ile ili\u015fkileri topluluklar seviyesinde d\u00fczenlenmeye ve koordine edilmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lmaktayd\u0131. Bu yap\u0131 siyasi bir birli\u011fin olu\u015fturulmas\u0131n\u0131n hen\u00fcz \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmedi\u011fi o d\u00f6nemde, d\u0131\u015f politika alan\u0131nda da i\u015fbirli\u011fine giderek ekonomik alandaki i\u015fbirli\u011fini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek amac\u0131yla geli\u015ftirilmi\u015fti. (2<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>AB\u2019ye \u00fcye devletler, 90\u2019lar\u0131n sonlar\u0131nda meydana gelen uluslararas\u0131 geli\u015fmeler sonucunda bu olu\u015fumun baz\u0131 durumlarda daha aktif tutum sergilemesi gerekti\u011fi karar\u0131na vard\u0131lar. AB\u2019nin ortak d\u0131\u015f tutumunun olu\u015fmas\u0131na ihtiyac\u0131n belirgin hale gelmesinde birka\u00e7 temel neden rol oynam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 1991 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren So\u011fuk Sava\u015f&#8217;\u0131n bitmesi ve Do\u011fu Bloku\u2019nun da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131yla uluslararas\u0131 ortamda ciddi de\u011fi\u015fimler ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Daha \u00f6nce, iki s\u00fcper g\u00fc\u00e7 taraf\u0131ndan belirlenen ve bu iki g\u00fc\u00e7 aras\u0131nda \u00e7\u0131kabilecek de\u011fi\u015fik \u00f6l\u00e7ekte \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar do\u011frultusunda \u015fekillenen bir d\u00fcnya d\u00fczeni yerine, tek bir g\u00fcc\u00fcn hakim oldu\u011fu bir d\u00fczen ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmaya, g\u00fcvenli\u011fi tehdit eden istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar daha \u00e7ok b\u00f6lgesel seviyede g\u00f6zlemlenmeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (3<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Avrupa Topluluklar\u0131\u2019na \u00fcye olan Bat\u0131 Avrupa devletlerinin e\u015fg\u00fcd\u00fcmdenmi\u015f bir d\u0131\u015f politika olu\u015fturmalar\u0131 gereksiniminin bir di\u011fer sebebi ise, Do\u011fu Bloku \u00fclkelerindeki siyasal de\u011fi\u015fimin yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131 geli\u015fmelerden en \u00e7ok kendilerini etkilenece\u011fini anlamas\u0131yd\u0131. Bu de\u011fi\u015fim, hem s\u0131n\u0131r g\u00fcvenli\u011fini, hem de dolayl\u0131 olarak kurumsal derinle\u015fmeyi olumsuz \u015fekilde etkileme kapasitesini kendinde ta\u015f\u0131maktayd\u0131. (4<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Ortak d\u0131\u015f politika ve ortak g\u00fcvenlik politikas\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015fimini h\u0131zland\u0131ran bir di\u011fer sebep ise Almanya\u2019n\u0131n birle\u015fmesi olmu\u015ftur. Bu birle\u015fme Avrupa haritas\u0131nda siyasi ve ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131dan daha etkin bir devletin do\u011fmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015f ve bu devletin Avrupa Birli\u011fi \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde d\u0131\u015f d\u00fcnyaya daha cesur ad\u0131mlar atmas\u0131na imk\u00e2n sa\u011flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. T\u00fcm AB \u00fcyelerinin H\u0131rvatistan ve Slovenya\u2019n\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131sa zaman i\u00e7inde Almanya\u2019n\u0131n \u0131srar\u0131yla tan\u0131malar\u0131 buna \u00f6rnek olarak verilebilir. (5<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Avrupa d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015fmesinde rol oynayan bir ba\u015fka sebep ise 1990 y\u0131l\u0131nda patlak veren K\u00f6rfez Krizi olmu\u015ftur. Irak\u2019\u0131n Kuveyt\u2019i i\u015fgali, birli\u011fe \u00fcye olan devletleri geli\u015fen olaya kar\u015f\u0131 ortak tutum belirlemek durumuyla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya b\u0131rakm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. (6<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Avrupa Siyasi \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ara\u00e7lar, ekonomik alanda d\u0131\u015f politika koordinasyonu ile ilgili olduklar\u0131 i\u00e7in bu tutumu olu\u015fturmada yetersiz kal\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n<p>Buna ek olarak Bat\u0131 Avrupa devletleri, Yugoslavya\u2019n\u0131n da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131 sonras\u0131nda \u00fclke topraklar\u0131nda alevlenen \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 \u00f6nlemek i\u00e7in ortak ad\u0131mlar\u0131n at\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmekteydiler. (7<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bu sebeplerden dolay\u0131 \u015eubat 1992 y\u0131l\u0131nda Maastricht Antla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kabul\u00fcyle Avrupa Topluluklar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 olu\u015fturan \u00fcye devletler taraf\u0131ndan Avrupa Ortak D\u0131\u015f ve G\u00fcvenlik Politikas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 olu\u015fturacak ilkeler belirlenmi\u015ftir. Topluluk boyutu, Ortak D\u0131\u015f ve G\u00fcvenlik Politikas\u0131 (ODGP) ve adalet ve i\u00e7i\u015fleri alanlar\u0131nda i\u015fbirli\u011fini olu\u015fturan ve AB\u2019nin geli\u015fimini belirleyen \u00fc\u00e7 s\u00fctunlu bir yap\u0131y\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6ren Maastricht Antla\u015fmas\u0131n\u2019da, d\u0131\u015f politika konular\u0131na ikinci s\u00fctunda yer vermi\u015ftir. Bu konu birli\u011fin kurumlar\u0131 d\u0131\u015f\u0131na h\u00fck\u00fcmetler aras\u0131 ili\u015fkiler kapsam\u0131na al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r, yani supranasy\u00f6nel boyuta ta\u015f\u0131nmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (8<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bunun anlam\u0131 d\u0131\u015f politika konular\u0131n\u0131n do\u011frudan AB taraf\u0131ndan de\u011fil, \u00fcye devletlerin bir araya gelerek alacaklar\u0131 kararlarla belirlenecek olmas\u0131d\u0131r. Bu durum farkl\u0131 ulusal \u00e7\u0131karlara sahip olan \u00fcye devletlerin belli konularda ortak tutum olu\u015fturmas\u0131na engel olabilecekti. G\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kadar\u0131yla AB \u00fcye devletleri d\u0131\u015f politika konular\u0131nda egemenlik haklar\u0131n\u0131 bu kuruma devretmeye o s\u0131rada haz\u0131r de\u011fillerdi. Ortak D\u0131\u015f ve G\u00fcvenlik Politikas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ama\u00e7lar\u0131 AB\u2019nin G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletlerine y\u00f6nelik Maastricht Antla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019yla belirledi\u011fi d\u0131\u015f politika \u00f6nceliklerine de \u0131\u015f\u0131k tutacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Antla\u015fman\u0131n J.1 (2) maddesinde Ortak D\u0131\u015f ve G\u00fcvenlik Politikas\u0131n\u0131n ama\u00e7lar\u0131: Birli\u011fin ortak de\u011ferlerinin, temel \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131n ve ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n korunmas\u0131, eldeki b\u00fct\u00fcn imk\u00e2nlarla Birli\u011fin ve ona \u00fcye olan devletlerin g\u00fcvenli\u011finin temin edilmesi, BM Antla\u015fmas\u0131 ilkeleri, Helsinki Nihai Senedi ve Paris \u015eart\u0131 ama\u00e7lar\u0131 do\u011frultusunda bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n korunmas\u0131 ile uluslararas\u0131 g\u00fcvenli\u011fin g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesinin sa\u011flanmas\u0131, uluslararas\u0131 i\u015fbirli\u011finin geli\u015ftirilmesi, demokrasi, hukukun \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, insan haklar\u0131 ve temel haklara sayg\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015ftirilmesi ve peki\u015ftirilmesinin sa\u011flanmas\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7ermektedir. (9<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Maastricht Antla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019nda yer alan ama\u00e7lardan anla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fczere AB, mevcut uluslararas\u0131 hukuk \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde hem birli\u011fin, hem de birli\u011fe \u00fcye olan \u00fcye devletlerin g\u00fcvenli\u011fini sa\u011flamak ve bunun ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in uluslararas\u0131 ortamda bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n, g\u00fcvenli\u011fin ve istikrar\u0131n temin edilmesi i\u00e7in belirli ad\u0131mlar\u0131n at\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 istemektedir. \u0130stikrar\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in gerekli ad\u0131mlar aras\u0131nda demokrasi, insan haklar\u0131 gibi de\u011ferlerin ve piyasa ekonomisi d\u00fczeninin AB co\u011frafyas\u0131 d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki b\u00f6lgelerde de geli\u015ftirilmesi ve peki\u015ftirilmesi hedeflenmekteydi. Maastricht Antla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019yla belirlenen bu ama\u00e7lar daha sonra 16\u201317 Haziran 1997\u2019de Amsterdam Antla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019nda ayr\u0131 bir Ortak G\u00fcvenlik ve Savunma Politikas\u0131 ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 alt\u0131nda yer alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (10<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>S\u00f6z edilen antla\u015fmalarla AB\u2019nin ODGP\u2019sinin ama\u00e7lar\u0131 belirginlik kazansa da, bu ama\u00e7lar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in hangi ara\u00e7lar\u0131n kullan\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 netlik kazanmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. ODGP ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in Maastricht Antla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n J.1 (3) maddesinde \u00fcye devletler aras\u0131nda s\u00fcrekli bir i\u015fbirli\u011finin geli\u015ftirilmesi ve bu devletlerin ortak \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n korunabilmesi i\u00e7in ortak eylemde bulunma gereklili\u011fi d\u0131\u015f ili\u015fkilerde ortak tutumu zedeleyecek herhangi bir hareketten ka\u00e7\u0131nma vaadinde bulunmu\u015flard\u0131r. AB Konseyi \u00fcye devletlerin bu kabul edilen ama\u00e7lara uymalar\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayacakt\u0131r. (12<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Antla\u015fmalarda yer alan bu d\u00fczenlemeler, AB\u2019ye \u00fcye devletlerin ortak bir tutum sergilemesi gerekti\u011fini ortaya koymu\u015f olsalar da, bunun hangi durumlarda ve ne gibi ara\u00e7lar\u0131n kullan\u0131lmas\u0131yla sa\u011flanaca\u011f\u0131 konusuna bir a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131k getirmemektedir. Asl\u0131nda ODGP\u2019nin ara\u00e7lar\u0131 daha sonra Merkezi ve Do\u011fu Avrupa \u00dclkeleri (MDA\u00dc) ve Bat\u0131 Balkanlar \u00fclkeleriyle ili\u015fkileri incelerken g\u00f6rece\u011fimiz gibi, belirli bir geli\u015fim s\u00fcrecinden ge\u00e7erek nihai hallerine ula\u015fmaktad\u0131r. AB ODGP\u2019sini somut olaylarda s\u0131nayarak ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan eksikliklerin giderilmesi ile y\u00fcr\u00fctmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00d6rne\u011fin, o d\u00f6nemde patlak veren Yugoslavya krizi ile ODGP\u2019nin eksik y\u00f6nleri ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Kriz, AB\u2019ye \u00fcye devletler aras\u0131nda e\u015fg\u00fcd\u00fcm\u00fcn olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, ayn\u0131 zamanda ODGP\u2019nin erken uyar\u0131 ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma \u00f6nleme mekanizmalar\u0131n\u0131n eksikliklerini ortaya koymu\u015ftur. (13<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>ODGP\u2019deki bu ve di\u011fer eksikliklerin k\u0131smi da olsa giderilmesi i\u00e7in Bat\u0131 Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019ne \u00fcye olan devletlerin D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri ve Savunma Bakanlar\u0131 harekete ge\u00e7erek 19 Haziran 1992 tarihinde Bonn yak\u0131nlar\u0131ndaki Petersberg \u015fehrinde toplanm\u0131\u015flard\u0131r. Bu toplant\u0131da AB, \u201cPetersberg g\u00f6revleri\u201d olarak bilinen baz\u0131 g\u00f6revler belirlemi\u015ftir. Buna g\u00f6re, Bat\u0131 Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019ne (BAB) insani g\u00f6revler, bar\u0131\u015f\u0131 koruma operasyonlar\u0131, kriz y\u00f6netimi ve bu ba\u011flamlarda gerekli oldu\u011fu takdirde g\u00fc\u00e7 kullan\u0131m\u0131 gibi eylemsel roller verilmi\u015ftir. (14<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bu g\u00f6revlerin ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in muhtemel operasyonlarda kullan\u0131lacak g\u00fc\u00e7lerin olu\u015fturulmas\u0131, \u00fcye devletlerin katk\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n belirlenmesi ve \u00e7ok uluslu g\u00fc\u00e7lerin BAB komutas\u0131nda kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 gibi organizasyonlar i\u00e7in Br\u00fcksel\u2019de bir planlama komitesinin kurulmas\u0131 kararla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (15<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bu kararla AB d\u0131\u015f politika ve g\u00fcvenlik politikas\u0131 ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in BAB\u2019a baz\u0131 g\u00f6revler vermi\u015ftir. Bununla BAB, AB\u2019nin ODGP\u2019sinin ara\u00e7lar\u0131ndan birine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. AB\u2019nin bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi ve insani g\u00f6revler konusunda sorumlulu\u011fu art\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Asl\u0131nda yeni d\u00fczenlemelerle ortak stratejik \u00e7er\u00e7evenin olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 ve ABD\u2019nin etkin oldu\u011fu NATO d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda etkili bir g\u00fcvenlik ve savunma politikas\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015ftirilmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmekteydi. (16<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bunu sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in K\u00f6ln Zirvesi\u2019nde BAB ile AB aras\u0131nda entegrasyonun tamamlanmas\u0131na karar verilmi\u015ftir. BAB\u2019\u0131n \u00fcstlendi\u011fi \u201cPetersberg g\u00f6revleri\u201d AB kapsam\u0131na al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. K\u00f6ln\u2019de al\u0131nan kararlar 10\u201311 Aral\u0131k 1999\u2019ta ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen Helsinki Zirvesi\u2019nde daha da geli\u015ftirilmi\u015ftir. Bu zirvede Ortak G\u00fcvenlik ve Savunma Politikas\u0131yla ilgili baz\u0131 \u00f6nemli kararlar al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u0130lk olarak, \u201cPetersberg g\u00f6revleri\u201d kapsam\u0131nda, AB\u2019ye \u00fcye devletlerin kat\u0131l\u0131mlar\u0131yla 2003 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar 50\u201360 bin ki\u015filik bir g\u00fc\u00e7ten olu\u015facak, 60 g\u00fcn i\u00e7ersinde b\u00fct\u00fcn haz\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 tamamlayabilecek ve 2 y\u0131ll\u0131k bir s\u00fcre i\u00e7in g\u00f6rev \u00fcstlenebilecek bir \u201cAcil M\u00fcdahale G\u00fcc\u00fc\u2019\u201dn\u00fcn olu\u015fturulmas\u0131<br \/>\n\u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Bu g\u00fc\u00e7 \u201cPetersberg g\u00f6revleri\u201d do\u011frultusunda g\u00f6rev yapacakt\u0131. (17<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Merkezi Strasbourg\u2019da olan \u201cAcil M\u00fcdahale G\u00fcc\u00fc\u2019nde\u201d Bel\u00e7ika, Fransa, Almanya, \u0130spanya ve L\u00fcksemburg\u2019dan askerler g\u00f6rev yapmaktad\u0131r. Acil M\u00fcdahale G\u00fcc\u00fc daha \u00f6nce Bosna-Hersek\u2019te, Kosova\u2019da ve 9 A\u011fustos 2004 ile 11 \u015eubat 2005 tarihleri aras\u0131nda Afganistan\u2019da g\u00f6rev yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (18<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, Avrupa G\u00fcvenlik ve Savunma Politikas\u0131 (AGSP) konusunda i\u015fbirli\u011fi ve e\u015fg\u00fcd\u00fcm sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in Siyaset ve G\u00fcvenlik Komitesi, Askeri Komite ve Askeri Personel Biriminin olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. (19<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Helsinki Zirvesi\u2019nde Ortak G\u00fcvenlik ve Savunma Politikas\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde askeri ve diplomatik giri\u015fimler, insani yard\u0131mlar, ekonomik yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar gibi ara\u00e7larla kriz y\u00f6netimi imkanlar\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015ftirilmesi konusunda \u00f6nemli ad\u0131mlar at\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Buna g\u00f6re NATO ile AB\u2019nin faaliyet alanlar\u0131 aras\u0131nda kesin bir ayr\u0131m yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015f ve AB\u2019nin kendi i\u00e7inde kararlar alarak, tek ba\u015f\u0131na uluslararas\u0131 krizlere kar\u015f\u0131 askeri operasyonlara kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu hale gelmi\u015ftir. NATO ise bir \u2018kolektif savunma\u2019 \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fc olarak varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmeye devam edecektir. (20<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>B\u00fct\u00fcn bu d\u00fczenlemelere ra\u011fmen konumuz gere\u011fi daha sonra incelenecek olan Kosova sorununda g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi AB ortak tutum ve eylem sergilenmesinde yetersiz kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r ve bu sorunun \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesinde ABD \u00f6nderli\u011findeki NATO\u2019ya ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. AB ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in ABD ve NATO\u2019nun yard\u0131m\u0131na ihtiya\u00e7 duymu\u015ftur. Yaln\u0131z bu i\u015fbirli\u011fi \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde AB \u00fcye devletlerinin aras\u0131ndaki e\u015fg\u00fcd\u00fcm eksikli\u011finin telafisi sa\u011flan\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><b>2. ODGP\u2019deki Eksikliklerin Giderilmesi Amac\u0131yla At\u0131lan Ad\u0131mlar<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nODGP\u2019nin geli\u015ftirilmesi ve eksiklerinin giderilmesi i\u00e7in at\u0131lan \u00f6nemli ad\u0131mlardan biri, karar verme mekanizmas\u0131n\u0131n h\u00fck\u00fcmetleraras\u0131 olmas\u0131ndan kaynaklanan e\u015fg\u00fcd\u00fcm eksikli\u011finin giderilmesini ama\u00e7layan Y\u00fcksek Temsilcili\u011fin, Amsterdam Antla\u015fmas\u0131yla (Amsterdam Antla\u015fmas\u0131 18. maddesi) kurulmas\u0131 olmu\u015ftur. (21<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0ODGP\u2019ye itibar kazand\u0131rmak amac\u0131yla Bat\u0131 Avrupa Birli\u011fi Genel Sekreteri ve NATO eski Genel Sekreteri Javier Solana Y\u00fcksek Temsilcilik g\u00f6revine atanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (22<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Y\u00fcksek Temsilci Javier Solana\u2019n\u0131n AB\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fmas\u0131nda en ciddi katk\u0131s\u0131 20 Haziran 2003\u2019te Selanik\u2019te sundu\u011fu \u201cDaha \u0130yi bir D\u00fcnyada G\u00fcvenli bir Avrupa\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 Strateji Belgesinin haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131 olmu\u015ftur. Bu belgede, AB d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131n\u0131n daha etkin \u015fekilde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi ve uluslararas\u0131 istikrar ve g\u00fcvenli\u011fe daha fazla katk\u0131da bulunulmas\u0131 amac\u0131yla baz\u0131 \u00f6neriler sunulmaktad\u0131r. Belgede, \u00f6ncelikle AB uluslararas\u0131 ili\u015fkilerde bir akt\u00f6r olarak tan\u0131mlanmakta ve bu \u015fekilde uluslararas\u0131 g\u00fcvenli\u011fe katk\u0131 sa\u011flanmas\u0131 gereklili\u011fi vurgulanmaktad\u0131r. Belgede uluslararas\u0131 g\u00fcvenli\u011fe tehdit olarak b\u00f6lgesel \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar, yoksulluk, a\u00e7l\u0131k, bula\u015f\u0131c\u0131 hastal\u0131klar, s\u0131\u011f\u0131nmac\u0131lar, g\u00f6\u00e7ler, yolsuzluk, iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi ve enerji ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6sterilmi\u015ftir. Toprak b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lardan daha ziyade, bu t\u00fcr tehlikeler AB\u2019nin g\u00fcvenli\u011fine y\u00f6nelik tehditler olarak alg\u0131lanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bunlarla beraber g\u00fcvenlik tehdidi olarak ter\u00f6rizm, kitle imha silahlar\u0131n\u0131n yay\u0131lmas\u0131, b\u00f6lgesel \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar, \u00e7\u00f6ken devletler ve organize su\u00e7lar kabul<br \/>\nedilmektedir. (23<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Belge\u2019nin ikinci b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde tehditlere kar\u015f\u0131 AB\u2019nin geli\u015ftirmesi gereken tedbirler ele al\u0131nmaktad\u0131r. G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcz tehditlerinin dinamikli\u011fi ve yay\u0131lma \u00f6zellikleri nedeniyle AB\u2019nin geleneksel savunma doktrininin \u00f6tesinde bir g\u00fcvenlik stratejisinin geli\u015ftirilmesi gerekti\u011fi vurgulanmaktad\u0131r. Bunun i\u00e7in tehditlere kar\u015f\u0131 ilk savunma hatt\u0131n\u0131n kendi s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n \u00f6tesinde \u00e7ekilmesi gereklili\u011fine i\u015faret edilerek bir t\u00fcr \u00f6nleyici politika \u00f6nerilmektedir. Belgede bu t\u00fcr \u00f6nlemlerin sadece askeri tedbirlerden ibaret olamayaca\u011f\u0131 ve farkl\u0131 ara\u00e7larla birlikte kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 gere\u011fine i\u015faret edilmektedir.<br \/>\nBelgenin son b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde dikkat \u00e7ekilen hususlar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda AB\u2019nin daha aktif d\u0131\u015f, savunma ve g\u00fcvenlik politikalar\u0131 takip etmesinin gereklili\u011fi g\u00f6sterilmektedir. Ayn\u0131 zamanda uluslararas\u0131 sistemin \u00f6nemli akt\u00f6rlerinden olan ABD, Rusya, \u00c7in ve Hindistan gibi devletlerle belli konularda i\u015fbirli\u011finin geli\u015ftirilmesinin zaruretinden s\u00f6z edilmektedir. (24<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>AB\u2019nin ODGP konusunda att\u0131\u011f\u0131 sonraki ad\u0131mlar da, \u00fcye devletler aras\u0131 e\u015fg\u00fcd\u00fcm\u00fcn geli\u015ftirilmesi ba\u011fla\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015f\u00e7i\u015ftir. 1999\u2019da K\u00f6ln AB Zirvesi\u2019nde g\u00fcvenlik alan\u0131ndaki esaslar sistematik hale getirilmi\u015ftir. Bu antla\u015fmayla, AB\u2019nin ortak d\u0131\u015f politika ve ortak g\u00fcvenlik politikas\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan getirilen bir di\u011fer yenilik ise Siyasi ve G\u00fcvenlik Komitesi\u2019nin kurulmas\u0131 olmu\u015ftur. Bu komite \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde Br\u00fcksel\u2019de g\u00f6revde bulunan el\u00e7ilerin haftada iki kez bir araya gelerek,<br \/>\nODGP ile ilgili geli\u015fmeleri ve uygulamalar\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. (25<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Konuyla ilgili \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmelerden biri de 2004\u2019te AB\u2019ye \u00fcye devletlerin Avrupa Anayasas\u0131 tasla\u011f\u0131n\u0131 imzalamas\u0131d\u0131r. Her ne kadar Anayasa y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmemi\u015f ve Fransa ile Hollanda\u2019da yap\u0131lan halk oylamas\u0131nda reddedilmi\u015fse de, bu Anayasa\u2019da yer alan ilgili maddeler ODGP\u2019nin gelecekteki evrimine \u0131\u015f\u0131k tutmaktad\u0131r. Anayasa\u2019ya g\u00f6re, Y\u00fcksek Temsilcilik kurumunun yerini D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 alacakt\u0131r. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Konsey Sekreterli\u011fi, Komisyon ve \u00fcye devletlerden kat\u0131lan resmi g\u00f6revlilerin bir araya gelmesiyle bir D\u0131\u015f Eylem Kurumu\u2019nun olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. En \u00f6nemli yeniliklerden biri ise bir kereye mahsus olmak \u00fczere iki bu\u00e7uk y\u0131l s\u00fcreyle g\u00f6rev yapan bir AB Ba\u015fkan\u0131\u2019n\u0131n se\u00e7ilmesidir. Y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girecek bu yeniliklerle ODGP, h\u00fck\u00fcmetleraras\u0131 bir yap\u0131dan belli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde supranasy\u00f6nel bir bi\u00e7ime d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fecektir. (26<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Anayasa tasla\u011f\u0131n\u0131n onaylanmas\u0131 a\u015famas\u0131nda sorunlar\u0131n ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131yla, AB\u2019nin ODGP\u2019nin geli\u015fimi konusunda gelinen durumu s\u00f6yle \u00f6zetlenebilir: Supranasy\u00f6nel nitelik kazanamayan bu politika, daha \u00e7ok AB\u2019ye \u00fcye devletlerin de\u011fi\u015fik konularda kendi aralar\u0131nda ortak karar alabilme kabiliyetine ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 durumdad\u0131r. AB\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f politika ve g\u00fcvenlik sorunlar\u0131 (Yugoslavya\u2019n\u0131n da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131, Irak\u2019a Amerikan m\u00fcdahalesi) konusunda varl\u0131k g\u00f6sterememesi, askeri kapasitesinin eksikli\u011finden daha \u00e7ok, bu g\u00fcc\u00fcn ortak siyasi iradesinin bulunmamas\u0131ndan kaynaklanmaktad\u0131r. Ayr\u0131ca AB\u2019nin etkin bir d\u0131\u015f ve savunma politikas\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fctememesinde kriz y\u00f6netimi i\u00e7in gereken altyap\u0131n\u0131n yetersizli\u011fi, \u00fcye devletler aras\u0131nda ortak irade eksikli\u011fi ve kurumsal mekanizmalar\u0131n yeterince etkin olamamas\u0131 gibi engeller bulunmaktad\u0131r. (27<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Bu eksiklikler, ODGP\u2019nin AB taraf\u0131ndan somut ko\u015fullar alt\u0131nda uygulanmas\u0131 esnas\u0131nda giderilmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bulunan \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmler ODGP\u2019nin uyguland\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00f6lgelere g\u00f6re farkl\u0131l\u0131klar g\u00f6stermi\u015ftir. Bu durumda ilk olarak AB&#8217;nin Merkezi ve Do\u011fu Avrupa \u00dclkeleri (28<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0(MDA\u00dc) ile ilgili d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131, bu politikan\u0131n ba\u015far\u0131 d\u00fczeyinin de\u011ferlendirilmesi ve ODGP\u2019nin bu b\u00f6lgenin \u00f6znel ko\u015fullar\u0131na uyarlanmas\u0131 tecr\u00fcbesinin incelenmesi Do\u011fu Bloku\u2019ndan ayr\u0131lan G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletlerinin AB ile ili\u015fkilerinin \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmlenmesine \u0131\u015f\u0131k tutacak niteliktedir.<\/p>\n<p><b>3. AB\u2019nin Merkezi ve Do\u011fu Avrupa \u00dclkeleriyle \u0130li\u015fkileri<\/p>\n<p>3.1 AB\u2019nin B\u00f6lge \u00dclkelerine Y\u00f6nelik D\u0131\u015f Politikas\u0131n\u0131n Geli\u015fimi<\/p>\n<p><\/b>1980\u2019l\u0131 y\u0131llar\u0131n ortalar\u0131na kadar AT ile Do\u011fu Bloku devletleri aras\u0131nda ili\u015fkiler yok denecek kadar azd\u0131. Brejnev d\u00f6neminde Sovyetler Birli\u011fi Avrupa Topluluklar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 resmen tan\u0131may\u0131 reddetmi\u015fti. 1980 y\u0131l\u0131nda Topluluklarla Genel Ticaret Antla\u015fmas\u0131 imzalayan Romanya d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, hi\u00e7bir Do\u011fu Avrupa devleti Avrupa Topluluklar\u0131\u2019yla ili\u015fkide bulunmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Gorba\u00e7ov\u2019un iktidara gelmesiyle taraflar aras\u0131nda ili\u015fkiler i\u00e7in zemin olu\u015fmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Avrupa Topluluklar\u0131 ile Do\u011fu Bloku\u2019nun ekonomik birli\u011fini temsil eden COMECON Haziran 1988\u2019de kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 olarak tan\u0131m\u0131\u015f, ayn\u0131 zamanda COMECON\u2019a \u00fcye devletlerin Topluluklarla ili\u015fkiler geli\u015ftirmesi i\u00e7in olanak sa\u011flanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. AT ile ilk Ticari ve \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Antla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 Macaristan imzalam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Daha sonra benzeri antla\u015fmalar\u0131 Aral\u0131k 1989\u2019da Polonya, Nisan 1990\u2019da Sovyetler Birli\u011fi, Kas\u0131m 1990\u2019da \u00c7ekoslovakya ve Bulgaristan, Mart<br \/>\n1991\u2019de ise Romanya imzalam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (29<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Do\u011fu Bloku\u2019nda geli\u015fen de\u011fi\u015fimleri ve Blo\u011fa taraf olan devletlerle ili\u015fkilerin hangi y\u00f6nde geli\u015fece\u011fini tart\u0131\u015fmak i\u00e7in Kas\u0131m 1989\u2019da Fransa\u2019n\u0131n teklifi \u00fczerine Paris\u2019te Avrupa Topluluklar\u0131 H\u00fck\u00fcmet ve Devlet Ba\u015fkanlar\u0131n\u0131n kat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 gayri resmi bir Zirve d\u00fczenlenmi\u015ftir. Bu Zirve\u2019de, Merkezi ve Do\u011fu Avrupa \u00dclkeleri\u2019nde (MDA\u00dc) geli\u015fen reformlar\u0131n ve serbest piyasa ekonomisine ge\u00e7i\u015fin h\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131na AT olarak yard\u0131mda bulunulmas\u0131na karar verilmi\u015ftir. AT bu amac\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmek i\u00e7in Avrupa \u0130mar ve Kalk\u0131nma Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (A\u0130KB) kurulmas\u0131n\u0131 karar alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (30<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>MDA\u00dc\u2019de ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen reformlar\u0131n desteklenmesi amac\u0131yla yap\u0131lan bir di\u011fer giri\u015fim ise, Polonya ve Macaristan\u2019a ekonomik yard\u0131m sa\u011flanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6ren 3906\/89 No\u2019lu Konsey T\u00fcz\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ve PHARE<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0(<\/span>31<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Program\u0131 idi ve 18 Aral\u0131k 1989\u2019da y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girdi. PHARE Program\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 AB\u2019nin de\u011fi\u015fim s\u00fcrecinde bulunan Do\u011fu Avrupa\u2019ya y\u00f6nelik ilk tepki \u015feklinde de\u011ferlendirmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Do\u011fu Bloku\u2019nun \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden sonra reform s\u00fcrecine girmi\u015f olan devletlere y\u00f6nelik hangi stratejinin uygulanaca\u011f\u0131 konusunda karars\u0131z olan AB \u00fcyeleri, bu de\u011fi\u015fimlere y\u00f6nelik duyarl\u0131l\u0131k sergilenmesi ve AB \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde ortak bir yan\u0131t verme zaruretini iyi anl\u0131yorlard\u0131. MDA\u00dc\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik hangi politikalar\u0131n izlenece\u011fi konusunda net bir vizyonu olmayan AB\u2019nin, bu b\u00f6lgede geli\u015fen olaylara kay\u0131ts\u0131z kalmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fildi. Nitekim bu konuda MDA\u00dc\u2019de demokrasiye ve piyasa ekonomisine ge\u00e7i\u015fte bu program\u0131n uygulanmas\u0131 ve projelerin desteklenmesi amac\u0131yla A\u0130KB\u2019nin kurulmas\u0131 \u00f6nem arz ediyordu. PHARE Program\u0131\u2019n\u0131n taraf devletlerin demokrasiye ve piyasa ekonomisine ge\u00e7i\u015flerinde bir destek program\u0131 olmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015fse de, daha sonra bu mali ve teknik yard\u0131m mekanizmas\u0131 ileride AB\u2019ye tam \u00fcyelik i\u00e7in<br \/>\nba\u015fvuran devletlerin kat\u0131l\u0131ma haz\u0131r hale getirilmesi i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem kazanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (32<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>AT ilk zamanlarda bu \u00fclkelerle ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015ftirilmesine daha temkinli yakla\u015fm\u0131\u015f ve ilk ba\u015fta sadece ekonomik ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015ftirilmesini \u00f6ng\u00f6ren Orta Avrupa Giri\u015fimi, Tuna \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi gibi mekanizmalar geli\u015ftirmi\u015ftir. Fakat doksanlar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda Do\u011fu Bloku\u2019nun ve Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131yla ve 1992 y\u0131l\u0131nda AB\u2019nin kendi Ortak D\u0131\u015f ve G\u00fcvenlik Politikas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 olu\u015fturmas\u0131yla bu b\u00f6lgeye y\u00f6nelik daha aktif bir politika y\u00fcr\u00fctmeye karar verilmi\u015ftir. AB, s\u0131n\u0131r kom\u015fusu olan bu devletleri demokratikle\u015fme ve piyasa ekonomisine ge\u00e7i\u015f s\u00fcrecinde destekleyece\u011fini beyan etmi\u015ftir. (33<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>3.2 AB\u2019nin MDA\u00dc Kaynakl\u0131 Tehdit Alg\u0131s\u0131<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nAB\u2019de, MDA\u00dc b\u00f6lgesinde reformlar\u0131n desteklenmesi i\u00e7in sadece ekonomik ara\u00e7lar\u0131n yeterli olamayaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde endi\u015feler olu\u015fmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu endi\u015feler b\u00f6lge \u00fclkelerini (MDA\u00dc) etkileyen i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f dinamiklerden kaynaklanmaktayd\u0131. AB\u2019nin MDA\u00dc\u2019de reformlar\u0131 desteklemekte ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olmas\u0131 sonucu \u00e7\u0131kabilecek politik ve ekonomik istikrars\u0131zl\u0131klar, birli\u011fin g\u00fcvenli\u011fini tehdit edebilecek mevzubahis i\u00e7 dinamikleri olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r. Her ne kadar bu sorun \u00f6ncelikle MDA\u00dc i\u00e7indeki bir devletin kendi d\u00fczenini do\u011frudan ilgilendiriyorsa da, i\u00e7 istikrars\u0131zl\u0131ktan gelen tehdit s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 a\u015farak, kom\u015fular\u0131 da etkileyebilme kapasitesindedir. Bu t\u00fcr bir istikrars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n bir ka\u00e7 devlette ayn\u0131 anda olu\u015fmas\u0131 halinde durum daha da feci<br \/>\nnoktalara gelebilecekti. (34<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Reformlar\u0131n ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla olu\u015fan istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k hali, \u00fclkeleri ekonomik karga\u015fa ve politik anar\u015fiye s\u00fcr\u00fckleyebilir, bunun sonucu da sald\u0131rgan a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 milliyet\u00e7ilik, militanl\u0131k, ekonomik kriz ve hatta d\u0131\u015f m\u00fcdahale gibi istenmeyen durumlar ortaya \u00e7\u0131kabilirdi. Ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131ktan etkilenen \u00fclke vatanda\u015flar\u0131 hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ya\u015fayarak, se\u00e7ilen demokratik h\u00fck\u00fcmetlerin yerine, daha otoriter ve milliyet\u00e7i y\u00f6neticilere y\u00f6nelip, kendi oylar\u0131n\u0131 otoriter veya milliyet\u00e7i y\u00f6neticilere verebilirlerdi. Bunun sonucu istikrar\u0131 tehdit edebilecek bir di\u011fer durum, yani etnik \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar da ate\u015flenebilirdi. (35<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00d6rne\u011fin, Romanya ile Bulgaristan aras\u0131ndaki G\u00fcney Dobruca sorununda oldu\u011fu gibi. 1990\u2019lar\u0131n ba\u015flar\u0131nda Romanya Bulgaristan\u2019\u0131n bir arazi par\u00e7as\u0131 olan G\u00fcney Dobruca \u00fczerinde hak ileri s\u00fcrmeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Do\u011fu Bloku\u2019nun ortadan kalkt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ko\u015fullarda bu talepler iki devlet aras\u0131nda s\u0131cak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ya\u015fanabilece\u011fi kayg\u0131lar\u0131 olu\u015fturmu\u015ftu. Bu gibi durumlar s\u0131cak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n Yugoslavya d\u0131\u015f\u0131na da s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131 ihtimalini g\u00fcndeme getirmekteydi. Ne var ki AB\u2019nin m\u00fcdahalesiyle iki devlet kendi s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 dahilinde ya\u015fayan az\u0131nl\u0131klara geni\u015f haklar tan\u0131y\u0131nca, s\u0131cak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 \u00f6nlemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmu\u015ftur. (36<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>D\u0131\u015f etken olarak, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f politika niyetlerinden kaynaklanabilecek sorunlardan bahsetmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. 1991\u2019in A\u011fustos ve Aral\u0131k aylar\u0131 aras\u0131nda geli\u015fen olaylar\u0131n sonucunda Sovyetler Birli\u011fi da\u011f\u0131l\u0131nca, bu devletin bulundu\u011fu mekan \u00fczerinde istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k durumu hakim oldu. Yeni olu\u015fan devletlerde istikrars\u0131zl\u0131ktan yararlanan milliyet\u00e7i y\u00f6netimler i\u015f ba\u015f\u0131na gelerek, var olan durumu daha da karma\u015f\u0131k hale getirmekteydi. Eski g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc kaybetmeyi sindiremeyen Rusya, yeni ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ilan etmi\u015f devletleri kendi \u201cyak\u0131n \u00e7evresi\u201d olarak ilan etmi\u015f, bu co\u011frafyada etkisini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u015eubat 1993\u2019de kabul edilen bu politika, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n \u201cMonroe Doktrini\u201d olarak kabul edilmektedir. Buna g\u00f6re, Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nden ayr\u0131lan yeni ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z devletler bu \u00fclkenin ekonomik ve g\u00fcvenlik a\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131ndan ya\u015famsal \u00e7\u0131kar alan\u0131 olarak ilan edilmi\u015f ve Rusya buradaki geli\u015fmeleri denetlemeyi \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. (37<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Rusya bu politikayla kendi devleti d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Ruslar\u0131n ve eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131n korunmas\u0131n\u0131 temel d\u0131\u015f politika amac\u0131 olarak beyan etmi\u015ftir. Rus askeri \u00fcsleri o s\u0131rada bir\u00e7ok eski Sovyet cumhuriyetinde konu\u015flanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131 ve \u00fclkelerin m\u00fcdahil oldu\u011fu i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131nda kendine bi\u00e7tikleri rolleri vard\u0131. (38<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Rusya\u2019n\u0131n bu politikas\u0131 eski Var\u015fova Pakt\u0131 \u00fcyesi olan MDA\u00dc devletlerini de tehdit alt\u0131nda b\u0131rakmaktayd\u0131 ki bu da AB\u2019nin g\u00fcvenli\u011fini do\u011frudan etkileyecekti. MDA\u00dc\u2019deki AB g\u00fcvenli\u011fine etkisi olan i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f tehditler, bu \u00fclkelerin hem bu kurumla (AB), hem de NATO ile tam \u00fcyelik s\u00fcrecinin ba\u015flat\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n gereklili\u011fini ortaya koymu\u015ftur. (39<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bunun esas sebebi olarak MDA\u00dc\u2019n\u00fcn yeniden Rusya\u2019n\u0131n etkisi alt\u0131na girmesini engellemek ve o zaman i\u00e7in en etkin ara\u00e7 olarak kabul edilen NATO vas\u0131tas\u0131yla bu \u00fclkeleri k\u0131sa zaman i\u00e7inde Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n politik ve ekonomik alan\u0131na katmak arzusudur. Bu d\u00f6nemde bu \u00fclkelerin baz\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n arazisinde hala Rus askeri \u00fcsleri bulunmaktayd\u0131 ve bunlar\u0131n \u00e7ekilmesi ancak 1994\u2019te tamamlanacakt\u0131. (40<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>MDA\u00dc b\u00f6lgesine y\u00f6nelik d\u0131\u015f politika ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesinde ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olabilece\u011finden endi\u015felenen AB, bu \u00fclkelerin reform s\u00fcre\u00e7lerine devam etmelerini te\u015fvik etmek i\u00e7in yeni aray\u0131\u015flara girmi\u015ftir. AB reformlar\u0131 ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 bir \u015fekilde tamamlamalar\u0131 durumunda bu \u00fclkelere kuruma tam \u00fcyelik vaadi verilmesini sorunun \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc olarak g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Bunun sonucunda, 22 Haziran 1993\u2019de ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen Kopenhag Zirvesi\u2019nde kabul edilen kararlarla MDA\u00dc\u2019n\u00fcn AB ile b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fmesi s\u00fcreci ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f oldu. B\u00f6ylece MDA\u00dc\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik ko\u015fullu entegrasyon politikas\u0131 Birli\u011fin d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131n\u0131n temel arac\u0131 olmu\u015ftur. (41<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Nitekim Aral\u0131k 1995\u2019teki Madrid Zirvesi\u2019nde Avrupa Konseyi bildirisinde bu geni\u015fleme hakk\u0131nda: \u201cAvrupa k\u0131tas\u0131nda istikrar ve g\u00fcvenli\u011fi sa\u011flayacakt\u0131r ve hem aday devletler, hem de Birli\u011fe \u00fcye devletler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve genel refah d\u00fczeyinin y\u00fckseltilmesi i\u00e7in yeni ufuklar a\u00e7acakt\u0131r\u201d (42<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Aral\u0131k 1994\u2019de Essen Zirvesi\u2019nde b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme s\u00fcrecine girmi\u015f devletlere y\u00f6nelik \u201ckat\u0131l\u0131m \u00f6ncesi stratejisi\u201d kabul edilmi\u015ftir. Bu strateji \u00fc\u00e7 temel unsurdan ibaretti. Stratejinin hukuki temelini Avrupa Antla\u015fmalar\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. \u0130kinci temeli mali ve teknik yard\u0131m\u0131 sa\u011flamas\u0131n\u0131 temin eden PHARE program\u0131d\u0131r. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc temeli ise, hem \u00fcye, hem de aday devletleri bir araya getirecek olan \u201cyap\u0131sal diyalog\u201d forumu olu\u015fturuyor. \u2018Kat\u0131l\u0131m \u00f6ncesi stratejisinin\u2019 temel amac\u0131 MDA\u00dc\u2019y\u00fc AB\u2019deki Ortak Pazar \u015fartlar\u0131na haz\u0131rlamakt\u0131r. Bu y\u0131ldan itibaren MDA\u00dc devletleri AB\u2019ye tam \u00fcyelik ba\u015fvurular\u0131n\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015flard\u0131. (43<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bu \u015fekilde on eski sosyalist \u00fclke, Polonya, Macaristan, \u00c7ek Cumhuriyeti, Slovakya, Slovenya, Bulgaristan, Romanya ve \u00fc\u00e7 eski Sovyet Balt\u0131k Cumhuriyeti olan Estonya, Letonya ve Litvanya bu kuruma \u00fcyelik hakk\u0131 kazanm\u0131\u015flard\u0131. Yugoslavya\u2019n\u0131n da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan devletler i\u00e7inse, Slovenya d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kat\u0131l\u0131m s\u00fcrecinin a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n ancak kanl\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n sona ermesi sonras\u0131nda m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olabilece\u011fi ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (44<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>3.3 AB\u2019nin Yeni Ara\u00e7lar\u0131: Kat\u0131l\u0131m \u00d6ncesi Stratejisi ve Avrupa Antla\u015fmalar\u0131<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nYukar\u0131da da s\u00f6z edildi\u011fi gibi, Aral\u0131k 1994 y\u0131l\u0131nda AB Komisyonu\u2019nun teklifleri \u00fczerine, aday devletler i\u00e7in \u00e7ok say\u0131da konuyu i\u00e7eren bir \u00f6n kat\u0131l\u0131m stratejisi olu\u015fturulmu\u015ftur. Daha \u00f6nce hi\u00e7bir geni\u015fleme s\u00fcrecinde kurum taraf\u0131ndan bu t\u00fcr bir strateji uygulanmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu y\u00fczden bu giri\u015fim be\u015finci geni\u015flemeye \u00f6zg\u00fc bir te\u015febb\u00fcst\u00fcr. Bunu izah\u0131n\u0131 bir ka\u00e7 \u015feklinde ifade etmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. AB Maastricht Antla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019yla ilk defa olarak ODGP olu\u015fturmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktayd\u0131 ve o d\u00f6nemde bu ortak politikan\u0131n \u00f6ncelikli konusu MDA\u00dc\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik geni\u015fleme s\u00fcreci idi. Di\u011fer bir sebep ise, geni\u015fleme s\u00fcrecinin genellikle eski Do\u011fu Bloku devletlerini kapsamas\u0131yd\u0131 ve AB tarihi boyunca ilk defa olarak farkl\u0131 bir politik ve ekonomik sistemde bulunan devletleri \u00fcyeli\u011fe kabul etmeye haz\u0131rlan\u0131yordu. Bu devletlerin en k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede ve en sanc\u0131s\u0131z \u015fekilde demokrasi ve daha \u00f6nemlisi piyasa ekonomisine ge\u00e7i\u015fini sa\u011flamak gerekiyordu. Bu konuda MDA\u00dc i\u00e7in ayr\u0131 bir strateji olu\u015fturulmas\u0131n\u0131n gereklili\u011fi ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r ki bu da kat\u0131l\u0131m \u00f6ncesi stratejidir.<\/p>\n<p>Bir di\u011fer \u00f6nemli husus ise, AB ilk defa bu say\u0131da devleti kendi saflar\u0131na dahil edecekti. 1992\u2019den sonra \u00fcye say\u0131s\u0131 15\u2019e ula\u015fan kurum, son geni\u015flemeyle neredeyse bir o kadar da yeni \u00fcye kabul etmeye haz\u0131rlanmak i\u00e7in belli bir s\u00fcrenin gerekti\u011fine inanmaktayd\u0131. Di\u011fer taraftan, MDA\u00dc\u2019ye tam \u00fcyelik yolunun a\u00e7\u0131lmamas\u0131, bu \u00fclkeleri kaos ve istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k s\u00fcrecine itebilir ve kendisi de istikrars\u0131z bir halde bulunan Rusya\u2019n\u0131n etki alan\u0131na yeniden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrebilir ve sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 kestirmesi olduk\u00e7a zor bir s\u00fcrece s\u00fcr\u00fckleyebilirdi.<\/p>\n<p>Bu sebeplerin \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Temmuz 1994 tarihli Avrupa Komisyonu taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131nlanan raporda, MDA\u00dc\u2019n\u00fcn Ortak Pazara entegrasyonunu ve AB kurumlar\u0131yla \u00e7ok tarafl\u0131 yap\u0131sal diyalogu sa\u011flamaya y\u00f6nelik bir kat\u0131l\u0131m \u00f6ncesi stratejisi takdim edildi. (45<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Kat\u0131l\u0131m \u00f6ncesi stratejisi be\u015f alanda ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilecek giri\u015fimler \u00fczerinde olu\u015fturulmu\u015ftur. Bu alanlar yap\u0131sal ili\u015fkilerin g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesi, b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme s\u00fcreci i\u00e7in hukuki altyap\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fturulmas\u0131, ticari ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015ftirilmesi, enerji, ula\u015f\u0131m ve \u00e7evre gibi alanlarda i\u015fbirli\u011finin te\u015fvik edilmesi, b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme s\u00fcreci ve reformlar i\u00e7in yard\u0131md\u0131r. B\u00fct\u00fcn bu yard\u0131mlar\u0131n PHARE Program\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. (46<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Bu strateji do\u011frultusunda aday devletler taraf\u0131ndan Ortak Pazar m\u00fcktesebat\u0131na uyum sa\u011flanmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmekteydi. Buna g\u00f6re, Komisyon taraf\u0131ndan farkl\u0131 alanlarda hangi hukuki d\u00fczenlemelere uyum sa\u011flanmas\u0131 ve politikalar\u0131n uygulanmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini i\u00e7eren ve Beyaz Kitap diye bilinen detayl\u0131 bir belge haz\u0131rland\u0131 ve Haziran 1995\u2019te ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen Cannes Zirvesi\u2019nde sunuldu. (47<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Beyaz Kitap\u2019ta aday devletlerin Ortak Pazar\u2019la ilgili olarak \u00e7e\u015fitli alanlarda hukuksal d\u00fczenlemelere uyum sa\u011flamalar\u0131 i\u00e7in atmalar\u0131 gereken ad\u0131mlar ayr\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 bir bi\u00e7imde i\u015flenmi\u015ftir. Raporda belirtilen alanlar: ekonomik ve mali i\u015fler, sanayi, rekabet, sosyal ili\u015fkiler, tar\u0131m, nakliyat, g\u00f6rsel-i\u015fitsel medya, \u00e7evre, telekom\u00fcnikasyon, ortak pazar ve mali hizmetler, enerji, g\u00fcmr\u00fckler ve dolayl\u0131 vergilendirme, t\u00fcketiciyi korumad\u0131r. Beyaz Kitap aday \u00fclkelere Ortak Pazar\u2019\u0131n kurallar\u0131na uyum sa\u011flanmas\u0131 yolunda bir harita olarak haz\u0131rlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Hukuksal bir boyutu olmasa da ve tam \u00fcyelik i\u00e7in herhangi bir takvim getirmese de, aday devletlerin ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmesi gereken i\u015flemlerin neler oldu\u011funu anlamalar\u0131 i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem kazanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (48<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Kat\u0131l\u0131m \u00f6ncesi stratejisinin bir di\u011fer \u00f6nemli hususu, MDA\u00dc ile AB kurumlar\u0131 aras\u0131nda yap\u0131sal ili\u015fkiler ve diyalogun Konsey b\u00fcnyesinde farkl\u0131 d\u00fczeylerde s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclme karar\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7ermesidir. Di\u011fer bir deyi\u015fle, bu strateji ile Beyaz Kitap\u2019la \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen ve MDA\u00dc ile AB aras\u0131nda teknik konularda uyum s\u00fcrecin ba\u015flar\u0131nda tamamlan\u0131yor ve di\u011fer bir a\u015famaya ge\u00e7erek taraflar aras\u0131nda siyasi ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015ftirilmesini ama\u00e7lan\u0131yor ve bu konuda kararl\u0131l\u0131k sergileniyordu. (49<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u00d6n kat\u0131l\u0131m s\u00fcrecinin sonunda AB MDA\u00dc ile geni\u015fleme s\u00fcrecinin mant\u0131kl\u0131 bir devam\u0131 olarak Avrupa Anla\u015fmalar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 imzalama a\u015famas\u0131na ge\u00e7mi\u015ftir. AB\u2019nin G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleriyle ili\u015fkilerinin hukuki altyap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n farkl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anlamak i\u00e7in bu yeni antla\u015fma t\u00fcr\u00fc konusunda daha etrafl\u0131 bilgi vermekte yarar vard\u0131r. Avrupa Anla\u015fmalar\u0131, iki taraf aras\u0131nda imzalanan ve \u00f6zel nitelik ta\u015f\u0131yan antla\u015fmalard\u0131r. Bunlar\u0131n esas\u0131 aday devletleri insan haklar\u0131na, demokrasi, hukukun \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ve pazar ekonomisine ge\u00e7i\u015f gibi ilkeler \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde AB \u00fcyeli\u011fine haz\u0131rlamakt\u0131r. (50<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0AB ile ili\u015fkilerde bu a\u015famada Avrupa Anla\u015fmalar\u0131\u2019nda MDA\u00dc i\u00e7in \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen unsurlar ayn\u0131d\u0131r ve a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki \u015fekilde belirlenmi\u015ftir: siyasi ili\u015fkileri geli\u015ftirecek taraflar aras\u0131nda ortakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 peki\u015ftirecek ikili ya da \u00e7ok tarafl\u0131 dan\u0131\u015fma ortam\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fmas\u0131, AB ile aday devletleri aras\u0131nda ticaretin geli\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in serbest ticaret alan\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fturulmas\u0131, taraflar aras\u0131nda ekonomik, k\u00fclt\u00fcrel, sosyal ve mali alanlarda ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015ftirilmesi ve fikri m\u00fclkiyet ve rekabet konular\u0131 dahil mevzuat konusunda uyumun sa\u011flanmas\u0131d\u0131r. (51<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Ortakl\u0131k ili\u015fkisini \u00f6ng\u00f6ren Avrupa Anla\u015fmalar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n temel \u00f6zelli\u011fi, imzalayan taraflar aras\u0131ndaki kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 hak ve y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fckleri, ortak faaliyetler ve \u00f6zel giri\u015fimleri belirlemesidir. AB ile MDA\u00dc aras\u0131nda imzalanan Ticaret ve \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Anla\u015fmalar\u0131ndan \u00e7ok daha ileri ama\u00e7lar i\u00e7eren Avrupa Anla\u015fmalar\u0131, ortakl\u0131k s\u00fcreci sonunda aday devletler i\u00e7in tam \u00fcyelik \u00f6ng\u00f6rmektedir. Anla\u015fmalara g\u00f6re, sonunda sanayi \u00fcr\u00fcnleri i\u00e7in serbest ticaret b\u00f6lgesinin olu\u015fturulmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6ren 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ge\u00e7i\u015f d\u00f6nemi belirlenmi\u015ftir. Bu d\u00f6nem AB taraf\u0131ndan MDA\u00dc\u2019ye en \u00e7ok g\u00f6zetilen ulus stat\u00fcs\u00fc tan\u0131nmas\u0131, a\u015famal\u0131 liberalle\u015fmenin ve ortakl\u0131k taraflar\u0131n\u0131n lehine baz\u0131 ayr\u0131cal\u0131klar\u0131n tan\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7erecektir. \u00d6zellikle tekstil, tar\u0131m \u00fcr\u00fcnleri, k\u00f6m\u00fcr ve \u00e7elik gibi \u201chassas\u201d mallar\u0131n ticaretinin liberalle\u015ftirilmesi, antla\u015fmalara eklenmi\u015f protokollerle belirlenmektedir. (52<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u00d6n kat\u0131l\u0131m stratejisinin ve Avrupa Anla\u015fmalar\u0131\u2019nda \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen ama\u00e7lar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesinde uygulanan en \u00f6nemli ara\u00e7 PHARE Program\u0131\u2019d\u0131r. Konumuz a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem arz eden ve yine G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesine y\u00f6nelik uygulanan di\u011fer programlarla k\u0131yaslama imkan\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in, bu programa burada de\u011finmek gerekmektedir.<\/p>\n<p><b>3.4 PHARE Program\u0131<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nDaha \u00f6nce de s\u00f6z edildi\u011fi gibi PHARE Program\u0131 Avrupa Birli\u011fi taraf\u0131ndan finanse edilen \u00fc\u00e7 \u00f6n kat\u0131l\u0131m arac\u0131ndan biri olarak kabul edilmektedir ve MDA\u00dc adaylar\u0131na AB\u2019ye kat\u0131l\u0131m s\u00fcrecinde yard\u0131m sa\u011flamaktad\u0131r. PHARE Program\u0131\u2019n\u0131n AB\u2019nin MDA\u00dc\u2019ye tam \u00fcyelik s\u00fcrecinde uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 en etkin mekanizmalardan birine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Zamanla de\u011fi\u015fen \u00f6ncelikler do\u011frultusunda PHARE Program\u0131\u2019n\u0131n fonksiyonlar\u0131 da de\u011fi\u015fmektedir. Bu da program\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fimlere uyum a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan duyarl\u0131l\u0131k derecesinin y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funu g\u00f6stermektedir. PHARE Program\u0131 sadece Do\u011fu Avrupa\u2019daki de\u011fi\u015fime bir yan\u0131t olmakla kalmad\u0131. Bu program \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde verilecek yard\u0131mlar reform programlar\u0131n\u0131n uygulanmas\u0131 \u015fart\u0131na ba\u011fland\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in, reformlar\u0131 daha ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 \u015fekilde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiren devletler daha \u00e7ok kaynak sa\u011flama imkan\u0131 buluyorlard\u0131. Bu nedenle devletler, ge\u00e7i\u015f s\u00fcrecinden daha b\u00fcy\u00fck pay almak i\u00e7in reformlar\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131rmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktayd\u0131lar, bu da AB\u2019nin de i\u015fine yar\u0131yordu. (53<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u0130lk \u00f6nce Polonya ve Macaristan\u2019a yard\u0131m amac\u0131yla 1989\u2019da ba\u015flat\u0131lan bu programa daha sonra sekiz \u00fclke daha kat\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bunlar AB\u2019ye aday olan \u00c7ek Cumhuriyeti, Estonya, Litvanya, Letonya, Slovakya, Slovenya, Bulgaristan ve Romanya\u2019d\u0131r. 2000 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar ayn\u0131 programdan Bat\u0131 Balkanlar grubuna dahil etti\u011fimiz Arnavutluk, Bosna-Hersek ve Makedonya gibi devletler de yararlanmaktayd\u0131lar. Bu \u00fclkeler 2001 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren PHARE\u2019den al\u0131narak bu programa benzer olan ama \u00fcyelik amac\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rmeyen CARDS Program\u0131\u2019na al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (54<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>PHARE Program\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde ilk ba\u015fta esas itibariyle dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k, know- how transferi, teknik yard\u0131m, m\u00fcteahhitlik ve m\u00fchendislik hizmetleri, donan\u0131m ve malzeme temini gibi alanlarda teknik ve mali yard\u0131mlar sunulmaktayd\u0131. PHARE \u00f6ncelikle bir teknik yard\u0131m program\u0131 oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in, a\u00e7\u0131lan ihaleler de genelde uzmanl\u0131k, dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k, bilgi aktar\u0131m\u0131, fizibilite \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik et\u00fctler, sa\u011fl\u0131k hizmetlerinin yeniden yap\u0131lanmas\u0131, tar\u0131mda reforma destek, telekom\u00fcnikasyon sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde \u00e7al\u0131\u015facak personelin yeti\u015ftirilmesi gibi alanlarda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmektedir. (55<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>1990\u20131994 b\u00fct\u00e7esi 4.2 milyar Euro olan PHARE, (56<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a01993 y\u0131l\u0131nda Kopenhag Zirvesi\u2019nde MDA\u00dc\u2019ye tam kat\u0131l\u0131m s\u00fcreci ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 zaman, ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 yeniden g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irerek, sadece piyasa ekonomisine ge\u00e7i\u015fte kullan\u0131lan bir mali ara\u00e7 olmaktan \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131larak, daha geni\u015f iktisadi reform, politik alanda yeniden yap\u0131lanma ve demokrasi gibi konular\u0131 da kapsam\u0131na alarak, bu alanlarda da aday \u00fclkeleri destekleyen bir araca d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. (57<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a01997 y\u0131l\u0131nda L\u00fcksemburg Zirvesi sonras\u0131 PHARE Program\u0131 t\u00fcm\u00fcyle \u201c\u00f6n kat\u0131l\u0131m s\u00fcreci\u201d arac\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Bununla aday devletlerin Kat\u0131l\u0131m Ortakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Stratejisi \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde birlik m\u00fcktesebat\u0131na uyum sa\u011flamas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6ren Ulusal Programlar\u0131n olu\u015fturulmas\u0131nda ve bu programlar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesinde gereken yard\u0131m\u0131 sa\u011flamaktayd\u0131. Bu andan itibaren PHARE Program\u0131 kamu y\u00f6netiminin ve kurumlar\u0131n AB i\u00e7inde etkin bir \u015fekilde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmelerini, acquis communautaire\u2019e uyum, ekonomik ve sosyal deste\u011fin temin edilmesini \u00f6ng\u00f6rmektedir. (58<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Bu andan itibaren PHARE Program \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde iki \u00f6ncelik belirginle\u015fmi\u015ftir: Gereken kurumlar\u0131n olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 (PHARE\u2019nin b\u00fct\u00e7esinin % 30\u2019u buna harcanmakta) ve mali yat\u0131r\u0131mlar (kalan % 70\u2019lik k\u0131s\u0131m bu ama\u00e7la kullan\u0131lmaktad\u0131r). PHARE, aday devletlerin AB\u2019nin acquis communautaire\u2019e uyum sa\u011flamalar\u0131 i\u00e7in demokratik kurumlar\u0131n ve y\u00f6netimlerin g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesine ve ayn\u0131 zamanda ula\u015f\u0131m ve \u00e7evre gibi alanlara yat\u0131r\u0131m ve altyap\u0131 projelerinin ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesine destek vermektedir. (59<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>3.5 MDA\u00dc\u2019n\u00fcn AB\u2019ye Uyumunda NATO\u2019nun Yeri<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\n1997 y\u0131l\u0131nda Avrupa Komisyonu aday devletlerin kat\u0131l\u0131m \u015fartlar\u0131n\u0131 yerine getirmekte o g\u00fcne dek sergiledikleri performanslar konusunda G\u00fcndem 2000 raporunu yay\u0131nlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Be\u015f \u00fclke Polonya, Macaristan, \u00c7ek Cumhuriyeti, Estonya ve Slovenya Komisyon\u2019dan olumlu not almaya muvaffak olmu\u015flard\u0131r. \u0130lgin\u00e7tir, bu rapor eski Var\u015fova Pakt\u0131 \u00fcyesi olan \u00c7ek Cumhuriyeti, Polonya ve Macaristan\u2019\u0131n NATO\u2019ya tam \u00fcyelik daveti almalar\u0131ndan sadece iki hafta sonra yay\u0131nlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (60<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Her \u00fc\u00e7 devlet Avrupa Komisyonu\u2019ndan olumlu not alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Estonya ve Slovenya, co\u011frafi konum itibar\u0131yla birinin Rusya\u2019ya kom\u015fu olmas\u0131, di\u011ferinin askeri \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc eski Yugoslavya devletlerinin hemen yak\u0131n\u0131nda bulunmas\u0131 nedeniyle tam \u00fcyelik i\u00e7in NATO\u2019dan davet almam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r, ancak bu devletler haz\u0131rl\u0131k durumunun de\u011ferlendirilmesinde olumlu not alm\u0131\u015flard\u0131r. Yine de Avrupa Komisyonu\u2019nun aday devletlerin NATO ile ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015fim derecesine \u00f6nem verdi\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Yani AB\u2019nin ODGP\u2019sindeki MDA\u00dc\u2019yle b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme s\u00fcrecinde NATO\u2019nun bu \u00fclkelerle ili\u015fkilerinin d\u00fczeyini art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 kendi stratejisinin bir par\u00e7as\u0131 gibi g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmaktad\u0131r. AB\u2019ye kabul \u015fartlar\u0131 MDA\u00dc i\u00e7in uzun bir uyum sa\u011flama d\u00f6nemini gerektirmekteydi. Nitekim \u00f6nceki geni\u015fleme s\u00fcre\u00e7leriyle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, son geni\u015fleme aday \u00fclkeleri \u00e7ok zorlayabilecekti. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u00f6nceki b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinden farkl\u0131 olarak, \u00fcye devletlerin sadece Ortak Pazara de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda Ekonomik ve Parasal Birli\u011fe ve Ortak D\u0131\u015f ve G\u00fcvenlik Politikas\u0131na da uyum sa\u011flamalar\u0131 gerekmekteydi. (61<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bu durumda aday devletler i\u00e7in<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>AB ODGP\u2019sine uyum NATO\u2019ya kat\u0131l\u0131m s\u00fcrecinde b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde sa\u011flanm\u0131\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6re, bu kurumla b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme d\u00fczeyi AB\u2019ye t\u00fcm \u00fcyelik i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir kriter haline gelmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>Daha \u00f6ncede s\u00f6z edildi\u011fi gibi, G\u00fcndem 2000 Raporu Kopenhag kriterlerinden hareketle, tam \u00fcyelik ko\u015fullar\u0131 yeniden tan\u0131ml\u0131yordu. Bu konuda tam \u00fcyelik i\u00e7in art\u0131k sadece \u2018Birlik m\u00fcktesebat\u0131na\u201d uyulmas\u0131 yeterli olmamaktad\u0131r, AB\u2019nin siyasi ve ekonomik ama\u00e7lar\u0131na da uyum sa\u011flanmas\u0131 gerekmektedir. 12\u201313 Aral\u0131k 1997\u2019de ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen L\u00fcksemburg Zirvesi\u2019nde G\u00fcndem 2000 \u00f6nerileri kabul edildi. Bu zirvede adaylar \u00fc\u00e7 kategoriye b\u00f6l\u00fcnerek, haz\u0131rl\u0131k d\u00fczeylerine g\u00f6re ili\u015fkilerin ve m\u00fczakerelerin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesine karar verilmi\u015ftir. 2002\u2019de AB aday devletlerle m\u00fczakerelerde kaydedilen ilerlemeleri de\u011ferlendirirken, Bulgaristan ve Romanya d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda t\u00fcm MDA\u00dc ve Malta ile G\u00fcney K\u0131br\u0131s ile tam \u00fcyelik m\u00fczakerelerini tamamlad\u0131 ve 16 Nisan 2003\u2019te bu devletlerle Kat\u0131l\u0131m Antla\u015fmalar\u0131 imzalad\u0131. Antla\u015fmalar\u0131n Avrupa Parlamentosu ve \u00fcye devletlerin parlamentolar\u0131nda onaylanmas\u0131ndan sonra bu devletler 1 May\u0131s 2004\u2019de AB\u2019ye kat\u0131lm\u0131\u015f oldular. (62<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Bulgaristan ile Romanya verdikleri taahh\u00fctleri ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdikten sonra 1 Ocak 2007\u2019de AB\u2019nin yirmi alt\u0131nc\u0131 ve yirmi yedinci \u00fcyeleri oldular.<\/p>\n<p><b>3.6 AB\u2019nin \u00dcyelik S\u00fcrecinde MDA\u00dc\u2019ye Y\u00f6nelik Ortak D\u0131\u015f ve G\u00fcvenlik<br \/>\nPolitikas\u0131n\u0131n Ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131 ve Bunun Sebepleri<\/p>\n<p>3.6.1 ODGP\u2019yi Destekleyen Etkenler<\/p>\n<p><\/b>MDA\u00dc ile Haziran 1989\u2019da, Polonya ve Macaristan\u2019a y\u00f6nelik yard\u0131mlar\u0131n AB taraf\u0131ndan koordine edilmesi ile ba\u015flayan ili\u015fkilere g\u00f6z att\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z zaman, birli\u011fin bu b\u00f6lgeden kaynaklanabilecek tehditler konusunda ilk bak\u0131\u015fta ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 bir d\u0131\u015f ve g\u00fcvenlik politikas\u0131 sergiledi\u011fini g\u00f6rebiliriz. \u0130lk olarak 1989\u2019da, Polonya ve Macaristan\u2019a yap\u0131lacak yard\u0131mlar\u0131n koordinasyonu G\u201324 (63<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0taraf\u0131ndan Avrupa Komisyonu\u2019na verildi ve bu kurum g\u00f6revi ba\u015far\u0131yla yerine getirerek, daha sonra bu yard\u0131mlar\u0131 di\u011fer MDA\u00dc\u2019ye de yaymaya muvaffak oldu. G-24 devletlerinin AT\u2019yi uluslararas\u0131 bir akt\u00f6r olarak muhatap almalar\u0131 bu kurum i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131maktayd\u0131. (64<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Ortak d\u0131\u015f politikan\u0131n ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 bir \u015fekilde y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclmesinin bir di\u011fer \u00f6rne\u011fi, AB\u2019nin Balkanlarda \u015fiddetlenen \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 Slovenya\u2019da ve H\u0131rvatistan\u2019da belli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde durdurma\u011fa muvaffak olmas\u0131 ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla daha da b\u00fcy\u00fck kay\u0131plar\u0131 engellemesidir. Yine benzer \u015fekilde, A\u011fustos 1991\u2019de Moskova\u2019daki ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z darbe giri\u015fiminden sonra SSCB\u2019de ya\u015fanan istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k d\u00f6neminde AB ortak bir tutum sergileyerek \u00fc\u00e7 Balt\u0131k devleti olan Estonya, Letonya ve Litvanya\u2019n\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tan\u0131m\u0131\u015f, onlara mali ve teknik yard\u0131m yapmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (65<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Genel olarak AB, MDA\u00dc\u2019y\u00fc geni\u015fleme politikas\u0131na dahil etmek ve sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 yard\u0131mlar yoluyla, bu \u00fclkelerde demokratik d\u00fczen ve piyasa ekonomisine ge\u00e7i\u015f s\u00fcrecinde ortaya \u00e7\u0131kabilecek istikrars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6nlemeye muvaffak olmu\u015ftur. Ko\u015fullu geni\u015fleme politikas\u0131 ve bu do\u011frultuda ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen projeler AB ODGP\u2019sinin \u015fu ana kadar uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 en etkin ara\u00e7 olarak belirmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>Di\u011fer taraftan g\u00f6sterilen \u00f6rnekler AB\u2019nin MDA\u00dc\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 politikalar\u0131n ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7mek i\u00e7in olduk\u00e7a yetersiz kalmaktad\u0131r. Nitekim AB\u2019nin bu b\u00f6lgeye y\u00f6nelik d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131n\u0131n ve g\u00fcvenlik politikas\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131nda farkl\u0131 etkenler de s\u00f6z sahibidir.<\/p>\n<p>Her ne kadar AB \u00fcye devletleri baz\u0131 konularda d\u0131\u015f politika a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ortak tutum sergilemeye muvaffak olmu\u015flarsa da, ODGP\u2019nin ara\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n yeterli derecede geli\u015fti\u011fini ve genel olarak ortak tutumun olu\u015ftu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemek son derece g\u00fc\u00e7t\u00fcr. Belki de bu sebepledir ki, ODGP\u2019nin olu\u015fum s\u00fcrecinde AB Avrupa co\u011frafyas\u0131na, \u00f6zellikle Merkezi ve Do\u011fu Avrupa\u2019ya odaklanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. AB diplomatik, ekonomik ve askeri kapasitelerinin bu b\u00f6lgeye sarf edilmesinin bu imk\u00e2nlar\u0131n daha verimli kullan\u0131m\u0131 oldu\u011fu inanc\u0131yla hareket etmekteydi. Burada Avrupa Komisyonu\u2019nun<br \/>\nkat\u0131l\u0131m stratejisi i\u00e7in kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 yap\u0131 ve ara\u00e7larla beraber ODGP Y\u00fcksek Temsilcili\u011fi de MDA\u00dc\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik diplomatik ve kriz y\u00f6netimi giri\u015fimleriyle katk\u0131da bulunuyordu. (66<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>AB\u2019yi bu b\u00f6lgede aktif bir politika y\u00fcr\u00fctmeye s\u00fcr\u00fckleyen ba\u015fka bir neden ise, bu kurumun Merkezi ve Do\u011fu Avrupa b\u00f6lgesine y\u00f6nelik y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc d\u0131\u015f ve g\u00fcvenlik politikalar\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6zellikle arzu etmesidir. Bunun esas sebebi, ABD\u2019nin deste\u011fi olmaks\u0131z\u0131n bu politikalar\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fctebilecek kapasiteyi sergileyerek, So\u011fuk Sava\u015f sonras\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fen uluslararas\u0131 ortam\u0131n sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 de\u011ferlendirerek, b\u00f6lgede temel akt\u00f6r konumuna gelmek iste\u011fidir. (67<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>AB\u2019nin MDA\u00dc b\u00f6lgesindeki politikalar\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015far\u0131ya ula\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n bir di\u011fer sebebi de, bu kuruma \u00fcye devletlerin kendi ulusal d\u0131\u015f politikalar\u0131 do\u011frultusunda aday devletleri reform s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinde desteklemeleridir. \u00d6rne\u011fin, Estonya \u0130skandinav devletlerinden ciddi destek al\u0131rken, Slovenya\u2019n\u0131n kuruma \u00fcyeli\u011fi \u0130talya ve Avusturya taraf\u0131ndan destekleniyordu, Fransa ise Romanya i\u00e7in \u00e7aba g\u00f6steriyordu. (68<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0\u00dcye devletlerin aktif bir \u015fekilde kendi \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde politikalar\u0131n y\u00fcr\u00fctmeleri her ne kadar AB\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131n\u0131n ve g\u00fcvenlik politikas\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fmas\u0131na ters d\u00fc\u015fse de, bu devletler MDA\u00dc\u2019ye \u00fcyeli\u011fe haz\u0131rl\u0131k a\u015famas\u0131nda yard\u0131m etmekle asl\u0131nda bu konuda AB\u2019nin ortak \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131na hizmet etmekteydiler. ODGP\u2019deki ortak tav\u0131r eksikli\u011fi, belli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde bu \u015fekilde telafi edilmekteydi.<\/p>\n<p><b>3.6.2 AB\u2019nin Politikalar\u0131nda Etkili Olmas\u0131nda NATO\u2019nun Rol\u00fc<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nAB geni\u015fleme esnas\u0131nda y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ODGP\u2019ye NATO\u2019dan ciddi destek almaktayd\u0131. A\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a s\u00f6ylenmese de, MDA\u00dc i\u00e7in AB\u2019ye tam \u00fcyelik NATO\u2019ya \u00fcyelikten ge\u00e7mekteydi. Zaten NATO, AB ile MDA\u00dc aras\u0131nda g\u00fcvenlik konusundaki i\u015fbirli\u011finin geli\u015ftirilmesine yard\u0131m etmekteydi. Avrupa\u2019da So\u011fuk Sava\u015f d\u00f6neminde var olan b\u00f6l\u00fcnmenin sona ermesi ve Bat\u0131 ile Do\u011fu aras\u0131nda daha geni\u015f kapsaml\u0131 bir g\u00fcvenlik kavram\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015ftirilmesi bu sayede m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmu\u015ftur. (69<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Do\u011fu Bloku\u2019nun \u00e7\u00f6kmesinden sonra MDA\u00dc\u2019deki g\u00fcvenlik bo\u015flu\u011funun giderilmesi amac\u0131yla NATO\u2019nun bu \u00fclkeler y\u00f6n\u00fcnde geni\u015flemesi gereklili\u011fi hakk\u0131nda kurum i\u00e7inde tart\u0131\u015fmalar ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ancak g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde g\u00fcvenlik sadece askeri \u00f6nlemlerin al\u0131nmas\u0131yla sa\u011flanamaz. Bu nedenle, eski Sosyalist Blok\u2019u temsil eden bu devletlerde demokrasi ve piyasa ekonomisi mekanizmalar\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir bir bi\u00e7imde yerle\u015ftirilmesi ve bu \u00fclkelerin g\u00fcvenli\u011finin bu a\u00e7\u0131lardan da sa\u011flanmas\u0131 gerekmekteydi. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla NATO geni\u015flemesiyle AB geni\u015fleme s\u00fcreci paralel bir \u015fekilde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir. (70<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>NATO\u2019nun MDA\u00dc y\u00f6n\u00fcnde geni\u015flemesinin \u00fc\u00e7 temel sebebi vard\u0131r. Bunlardan ilki Rusya\u2019n\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki devletlerin g\u00fcvenliklerine kar\u015f\u0131 bir tehdit olarak alg\u0131lanmaya devam etmesiydi. Asl\u0131nda NATO\u2019nun bu konudaki alg\u0131s\u0131 AB\u2019nin MDA\u00dc\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme politikas\u0131n\u0131n temel saikleri ile \u00e7ak\u0131\u015fmaktad\u0131r. Bu durumda bu amac\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesinde her iki kurum birbiri i\u00e7in tamamlay\u0131c\u0131 bir rol oynamaktad\u0131r. Yine de, \u00f6zellikle ilk zamanlarda, AB bu amac\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirme ara\u00e7lar\u0131ndan yoksundu ve o s\u0131rada sadece ABD \u00f6nderli\u011findeki NATO, Bat\u0131 Avrupa b\u00f6lgesinin MDA\u00dc ile ilgili g\u00fcvenlik endi\u015felerini gidermek i\u00e7in gerekli \u00f6rg\u00fctlemeye ve kapasiteye sahip idi. Bu durumda AB\u2019nin NATO olmaks\u0131z\u0131n bu amac\u0131 kendi ba\u015f\u0131na ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirebilmesi inand\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyordu. (71<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>NATO\u2019nun geni\u015flemesinin AB ile paralel gitmesinin di\u011fer bir nedeni Merkezi ve Do\u011fu Avrupa devletlerinin Bat\u0131 kurumlar\u0131n\u0131n bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olma yoluyla yeniden \u201cAvrupa\u2019ya d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u201d haklar\u0131n\u0131 kullanmak istemeleridir. So\u011fuk Sava\u015f d\u00f6neminde ayr\u0131 bir blok halinde hareket eden b\u00f6lge \u00fclkeleri, blo\u011fun \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyle Bat\u0131 de\u011ferlerine kavu\u015fma olana\u011f\u0131n\u0131 elde etmi\u015flerdi. Yeni bir \u201cmodernle\u015fme\u201d modeli gibi kabul edilebilecek y\u00f6nelim, Do\u011fu Avrupa devletlerinin yeni elitleri taraf\u0131ndan ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z ulusal kom\u00fcnizm modeli yerine ortaya at\u0131ld\u0131. Asl\u0131nda bu model, b\u00f6lgede bulunan devletlerin, d\u0131\u015flanm\u0131\u015fl\u0131k ve bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kalm\u0131\u015fl\u0131k duygular\u0131ndan kurtulmak, ekonomik durgunlu\u011fu, yeniden ba\u015f g\u00f6steren milletleraras\u0131 \u00e7eki\u015fmeleri ve politik istikrars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortadan kald\u0131rmak amac\u0131yla olu\u015fturulmu\u015ftu. (72<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>NATO\u2019nun geni\u015flemesinin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc nedeni ise, bu devletlerin AB\u2019ye \u00fcyelik s\u00fcrecine bir \u00f6n ad\u0131m olu\u015fturulmak istenmesidir. Bu istek, Maastricht Antla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n onaylanmas\u0131ndan sonra AB\u2019nin savunma koluna d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fen BAB\u2019a \u00fcyeli\u011fin \u00f6neminin artmas\u0131yla ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu proje do\u011frultusunda \u201culusal\u201d ve \u201cAvrupal\u0131\u201d kimliklerin bir araya getirilmesi AB ve NATO\u2019ya tam \u00fcyelik ko\u015fullar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde ilerlenmenin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 amac\u0131na y\u00f6nelikti. (73<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>NATO, Do\u011fu Bloku\u2019nun da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra faaliyetlerini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmekle beraber faaliyet ve ama\u00e7lar\u0131nda yeni d\u00fczenlemeler yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Buna ek olarak, kurum NATO \u00fcyesi olmayan \u00fclkeler ile ili\u015fkiler sisteminde yeni mekanizmalar geli\u015ftirmeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede 1991 y\u0131l\u0131nda Kuzey Atlantik \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Konseyi (KA\u0130K) ve 1994 y\u0131l\u0131nda, Bar\u0131\u015f i\u00e7in Ortakl\u0131k (B\u0130O) program\u0131 kuruldu. 20 Aral\u0131k 1991 tarihinde kurulan KA\u0130K NATO ile eski Var\u015fova Pakt\u0131 aras\u0131nda g\u00fcvensizli\u011fin giderilmesinin ilk ad\u0131m\u0131 idi. Daha sonra NATO taraf\u0131ndan \u201cBar\u0131\u015f i\u00e7in Ortakl\u0131k\u201d program\u0131 geli\u015ftirilmi\u015ftir. Program\u0131n esas amac\u0131 b\u00fct\u00fcn Avrupa\u2019da istikrar\u0131n ve g\u00fcvenli\u011fin sa\u011flanmas\u0131d\u0131r. Bu giri\u015fime KA\u0130K\u2019e ve AG\u0130T\u2019e \u00fcye olan b\u00fct\u00fcn \u00fclkeler davet edilmi\u015ftir. Bu davet MDA\u00dc dahil otuz \u00fclke taraf\u0131ndan kabul edilmi\u015ftir. B\u0130O Program\u0131 savunmaya dayal\u0131 i\u015fbirli\u011fini esas kabul etmekle birlikte, NATO ve partner \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda diyalogun ve siyasi i\u015fbirli\u011finin geli\u015ftirilmesine de hizmet etmektedir. Bu giri\u015fim, Avrupa g\u00fcvenli\u011finin in\u015fas\u0131nda \u00f6nemli ve devaml\u0131 bir karaktere d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f ve b\u00fct\u00fcn Avrupa\u2019da politik ve askeri i\u015fbirli\u011finin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesinde rol oynam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Program, NATO\u2019nun sundu\u011fu demokratik ilkeler temelinde istikrar\u0131n artmas\u0131na, bar\u0131\u015fa y\u00f6nelik tehditlerin azalmas\u0131na ve pratik i\u015fbirli\u011fine dayanan g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmi\u015f g\u00fcvenli\u011fin kurulmas\u0131na yard\u0131m etmi\u015ftir. (74<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>AB MDA\u00dc\u2019n\u00fcn tam \u00fcyelik s\u00fcrecini ba\u015flatmadan, Ocak 1994\u2019te NATO Br\u00fcksel Zirvesi\u2019nde bu \u00fclkelere NATO\u2019ya tam \u00fcyelik daveti yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. NATO b\u00f6ylece bu devletlerin AB\u2019ye tam \u00fcyeli\u011fine g\u00fcvenlik konular\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan haz\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 tamamlanmas\u0131nda katk\u0131da bulunmu\u015ftur. Nitekim Mart 1999\u2019de \u00c7ek Cumhuriyeti, Polonya ve Macaristan NATO\u2019ya \u00fcye olurken, di\u011fer AB\u2019ye aday MDA\u00dc \u00fclkeleri bu kuruma Mart 2004\u2019te yani AB\u2019ye \u00fcye olmadan bir ka\u00e7 ay \u00f6nce kat\u0131lm\u0131\u015flard\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><b>3.6.3 AB\u2019nin Kat\u0131l\u0131m Stratejisinin ODGP\u2019nin Ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesinde Tamamlay\u0131c\u0131 Fonksiyonu<\/p>\n<p><\/b>Avrupa politik ve ekonomik alan\u0131yla b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme arzusunda olan eski Do\u011fu Bloku sosyalist devletlerinin \u00fclkelerinde \u00e7ok say\u0131da reformu ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 bir \u015fekilde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmeleri gerekmekteydi. Bu ama\u00e7la AB bu \u00fclkelere geni\u015f bir yelpaze olu\u015fturan teknik ve mali destek vermekteydi. Fakat \u00fclkelerin reform s\u00fcrecinin ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 bir \u015fekilde tamamlanmas\u0131na etki yapan en b\u00fcy\u00fck neden bu \u00fclkelere AB taraf\u0131ndan verilen tam \u00fcyelik vaadidir. Di\u011fer bir deyi\u015fle MDA\u00dc, ge\u00e7i\u015f d\u00f6neminde AB\u2019den yard\u0131m almakla kalmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131, s\u00fcrecin sonunda neyle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fabilece\u011fine dair net bir perspektife sahipti. Bu durumda Avrupa ve Atlantik-a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 kurumlarla b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme s\u00fcrecinde MDA\u00dc ba\u015fta Rusya\u2019dan gelebilecek tehdide kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fcvenli\u011fini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek i\u00e7in hem Bat\u0131\u2019dan mali ve teknik yard\u0131mlar\u0131 s\u00fcrekli bir \u015fekilde alacakt\u0131, hem de ekonomilerinin piyasa kurallar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde \u015fekillendirilmesi ve y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclmesini i\u00e7eren liberal politikalar bu \u00fclkelerde iktidar de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fine ba\u011fl\u0131 olmadan devaml\u0131l\u0131k sergileyecekti. (75<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Bunun en \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 \u00f6rne\u011fi olarak \u00c7ekoslovakya\u2019n\u0131n Yugoslavya\u2019n\u0131n aksine hi\u00e7bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ya\u015fanmadan 1993\u2019de \u00c7ek ve Slovak Cumhuriyetleri olarak iki ayr\u0131 devlete ayr\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Di\u011fer Merkezi ve Do\u011fu Avrupa devletlerinde oldu\u011fu gibi bu devletler politik ve ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131dan bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm ya\u015famaktayd\u0131lar. Her iki devlet de s\u00fcrecin tamamlanmas\u0131n\u0131n ayr\u0131lmalar\u0131 halinde daha kolay olaca\u011f\u0131 inanc\u0131n\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131maktayd\u0131. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Bat\u0131 ile ba\u015flat\u0131lan b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme s\u00fcrecinin ayr\u0131lma s\u0131ras\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kabilecek siyasi belirsizli\u011fi ve ekonomik ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6nlemeye yard\u0131mc\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00fcmit etmekteydiler. (76<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0\u00c7ek Cumhuriyeti ve Slovakya ayr\u0131lma s\u00fcrecinin \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131z bir \u015fekilde tamamlanmas\u0131na \u00f6zen g\u00f6steriyordu. Bu devletler \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmadan uzak durulmas\u0131 yoluyla Bat\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan takdir edilip AB ile b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme s\u0131ras\u0131nda b\u00fct\u00fcn imkanlar\u0131n kendilerine takdim olunaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 umuyorlard\u0131. (77<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>AB\u2019nin MDA\u00dc\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik geni\u015fleme politikas\u0131 bu devletlerdeki politik ve ekonomik reformlar\u0131 te\u015fvik etmeyi ve So\u011fuk Sava\u015f sonras\u0131 olu\u015fan ko\u015fullarda yeni Avrupa d\u00fczenini olu\u015fturmay\u0131 ama\u00e7lamaktayd\u0131. MDA\u00dc\u2019de politik ve ekonomik alanlarda yeniden yap\u0131lanmay\u0131 e\u015fg\u00fcd\u00fcmlemekle, Avrupa k\u0131tas\u0131nda g\u00fcvenli\u011fin temin edilmesi beklenmekteydi. Bu \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc, demokratik politik sistem ve piyasa ekonomisine ge\u00e7mi\u015f \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme ve kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n geli\u015fmesi sonucunda daha istikrarl\u0131 ve g\u00fcvenli bir Avrupa olu\u015faca\u011f\u0131 inanc\u0131na dayanmaktad\u0131r. (78<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Hem NATO hem de AB, Merkezi ve Do\u011fu Avrupa b\u00f6lgesinde istikrar\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131 ve g\u00fcvenli\u011fe ba\u011fl\u0131 sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmlenmesine y\u00f6nelik politikalar ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmekteydiler. AB i\u00e7 istikrar\u0131n\u0131 bozacak tehdit unsurlar\u0131n\u0131 iyi bilmekteydi ve bunlar\u0131 \u00f6nlemek i\u00e7in en etkin arac\u0131n Kopenhag kriterlerinin (79<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0sa\u011flanmas\u0131 ko\u015fuluna ba\u011flanm\u0131\u015f bir b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fmenin MDA\u00dc\u2019ye sunulmas\u0131d\u0131r. Bu durumda ko\u015fullar\u0131 ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 \u015fekilde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiren \u00fclkeler sadece AB taraf\u0131ndan de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda NATO taraf\u0131ndan da \u00f6d\u00fcllendirilmi\u015f olacaklard\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7ok ge\u00e7meden, MDA\u00dc y\u00f6netimleri kendi d\u0131\u015f politika \u00f6nceliklerinin NATO ve AB ile b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme oldu\u011funu beyan etmi\u015flerdir. (80<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bu konuda \u00c7ek Cumhuriyeti, Polonya ve Macaristan\u2019\u0131n reform s\u00fcrecinde \u00f6nderlik etmeleri, NATO taraf\u0131ndan bu devletlerin \u00f6ncelikle tam \u00fcyeli\u011fe kabul edilmelerinde ve AB\u2019nin 1997 L\u00fcksemburg Zirvesi\u2019nde ilk dalgada tam \u00fcyelik ko\u015fullar\u0131na en fazla uyum sa\u011flayan devletlerin aras\u0131na al\u0131nmalar\u0131nda (81<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0b\u00fcy\u00fck avantajlar sa\u011flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (82<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>AB\u2019nin MDA\u00dc\u2019ye b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme perspektifi i\u00e7eren destek politikas\u0131na k\u0131yasla, Bat\u0131 Balkanlar ve Eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi co\u011frafyas\u0131nda, \u00f6zellikle G\u00fcney Kafkasya\u2019da geni\u015fleme arac\u0131 hari\u00e7, tamamen benzer politikalar uygulanmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, benzer ba\u015far\u0131y\u0131 elde etmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. AB taraf\u0131ndan sunulan yard\u0131ma b\u00fcy\u00fck ihtiya\u00e7 duyan bu b\u00f6lgelerdeki \u00fclkeler, AB ile ili\u015fkilerin hangi d\u00fczeye \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131na dair perspektiften yoksun idiler. AB bu devletlere bu kurumla gelecekte b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme imkan\u0131n\u0131 tan\u0131mamaktayd\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Bat\u0131 Balkan devletleri ve Eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan yeni ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z devletler, herhangi bir de\u011fi\u015fim plan\u0131na sahip de\u011fildiler.<\/p>\n<p>Ayn\u0131 zamanda ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131klar\u0131n ilk g\u00fcn\u00fcnden itibaren varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrme m\u00fccadelesi vermek zorunda kald\u0131lar. Her ne kadar Slovenya, Litvanya, Letonya ve Estonya ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 di\u011fer b\u00f6lge devletleriyle ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde elde etsele de, AB bu \u00fclkeleri geni\u015fleme s\u00fcrecine alarak Avrupa de\u011ferlerinin geli\u015ftirilmesi ve benimsemesi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bir pusula rol\u00fcn\u00fc \u00fcstlenmi\u015ftir. MDA\u00dc, YBD ve eski Yugoslav cumhuriyetlerinin aksine, So\u011fuk Sava\u015f d\u00f6neminde ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z birer devlet olmalar\u0131na ra\u011fmen, So\u011fuk Sava\u015f sonras\u0131 kom\u00fcnist d\u00fczenlerin \u00e7\u00f6kmesiyle bir yol g\u00f6stericiye ciddi ihtiya\u00e7 duyuyordu. Bu noktada bu yol g\u00f6stericili\u011fi NATO ve AB \u00fcstlenmi\u015f ve bunu da bu devletlere kendi kurumlar\u0131yla tam b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme s\u00fcrecine kat\u0131l\u0131m vaadi \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmi\u015flerdi.<\/p>\n<p>Geni\u015fleme s\u00fcrecinde AB taraf\u0131ndan belirlenen ama\u00e7lar\u0131n etkin bir \u015fekilde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesinde iki g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilmeyecek husus yatmaktad\u0131r. Birinci husus, aday devletin b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme s\u00fcrecinde a\u015fama kaydetmesinin, talep olunan reformlar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesinde sergiledi\u011fi ba\u015far\u0131ya ba\u011fl\u0131 olmas\u0131d\u0131r. Bu hem devletlerin kendi i\u00e7lerinde reformlara devam edilmesi konusunda kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 temin ve te\u015fvik edecek, hem de s\u00fcrece dahil di\u011fer \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in de bir \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fc rol\u00fc oynayacakt\u0131. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, ko\u015fullu geni\u015flemenin, ancak bu uygulamaya konu \u00fclkelerin y\u00f6netimlerinin bunun kendi devletleri ve d\u00fczenleri i\u00e7in faydal\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 inanc\u0131na sahip oldu\u011fu s\u00fcrece etkin olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. (83<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Bu t\u00fcr bir alg\u0131lama ise sadece demokratik yollarla iktidara gelen ve liberal de\u011ferleri benimseyen y\u00f6netimler taraf\u0131ndan g\u00f6sterilebilir. Oysa otoriter rejimlerin benzer bir alg\u0131lama sergilemesi ihtimali bu y\u00f6netimleri olu\u015fan farkl\u0131 ko\u015fullar zorlamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece, olduk\u00e7a a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 seviyededir. Nitekim Yugoslavya \u00f6rne\u011finde g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00fczere, bu \u00fclkenin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra Bosna\u2019da ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan kanl\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmada, H\u0131rvatistan ve S\u0131rbistan y\u00f6netimleri politik imkanlar\u0131n\u0131 bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n daha da \u015fiddetlenmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde kullanmaktayd\u0131lar. Oysa \u00c7ekoslovakya\u2019n\u0131n iki ayr\u0131 devlete ayr\u0131lmas\u0131 s\u00fcrecinde AB\u2019den destek alan \u00c7ek Cumhuriyeti ve Slovakya y\u00f6netimleri politikalar\u0131nda etnik ayr\u0131mc\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na yer verseler de, bu etnik \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya yol<br \/>\na\u00e7mad\u0131. (84<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>4. AB\u2019nin Bat\u0131 Balkanlara Y\u00f6nelik D\u0131\u015f Politikas\u0131<\/p>\n<p>4.1 Yugoslavya\u2019dan Ayr\u0131lan Devletlerin ODGP \u00c7er\u00e7evesinde MDA\u00dc\u2019den Ayr\u0131 Ele Al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131n Sebepleri<\/p>\n<p><\/b>Do\u011fu Bloku\u2019nun da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra Balkanlarda ve \u00f6zellikle Yugoslavya\u2019daki geli\u015fmeler di\u011fer Do\u011fu Bloku \u00fclkelerinden \u00e7ok daha farkl\u0131 olmu\u015ftur. Bunun temelinde Yugoslavya\u2019n\u0131n Blok\u2019a \u00fcye di\u011fer devletlerden farkl\u0131 ve kendine \u00f6zg\u00fc bir yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n olmas\u0131d\u0131r. Bunlar\u0131n aras\u0131nda, di\u011fer devletlerden farkl\u0131 olarak daha liberal ekonomisi, ayr\u0131lma hukuku dahil geni\u015f yetkilerle donat\u0131lm\u0131\u015f federe devletleri i\u00e7eren federal devlet yap\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6nemli \u00f6zelliklerdir. (85<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Avrupa olarak bilinen bu b\u00f6lge, Yugoslavya\u2019n\u0131n da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z devletlere Arnavutluk\u2019un da eklenmesiyle Bat\u0131 Balkanlar terimi ile ifade edilmektedir. (86<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bu terim, AB ile b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme s\u00fcrecine girmi\u015f ve yine Balkanlarda bulunan Romanya ile Bulgaristan\u2019\u0131 o s\u0131rada kat\u0131l\u0131m m\u00fczakereleri ba\u015flat\u0131lmayan bu devletlerden ay\u0131rmak amac\u0131yla kullan\u0131lmaya ba\u015flanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Yugoslavya i\u00e7in Do\u011fu Bloku\u2019nun par\u00e7alanmas\u0131 \u00fclkenin de da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131na neden olmu\u015ftur. Fakat \u00c7ekoslovakya \u00f6rne\u011finden farkl\u0131 olarak, Yugoslavya\u2019n\u0131n da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131 daha feci olmu\u015ftur ve on binlerin \u00f6ld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc s\u0131cak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Daha \u00f6nce de s\u00f6z edildi\u011fi gibi Yugoslavya\u2019n\u0131n farkl\u0131 yap\u0131s\u0131ndan yararlanan Slovenya, H\u0131rvatistan, Bosna-Hersek, Makedonya, Karada\u011f ve S\u0131rbistan, merkezi y\u00f6netimden politik ve ekonomik anlamda neredeyse ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z bir \u015fekilde hareket etmekteydiler. 1980\u2019lerin sonlar\u0131nda Milosevi\u00e7\u2019in iktidara gelmesiyle hem devletin \u00e7ekirde\u011fini olu\u015fturan S\u0131rbistan\u2019da, hem de di\u011fer \u00fcye cumhuriyetlerde milliyet\u00e7ili\u011fin y\u00fckseli\u015fi g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr.<\/p>\n<p>1990\u2019da S\u0131rbistan d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki cumhuriyetlerde yap\u0131lan se\u00e7imlerle ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k yanl\u0131s\u0131 y\u00f6netimler ba\u015fa gelmi\u015ftir. S\u0131rbistan ve Karada\u011f\u2019da ise kom\u00fcnist y\u00f6netimler kendi iktidarlar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fcler. Federasyon yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 korumak amac\u0131yla Yugoslavya devlet ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 t\u00fcm federe devletlerin s\u0131rayla \u00fcstlenmesi sistemi, S\u0131rbistan\u2019\u0131n H\u0131rvat aday\u0131 olan Stipe Mesici\u2019yi veto etmesiyle bozulunca, (87<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a025 Haziran 1991\u2019de Slovenya ve H\u0131rvatistan ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 ilan etmi\u015ftir. Bununla Yugoslavya\u2019n\u0131n da\u011f\u0131lma s\u00fcreci ve beraberinde kanl\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (88<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>AT\u2019nin Yugoslavya\u2019daki bu geli\u015fmeler kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda en ba\u015ftan beri sergiledi\u011fi tutum, bu \u00fclkenin toprak b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcn korunmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi. Bu tutumunu devlet dahilindeki etnik \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ve ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 hareketlerin geri d\u00f6n\u00fclmez bir noktaya geldi\u011fi 1991 Aral\u0131k\u2019\u0131na kadar s\u00fcrd\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Asl\u0131nda tutumun de\u011fi\u015fmesine Almanya\u2019n\u0131n bu konudaki ad\u0131mlar\u0131 neden olmu\u015ftur. Kendi kamuoyunun bask\u0131s\u0131 alt\u0131nda kalan Almanya, Slovenya ve H\u0131rvatistan\u2019\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 tan\u0131d\u0131. \u00c7ok ge\u00e7meden, Avrupa Komisyonu da, Almanya\u2019n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan bu devletlerin ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tan\u0131m\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (89<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bu iki devletin ard\u0131ndan daha \u00f6nce daha gev\u015fek bir federasyon ilkesini savunan Makedonya ve 1992\u2019de Bosna-Hersek ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 ilan ettiler. (90<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bu geli\u015fmelerin do\u011frultusunda Belgrad y\u00f6netiminin denetimi alt\u0131nda olan Yugoslav ordusu \u00f6nce Slovenya\u2019ya, sonra H\u0131rvatistan\u2019a, en son ise Bosna- Hersek\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 harekete ge\u00e7mi\u015ftir ve kanl\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalara neden olmu\u015ftur. (91<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Ne AB, ne de AG\u0130T Yugoslavya\u2019n\u0131n da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131yla ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan krizin engellenmesi i\u00e7in herhangi bir plana sahiplerdi. (<span lang=\"en-us\">9<\/span>2<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Yugoslavya\u2019dan ayr\u0131lan yeni ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z devletler ilk g\u00fcnlerden kendilerini s\u0131cak bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ortam\u0131nda bulmu\u015flard\u0131 ve bu ko\u015fullarda AB\u2019nin MDA\u00dc\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik politik ve ekonomik ge\u00e7i\u015f s\u00fcrecinde uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 programlar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilme olana\u011f\u0131 bulunmamaktayd\u0131. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, sava\u015f i\u00e7inde bulunan \u00fclkelerin geni\u015fleme s\u00fcreci kapsam\u0131na al\u0131nmas\u0131 da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclemezdi. Bu durum AB g\u00fcvenli\u011fini do\u011frudan etkileyebilirdi. Yugoslavya\u2019dan ayr\u0131lan \u00fclkelere y\u00f6nelik farkl\u0131 politikalar\u0131n uygulanmas\u0131 gerekmekteydi. Ancak AB bunlara sahip de\u011fildi.<\/p>\n<p>Yugoslavya\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n k\u00f6keninde \u00fc\u00e7 temel sebep yatmaktayd\u0131. Birinci sebep, AB\u2019nin yapabildi\u011fi t\u00fcm m\u00fcdahalelere ra\u011fmen \u00e7ok etnik unsuru kendinde birle\u015ftiren bu devletin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131 idi. \u0130kinci sebep istikrars\u0131z bir d\u00f6neme s\u00fcr\u00fcklenen eski Yugoslavya\u2019da, S\u0131rbistan ba\u015fkan\u0131 Milosevi\u00e7\u2019in B\u00fcy\u00fck S\u0131rbistan\u2019\u0131n kurulmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6ren a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 milliyet\u00e7i projesi i\u00e7in gereken ortam\u0131n sa\u011flanm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 idi. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc sebep ise, etnik \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma s\u00fcrecinde a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 milliyet\u00e7ilerin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc konuma gelmesi ve bu g\u00fcc\u00fc art\u0131rabilmesidir. (93<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>S\u0131cak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar doruk noktas\u0131na var\u0131nca, bu sorunu gidermek amac\u0131yla m\u00fcdahale etmekte isteksiz olan ABD ve AT, BM G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi\u2019nin 25 Eyl\u00fcl 1991 tarihli karar\u0131 do\u011frultusunda t\u00fcm Yugoslavya\u2019ya y\u00f6nelik silah ambargosu uygulamaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Oysa Yugoslavya ordusunun miras\u0131n\u0131 devralm\u0131\u015f olan S\u0131rplar silah donan\u0131m\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, H\u0131rvatlar ve Bo\u015fnaklardan daha avantajl\u0131 hale geldi\u011fi i\u00e7in, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma daha da kanl\u0131 bir hal alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bosna-Hersek al\u0131nan ambargo karar\u0131yla kendini savunma hakk\u0131ndan mahrum kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu durum S\u0131rplar\u0131 daha dacesaretlendirmi\u015fti. AB\u2019nin bu ve di\u011fer diplomatik giri\u015fimleri askeri destekten yoksun olunca ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131kla neticelenmi\u015ftir ve H\u0131rvatistan ve Bosna-Hersek<br \/>\n\u00fclkelerinin S\u0131rplar taraf\u0131ndan i\u015fgali engellenememi\u015ftir. (94<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>4.2 AB\u2019nin Yugoslavya\u2019daki Geli\u015fmelere Y\u00f6nelik Politikas\u0131<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nEtnik, dini ve k\u00fclt\u00fcrel bak\u0131mdan Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n en karma\u015f\u0131k b\u00f6lgelerinden biri olan Balkanlarda 1989\u2019dan sonra \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 geli\u015fmeler ya\u015fanmaya ba\u015flanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Yugoslavya topraklar\u0131 \u00fczerinde s\u0131cak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131 AT\u2019nin m\u00fcdahalesini gerektirmi\u015ftir. Yugoslavya\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerde AT\u2019de siyasi birli\u011fin olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 konusunda g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler yap\u0131l\u0131yordu ve bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerde en \u00e7ok tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lan konu ortak g\u00fcvenlik ve savunma politikas\u0131 olmu\u015ftur. Yugoslavya\u2019da \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar ba\u015flay\u0131nca, siyasi birli\u011fin g\u00f6stermek ve Do\u011fu Bloku\u2019nun da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra uluslararas\u0131 sistemde ya\u015fanan de\u011fi\u015fimler sonras\u0131nda global bir akt\u00f6r olarak ortaya \u00e7\u0131kma iradesini g\u00f6stermek i\u00e7in s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131n yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki bu krize m\u00fcdahil olmu\u015ftu. Baz\u0131 Avrupal\u0131 yetkililer, (95<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Yugoslavya\u2019n\u0131n bir Avrupa devleti olmas\u0131 nedeniyle, buradaki sorunlar\u0131n Avrupal\u0131lar taraf\u0131ndan \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesi gerekti\u011fini ve bunun Amerika\u2019dan her hangi bir yard\u0131m al\u0131nmadan ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi gerekti\u011fini belirtmi\u015flerdi. (96<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u00dcye devletler ise tekil \u00fclkeler olarak do\u011frudan m\u00fcdahale etmeye isteksizdiler. Gereken kapasiteye sahip olan Fransa ve \u0130ngiltere ulusal \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 do\u011frultusunda hareket ederek, bu m\u00fcdahaleyi yapmaya kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131lar. En ba\u015fta b\u00f6lge devletlerine y\u00f6nelik aktif bir diplomatik faaliyet sergileyen Almanya ise, anayasas\u0131n\u0131n h\u00fck\u00fcmleri gere\u011fi bu t\u00fcr bir m\u00fcdahale imkan\u0131ndan yoksun idi. (97<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>AT Komisyonu, merkez ve cumhuriyet y\u00f6netimleri aras\u0131nda yap\u0131c\u0131 bir diyalogun olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 yoluyla \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck ve demokrasi ilkeleri temelinde yeni bir Yugoslavya\u2019n\u0131n \u015fekillendirilmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde gereken yard\u0131mlar\u0131 g\u00f6sterece\u011fini beyan etmi\u015ftir. AT\u2019nin beklentisi Yugoslavya\u2019n\u0131n b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc korumak ve demokratikle\u015fme s\u00fcrecini desteklemekle ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan sorunlar\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6zmeye muvaffak olunaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi. Hatta ilk zamanlar Almanya da AT\u2019nin sergiledi\u011fi bu tutumu destekliyordu. AT, Yugoslavya\u2019da patlak veren anayasal sorunu \u00e7\u00f6zmede ve \u00fclke b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcn korunmas\u0131nda gereken irade ve ba\u015far\u0131 sergilendi\u011fi takdirde, ortakl\u0131k derecesine varacak bir i\u015fbirli\u011fi s\u00fcrecini ba\u015flatabilece\u011fini beyan etmi\u015ftir. Bu Yugoslavya i\u00e7in o d\u00f6nemde AT taraf\u0131ndan takdim edilebilecek en \u00f6nemli \u00f6d\u00fcllerden biriydi. AT o s\u0131rada Yugoslavya ve di\u011fer MDA\u00dc ile Ortakl\u0131k Antla\u015fmalar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n imzalanmas\u0131 konusunda g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerde bulunuyordu. (98<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>MDA\u00dc\u2019de uygulanan benzer politikalar bu \u00fclkelerde istikrars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve g\u00fcvenli\u011fe olan tehdidi ortadan kald\u0131rmaya yard\u0131m etmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>27 May\u0131s 1992\u2019da Avrupa Komisyonu G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi\u2019nin 757 No\u2019lu karar\u0131 do\u011frultusunda S\u0131rbistan ve Karada\u011f Cumhuriyetlerine ticari yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar uygulanmas\u0131na karar verdi. 10 Temmuz 1992\u2019de Komisyon ve NATO ayn\u0131 g\u00fcn Karada\u011f limanlar\u0131na ticari ama\u00e7la ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen ula\u015f\u0131m\u0131, deniz ve hava \u00fczerinden denetimi alt\u0131na ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 beyan etmi\u015ftir. (99<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a026\u201327 A\u011fustos 1992\u2019de Londra\u2019da toplanan Avrupa devletlerince Bosna-Hersek\u2019te bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde baz\u0131 giri\u015fimlerde bulunulmu\u015ftu. Konferansta kabul edilen en \u00f6nemli kararlar Bosna-Hersek Cumhuriyeti\u2019nin \u00fclke b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcn tan\u0131nmas\u0131, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma s\u0131ras\u0131nda zorla elde edilen toprak edinimlerinin tan\u0131nmamas\u0131 ve S\u0131rbistan ve Karada\u011f\u2019dan olu\u015fan yeni Yugoslavya Cumhuriyeti\u2019nin sald\u0131rgan olarak a\u00e7\u0131k bir \u015fekilde tan\u0131nmas\u0131 olmu\u015ftur. (100<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Ard\u0131ndan bir ay sonra, Cenevre Bar\u0131\u015f Konferans\u0131 topland\u0131 ve bu konferansta Bosna-Hersek\u2019te bar\u0131\u015f\u0131 sa\u011flamak amac\u0131yla BM-AB ortak giri\u015fimi olan Vance-Owen Plan\u0131 kabul edilmi\u015ftir. Plana g\u00f6re Bosna-Hersek ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 korumakla birlikte, co\u011frafi, tarihi ve etnik ba\u011flar do\u011frultusunda kendi y\u00f6netimleri olan ve geni\u015f yetkilerle donat\u0131lan on ayr\u0131 b\u00f6lgeye b\u00f6l\u00fcnecekti. (101<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bunlardan \u00fc\u00e7er b\u00f6lge her bir etnik gruba ait olacakt\u0131, Saraybosna ise Bosna-Hersek\u2019in b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve \u00e7okuluslu yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 temsilen hi\u00e7 bir etnik gruba ait olmayacakt\u0131. (102<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Londra kararlar\u0131yla belli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ters d\u00fc\u015fen bu plan, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n Bosna-Hersek i\u00e7inde \u00fc\u00e7 etnik grubun aras\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fi belirtilerek, bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 uluslararas\u0131 sava\u015f boyutundan i\u00e7 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma boyutuna indirgemekle sald\u0131rganla sald\u0131r\u0131ya u\u011frayan taraflar\u0131 e\u015fit konumuna getirilmi\u015ftir. Bu durumda Bat\u0131l\u0131 m\u00fcttefikler bir \u00fclkenin toprak b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne sald\u0131r\u0131 durumunda m\u00fcdahale zorunlulu\u011funu da ortadan kald\u0131rm\u0131\u015fd\u0131r. Di\u011fer taraftan Bosna topraklar\u0131n\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n S\u0131rplara b\u0131rak\u0131lmas\u0131yla, zorla toprak kazan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n kabul edilmeyece\u011fi ilkesi de \u00e7i\u011fnenmi\u015f oldu. (103<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>Bu plan S\u0131rplar\u0131n \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmayla elde edilen b\u00fcy\u00fck kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 koruyaca\u011f\u0131 gerek\u00e7esiyle ABD taraf\u0131nda da ra\u011fbet g\u00f6rmedi. (104<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Bu plana en b\u00fcy\u00fck tepki Bo\u015fnaklardan geldi. Bo\u015fnaklar, bu plan\u0131n \u00fclkelerini par\u00e7alayaca\u011f\u0131na kesin g\u00f6z\u00fcyle bak\u0131yorlard\u0131. Buna ra\u011fmen \u00fclkelerinin b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n S\u0131rplar\u0131n i\u015fgali alt\u0131nda olmas\u0131 ve arazilerinde bir de Bosnal\u0131 H\u0131rvatlara ait bir cumhuriyetin olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 ger\u00e7ekleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda en az\u0131ndan \u00fclke varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 koruma amac\u0131yla bu plan\u0131 imzalamaya raz\u0131 olmu\u015flard\u0131. Fakat ayn\u0131 plan Bosnal\u0131 S\u0131rplar\u0131n Pale\u2019deki parlamentosu taraf\u0131ndan reddedilince y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girememi\u015ftir. Plan\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmemesinin sebeplerinden biri de sava\u015f s\u0131ras\u0131nda ba\u015far\u0131ya ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f S\u0131rplar\u0131n daha b\u00fcy\u00fck kazan\u0131mlar\u0131 elde etme iste\u011fi ve Bat\u0131l\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lerin bunu s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131rmak i\u00e7in tek imkan ve bask\u0131 unsuru olan hava ak\u0131nlar\u0131yla ilgili kararl\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrememi\u015f olmalar\u0131d\u0131r. (105<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0BM-AB giri\u015fimi olan bu plan ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeyince, Bosna-Hersek\u2019teki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar yeniden t\u0131rmand\u0131. Vance-Owen plan\u0131 kabul edilmeyince, daha \u00f6nce Bosnal\u0131 H\u0131rvatlarla Bo\u015fnaklar aras\u0131nda var olan ittifak\u0131n da da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131yla Bosna\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma \u00fc\u00e7 tarafl\u0131 bir hal ald\u0131. Sava\u015f\u0131n ilk aylar\u0131nda bu iki etnik grup birlikte hareket etmeye gereksinim duymu\u015flard\u0131, fakat taraflar aras\u0131nda ger\u00e7ek manada bir ittifak olmay\u0131nca, Vance-Owen Plan\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 H\u0131rvatlar\u0131 da kendi \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 do\u011frultusunda hareket etmeye y\u00f6nlendirmi\u015ftir. (106<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><br \/>\n\u00c7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n devam etti\u011fi s\u0131rada, 22 May\u0131s 1993\u2019de, ABD, Rusya, Fransa, \u0130ngiltere ve \u0130spanya devletleri \u201cOrtak Hareket Plan\u0131\u201dn\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131lar. Bu plana g\u00f6re, Saraybosna, Tuzla, Zepa, Goradze, Biha\u00e7 ve Srebrenica BM korumas\u0131 alt\u0131nda \u201cg\u00fcvenli b\u00f6lgeler\u201d olarak ilan edilmi\u015flerdi. Fakat Temmuz 1995\u2019te Srebrenica ve Zepa S\u0131rplar\u0131n eline ge\u00e7ti ve \u201cg\u00fcvenli b\u00f6lge\u201d giri\u015fiminin g\u00fcvenli\u011fi sa\u011flamaktan ne kadar uzak oldu\u011fu ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. (107<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Bar\u0131\u015f giri\u015fimleri do\u011frultusunda \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma taraflar\u0131na sunulan ikinci plan ise \u201c\u00dc\u00e7 B\u00f6lgeli Plan\u201d ve ya \u201cOwen-Stoltenberg Plan\u0131\u201d olmu\u015ftur. Buna g\u00f6re, Bosna- Hersek etnik \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu olu\u015fturan \u00fc\u00e7 ayr\u0131 b\u00f6lgeye b\u00f6l\u00fcnecekti ve S\u0131rplara topraklar\u0131n % 53\u2019\u00fc, Bosnal\u0131lara % 30\u2019u, H\u0131rvatlara % 18\u2019i b\u0131rak\u0131lacakt\u0131. Bu plan Bo\u015fnaklar ve H\u0131rvatlar taraf\u0131ndan kabul edilse de, S\u0131rplar taraf\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131na cevap vermedi\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesiyle reddedilmi\u015ftir. S\u0131rplar\u0131n plan\u0131 reddetmesini kolayla\u015ft\u0131ran en \u00f6nemli sebep, bu plan\u0131n ciddi yapt\u0131r\u0131m ara\u00e7lar\u0131yla desteklenmemesidir. Mesela ABD taraf\u0131ndan Temmuz 1993\u2019te S\u0131rplara kar\u015f\u0131 d\u00fczenlenmesi karar\u0131 al\u0131nan hava operasyonlar\u0131n\u0131n, bu \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm plan\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcndeme geldi\u011fi d\u00f6neme kadar hayata ge\u00e7irilmemi\u015f olmas\u0131 S\u0131rplar\u0131n herhangi bir yapt\u0131r\u0131mla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fma endi\u015fesinden uzak olmas\u0131n\u0131n nedenlerinden biridir. (108<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>G\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi, Bosna-Hersek\u2019te devam eden \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 durdurmak amac\u0131yla yap\u0131lan bar\u0131\u015f giri\u015fimlerinin tamam\u0131 ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olmu\u015ftur. Bunun en temel sebebi bar\u0131\u015f giri\u015fimini reddeden ve sald\u0131rgan taraf olan Bosnal\u0131 S\u0131rplara kar\u015f\u0131 herhangi bir yapt\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n uygulanmamas\u0131d\u0131r. \u0130\u00e7 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma olarak alg\u0131lanan Bosna-Hersek facias\u0131, uluslararas\u0131 askeri m\u00fcdahale se\u00e7ene\u011fi tercih edilmedi\u011finden Bosnal\u0131 S\u0131rplar ama\u00e7lar\u0131na ula\u015fmak i\u00e7in daha cesur hareket etmekteydiler. Bunun sonucunda taraflar aras\u0131nda \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n azalmak yerine daha da t\u0131rmand\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr.<\/p>\n<p><b>4.3 AB Giri\u015fimlerinin Ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n Sebepleri<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nAT \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ilk alt\u0131 ay\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi diplomatik faaliyetler ve kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 ekonomik ara\u00e7larla \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 \u00f6nlemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktayd\u0131. Bu ara\u00e7lar MDA\u00dc\u2019de ba\u015far\u0131 elde etmeyi sa\u011flasa da, Yugoslavya konusunda \u00f6zellikle ekonomik ara\u00e7lar yetersiz kalmaktayd\u0131 ve siyasi ve askeri ara\u00e7lar\u0131n kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 gereklili\u011fi ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yordu. Bu d\u00f6nemde kendi d\u0131\u015f ve g\u00fcvenlik politikas\u0131ndan yoksun olan AT, Yugoslavya\u2019ya yap\u0131lacak askeri m\u00fcdahalenin BAB \u00e7at\u0131s\u0131 alt\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesini tart\u0131\u015f\u0131yordu ve buna en \u00e7ok \u0130ngiltere kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yordu. (109<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bu durumda AT Yugoslavya\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 kendi ba\u015f\u0131na \u00f6nlemek ve sona erdirmek i\u00e7in gereken siyasi ve askeri ara\u00e7lardan yoksun durumda kalm\u0131\u015f ve ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n<p>AB\u2019nin kurulmas\u0131ndan sonra devletleraras\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalara ODGP \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde ortak tutum sergilenmesi i\u00e7in geli\u015ftirilen ara\u00e7lar arabuluculuk, tefti\u015f, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma taraflar\u0131n\u0131n tan\u0131nmas\u0131 veya tan\u0131nmamas\u0131 ve ekonomik yapt\u0131r\u0131mlardan olu\u015fmaktayd\u0131. Bu ara\u00e7lar yak\u0131n ge\u00e7mi\u015fte ya\u015fananlar\u0131n g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi gibi \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 engellemek i\u00e7in etkin olmaktan olduk\u00e7a uzakt\u0131lar. Baz\u0131 \u00fcye devletler i\u00e7in veya Bat\u0131 Avrupa Birli\u011fi \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde askeri m\u00fcdahale olana\u011f\u0131 mevcut olsa da, AB bu olanaktan yoksun idi. Fakat \u00fcye devletler aras\u0131nda da Yugoslavya\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya y\u00f6nelik farkl\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131mlar vard\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>AB\u2019nin uygulamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 politikalar\u0131n aksine, \u00fcye devletlerin Slovenya ve H\u0131rvatistan\u2019\u0131n ve daha sonra da Bosna-Hersek\u2019in ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tan\u0131mas\u0131 bu politikay\u0131 etkisiz hale getirilmekle kalmam\u0131\u015f, baz\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n daha da alevlenmesine yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (110<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0\u00d6rne\u011fin, Aral\u0131k 1990\u2019da H\u0131rvatistan\u2019\u0131n Kuzey Dalma\u00e7ya b\u00f6lgesindeki Krajna b\u00f6lgesinde ya\u015fayan S\u0131rplar buray\u0131 kendi \u00f6zerk b\u00f6lgeleri ilan etmi\u015fler ve bu b\u00f6lge \u00fczerinde y\u00f6netimlerini olu\u015fturmu\u015flard\u0131. H\u0131rvatlar bu \u00f6zerkli\u011fi reddederek, olu\u015fan idari yap\u0131n\u0131n cumhuriyetin anayasas\u0131na ayk\u0131r\u0131 oldu\u011funa beyan etmi\u015fti. Bu durum, iki taraf aras\u0131nda kanl\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131na neden olmu\u015ftur. (111<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0AB \u00fcye devletlerinin \u00e7o\u011fu H\u0131rvatistan\u2019a ve Bosna-Hersek\u2019e y\u00f6nelik sempatilerini sergilese de, Yunanistan S\u0131rbistan\u2019\u0131 desteklemi\u015ftir. Yunanistan ayn\u0131 zamanda AB\u2019nin Makedonya\u2019n\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ayn\u0131 adla tan\u0131mas\u0131n\u0131 veto etmi\u015ftir. Bunu Makedonya isminin kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n muhtemel bir toprak talebini (Yunanistan\u2019\u0131n Makedonya b\u00f6lgesi) ima etti\u011fi ve kendi tarihine sahip \u00e7\u0131k\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 arg\u00fcman\u0131na dayand\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r ve bu devletten ismini de\u011fi\u015ftirmesini talep etmi\u015ftir. (112<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>MDA\u00dc \u00f6rne\u011finde g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00fczere AT\u2019nin elindeki en etkin ara\u00e7 belli devletlere baz\u0131 ko\u015fullar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi \u015fart\u0131yla tam \u00fcyelik hakk\u0131n\u0131n tan\u0131nmas\u0131yd\u0131. Oysa Yugoslavya\u2019n\u0131n kendine has bir yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n olmas\u0131 ve \u00fclkede bast\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f milliyet\u00e7ili\u011fin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 nedeniyle bu arac\u0131n kullan\u0131m\u0131 ihtimal d\u0131\u015f\u0131 kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. AT Yugoslavya\u2019n\u0131n \u00fclke b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcn korunmas\u0131nda \u0131srar yerine \u00c7ekoslovakya \u00f6rne\u011finde oldu\u011fu gibi ayr\u0131lan cumhuriyetlere, bu s\u00fcreci \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131z sonu\u00e7land\u0131rmalar\u0131 halinde gereken yard\u0131mlar\u0131n yap\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde vaatler ve destek verseydi, belki de bu kanl\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u00f6nlenmesi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olacakt\u0131. Oysa 1991 y\u0131l\u0131nda AT ve ABD, Yugoslavya\u2019n\u0131n da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019ne ve di\u011fer eski kom\u00fcnist devletlere olumsuz \u00f6rnek olu\u015fturmas\u0131ndan \u00e7ekiniyorlard\u0131. Netice itibariyle tutunduklar\u0131 tav\u0131r ne Yugoslavya, ne de Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 engelleyemedi. (113<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>1992\u2019den 1995 sonuna kadar s\u00fcren Bosna-Hersek sava\u015f\u0131nda, \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu Bo\u015fnak olmak \u00fczere 300 bin ki\u015fi hayat\u0131n\u0131 kaybetti. Bir milyonun \u00fczerinde m\u00fclteci d\u00fcnyan\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fik \u00fclkelerine yerle\u015fmek zorunda kald\u0131. (114<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Baz\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flere g\u00f6re, AT\u2019ye \u00fcye devletler Yugoslavya\u2019da patlak veren \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ilk evresinde bu \u00fclkeye kriz y\u00f6netimi amac\u0131yla askeri bir m\u00fcdahale konusunda ortak bir tutum olu\u015fturabilseydi, bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 tam olmasa da belli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde \u00f6nlemi\u015f olabilirdi. (115<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Di\u011fer taraftan AT \u00fcyesi devletlerin bu konuda varacaklar\u0131 uzla\u015fma sonucu giri\u015filecek bu t\u00fcr bir m\u00fcdahale uluslararas\u0131 hukuk a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan sorunlu olacakt\u0131. BM G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi\u2019nin onay\u0131 olmadan yap\u0131lan herhangi bir m\u00fcdahalede, mevcut uluslararas\u0131 hukuka g\u00f6re ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclse bile, hukuki durumun olu\u015ftu\u011funa ve kime kar\u015f\u0131 m\u00fcdahale edilmesi gerekti\u011fine kimin karar verece\u011fi gibi konularda bir\u00e7ok soru cevaps\u0131z kalmaktad\u0131r. Nitekim bu durum NATO\u2019nun Kosova\u2019ya m\u00fcdahalesiyle ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>AB\u2019ye \u00fcye devletler aras\u0131nda d\u0131\u015f politika ve g\u00fcvenlik politika konular\u0131nda ortak tutum olu\u015fturulamay\u0131nca Yugoslavya\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 \u00f6nlemede ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olunmu\u015ftur. Ancak ABD\u2019nin b\u00f6lgeye m\u00fcdahalesinden sonra, AB\u2019nin bu devletle i\u015fbirli\u011fi halinde uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 politikalar etkinlik kazanmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><b>4.4 ABD ve NATO\u2019nun AB\u2019nin B\u00f6lgedeki D\u0131\u015f Politika Ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n<\/p>\n<p>Ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmesine Katk\u0131s\u0131<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nYugoslavya krizinin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131ndan sonra ABD bir s\u00fcre ilgisini net olarak ortaya koymam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Avrupa sorunu tek ba\u015f\u0131na \u00e7\u00f6zmekte ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olunca, ABD bu krizin \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc ile ilgilenmeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. ABD\u2019nin Clinton y\u00f6netimi ilk ba\u015fta Yugoslavya\u2019ya ve esasen Bosna-Hersek\u2019e askeri m\u00fcdahalede bulunmaktan ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131yordu. Bunun sebebi, ABD y\u00f6netiminin Yugoslavya krizinin \u00fclkedeki ya\u015fayan etnik gruplar\u0131n aralar\u0131nda devam eden \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalardan kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kabul ederek, bu durumda askeri m\u00fcdahalede bulunmakla krizin sona erdirilmesinin m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmesidir. ABD y\u00f6netiminde bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc destekleyenler, Bosna- Hersek sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n Vietnam sava\u015f\u0131 gibi kazan\u0131lamaz nitelikte oldu\u011funu beyan etdiler. ABD\u2019nin bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc Avrupa ba\u015fkentlerinde de genel kabul g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015f ve AT i\u00e7inde krizi \u00e7\u00f6zmeye y\u00f6nelik m\u00fcdahale konusunda ortak bir tutum olu\u015fmas\u0131na engel olmu\u015ftur. (116<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>1995\u2019e var\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Bosna-Hersek\u2019teki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n durdurulmas\u0131 i\u00e7in kullan\u0131lan diplomatik ara\u00e7lar yetersiz kal\u0131nca \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n di\u011fer \u00fclkelere de bula\u015fabilece\u011fi endi\u015fesi giderek artmaktayd\u0131. \u00c7at\u0131\u015fma Makedonya\u2019ya yay\u0131larak, buradan Arnavutluk\u2019a s\u0131\u00e7rayabilirdi ve T\u00fcrkiye ve Yunanistan gibi \u00fclkelerin b\u00f6lgedeki geli\u015fmelere y\u00f6nelik duyarl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 bunlar\u0131n Yugoslavya\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya farkl\u0131 cephelerde m\u00fcdahil olmalar\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getirebilirdi. Bu durumda, iki NATO \u00fcyesinin bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmada birbirine kar\u015f\u0131 yer almas\u0131 tehlikesi belirecekti. (117<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra eski pozisyonunu geri almak isteyen Rusya da \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmada yer alabilecek bir di\u011fer \u00fclke idi. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Bosna- Hersek\u2019teki kanl\u0131 olaylara ve \u00f6zellikle M\u00fcsl\u00fcman Bo\u015fnaklara yap\u0131lan soyk\u0131r\u0131ma kar\u015f\u0131 Bat\u0131l\u0131 devletlerde g\u00f6r\u00fclen duyars\u0131zl\u0131k \u0130slam \u00fclkelerindeki tepkiyi de giderek artt\u0131rmaktayd\u0131. (118<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0ABD, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n daha da geni\u015f alana s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131n\u0131 engellemek i\u00e7in, b\u00f6lgeye m\u00fcdahale konusundaki fikirlerini g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irmeye ba\u015flad\u0131.<br \/>\nYugoslavya\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya m\u00fcdahaleyi gerektiren bir di\u011fer neden ise, NATO\u2019nun 1991 y\u0131l\u0131ndan sonra misyonunu yeniden \u015fekillendirdi\u011fi bir d\u00f6nemde Avrupa b\u00f6lgesindeki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalara duyars\u0131z kalamayacak olmas\u0131yd\u0131. Bu durumda NATO\u2019nun varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi gereksinimi tart\u0131\u015fma konusu olacakt\u0131. (119<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bu sebeplerle ABD resmi \u00e7evrelerinde Bosna-Hersek\u2019e askeri m\u00fcdahale yanl\u0131s\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fler hakim duruma ge\u00e7tiler.<\/p>\n<p>S\u0131rplar\u0131n Srebrenica\u2019da Bo\u015fnaklar\u0131 maruz b\u0131rakt\u0131klar\u0131 soyk\u0131r\u0131mdan sonra, Clinton A\u011fustos 1995\u2019te Balkanlar\u2019da bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n sa\u011flamas\u0131 i\u00e7in olu\u015fan \u00e7okuluslu bir giri\u015fimin ABD\u2019nin \u00f6nderli\u011finde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesini kabul etti. Esasen yeni giri\u015fime Bosna-Hersek\u2019te taraflar aras\u0131nda bar\u0131\u015f ve ate\u015fkes g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in ABD\u2019nin do\u011frudan faaliyette bulunmas\u0131na ve bununla da Bosnal\u0131 S\u0131rplar\u0131 zorlamak i\u00e7in NATO taraf\u0131ndan havadan bombard\u0131mana karar verilmi\u015fti. (120 Asl\u0131nda bununla ABD NATO i\u00e7indeki \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve AB\u2019nin ABD olmadan bu sorunu \u00e7\u00f6zemeyece\u011fini sergilemi\u015f bulunmaktayd\u0131. (121<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>A\u011fustos ve Eyl\u00fcl aylar\u0131 boyunca Bosna-Hersek\u2019te \u00e7at\u0131\u015fan tarafla aras\u0131ndaki ate\u015fkes ve bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131 konusunda Clinton y\u00f6netimi taraf\u0131ndan y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerde NATO\u2019nun deste\u011fi sa\u011flanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (122<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>Bu destek b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yordu. Zira, bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan giri\u015fimlerin ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 bir \u015fekilde s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi i\u00e7in gerekti\u011finde taraflar\u0131n herhangi birisine askeri yapt\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n uygulanmas\u0131 olana\u011f\u0131 bu destekle sa\u011flan\u0131yordu. Nitekim \u00f6nceki giri\u015fimlerin ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131, bu t\u00fcr yat\u0131r\u0131m ara\u00e7lar\u0131n yoklu\u011fundan kaynaklanmaktayd\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>ABD Bosnal\u0131 H\u0131rvatlarla Bo\u015fnaklar\u0131n aras\u0131nda \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n sona erdirilmesine ve 1993\u2019te da\u011f\u0131lan askeri ittifak\u0131n yeniden kurulmas\u0131na \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktayd\u0131. Ayn\u0131 zamanda iki taraf aras\u0131nda siyasi a\u00e7\u0131dan da i\u015fbirli\u011fini geli\u015ftirerek, bir Federasyon\u2019un kurulmas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00e7aba g\u00f6stermekteydi. ABD olu\u015fan bu ittifakla S\u0131rplar\u0131 i\u00e7ten dengelemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yordu. \u00d6nemli geli\u015fmelerden biri de, ABD\u2019nin iki taraf aras\u0131nda ittifak\u0131n kurulmas\u0131ndan sonra, BM ambargosundan zarar g\u00f6ren Bo\u015fnaklara ve H\u0131rvatlara y\u00f6nelik k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131 kald\u0131rm\u0131\u015f ve bunlar\u0131n silahlanmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flam\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131d\u0131r. Bununla da, askeri a\u00e7\u0131dan iyi durumdaki S\u0131rplarla belli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde bir denge<br \/>\nolu\u015fturulmu\u015ftur. (123<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>ABD H\u0131rvatistan ve S\u0131rbistan y\u00f6netimlerine bask\u0131 yaparak, bu iki devletten Bosna-Hersek\u2019teki m\u00fcttefiklerine sava\u015f\u0131 durdurmay\u0131 kabul etmeleri i\u00e7in bask\u0131 yapmalar\u0131n\u0131 istemi\u015ftir. Her iki devlet bunu kabul etmi\u015ftir. S\u0131rbistan, bunu kabul ederek, BM taraf\u0131ndan bu \u00fclkeye uygulanan ambargonun kalkmas\u0131n\u0131 umarken, H\u0131rvatistan H\u0131rvatlar\u0131n Krajna\u2019daki ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 operasyonundan sonra istedi\u011fine kavu\u015fmu\u015ftur ve ABD giri\u015fiminin desteklenmesini uygun g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. (124<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Baz\u0131 uzmanlara g\u00f6re, uluslararas\u0131 toplum taraf\u0131ndan bu t\u00fcr bir bask\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ba\u015flamadan \u00f6nce yap\u0131lsayd\u0131, kanl\u0131 olaylar\u0131 \u00f6nlemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olacakt\u0131. Milosevi\u00e7, bask\u0131ya dayanamayarak S\u0131rplar\u0131n kontrol etti\u011fi b\u00f6lgeleri H\u0131rvatistan\u2019a vermeyi ve Bosnal\u0131 S\u0131rplara bask\u0131 yaparak, onlara Dayton Antla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 kabul ettirmeyi ba\u015fard\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6re, 1991\u2019de S\u0131rplar\u0131n Vukovar\u2019a yapt\u0131klar\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda Yugoslavya yetkilileri kuvvet kullan\u0131m\u0131yla tehdit edilseydi, bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar daha o s\u0131rada sona erdirilebilecekti. (125<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Nitekim 8 Eyl\u00fcl 1995\u2019te Cenevre toplant\u0131s\u0131nda Bosnal\u0131 S\u0131rplar ve H\u0131rvatlar Bosna-Hersek\u2019i hukuki bir varl\u0131k olarak tan\u0131d\u0131lar, daha sonra her \u00fc\u00e7 taraf \u00fclkenin kesin s\u0131n\u0131rlar \u00e7izilmeden % 51\/49 oranlar\u0131nda b\u00f6l\u00fcnmesine raz\u0131 olmu\u015flard\u0131. Kurulacak olan ve Bo\u015fnaklarla H\u0131rvatlardan olu\u015facak olan Bosna Federasyonu Bosnal\u0131 S\u0131rplar\u0131n cumhuriyetini tan\u0131may\u0131 kabul etmi\u015ftir. Cenevre\u2019de g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler ger\u00e7ekle\u015firken, taraflar aras\u0131nda \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar devam etmekteydi. Bunun \u00fczerine NATO Bosnal\u0131 S\u0131rplar\u0131n askeri mevkilerini havadan bombalamaya ba\u015flad\u0131 ve S\u0131rplar geri \u00e7ekilmek zorunda kald\u0131lar. (126<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Uzun giri\u015fimler ve g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler sonunda Bosna-Hersek\u2019teki sava\u015f\u0131 sona erdiren Dayton Antla\u015fmas\u0131 14 Aral\u0131k 1995\u2019te ABD\u2019de ayn\u0131 adl\u0131 \u015fehirde m\u00fczakere edildikten sonra Paris\u2019te imzalanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu antla\u015fmayla Bosna-Hersek\u2019te bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131na muvaffak olunmu\u015ftur ve istikrar\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek giri\u015fimler i\u00e7in bir temel olu\u015fmu\u015ftur. (127<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0\u201cAmerikan Bar\u0131\u015f\u0131\u201d (128<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0olarak bilinen bu bar\u0131\u015f antla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 bu \u015fekilde zikretmenin sembolik bir anlam\u0131 bulunmaktad\u0131r. Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nin Bosna- Hersek\u2019teki bar\u0131\u015f giri\u015fimlerinin ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131kla sonu\u00e7lanmas\u0131, bu kurumda ortak tutumun ve \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm i\u00e7in gereken ara\u00e7lar\u0131n geli\u015fmedi\u011fi ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in, \u201cAmerikan Bar\u0131\u015f\u0131\u201d tan\u0131m\u0131 asl\u0131nda sadece Amerikan\u2019\u0131n giri\u015fimlerini de\u011fil, AB\u2019de ODGP konusunda var\u0131lan noktay\u0131 da sergilemekteydi.<\/p>\n<p>AB ODGP\u2019de ilerde baz\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fiklikler yapmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fsa da, Kosova \u00f6rne\u011finde g\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fi gibi bu konuda da ortak tutum olu\u015fturmada yetersiz kalacakt\u0131r ve bu meselede de farkl\u0131 uluslararas\u0131 akt\u00f6rlerle birlikte hareket etmek zorunda kalacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><b>4.5 Dayton Antla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019ndan Sonra AB\u2019nin B\u00f6lgedeki Uygulamalar\u0131<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\n<b>4.5.1 NATO ile \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi \u00c7er\u00e7evesinde Bosna-Hersek\u2019te Bar\u0131\u015f<\/p>\n<p>Giri\u015fimleri ve AB\u2019nin B\u00f6lgeye Dikkatinin Artmas\u0131n\u0131n Nedenleri<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nNATO\u2019nun ve ABD\u2019nin geni\u015f bask\u0131lar\u0131 sonucunda Dayton Antla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n imzalanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Bosna-Hersek, H\u0131rvatistan ve hatta Makedonya\u2019da bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131na muvaffak olunmu\u015ftur. Sava\u015ftan b\u00fcy\u00fck darbe alan eski Yugoslavya devletleri kendi i\u00e7 sorunlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6zmek i\u00e7in imkan bulmu\u015flard\u0131. Buna ra\u011fmen hen\u00fcz Milosevi\u00e7 taraf\u0131ndan y\u00f6netilen yeni Yugoslavya ve Tudjman taraf\u0131ndan y\u00f6netilen H\u0131rvatistan\u2019da h\u00fck\u00fcmetler, MDA\u00dc\u2019de g\u00f6r\u00fclen \u015fekliyle reformlar ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesine pek istekli de\u011fildiler. Di\u011fer taraftan b\u00f6l\u00fcnm\u00fc\u015f ve zay\u0131f Bosna- Hersek y\u00f6netimi de milliyet\u00e7i partilerin elinde kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. (129<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bu durumda bar\u0131\u015f antla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n \u015fartlar\u0131n\u0131n tam olarak yerine getirilece\u011finden s\u00f6z etmek zordu ve NATO ile ABD\u2019nin giri\u015fimlerinin sonucu olan Dayton Antla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n i\u015flerli\u011fini temin etmek i\u00e7in, ba\u015fka bir d\u0131\u015f etkenin bulunmas\u0131 gerekliydi. Bu t\u00fcr bir etken olarak AB \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Yugoslavya sava\u015f\u0131ndan sonra AB bu \u00fclkelerde politik ve ekonomik reformlar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesinde aktif bir rol oynamaya ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>1994\u2019ten beri \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcren AB, Dayton Antla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n imzalanmas\u0131ndan sonra Bosna-Hersek\u2019in Mostar \u015fehrinde ya\u015fayan az\u0131nl\u0131klar\u0131n bir arada ya\u015famalar\u0131n\u0131 temin etmek i\u00e7in bir d\u00fczenin olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 amac\u0131yla mandaterli\u011fi BM\u2019den ald\u0131. 1994\u2019te H\u0131rvatlarla Bo\u015fnaklar aras\u0131nda ate\u015fkesin sa\u011flanmas\u0131ndan \u00f6nce, H\u0131rvatistan\u2019dan destek alan H\u0131rvat sava\u015f\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131, \u015fehirde ya\u015fayan Bo\u015fnaklar\u0131 Mostar\u2019dan \u00e7\u0131karmakla me\u015fgul idiler. Ate\u015fkesten sonra AB \u00fczerine d\u00fc\u015fen en b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00f6revlerden biri bu \u015fehrin \u00e7okuluslu \u00f6zeli\u011fini yeniden sa\u011flamak ve korumak oldu.<\/p>\n<p>Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda AB \u015fehrin yeniden yap\u0131lanmas\u0131n\u0131 da \u00fczerine alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu konuda de\u011fi\u015fik \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar yapmaya muvaffak olan AB\u2019nin \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek kabul edilen yerlerde asayi\u015fin ve g\u00fcvenli\u011fin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in tedbirleri yetersiz kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. AB y\u00f6netimi bu ama\u00e7la 200 ki\u015filik polis g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn g\u00f6revlendirilmesini ama\u00e7lasa da, nihayetinde iki sene sonra sadece 10 polis g\u00f6rev ba\u015f\u0131nda bulunmaktayd\u0131. Asayi\u015fin temini NATO g\u00fcd\u00fcml\u00fc IFOR g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin yard\u0131m\u0131yla belli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde sa\u011flanmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. AB\u2019nin bu konuda ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olamamas\u0131n\u0131n temel sebebi bu konuda da ortak bir politika olu\u015fturmakta g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fck \u00e7ekilmesindendir. (130<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Ancak 2004 y\u0131l\u0131nda, Avrupa Ordusu\u2019nun kurulma \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, Bosna-Hersek\u2019te g\u00f6rev s\u00fcresi biten BM bar\u0131\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc yerine AB\u2019nin bar\u0131\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn yerle\u015ftirilmesi kararla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. AB, EUFOR (131<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0ad\u0131nda bir operasyon y\u00fcr\u00fctmeye karar verdi. Bunun \u00fczerine BM G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi\u2019nin 9 Temmuz 2004 tarihli ve 1551 say\u0131l\u0131 ve 22 Kas\u0131m 2004 tarihli ve 1575 say\u0131l\u0131 kararlar\u0131 ile AB\u2019nin bu iste\u011fi kabul edilmi\u015ftir. EUFOR, NATO\u2019nun Bosna-Hersek\u2019te g\u00f6rev yapan SFOR bar\u0131\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn yetkisini 2 Aral\u0131k 2004\u2019te devralm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. EUFOR ilk olarak Bosna-Hersek\u2019te yerel polis \u00f6rg\u00fctlerinden farkl\u0131 olarak \u00fclke \u00e7ap\u0131nda yetkili bir polis g\u00fcc\u00fc olu\u015fturmu\u015ftur. (132<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Dayton Bar\u0131\u015f Antla\u015fmas\u0131 imzaland\u0131ktan sonra, AB Komisyonu 14 \u015eubat<br \/>\n1996\u2019da Bat\u0131 Balkan devletlerine y\u00f6nelik \u201cB\u00f6lgesel Yakla\u015f\u0131m\u201d adl\u0131 yeni bir politika \u00f6nerdi. Bu politika do\u011frultusunda, Komisyon demokrasinin geli\u015fimi ve hukukun \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcn sa\u011flamas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6ren bir siyasi ama\u00e7 ve Bat\u0131 Balkan devletlerinin ekonomilerini yeniden yap\u0131lanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6ren bir ekonomik ama\u00e7 tespit etmi\u015ftir. Bunun \u00fczerine Avrupa Konseyi 27 Nisan 1997\u2019de Bat\u0131 Balkanlar devletlerine y\u00f6nelik B\u00f6lgesel Politika \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde genel ve her bir devlet i\u00e7in \u00f6zel ko\u015fullar geli\u015ftirmi\u015ftir. (133<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Bunun devam\u0131 olarak Bat\u0131 Balkanlar b\u00f6lgesindeki AB\u2019ye tam \u00fcyelikleri \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmeyen devletlerde reformlar\u0131 desteklemek amac\u0131yla 26 May\u0131s 1999 tarihinde \u201c\u0130stikrar ve Ortakl\u0131k S\u00fcreci\u201d olarak adland\u0131r\u0131lan bir program ba\u015flat\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7 H\u0131rvatistan, Yeni Yugoslavya, Bosna-Hersek, Makedonya ve Arnavutluk i\u00e7in \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. (134<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0AB\u2019nin b\u00f6lgeye y\u00f6nelik ilgisinin yo\u011funla\u015fmas\u0131, \u00fcye devletlerin ortak \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcst \u00fcste gelmesinin bir tezah\u00fcr\u00fcd\u00fcr. \u00dcye devletler b\u00f6lgede o s\u0131radaki istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ortam\u0131n\u0131n AB arazisine yay\u0131lmas\u0131ndan ve \u00fcye devletlerin, topluluklar\u0131n ve vatanda\u015flar\u0131n olumsuz etkilenebilece\u011finden endi\u015fe ediyorlard\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Nitekim b\u00f6lgeden AB\u2019ye yap\u0131lan her t\u00fcrl\u00fc uyu\u015fturucu ve silah ka\u00e7ak\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve ya\u015fanan yasad\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6\u00e7, \u00fcye devletler taraf\u0131ndan istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k unsuru olarak nitelenmektedir. Di\u011fer taraftan AB\u2019de i\u015flenen organize su\u00e7lar bu b\u00f6lgeyle do\u011frudan ili\u015fkiliydi. 11 Eyl\u00fcl olaylar\u0131ndan sonra AB ve ABD, uluslararas\u0131 ter\u00f6r \u00f6rg\u00fctlerinin bu b\u00f6lgede devam eden istikrars\u0131zl\u0131ktan yararlanarak b\u00f6lgeyi ama\u00e7lar\u0131 do\u011frultusunda kullanmalar\u0131ndan endi\u015fe etmeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu y\u00fczden AB b\u00f6lgede bu sorunlarla<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>a\u015f edebilen i\u015fler bir kurumsal altyap\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fmas\u0131na arzuluydu. (135<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Hi\u00e7 ku\u015fkusuz, s\u0131cak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmadan yeni \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f b\u00f6lge devletlerinde demokrasi ve piyasa ekonomisine ge\u00e7i\u015f s\u00fcrecinde daha net politikalar\u0131n uygulanmas\u0131 \u015fart idi. Aksi takdirde, belli bir perspektiften yoksun ve asl\u0131nda reform s\u00fcrecinden daha \u00e7ok teknik ve mali yard\u0131ma muhta\u00e7 olan b\u00f6lge devletlerinin y\u00f6netimleri Bat\u0131 kurumlar\u0131yla belirsiz ili\u015fkilerden her an ho\u015fnutsuz kalabilirlerdi. Bunun sonucunda b\u00f6lge devletlerinin milliyet\u00e7i sloganlar do\u011frultusunda yeniden kaosa s\u00fcr\u00fcklenmesi muhtemeldi. Nitekim \u0130stikrar ve Ortakl\u0131k S\u00fcreci ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n belirlenme s\u00fcresi uzay\u0131nca a\u011f\u0131r ekonomik sorunlar ya\u015fayan S\u0131rbistan y\u00f6netimi, i\u00e7 politik bask\u0131lar nedeni ile ve kamuoyunda pop\u00fclaritesini art\u0131rmak i\u00e7in Kosova sorununu kendi milliyet\u00e7i \u00f6ncelikleri do\u011frultusunda \u00e7\u00f6zmeye ye\u011flenmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p><b>4.5.2 AB\u2019nin Kosova Sorunu\u2019nun \u00c7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcnde Takip Etti\u011fi Politika<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nMilosevi\u00e7 se\u00e7imleri kazand\u0131ktan sonra 1974 Yugoslavya Anayasas\u0131yla<\/p>\n<p>Kosova\u2019ya verilen \u00f6zerkli\u011fi 1989 y\u0131l\u0131nda kald\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. B\u00f6lgedeki Arnavutlara kar\u015f\u0131 ayr\u0131mc\u0131 bir politika uygulanm\u0131\u015f, Kosova\u2019da bulunan i\u015fletmeler S\u0131rplarca veya yabanc\u0131lar taraf\u0131ndan \u00f6zelle\u015ftirilmi\u015ftir. Arnavutlar i\u015ften \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lm\u0131\u015f, S\u0131rp dili tek resmi dil olarak kabul edilmi\u015ftir. (136<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar \u00fczerine, Kosova Arnavutlar\u0131 direni\u015fe ge\u00e7mi\u015ftir. 2 Temmuz<\/p>\n<p>1989\u2019da Kosova \u00f6zerk b\u00f6lgesinin parlamentosu b\u00f6lgenin Yugoslavya dahilinde ayr\u0131 bir cumhuriyet oldu\u011fu konusunda karar alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Yugoslavya\u2019n\u0131n da\u011f\u0131lma s\u00fcreci ba\u015flay\u0131nca, bu parlamento 22 Eyl\u00fcl 1991\u2019de ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ilan etmi\u015ftir. (137<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>May\u0131s 1992\u2019de kendi ba\u015fkan\u0131n\u0131 se\u00e7en Kosoval\u0131lar, S\u0131rbistan\u2019daki ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imlerine de kat\u0131lmad\u0131lar. Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k u\u011fruna pasif direni\u015f y\u00f6ntemini benimseyen Kosoval\u0131lar, 1996 sonras\u0131 S\u0131rplar taraf\u0131ndan kendilerine y\u00f6nelik \u015fiddet art\u0131nca, Kosova Kurtulu\u015f Ordusu\u2019nda yer almaya ba\u015flad\u0131lar. (138<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u015eubat 1998\u2019de S\u0131rbistan, Kosova\u2019n\u0131n Drenica b\u00f6lgesinde konu\u015flanan Kosova Kurtulu\u015f Ordusu\u2019na S\u0131rp polisine sald\u0131r\u0131da bulundu\u011fu su\u00e7lamas\u0131yla h\u00fccuma ge\u00e7mi\u015ftir. (139<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a01 ile 10 May\u0131s tarihleri aras\u0131nda S\u0131rplar, u\u00e7ak, helikopter, tank ve di\u011fer t\u00fcm a\u011f\u0131r silahlar\u0131 kullanarak, Kosova\u2019n\u0131n Likoshani ve Prekas \u015fehirlerine h\u00fccuma ge\u00e7mi\u015f ve bu operasyonlar sonucunda bu b\u00f6lgede 77 Kosoval\u0131 hayat\u0131n\u0131 kaybetmi\u015ftir. (140<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>24-25 Mart 1999\u2019da NATO\u2019nun geni\u015flemesinden iki hafta sonra, bu kurum elli y\u0131ll\u0131k tarihinde ilk defa olarak tam anlamda bir sava\u015fa giri\u015fmi\u015ftir. NATO S\u0131rbistan\u2019\u0131 havadan bombalama karar\u0131n\u0131 bu durumda gereken BM G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi\u2019nin karar\u0131 olmaks\u0131z\u0131n alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Her ne kadar NATO BM G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi\u2019nin 1160 (1998) ve 1203 (1998) kararlar\u0131 do\u011frultusunda hareket etti\u011fini beyan etse de, her iki hukuki belge de kuvvet kullan\u0131m\u0131 konusunda herhangi bir yetkiden s\u00f6z etmemekteydi. (141<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Buna ra\u011fmen NATO, So\u011fuk Sava\u015f\u2019\u0131n sona ermesinden sonra kendisinin yeni g\u00f6revleri \u00fcstlenebilme kapasitesini b\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnyaya sergilemek amac\u0131yla Kosova\u2019ya m\u00fcdahale karar\u0131n\u0131 alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Nisan 1999 tarihinde Washington\u2019da ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen NATO Zirvesi\u2019nde, bu \u00f6rg\u00fct \u201cyeni stratejik konseptini\u201d kabul etmi\u015ftir. Bu konsepte g\u00f6re NATO, Kurucu Antla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n 5. maddesinde g\u00f6sterilen ama\u00e7lar d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda da Avrasya b\u00f6lgesinde ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak krizlere daha aktif bir \u015fekilde m\u00fcdahale etmesi gerekti\u011fini ileri s\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. (142<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>M\u00fcdahaleden sonra yeni Yugoslavya ordusu ve polis g\u00fcc\u00fc Kosova\u2019dan \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131larak, BM G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi\u2019nin 1244 No\u2019lu karar\u0131yla Kosova ge\u00e7ici bir s\u00fcreyle BM\u2019nin y\u00f6netimi alt\u0131na ge\u00e7mi\u015ftir. Bununla da S\u0131rbistan\u2019\u0131n Kosova \u00fczerindeki egemenli\u011fi hukuki olarak olmasa da, siyasi a\u00e7\u0131dan kalkm\u0131\u015f oldu. 15 May\u0131s 2001\u2019de kabul edilen yeni Anayasa \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde b\u00f6lge y\u00f6netimi, BM \u0130\u00e7 Y\u00f6netim Misyonu ile Kosova h\u00fck\u00fcmeti aras\u0131nda payla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (143<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0BM\u2019nin ge\u00e7ici olarak kabul edilmi\u015f y\u00f6netimi halen i\u015f ba\u015f\u0131ndad\u0131r ve Kosova\u2019n\u0131n stat\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn ne olaca\u011f\u0131 da hen\u00fcz a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131\u011fa kavu\u015famam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. BM\u2019nin Kosova\u2019daki \u00f6zel temsilcisi Finlandiya\u2019n\u0131n eski Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Martti Ahtisaari 14 ay boyunca S\u0131rbistan ile Kosova aras\u0131ndaki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerde arabuluculuk yapm\u0131\u015f ve g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin bitiminde BM G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi\u2019ne haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporu sunmu\u015ftur. Bu rapora g\u00f6re, Kosova\u2019ya BM g\u00f6zetimi alt\u0131nda ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k verilmesinden s\u00f6z edilmektedir. (144<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Uluslararas\u0131 hukukta bu t\u00fcr tan\u0131maya rastlanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in, bu durum mevcut self-determinasyon kurallar\u0131n\u0131n kapsam\u0131 d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda bir ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k aray\u0131\u015f\u0131 gibi g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. (145<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Ancak, S\u0131rbistan\u2019\u0131n da ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z bir Kosova devletinin olu\u015fmas\u0131na asla raz\u0131 olamayaca\u011f\u0131 bilinmektedir. Ahtisaari\u2019nin plan\u0131 ne S\u0131rbistan, ne de Kosoval\u0131lar taraf\u0131ndan kabul edilmi\u015ftir. Her iki taraf bu planda de\u011fi\u015fikliklerin yap\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 talep etmektedir. (146<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Anla\u015f\u0131lan, bu plandan memnun olmas\u0131 gereken Kosoval\u0131lar bile, baz\u0131 maddelerden endi\u015fe etmektedir.<br \/>\nDi\u011fer taraftan, AB S\u0131rbistan\u2019a tam \u00fcyelik stat\u00fcs\u00fc tan\u0131nmas\u0131 durumunda, bu \u00fclkenin Kosova\u2019n\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tan\u0131yaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 umuyor. Fakat Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Kosova\u2019n\u0131n stat\u00fcs\u00fc konusunda BM G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi \u00fcyesi olarak sergiledi\u011fi sert tav\u0131r, S\u0131rbistan\u2019\u0131n bu konuda taviz vermesini gereksiz k\u0131lmaktad\u0131r. (147<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Her ne kadar ABD ve AB Kosova\u2019y\u0131 ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z bir devlet olarak g\u00f6rmek isteseler de, bu konudaki giri\u015fimler Rusya taraf\u0131ndan ciddi tepkiyle kar\u015f\u0131lanmaktad\u0131r. Rusya, Kosova\u2019n\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z bir devlet olmas\u0131 halinde, bunun d\u00fcnyada benzer ayr\u0131mc\u0131 hareketler i\u00e7in bir emsal olu\u015fturaca\u011f\u0131 gerek\u00e7esiyle kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 beyan etmektedir. Asl\u0131nda Rusya\u2019n\u0131n bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc baz\u0131 AB \u00fcye devletleri de ayla\u015fmaktad\u0131r ki (148<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>, bu durum AB\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f politika konusundaki ortak bir tutum sahibi olamad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koymaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><b>4.5.3 AB\u2019nin Bat\u0131 Balkanlarla \u0130li\u015fkilerinde bir Ara\u00e7 Olarak \u0130stikrar ve Ortakl\u0131k S\u00fcreci\u2019nin \u00d6nemi<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nBat\u0131 Balkanlarda belirli bir d\u00fczeyde istikrar\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, AB \u201c\u0130stikrar ve Ortakl\u0131k S\u00fcreci\u201d politikas\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde b\u00f6lge devletleriyle birer \u0130stikrar ve Ortakl\u0131k Antla\u015fmas\u0131 (149<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0(\u0130OA) imzalama karar\u0131 ald\u0131. Daha \u00f6nce, hi\u00e7bir devletle benzeri bir antla\u015fmay\u0131 imzalamam\u0131\u015f olan AB, Bat\u0131 Balkanlara \u00f6zel olarak geli\u015ftirdi\u011fi bu ara\u00e7la, b\u00f6lge devletlerinde reform s\u00fcrecinin ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 bir \u015fekilde sonu\u00e7lanmas\u0131 halinde tam \u00fcyelik i\u00e7in ye\u015fil \u0131\u015f\u0131k yakabilece\u011fi sinyali vermekteydi. \u0130stikrar ve Ortakl\u0131k S\u00fcreci, \u0130OA d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda da, b\u00f6lge devletlerine y\u00f6nelik ticari ayr\u0131cal\u0131klar\u0131n ve \u00f6nemli mali deste\u011fin sa\u011flanmas\u0131yla b\u00f6lgesel i\u015fbirli\u011finin geli\u015ftirilmesi anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131<br \/>\n\u00fczerine bina edilmi\u015ftir. (150<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Nitekim 19\u201320 Haziran 2000 tarihlerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen Feria Zirvesi\u2019nin Bildirgesinde, AB\u2019ye \u00fcye devletler \u0130OA\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6nemini vurgulayarak, bu antla\u015fma do\u011frultusunda reformlar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi, b\u00f6lgesel i\u015fbirli\u011fi ve demokrasinin \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ilkesinin benimsenmesi durumunda, AB\u2019ye potansiyel birer aday konumuna geleceklerini belirtmi\u015ftir. Ayn\u0131 Zirve\u2019de ilk AB-Bat\u0131 Balkanlar Zirvesi\u2019nin d\u00fczenlenmesi g\u00fcndeme al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (151<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Bu Zirve 24 Kas\u0131m 2000 tarihinde H\u0131rvatistan\u2019\u0131n ba\u015fkenti olan Zagreb\u2019de yap\u0131ld\u0131. Zirveye AB\u2019yi temsilen \u00fcye devletlerin devlet ba\u015fkanlar\u0131, AB Komisyon Ba\u015fkan\u0131 yan\u0131 s\u0131ra ODGP Y\u00fcksek Temsilcisi, di\u011fer taraftan Arnavutluk, Makedonya, Bosna-Hersek, H\u0131rvatistan ve Yugoslavya\u2019n\u0131n devlet ba\u015fkanlar\u0131 kat\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Zagreb Zirvesi\u2019nde Bat\u0131 Balkan b\u00f6lgesi devletleri aras\u0131nda siyasi diyalogun geli\u015ftirilmesi, serbest ticaret alan\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 ve adliye ve i\u00e7i\u015fleri alanlarda da s\u0131k\u0131 ili\u015fkilerin kurulmas\u0131 i\u00e7in b\u00f6lgesel i\u015fbirli\u011finin AB deste\u011fiyle peki\u015ftirilmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Zirve kararlar\u0131na g\u00f6re b\u00f6lge devletleri aras\u0131nda i\u015fbirli\u011fi alanlar\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fumu ve di\u011fer ilgili konular AB ile taraf devletler aras\u0131nda imzalanacak olan \u0130OA ile d\u00fczenlenecektir. Zirve\u2019de AB ile be\u015f taraf devlet aras\u0131nda ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015fiminde \u0130stikrar ve Ortakl\u0131k S\u00fcreci\u2019nin temel mekanizma oldu\u011fu bir defa daha vurgulanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (152<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda AB b\u00f6lge devletlerinde reform s\u00fcrecinin ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 bir \u015fekilde y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclmesi i\u00e7in bunlara y\u00f6nelik b\u00f6lgesel CARDS (153<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Program\u0131\u2019n\u0131 uygulamaya karar vermi\u015ftir. (154<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Buna g\u00f6re 2000 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar PHARE Program\u0131ndan yararlanan Arnavutluk, Makedonya ve Bosna-Hersek 2001 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren CARDS Program\u0131\u2019nda yer ald\u0131lar. (155<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>AB\u2019nin MDA\u00dc\u2019de uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 politikalarla Bat\u0131 Balkanlar b\u00f6lgesine y\u00f6nelik politikalar\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131yaslayacak olursak, g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz ki, bu b\u00f6lgede \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n sona ermesinden sonra uygulanan politikalar paralellik sergilemektedir. AB Bat\u0131 Balkanlar\u2019daki devletlerde demokrasiyi ve piyasa ekonomisine ge\u00e7i\u015f s\u00fcrecini peki\u015ftirmek i\u00e7in MDA\u00dc\u2019de uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131na benzer ko\u015fullu tam \u00fcyelik s\u00fcrecini burada da i\u015fletmektedir. AB ODGP\u2019nin en etkin arac\u0131 say\u0131lan geni\u015fleme s\u00fcreci bu \u00fclkelere de, \u00f6zel ko\u015fullar\u0131 yerine getirdikleri takdirde a\u00e7\u0131lacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Burada s\u00f6z konusu olan \u0130stikrar ve Ortakl\u0131k Antla\u015fmalar\u0131, MDA\u00dc ile imzalanan Avrupa Antla\u015fmalar\u0131\u2019na g\u00f6re daha \u00e7ok \u015fart i\u00e7ermektedir ve asl\u0131nda \u00fcyeli\u011fin kendisini de\u011fil adayl\u0131\u011fa ehilli\u011fi sa\u011flamayla ilgilidir. Benzer \u015fekilde MDA\u00dc\u2019de reformlar\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesinde en etkin ara\u00e7lardan kabul edilen ve \u00f6n kat\u0131l\u0131m s\u00fcrecine katk\u0131da bulunan PHARE Program\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yerini CARDS Program\u0131 alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>AB MDA\u00dc\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 hukuki ve teknik ara\u00e7lar\u0131n ayn\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 Bat\u0131 Balkanlar b\u00f6lgesinde yer alan devletlere de uygulayabilirdi. Fakat burada AB daha ihtiyatl\u0131 davranmay\u0131 ye\u011flemi\u015ftir. Yugoslavya\u2019n\u0131n da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra yeni olu\u015fmu\u015f devletlerin \u00fclkelerinde \u015fiddetlenen \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar ve bunlar\u0131 k\u00f6r\u00fckleyen milliyet\u00e7i y\u00f6netimler, bu devletleri MDA\u00dc\u2019ye k\u0131yasla reform s\u00fcrecinde daha geride b\u0131rakm\u0131\u015f ve \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesi gereken sorunlar da farkl\u0131l\u0131k sergilemeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu a\u00e7\u0131dan bu devletlere do\u011frudan tam \u00fcyelik s\u00fcrecinin ba\u015flat\u0131lmas\u0131 yerine, daha \u00e7ok ilk a\u015fama gibi kabul edilebilecek bu \u00fcyeli\u011fe adayl\u0131k durumuna haz\u0131rl\u0131k s\u00fcreci ba\u015flat\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Devletlerin bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te ba\u015far\u0131 oran\u0131na g\u00f6re tam \u00fcyelik s\u00fcrecine ge\u00e7i\u015f sa\u011flanacakt\u0131r ki bu devletler i\u00e7in gelecekleri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><b>4.5.4 Selanik G\u00fcndemi\u2019nin AB\u2019nin B\u00f6lgeye Y\u00f6nelik Ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n<br \/>\nGer\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi A\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00d6nemi<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\n19\u201320 Haziran 2003 tarihinde Selanik Zirvesi\u2019nde taraflar aras\u0131nda ili\u015fkilerin daha da derinle\u015ftirilmesi amac\u0131yla \u201cBat\u0131 Balkanlar i\u00e7in Selanik G\u00fcndemi\u201d kabul edilmi\u015ftir. S\u00f6z konusu Zirvede, Bat\u0131 Balkanlar \u00fclkelerinin \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen ko\u015fullar\u0131 yerine getirmeleri halinde, AB\u2019ye \u00fcye olabilecekleri bir kez daha vurgulanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (156<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Selanik G\u00fcndemi\u2019nde Bat\u0131 Balkanlar \u00fclkelerinin son d\u00f6rt y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00f6nemde \u0130stikrar ve Ortakl\u0131k S\u00fcreci \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde \u00f6nemli reformlar ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdikleri vurgulanmakta ve AB \u00fcyeli\u011fine yak\u0131nla\u015ft\u0131klar\u0131 belirtilmektedir. G\u00fcndemde, devletlerin g\u00f6sterdikleri \u00e7abalar do\u011frultusunda tam \u00fcyelik s\u00fcrecine ne derecede yak\u0131nla\u015facaklar\u0131n\u0131n do\u011frudan kendilerine ba\u011fl\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 belirtilmektedir. Bunun i\u00e7in de, devletler Kopenhag Kriterleri ve \u0130OS do\u011frultusunda reformlar\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmeye devam etmelidirler.<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>Selanik G\u00fcndemi bu reformlar\u0131n ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 bir \u015fekilde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in baz\u0131 \u00f6neriler sunmaktad\u0131r. Buna g\u00f6re Bat\u0131 Balkan \u00fclkeleri b\u00f6lgede bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n, istikrar\u0131n ve demokrasinin geli\u015fimini bundan sonra da temin etmelidirler. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda b\u00f6lge devletleri y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen \u0130OS do\u011frultusunda \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 devam ettirmelidirler. Bu s\u00fcrecin ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesinde sergilenen ba\u015far\u0131 do\u011frultusunda AB ile \u0130OA\u2019lar\u0131n imzalanmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Partner devletlerin dikkat etmeleri gereken bir di\u011fer husus ise, organize su\u00e7a kar\u015f\u0131 m\u00fccadele ve i\u00e7i\u015fleri ve adalet i\u015flerinde i\u015fbirli\u011fi alan\u0131d\u0131r. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda g\u00fcndemde ekonomik geli\u015fimin ve b\u00f6lgesel i\u015fbirli\u011finin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in bir<br \/>\ns\u0131ra tedbirler \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. (157<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Selanik G\u00fcndemi do\u011frultusunda \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcren Bat\u0131 Balkanlar \u00fclkelerinden \u00f6nce Makedonya, daha sonra da H\u0131rvatistan, kendi i\u00e7lerinde halen \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmemi\u015f bir\u00e7ok sorun olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, AB ile \u0130OA\u2019y\u0131 imzalam\u0131\u015flard\u0131r. AB\u2019nin bu tutumu b\u00f6lgeye y\u00f6nelik ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi politikalar\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesine istekli oldu\u011funu g\u00f6stermektedir. (158<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde her iki devlet AB ile ili\u015fkilerde ciddi a\u015famalar kat etmi\u015flerdir. Mesela H\u0131rvatistan, T\u00fcrkiye ile birlikte 3 Ekim 2005\u2019te AB ile tam \u00fcyelik m\u00fczakeresine ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Makedonya 17 Aral\u0131k 2005\u2019te \u201caday \u00fclke\u201d stat\u00fcs\u00fc alm\u0131\u015f ve 2007 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n sonuna kadar m\u00fczakereler i\u00e7in ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 tarihini almay\u0131 ummaktad\u0131r. Fakat bu konuda herhangi bir geli\u015fme hen\u00fcz g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015ftir. H\u0131rvatistan<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>2010<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0(<\/span>159<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>, Makedonya ise 2012 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar AB\u2019ye tam \u00fcye olmay\u0131 beklemektedir. (160<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Di\u011fer \u00fclkelere gelince, Arnavutluk \u0130OA\u2019y\u0131 uzun g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerden sonra Haziran<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>2006\u2019de imzalamaya muvaffak olmu\u015ftur. Her ne kadar Arnavutluk bu antla\u015fmay\u0131 imzalamaya muvaffak olsa da, \u00fclkede devam eden organize su\u00e7lar, r\u00fc\u015fvet ve adli sistemin yetersizli\u011fi gibi sorunlar y\u00fcz\u00fcnden bu \u00fclkenin \u201caday \u00fclke\u201d stat\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc ne zaman alaca\u011f\u0131 soru olarak kalmaktad\u0131r. S\u0131rbistan, Karada\u011f ve Bosna-Hersek\u2019e gelince, bu devletlerin \u0130OA\u2019y\u0131 imzalamas\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere 2005\u2019in sonlar\u0131nda ba\u015flanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ancak S\u0131rbistan sava\u015f su\u00e7lusu olan Ratko Mladi\u00e7\u2019i yakalay\u0131p, Eski Yugoslavya Uluslararas\u0131 Ceza Mahkemesi\u2019ne teslim etmedi\u011fi i\u00e7in AB bu \u00fclke ile m\u00fczakereleri May\u0131s 2006\u2019ta ask\u0131ya alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 13 Haziran 2007\u2019de AB ile S\u0131rbistan aras\u0131nda \u0130OA konusunda m\u00fczakereler yeniden ba\u015flad\u0131. Bu, sava\u015f su\u00e7lusu Zdravko Tolimir\u2019in yakalanmas\u0131ndan sonra m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmu\u015ftur. Yine de, Avrupa Komisyonu\u2019nda geni\u015flemeden sorumlu olan Komiser Olli Rehn m\u00fczakerelerin ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 bir \u015fekilde sonu\u00e7lanmas\u0131n\u0131n, di\u011fer sava\u015f su\u00e7lular\u0131n\u0131n yakalanmas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131<br \/>\nolaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 beyan etmi\u015ftir. (161<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>21 May\u0131s 2006\u2019da ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 elde eden Karada\u011f, S\u0131rbistan\u2019dan ayr\u0131 olarak \u0130OA m\u00fczakerelerini Eyl\u00fcl 2006\u2019da ba\u015flatabilmi\u015ftir. (162<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a021 Ocak 2007\u2019de S\u0131rbistan\u2019da yap\u0131lan parlamento se\u00e7imlerinin ard\u0131ndan, AB\u2019nin de bask\u0131s\u0131yla, Bat\u0131 yanl\u0131s\u0131 partilerin olu\u015fturdu\u011fu demokratik blok yeni h\u00fck\u00fcmeti olu\u015fturunca, Avrupa Komisyonu, S\u0131rbistan\u2019da demokratik bir h\u00fck\u00fcmetin kurulmas\u0131ndan memnuniyet<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>duydu\u011funu bildirerek, S\u0131rbistan\u2019la dondurulmu\u015f olan \u0130OA\u2019y\u0131 tekrar ba\u015flatabilece\u011fi sinyalini vermi\u015ftir. (163<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><br \/>\nBosna-Hersek de polis reformunu ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmedi\u011fi i\u00e7in, m\u00fczakerelerde fazla ilerleyememi\u015ftir. 11 Aral\u0131k 2006\u2019da \u0130OA konusunda m\u00fczakereler tamamlansa da, s\u00f6z konusu Antla\u015fma hen\u00fcz imzalanmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. AB\u2019nin Bosna-Hersek\u2019ten yerine getirmesini istedi\u011fi \u015fartlar\u0131n aras\u0131ndaki, polis te\u015fkilat\u0131n\u0131n devlet d\u00fczeyinde y\u00f6netilmesi ve devlet b\u00fct\u00e7esinden finanse edilmesi \u015fartlar\u0131 Bosnal\u0131 S\u0131rplar taraf\u0131ndan kabul edilmemi\u015ftir. S\u0131rplar, kendi b\u00f6lgelerindeki polis te\u015fkilat\u0131n\u0131n kontrol\u00fcn\u00fc ellerinde tutmay\u0131 istemekte ve S\u0131rp ve Bo\u015fnak-H\u0131rvat b\u00f6lgeleri aras\u0131ndaki s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n ortadan kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kmaktad\u0131rlar. (164<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>B\u00f6lgede yer alan bir di\u011fer siyasi yap\u0131 olan Kosova\u2019n\u0131n 2007\u2019den itibaren Avrupa Birli\u011fi y\u00f6netimine ba\u011flanmas\u0131 beklenmektedir. Daha \u00f6nce Kosova\u2019n\u0131n uluslararas\u0131 topluluk taraf\u0131ndan sekiz ba\u015fl\u0131k alt\u0131nda toplanan baz\u0131 standartlar\u0131 yerine getirmesi talep edilmi\u015ftir. Bu standartlar Kopenhag kriterleriyle benze\u015fmektedir. Bu durumda Kosova\u2019n\u0131n, ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k elde etmesi durumunda AB ile m\u00fczakerelere \u00f6nceden ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu varsaymak m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. (165<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0AB\u2019nin Kosova ile ili\u015fkilerde kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 en temel ara\u00e7 CARDS Program\u0131\u2019d\u0131r. Bu program \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde demokrasiyi peki\u015ftirmek, y\u00f6netimde kurumsalla\u015fmay\u0131, ekonomik ve sosyal geli\u015fimi sa\u011flamak ve AB programlar\u0131na kat\u0131lmak amac\u0131yla 2005\u20132006 y\u0131llar\u0131nda 129 milyon Euro ayr\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. AB resmi web sitesinin verdi\u011fi bilgiye g\u00f6re Kosova ile ili\u015fkiler<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>bundan sonra CARDS Program\u0131 yerine \u00d6n Kat\u0131l\u0131m Yard\u0131m Program\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclecektir. (166<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki tabloda Bat\u0131 Balkan devletlerinin AB ile ili\u015fkilerinin 2007 y\u0131l\u0131 itibar\u0131yla durumunu g\u00f6sterilmektedir:<\/p>\n<p>Devlet \u0130OA Adayl\u0131k stat\u00fcs\u00fc Tam \u00fcyelik i\u00e7in<br \/>\nm\u00fczakereler<br \/>\nH\u0131rvatistan Ekim 2001 Haziran 2004 Ekim 2005<br \/>\nMakedonya Nisan 2001 Aral\u0131k 2005 &#8211;<br \/>\nArnavutluk Haziran 2006 &#8211; &#8211;<br \/>\nBosna-Hersek &#8211; &#8211; &#8211;<br \/>\nS\u0131rbistan &#8211; &#8211; &#8211;<br \/>\nKarada\u011f &#8211; &#8211; &#8211;<\/p>\n<p>G\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi Bat\u0131 Balkan \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131nda AB ile ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015fiminde baz\u0131 devletlerin di\u011ferlerine k\u0131yasla \u00f6nde olduklar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Asl\u0131nda, ili\u015fkilerin derinle\u015fme \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcs\u00fc, bu \u00fclkelerin b\u00f6lgedeki etnik sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesinde ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131 oran\u0131ndad\u0131r. \u00dclkelerin kendi istikrar\u0131n\u0131 ve g\u00fcvenli\u011fini sa\u011flamas\u0131nda ve daha sonra demokrasi ve piyasa ekonomisine ge\u00e7i\u015fte sergilenen ba\u015far\u0131, AB ile ili\u015fkilerin derinle\u015fmesine neden olmu\u015ftur. Asl\u0131nda istikrar ve g\u00fcvenlik temini oran\u0131n\u0131 bu devletlerin NATO ile ili\u015fkilerinde de g\u00f6zlemlemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Daha \u00f6nce de g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi, AB\u2019nin geni\u015fleme s\u00fcrecinin bir \u00f6n a\u015famas\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturmaya ba\u015flayan<br \/>\nNATO ile b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme s\u00fcreci, bu devletlerle ili\u015fkilerde paralel geli\u015fimsergilemektedir. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki tabloda, Bat\u0131 Balkanlar \u00fclkelerinin NATO ile ili\u015fkilerinin<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>geli\u015fimi g\u00f6sterilmektedir:<\/p>\n<p>Devlet (167<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0B\u0130O (168<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Tam \u00dcyelik Eylem<br \/>\nPlan\u0131 Adriyatik Antla\u015fmas\u0131<br \/>\nH\u0131rvatistan + + +<br \/>\nMakedonya + + +<br \/>\nArnavutluk + + +<br \/>\nBosna-Hersek + &#8211; &#8211;<br \/>\nS\u0131rbistan + &#8211; &#8211;<br \/>\nKarada\u011f + &#8211; &#8211;<\/p>\n<p>G\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi AB ile ili\u015fkilerde en \u00f6nde olan H\u0131rvatistan, Makedonya ve Arnavutluk NATO ili\u015fkilerinde de \u00f6n safhada yer almaktad\u0131r. Her \u00fc\u00e7 devlet 2008 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar t\u00fcm ko\u015fullar\u0131 yerine getirerek NATO\u2019ya tam \u00fcye olmay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmektedir. (169<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bat\u0131 Balkanlar b\u00f6lgesine genel olarak bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ve doksanl\u0131 y\u0131llarla k\u0131yaslad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z zaman, b\u00f6lgede istikrar\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131nda yeteri derecede bir ilerleme sa\u011flanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. AB \u00fclkelerinin beklentileri ve arzular\u0131na uygun \u015fekilde H\u0131rvatistan ve S\u0131rbistan\u2019da otoriter ve milliyet\u00e7i iktidarlar de\u011fi\u015fmi\u015ftir. Bu ise AB dahil, di\u011fer uluslararas\u0131 akt\u00f6rlerin b\u00f6lgedeki giri\u015fimlerinin ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in daha elveri\u015fli bir ortam sa\u011flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Yine de b\u00f6lgede istikrars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n sebebi olabilecek yeterince sorun hen\u00fcz mevcuttur. S\u0131rbistan ile Kosova\u2019n\u0131n stat\u00fcs\u00fc hakk\u0131ndaki sorununun \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclememesi, Bosna-Hersek\u2019te Dayton Bar\u0131\u015f Plan\u0131yla sa\u011flanan ve hassas dengeler<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>\u00fczerinde olu\u015fturulan bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n uluslararas\u0131 deste\u011fin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmemesi durumunda da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131, Makedonya\u2019da Slavlar ve Arnavutlar aras\u0131nda etnik \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n mevcut olmas\u0131 AB\u2019yi b\u00f6lgeye y\u00f6nelik aktif bir politika uygulamaya zorlamaktad\u0131r. (170<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>Nitekim AB sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc demokrasi ve piyasa ekonomisine ge\u00e7i\u015fi ama\u00e7layan reformlar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesinde g\u00f6rse de, bunun yeterli olamayaca\u011f\u0131na ve b\u00f6lge \u00fclkelerine \u00fcyelik perspektifinin sunulmas\u0131n\u0131n gerekti\u011fine dair g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir kanaat mevcuttur. Bu durum \u00f6zellikle G\u00fcney Kafkasya ve di\u011fer Yeni Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z Devletler (171<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0(YBD) olarak kabul edilen eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi cumhuriyetleri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r. Do\u011fu Bloku\u2019nun da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra MDA\u00dc ve Bat\u0131 Balkan \u00fclkelerinde ya\u015fananlara benzer sorunlarla y\u00fczle\u015fen bu devletler AB taraf\u0131ndan takdim edilen ekonomik ve teknik yard\u0131mlardan yararlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Di\u011fer taraftan, AB\u2019nin YBD\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik d\u0131\u015f politika ve g\u00fcvenlik politikas\u0131 ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in farkl\u0131 baz\u0131 ara\u00e7lar uygulam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu durumda bu ara\u00e7lar\u0131n etkinli\u011fini belirlemek i\u00e7in bunlar\u0131n neler oldu\u011funu anlatt\u0131ktan sonra MDA\u00dc ve Bat\u0131 Balkanlarda uygulanan ara\u00e7larla k\u0131yaslanmalar\u0131 konumuz a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.circassiancenter.com\/cc-turkiye\/arastirma\/0530-avrupa-1.htm\"><span lang=\"en-us\">1. B<\/span>\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00a0<span lang=\"en-us\">&gt;&gt;&gt;<\/span><\/a><span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.circassiancenter.com\/cc-turkiye\/arastirma\/0531-avrupa-2.htm\"><span lang=\"en-us\">2.B<\/span>\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00a0<span lang=\"en-us\">&gt;&gt;&gt;<\/span><\/a><span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.circassiancenter.com\/cc-turkiye\/arastirma\/0532-avrupa-3.htm\">3<span lang=\"en-us\">.B<\/span>\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00a0<span lang=\"en-us\">&gt;&gt;&gt;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial;\"><b><span lang=\"en-us\">1. B\u00d6L\u00dcM D<\/span>\u0130PNOTLARI:<\/b><br \/>\n<b>1<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Neill Nugent, The Government and Politics of the European Union, The European Union Series, London, The Macmillan Press LTD, 1995, s. 392.<br \/>\n<b>2<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>\u0130rfan Kaya \u00dclger, \u201cAvrupa D\u0131\u015f Politikas\u0131 ve AB Geni\u015flemesi\u201d, Avrupa Birli\u011fi \u00dczerine Notlar, O\u011fuz Kaymak\u00e7\u0131 (ed.), Ankara, Nobel Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2005, s. 29.<br \/>\n<b>3<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Nugent, a. g. e., 1996, ss. 392-393.<br \/>\n<b>4<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Erhan B\u00fcy\u00fckak\u0131nc\u0131, \u201cAvrupa Birli\u011fi-Rusya Federasyonu \u0130li\u015fkilerinde G\u00fcvenlik Sorunsal\u0131\u201d, D\u00fcnden Bug\u00fcne Avrupa Birli\u011fi, Beril Dedeo\u011flu (der.), 2. Bas\u0131m, \u0130stanbul, Boyut Kitaplar\u0131, Ekim, 2003, s. 330.<br \/>\n<b>5<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Nugent, a. g. e., 1996, s. 393.<br \/>\n<b>6<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Nugent, a. g. e., 1996, s. 393.<br \/>\n<b>7<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Nugent, a. g. e., 1996, s. 393.<br \/>\n<b>8<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Bkz: Turgul Arat ve Sinem Baykal\u201cAB ile \u0130li\u015fkiler\u201d, T\u00fcrk D\u0131\u015f Politikas\u0131: Kurtulu\u015f Sava\u015f\u0131ndan Bug\u00fcne Olgular, Belgeler, Yorumlar, Cilt II: 1980-2001, Bask\u0131n Oran (Edit\u00f6r), \u0130stanbul, \u0130leti\u015fim Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2003, s. 329; Esra \u00c7ayhan, Nur\u015fin G\u00fcney Ate\u015fo\u011flu, Avrupa\u2019da Yeni G\u00fcvenlik Aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131 NATO-AB-T\u00fcrkiye, \u0130stanbul, Afa Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 1996, s. 106.<br \/>\n<b>9<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Provisions On a Common Foreign and Security, Article J.1, Policyhttp:\/\/Europa.eu. int\/en\/record\/mt\/title5.html, (13.06.07).<br \/>\n<b>10<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Haydar \u00c7akmak, Avrupa G\u00fcvenli\u011fi, 2. Bask\u0131, Ankara, Platin Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2007, s. 186.<br \/>\n<b>11<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Harun Ar\u0131kan, \u201cAvrupa G\u00fcvenlik ve Savunma Politikas\u0131: Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nin \u2018Ekonomik Dev\u2019 Siyasal C\u00fcce\u2019 Kimli\u011fini De\u011fi\u015ftirme \u00c7abalar\u0131\u201d, Avrupa Birli\u011fi Ortak Politikalar\u0131 ve T\u00fcrkiye, Ekonomik, Sosyal ve Siyasal Politikalar\u0131n Uyumla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, Muhsin Kar, Harun Ar\u0131kan, (ed.), \u0130stanbul, Beta Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2003, s. 379.<br \/>\n<b>12<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0\u00c7akmak, a. g. e., 2007, s. 186.<br \/>\n<b>13<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Bar\u0131\u015f \u00d6zdal ve Mehmet Gen\u00e7, Avrupa G\u00fcvenlik ve Savunma Politikas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye-AB \u0130li\u015fkilerine Etkileri, \u0130stanbul, Akt\u00fcel Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2005, ss. 131-132.<br \/>\n<b>14<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>\u00c7\u0131nar \u00d6zen, \u201cConsequences of the European Security and Defence Policy for the European Non-EU NATO Members\u201d, Ankara Avrupa \u00c7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 Dergisi, Ankara, Cilt 1, Say\u0131 1, (G\u00fcz, 2001), s. 140.<br \/>\n<b>15<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>\u00c7akmak, a. g. e., 2007, ss. 183-184.<br \/>\n<b>16<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Ar\u0131kan, a. g. m., 2003, s. 381.<br \/>\n<b>17<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>Bkz: Presidency Conclusions, Article 28, Helsinki European Council, 10-11 December, 1999, http:\/\/www.dpt.gov.tr\/abigm\/abtb\/Zirveler\/1999%20Helsinki%2010- 11%20Aralik. pdf,\u00a0\u00a0 (29.06.07); Ar\u0131kan, a. g. e., 2007, s. 382.<br \/>\n<b>18<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Acil M\u00fcdahale G\u00fcc\u00fc konusunda daha geni\u015f bilgi i\u00e7in bkz: Eurocorps, eurocorps.<br \/>\norg,\u00a0 (22.01.2008).<br \/>\n<b>19<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Ar\u0131kan, a. g. e., 2007, s. 382.<br \/>\n<b>20<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>\u0130brahim S. Canbolat, Avrupa Birli\u011fi ve Geni\u015fleme S\u00fcrecinde T\u00fcrkiye ile \u0130li\u015fkiler, \u0130stanbul, Alfa<br \/>\nYay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2002, s. 235.<br \/>\n<b>21<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0\u00d6zdal ve Gen\u00e7, a. g. e., 2005, ss.140-142.<br \/>\n<b>22<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Frans-Josef Meiers, \u201cAvrupa\u2019n\u0131n G\u00fcvenlik ve Savunma Politikas\u0131nda Kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131lan Zorluklar\u201d, Avrasya Dosyas\u0131, Avrupa Birli\u011fi \u00d6zel Say\u0131s\u0131, Cilt 5, Say\u0131 4, (K\u0131\u015f, 1999), s. 236.<br \/>\n<b>23<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Sinan \u00dclgen, AB ile M\u00fczakerelerin El Kitab\u0131, Ne Bekliyoruz, Ne Olacak?, \u0130stanbul, \u0130stanbul Bilgi \u00dcniversitesi Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2005, s. 128.<br \/>\n<b>24<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Daha geni\u015f bilgi i\u00e7in bak: Javier Solana, A Secure Europe in a Better World, European Council, Thesaloniki, 20.06.03, www.consilium.Europa.eu\/cms3 applications\/applications\u00a0 solana\/list.asp?cmsid=246&amp;bid=111&amp;page=arch&amp;archDate=2003&amp;archMonth=6, (02.10.07).<br \/>\n<b>25<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Charlotte Bretherton ve John Vogler, The European Union as a Global Actor, London, Routledge, 2006, s. 164.<br \/>\n<b>26<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Bretherton ve Vogler, a. g. e., 2005, s. 164<br \/>\n<b>27<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Sevilay Kahraman, \u201cAvrupa Birli\u011fi ve Irak Krizi: B\u00f6l\u00fcnmeden Yeniden Birle\u015fmeye Uzun \u0130nce Bir Yol\u201d, Ankara Avrupa \u00c7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 Dergisi, Cilt 2, Say\u0131 4, (Bahar, 2003a), s. 159.<br \/>\n<b>28<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Bu tan\u0131m\u0131n kapsam\u0131na Macaristan, Polonya, Romanya, Slovakya, Letonya, Estonya, Litvanya, Bulgaristan, \u00c7ek Cumhuriyeti ve Slovenya girmektedir.<br \/>\n<b>29<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Christopher Preston, Enlargement and Integration in the European Union, London, Routledge, 1997, s. 196.<br \/>\n<b>30<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Esra Hatipo\u011flu, \u201cAvrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nin Orta ve Do\u011fu Avrupa \u00dclkelerine Y\u00f6nelik Geni\u015fleme Politikas\u0131n\u0131n Mali Yard\u0131mlar Boyutu\u201d, So\u011fuk Sava\u015f Sonras\u0131 Avrupa ve T\u00fcrkiye, Cem Karadeli (ed.), Ankara, Atlas Yay\u0131nevi, Ekim, 2003, s. 176.<br \/>\n<b>31<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Poland and Hungary: Assistance for Restructuring their Economies<br \/>\n<b>32<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Kopenhag Kriterleri, http:\/\/www.goksel.com\/kophenag_kriterleri.htm, (30.06.07).<br \/>\n<b>33<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Ba\u015fak Kale, \u201cAvrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nin Balkan Politikas\u0131: \u00c7eli\u015fkiler \u0130\u00e7inde Bir Yan\u0131lsama?\u201d, Balkanlar Diplomasisi, \u00d6mer, E. L\u00fctem., Co\u015fkun Birg\u00fcl Demirta\u015f, (ed.), Ankara, ASAM Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2001, ss. 302-303.<br \/>\n<b>34<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Karen Smith, The Making of EU Foreign Policy: The Case of Eastern Europe, 2 Edition, Palgrave, Macmillan, January, 2004, s. 136.<br \/>\n<b>35<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Smith, a. g. e., s., 2004, s. 136.<br \/>\n<b>36<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0\u0130rfan Kaya \u00dclger, \u201cBalkan Geli\u015fmeleri ve T\u00fcrkiye: 1990\u2019l\u0131 Y\u0131llar\u201d, 21. Y\u00fczy\u0131lda T\u00fcrk D\u0131\u015f<br \/>\nPolitikas\u0131, \u0130dris Bal, (ed.), Ankara, Nobel Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2004, ss. 238-239.<br \/>\n<b>37<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Erel Tellal, \u201cRusya Federasyonunun D\u0131\u015f Politikas\u0131: \u201cYak\u0131n \u00c7evre\u201d ve \u201cAskeri Doktrin\u201d\u201d, D\u0131\u015f Politikas\u0131: Kurtulu\u015f Sava\u015f\u0131ndan Bug\u00fcne Olgular, Belgeler, Yorumlar, Cilt II: 1980-2001, Bask\u0131n Oran (ed.), \u0130stanbul, \u0130leti\u015fim Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2003 s. 329.<br \/>\n<b>38<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Frank Schimmelfennig, The EU, NATO and the Integration of Europe, Cambridge, Cambridge University, 2003, s. 38.<br \/>\n<b>39<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Stephen George ve Ian Bache, Politics in the European Union, Oxford, Oxford University Press, 2001, s. 418.<br \/>\n<b>40<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0\u0130lhan Uzgel, \u201cNATO\u2019nun Geni\u015flemesi\u201d, D\u0131\u015f Politikas\u0131: Kurtulu\u015f Sava\u015f\u0131ndan Bug\u00fcne Olgular, Belgeler, Yorumlar, Cilt II: 1980-2001, Bask\u0131n Oran (ed.), \u0130stanbul, \u0130leti\u015fim Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2003 s. 309.<br \/>\n<b>41<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Marise Cremona, \u201cEnlargement and External Policy\u201d, The Enlargement of the European Union, Marise Cremona, (ed.) , Oxford, Oxford Press, 2003, s. 197.<br \/>\n<b>42<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Cremona, a. g. e., 2003, s. 197.<br \/>\n<b>43<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Hatipo\u011flu, a. g. m., 2003, ss. 178-179.<br \/>\n<b>44<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Pal Dunay, \u201cStrategy with Fast-Moving Targets East-Cental Europe\u201d, European Union Foreign and Security Policy Towards a Neighbourhood Strategy, Roland Dannreuther, (ed.), London, Routledge, 2005, s. 31.<br \/>\n<b>45<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Kahraman, a. g. m., (2003a), s. 363.<br \/>\n<b>46<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Smith, a. g. e., 2004, s. 122.<br \/>\n<b>47<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Preston, a. g. e., 1997, s. 202.<br \/>\n<b>48<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>\u00c7ayhan ve Ate\u015fo\u011flu, a. g. e., 1996, s. 128.<br \/>\n<b>49<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Sevilay Kahraman, \u201cAvrupa Birli\u011fi Geni\u015fleme Politikas\u0131\u201d, Avrupa Birli\u011fi Ortak Politikalar ve T\u00fcrkiye, Ekonomik, Sosyal ve Siyasal Politikalar\u0131n Uyumla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, Muhsin Kar, Harun<br \/>\nAr\u0131kan, (ed.), \u0130stanbul, Beta Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2003b, s. 364.<br \/>\n<b>50<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Avrupa Antla\u015fmalar\u0131, (Europe Agreements), ikv.org.tr\/sozluk2.php?ID=980, (18.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>51<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0http:\/\/www.dpt.gov.tr\/abigm\/abib\/Avrupa_ant\/Bulgaristan-AT%20AA_doc.htm, (16.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>52<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Andrey Motkov, Avrupa Antla\u015fmalar\u0131, (\u0415\u0432\u0440\u043e\u043f\u0435\u0439\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0435 \u0421\u043e\u0433\u043b\u0430\u0448\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f), krugosvet.ru<br \/>\n\/articles\/109\/1010989\/1010989a1.htm, (03.09.07).<br \/>\n<b>53<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Kahraman, a. g. m., 2003b, s. 360.<br \/>\n<b>54<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Bkz: PHARE, ec.Europa.eu\/enlargement\/financial_assistance\/phare\/index_en.htm, (30.06.07).<br \/>\n<b>55<\/b><span lang=\"en-us\"><b>)<\/b>\u00a0<\/span>AB Programlar\u0131 Kapsam\u0131nda T\u00fcrk Firmalar\u0131na Yeni \u0130hale \u0130mkanlar\u0131, http:\/\/eic-istanbul.org\/dokumanlar\/abm\/ihale\/yurdisi\/abihale.htm, (30.06.07).<br \/>\n<b>56<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0PHARE Program\u0131, (\u041f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u0440\u0430\u043c\u043c\u0430 \u0424\u0430\u0439\u0440), vasilievaa.narod.ru\/mu\/csipfo\/kpr\/frames\/ guide\/phare.htm, (30.06\/07).<br \/>\n<b>57<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Hatipo\u011flu, a. g. m., 2003, s. 183.<br \/>\n<b>58<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0PHARE, 30.06.07.<br \/>\n<b>59<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Smith, a. g. e., 2004, s. 77.<br \/>\n<b>60<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Dunay, a. g. e., 2003, s. 31.<br \/>\n<b>61<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>\u00c7ayhan ve Ate\u015fo\u011flu, a. g. e., 1996, s.118.<br \/>\n<b>62<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>\u00dclger, a. g. e., 2005, ss. 48-49.<br \/>\n<b>63<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>G-24 OECD \u00fcye olan en sanayile\u015fmi\u015f devletler grubu kast edilmektedir.<br \/>\n<b>64<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Bretherton ve Vogler, a. g. e., 2006, s. 139.<br \/>\n<b>65<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Jan Zielonka, \u201cParadoxes of European Foreign Policy, Policies Without Strategy: the EU\u2019s Record in Eastern Europe\u201d, Yearbook of Polish European Studies, http:\/\/www.ce.uw.edu.pl\/wydawnictwo\/yearbook_no2-1998\/ZIELONKA.pdf, s. 28.<br \/>\n<b>66<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Greco Ettore,\u201cThe Expanding EU Role, European Union Foreign and Security Policy\u201d, Towards a Neighbourhood Strategy, Roland Dannreuther, (ed.), London, Routledge, 2005, s. 63.<br \/>\n<b>67<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Ettore, a. g. e., 2005, s. 64.<br \/>\n<b>68<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Zielonka, a. g. m., 1998, s. 36.<br \/>\n<b>69<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>NATO El Kitab\u0131, Br\u00fcksel, NATO Office of Information and Press, 2001, s. 242.<br \/>\n<b>70<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>\u00c7ayhan ve Ate\u015fo\u011flu, a. g. e., 1996, s. 121.<br \/>\n<b>71<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Stuart Croft et al., The Enlargement of Europe, Manchester, Manchester University, 1999, ss. 22- 23.<br \/>\n<b>72<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Marija Obradovi\u00e7, \u201cMilliyet\u00e7ilik ve Avrupac\u0131l\u0131k: Do\u011fu Avrupa Elitlerin Durumu\u201d, So\u011fuk Sava\u015f\u0131 Sonras\u0131 Avrupa ve T\u00fcrkiye,Cem Karadeli, (ed.),Ankara,Atlas Yay\u0131nevi,2003,s. 56.<br \/>\n<b>73<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Croft, a. g. e., 1999, s. 23.<br \/>\n<b>74<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>NATO El Kitab\u0131, s., 62.<br \/>\n<b>75<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>B\u00fcy\u00fckak\u0131nc\u0131, a. g. m., 2003, s.147.<br \/>\n<b>76<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0B\u00fcy\u00fckak\u0131nc\u0131, a. g. m., 2003, s. 146.<br \/>\n<b>77<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Smith, a. g. e., 2004, s. 118.<br \/>\n<b>78<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Karen E.Smith, \u201cThe Conditional Offer of Membership as an Instrument of EU Foreign Policy: Reshaping Europe in the EU\u2019s Image\u201d, Marmara Avrupa Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Dergisi, \u0130stanbul, Cilt 8, Say\u0131 1-2, (2000), ss. 33-34.<br \/>\n<b>79<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Kopenhag kriterlere g\u00f6re, aday devletler \u00f6ncelikle demokrasi, hukukun \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, insan haklar\u0131 ve az\u0131nl\u0131klara sayg\u0131 g\u00f6sterilmesini ve korunmas\u0131n\u0131 garanti eden kurumlar\u0131n varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 garanti alt\u0131na almal\u0131, i\u015fleyen bir pazar ekonomisini olu\u015fturmal\u0131, AB i\u00e7inde rekabet edebilme kapasitesini sa\u011flamal\u0131 ve siyasi, ekonomik ve parasal birli\u011fin ama\u00e7lar\u0131na uyum dahil olmak \u00fczere \u00fcyelik y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcklerini yerine getirme kabiliyetini geli\u015ftirmelidir.<br \/>\n<b>80<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Smith, a. g. m., (2000), s. 35.<br \/>\n<b>81<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0AB taraf\u0131ndan kabul edilmi\u015f ve Kopenhag kriterlerine en fazla uyum g\u00f6sterebilme yetene\u011fine sahip olan di\u011fer \u00fc\u00e7 devlet ise Slovenya, Estonya ve G\u00fcney K\u0131br\u0131s\u2019t\u0131r.<br \/>\n<b>82<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>B\u00fcy\u00fckak\u0131nc\u0131, a. g. e., 2003, s. 147.<br \/>\n<b>83<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Smith, a. g. m., (2000), s. 39.<br \/>\n<b>84<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Milada Anna Vachudova, \u201cStrategies for Democratisation and European Integration in the Balkans\u201d, The Enlargement of the European Union, Marise Cremona, (ed.), Oxford, Oxford University, 2003, s. 145.<br \/>\n<b>85<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0\u0130lhan Uzgel, \u201cDo\u011fu Blokunda Sosyalist Rejimlerin \u00c7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fc, Balkanlar ve T\u00fcrkiye\u201d, T\u00fcrk D\u0131\u015f Politikas\u0131: Kurtulu\u015f Sava\u015f\u0131ndan Bug\u00fcne Olgular, Belgeler, Yorumlar, Cilt II: 1980-2001, Bask\u0131n Oran (ed.), \u0130stanbul, \u0130leti\u015fim Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2003, s. 481.<br \/>\n<b>86<\/b><span lang=\"en-us\"><b>)<\/b>\u00a0<\/span>Uzgel, a. g. m., 2003, s. 482.<br \/>\n<b>87<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Will Bartlett, \u201cSerbia and Montenegro\u201d, The Central &amp; Eastern Europe Handbook, Prospects Onto the 21st Century, London, Fitzroy Dearborn, 1999, s. 94.<br \/>\n<b>88<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Uzgel, a. g. e., 2003, s. 491.<br \/>\n<b>89<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0George ve Bache, a. g. e., 2001, s. 87.<br \/>\n<b>90<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>\u0130rfan Kaya \u00dclger, \u201cBalkan Geli\u015fmeleri ve T\u00fcrkiye: 1990\u2019l\u0131 y\u0131llar\u201d, T\u00fcrk D\u0131\u015f Politikas\u0131, \u0130dris Bal, (ed.), Ankara, Nobel Yay\u0131n Da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2004, s. 233.<br \/>\n<b>91<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Tufik Burzanovi\u00e7, \u201cBosna \u00d6rne\u011finde ABD\u2019nin Balkan Siyaseti Anlamak\u201d, Balkan Diplomasisi, \u00d6mer E., L\u00fctem ve \u00c7o\u015fgun Birg\u00fcl Demirta\u015f, (ed.), Ankara, ASAM Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2001, ss., 280-281.<br \/>\n<b>92<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Lester, H. Brune, The United States &amp; the Balkan Crisis, 1990-2005: Conflict in Bosnia &amp; Kosovo, Claremont, Regina Books, 2005, s. 22.<br \/>\n<b>93<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Milada Anna Vachudova, a. g. m., 2003, s. 145.<br \/>\n<b>94<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Rogel Carole, The Breakup of Yugoslavia and the War in Bosnia, London, Greenwood Press,<br \/>\n1998, s. 60.<br \/>\n<b>95<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>\u00d6rne\u011fin, D\u00f6nem Konsey Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jacques Poos bu konuyla ilgili \u015fu s\u00f6zleri demi\u015ftir: \u201cAvrupal\u0131lar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6zebilece\u011fi herhangi bir sorun varsa, bu da Yugoslavya sorunudur. Bu Avrupa \u00fclkesidir ve Amerika i\u00e7in hi\u00e7 bir \u00f6nemi yoktur, hatta hi\u00e7 kimse i\u00e7in \u00f6nemi yoktur\u201d. Bkz: Bretherton ve Vogler, a. g. e., 2006, s. 195.<br \/>\n<b>96<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Bretherton veVogler, a. g. e., 2006, s. 195.<br \/>\n<b>97<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>George ve Bache, a. g. e., 2001, s. 88.<br \/>\n<b>98<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Nutall, European Foreign Policy, Oxford, Oxford University, 2000, s. 195.<br \/>\n<b>99<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Nutall, a. g. e., s., 2000, s. 214.<br \/>\n<b>100<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Nur\u015fin G\u00fcney Ate\u015fo\u011flu, \u201cBosna-Hersek Sorunu ve Bar\u0131\u015f G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri S\u00fcreci\u201d, Yeni Balkanlar, Eski Sorunlar, Kemali Sayba\u015f\u0131l\u0131-\u00d6zcan Gencer, (der.), \u0130stanbul, Ba\u011flam Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 1997, s. 269.<br \/>\n<b>101<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Brune, a. g. e., 2005, s. 32.<br \/>\n<b>102<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Carole, a. g. e., 1998, s. 62.<br \/>\n<b>103<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Ate\u015fo\u011flu, a. g. m., 1997,, s. 270.<br \/>\n<b>104<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Brune, a. g. e., 2005, 1998, s. 32.<br \/>\n<b>105<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>Ejup Stitkovac, Jasminka Udovicki, \u201cBosnia and Herzegovina: The Second War\u201d, Yugoslavia\u2019s Ethnic Nightmare: The Inside Story of Europe\u2019s Unfolding Ordeal, Jasminka Udovicki-James Ridgeway, New York, Lawrence Hill Books, 1995, s., 192; Nur\u015fin G\u00fcney Ate\u015fo\u011flu, a. g. m., 1997, s. 271.<br \/>\n<b>106<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Christopher Bennett, Yugoslavia\u2019s Bloody Collapse: Causes, Course and Consequences, London, Hurst &amp; Company, 1995, s.198.<br \/>\n<b>107<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Ate\u015fo\u011flu, a. g. m., 1997, ss. 271-272.<br \/>\n<b>108<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Tom Gallagher, The Balkans After the Cold War, From Tyranny to Tragedy, London, Routledge, 2003, ss. 129-130.<br \/>\n<b>109<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Bretherton ve Vogler, a. g. e., 2006, s.196.<br \/>\n<b>110<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Nutall, a. g. e., 2000, s. 216.<br \/>\n<b>111<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Janusz Bugajski, Nations in Turmoil, Conflict &amp; Cooperation in Eastern Europe, Oxford, Westview Press, 1993, s. 103.<br \/>\n<b>112<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Dinan Desmond, Ever Closer Union, An Introduction to European Integration, China, Palgrave Macmillan, 2005, s. 590.<br \/>\n<b>113<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Ate\u015fo\u011flu, a. g. m., 1997, s. 264.<br \/>\n<b>114<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0\u00dclger, a. g. m., 2004, s. 233.<br \/>\n<b>115<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Bkz: Ate\u015fo\u011flu, a. g. m., 1997, s. 261.<br \/>\n<b>116<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Ate\u015fo\u011flu, a. g. m., 1997,s. 266.<br \/>\n<b>117<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Carole, a. g. e., 1998, s. 66.<br \/>\n<b>118<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Burzanovi\u00e7, a. g. m., 2001, s. 281.<br \/>\n<b>119<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Stephen M. Walt, \u201cClinton\u2019\u0131n D\u0131\u015f Politikas\u0131na Ko\u015fullu \u0130ki \u00d6vg\u00fc\u201d, Avrasya Dosyas\u0131, ABD \u00d6zel, Cilt 6, Say\u0131 2, (Yaz, 2000), s. 143.<br \/>\n<b>120<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Brune, a. g. e., 2005, ss. 39-40.<br \/>\n<b>121<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Burzanovi\u00e7, a. g. m., 2001, ss. 282-283.<br \/>\n<b>122<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Brune, a. g. e., 2005, s. 40.<br \/>\n<b>123<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Mike Bowker, \u201cEuropean Security\u201d, Foundations Contemporary Europe, Richard Sakwa ve Anne Stevens, Great Britain, St. Martin Press, 2000, s. 213.<br \/>\n<b>124<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Brune, a. g. e., 2005, s. 41.<br \/>\n<b>125<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Albert Rohan, \u201cBalkanlardaki Kriz Kaynaklar\u0131 ve B\u00f6lgeleri, T\u00fcrkiye\u201d, NATO ve Avrupa Birli\u011fi Perspektifinden Kriz B\u00f6lgelerin \u0130ncelenmesi ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin G\u00fcvenli\u011fine Etkileri, Re\u015fat \u00d6d\u00fcn, (der.), Ankara, Genelkurmay Bas\u0131m Evi, 2004, s. 242.<br \/>\n<b>126<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Brune, a. g. e., 2005, s. 41.<br \/>\n<b>127<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Necmettin Alkan, \u201cDayton Sonras\u0131nda Bosna-Hersek\u2019te Yap\u0131lan Se\u00e7imler ve Bar\u0131\u015f S\u00fcrecine Etkileri (1996-2006)\u201d, Avrasya Et\u00fctleri, No 29-30, Ankara, T\u0130KA Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2006, s. 98.<br \/>\n<b>128<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Bkz: Carole, a. g. e., 1998, s. 68.<br \/>\n<b>129<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Vachudova, a. g. m., 2003, s. 147.<br \/>\n<b>130<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Gallagher, a. g. e., 2003, ss. 184-185.<br \/>\n<b>131<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>European Union Force<br \/>\n<b>132<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Nesrin Kenar, Bir D\u00f6nem Perde Arkas\u0131: Yugoslavya; Yugoslavya Sorununun Ulusal ve Uluslararas\u0131 Boyutu, Ankara, Palme Yay\u0131nc\u0131l\u0131k, 2005, s. 409-410.<br \/>\n<b>133<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Murat Kavalal\u0131, AB\u2019nin Merkezi Do\u011fu Avrupa ve Bat\u0131 Balkan \u00dclkeleri ile \u0130li\u015fkileri, Ankara, Devlet Planlama Te\u015fkilat\u0131 M\u00fcste\u015farl\u0131\u011f\u0131 (AB ile \u0130li\u015fkiler Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc), Ekim, 2005, ss. 48-49.<br \/>\n<b>134<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0EU-Western Balkan Relations, (21 Eyl\u00fcl 2004\u2019de yay\u0131nlanm\u0131\u015f-6 Temmuz 2007\u2019de<br \/>\ng\u00fcncelle\u015ftirilmi\u015ftir), http:\/\/www.euractiv.com\/en\/enlargement\/eu-western-balkans-relations\/article- 129607, (18.07.07).<br \/>\n<b>135<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>Ettore, a. g. e., 2005, ss. 62-63.<br \/>\n<b>136<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0G\u00f6k\u00e7en Alpkaya, \u201cNATO M\u00fcdahalesi \u00dczerine\u201d, Tart\u0131\u015fma Metinleri, 15 Haziran, 1999, http:\/\/politics.ankara.edu.tr\/~alpkaya\/kosova.htm, (20.09.07).<br \/>\n<b>137<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Alpkaya, a. g. m., 1999.<br \/>\n<b>138<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Bartlett, a. g. e. 1999, s.101.<br \/>\n<b>139<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Hall Gardner, \u201cThe Genesis of NATO Enlargement and of War \u201cover\u201d Kosovo\u201d, Central and Southern Europe in Transition: Perspectives on Success and Failure since 1989, Gardner Hall, (ed.), London, Praeger, 2000, s. 168.<br \/>\n<b>140<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Brune, a. g. e., 2005, s. 87.<br \/>\n<b>141<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Gardner, a. g. m., 2000, ss. 168-169.<br \/>\n<b>142<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Willie, \u201cThe Kosova Intervention and European Security: NATO\u2019s Pyrrhic Victory\u201d,<br \/>\nContemporary Issues and Debates in the EU Policy,Vassiliki N. Koutrakou, (ed.), Manchester, Manchester University, 2004, s. 25.<br \/>\n<b>143<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Rakia Moalla-Fetini et al., Kosova Gearing Policies Toward Growth and Development, Washington, International Monetary Fund, 2005, s., v\u0131\u0131.<br \/>\n<b>144<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Mirzet Mujezinovic, Bat\u0131 Balkanlar\u2019da \u0130stikrars\u0131zl\u0131k Kaynaklar\u0131: Kosova ve Bosna Hersek, http:\/\/www.turkishweekly.net\/turkce\/yazarlar.php?type=12&amp;id=276, (15.07.07).<br \/>\n<b>145<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Bu konuda bkz: H\u00fcseyin Pazarc\u0131, Uluslar aras\u0131 Hukuk, 2. Kitap, Turhan Kitabevi, Ankara, 2005.<br \/>\n<b>146<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Mirzet Mijezinovi\u00e7, Kosova: Balkanlar\u0131n Yeni Devleti, turkishweekly.net\/turkce\/ yazarlar.php ?type=12&amp;id=228, (15.07.07).<br \/>\n<b>147<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Yeniden Kosova, (\u0418 \u0441\u043d\u043e\u0432\u0430 \u041a\u043e\u0441\u043e\u0432\u043e), gazetasng.ru\/chronology\/digest\/?id=6792, (05.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>148<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Mirzet Mijezinovi\u00e7, Bat\u0131 Balkanlar\u2019da \u0130stikrars\u0131zl\u0131k Kaynaklar\u0131: Kosova ve Bosna<br \/>\nHersek,(15.07.07).<br \/>\n<b>149<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Stabilisation and Association Agreement<br \/>\n<b>150<\/b><span lang=\"en-us\"><b>)<\/b>\u00a0<\/span>Bkz: \u00d6zge Onursal, \u201cRegional Cooperation as Political Conditionality: the Case of the Western Balkans\u201d,Turkish Review of Balkan Studies, No 10, \u0130stanbul, Bigart Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2005, ss., 169- 172; EU-Croatia Relations: Main Steps Towards the EU, (son yenilenme tarihi: Kas\u0131m 2006), http:\/\/ec.Europa.eu\/enlargement\/croatia\/eu_croatia_relations_en.htm, (04.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>151<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>Kavalal\u0131, a. g. e., s. 42.<br \/>\n<b>152<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Bkz: Zagreb Zirvesi Nihai Beyannamesi, (24 Kas\u0131m 2000), ec.Europa.eu\/ enlargement\/ enlargement_process\/accession_p<br \/>\nrocess\/how_does_a_country_join_the_eu\/sap\/zagreb_summit_statement_en.htm, (02.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>153<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Community Assistance for Reconstruction, Democratization and Stabilization<br \/>\n<b>154<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Bkz: Zagreb Zirvesi Nihai Beyannamesi<br \/>\n<b>155<\/b><span lang=\"en-us\"><b>)<\/b>\u00a0<\/span>CARDS Program\u0131, 5 Aral\u0131k 2000 tarihinde AB\u2019nin 2666\/2000\/EC Konsey T\u00fcz\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ile kabul edilmi\u015f mali programd\u0131r. Bu t\u00fcz\u00fc\u011fe g\u00f6re, Bat\u0131 Balkanlar \u00fclkeleri i\u00e7in 2000\u20132006 tarihleri aras\u0131nda belirlenen b\u00fct\u00e7e 4.65 milyar Euro\u2019dur. Bu b\u00fct\u00e7enin CARDS Program\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde be\u015f \u00f6ncelikli alanda kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Bu alanlar: adalet ve i\u00e7i\u015fleri, kurumsal yap\u0131lanma, ekonomik ve sosyal kalk\u0131nma, demokratik istikrar, \u00e7evre ve do\u011fal kaynaklar. Daha geni\u015f bilgi i\u00e7in bkz: The CARDS Programme (2000-2006), (05.02.07), http:\/\/www.Europa.eu\/scadplus\/leg\/en\/lvb\/r18002.htm, (10.07.07); Kavalal\u0131, a. g. e., s. 47.<br \/>\n<b>156<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Bkz: Zagreb Zirvesi Nihai Beyannamesi; Kavalal\u0131, a. g. e., s. 44.<br \/>\n<b>157<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Bkz: \u03a4he Thessalonica agenda for the Western Balkans, General Affairs &amp; External Relations Council (GAERC), Conclusions, (16 Haziran 2003), http:\/\/ec.Europa.eu\/enlargement\/enlargement_process\/accession_process\/<br \/>\nhow_does_a_country_join_the_eu\/sap\/thessaloniki_agenda_en.htm<br \/>\n<b>158<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Ettore, 2005, a. g. e., s.65.<br \/>\n<b>159<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Jovan Teokarevi\u00e7, \u201cBalkan Countries and Euro-Atlantic Integration: Is the Pace of Rapprochement From 2005 Sustainable?\u201d, Proceedings of the International Conference on the Enlargement Towards South-East Europe, Ozan Erozden (ed.), \u0130stanbul, Ortado\u011fu ve Balkan \u0130ncelemeleri Vakf\u0131 Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, Aral\u0131k, 2005, s.72.<br \/>\n<b>160<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Erhan T\u00fcrbedar, Balkan \u00dclkelerin Avrupa Birli\u011fi Yolculu\u011fu, Stratejik Analiz, Ankara, ASAM Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, (\u015eubat 2007), s.76.<br \/>\n<b>161<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0EU-Western Balkans Relations, (21.09.07), euractiv.com\/en\/enlargement\/eu western- balkans-relations\/article-129607, (15.07.07).<br \/>\n<b>162<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>T\u00fcrbedar, a. g. m., 2007, s.76.<br \/>\n<b>163<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Mirzet Mijezinovi\u00e7, AB\u2019nin Bask\u0131s\u0131yla S\u0131rbistan\u2019da \u201cDemokratik\u201d H\u00fck\u00fcmet Kuruldu, http:\/\/www.turkishweekly.net\/turkce\/yazarlar.php?type=12&amp;id=254, (15.07.08).<br \/>\n<b>164<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Mirzet Mijezinovi\u00e7, Bosna Hersek\u2019in AB Yolundaki Zorluklar\u0131,turkishweekly.net\/turkce \/yazarlar.php?type=12&amp;id=209, (15.07.08).<br \/>\n<b>165<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>T\u00fcrbedar, a. g. m., 2007, s. 76.<br \/>\n<b>166<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Kosova &#8211; EU Kosova Relations, Main Steps Towards the EU, http:\/\/ec.Europa.eu<br \/>\n\/enlargement\/serbia\/Kosova\/eu_Kosova_relations_en.htm, (07.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>167<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Kaynak: Teokarevi\u00e7, a. g. m., 2005, s. 73.<br \/>\n<b>168<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Bar\u0131\u015f \u0130\u00e7in Ortak<br \/>\n<b>169<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Teokarevi\u00e7, a. g. m., 2005, s. 73.<br \/>\n<b>170<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>Ettore, a. g. e., 2005, ss. 71-73.<br \/>\n<b>171<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>YBD tan\u0131m\u0131 eski Sovyetler Birli\u011finden ayr\u0131lan devletleri topluca ifade edebilmek i\u00e7in geli\u015ftirilmi\u015ftir. Bu tan\u0131mla a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki devletler kastedilmektedir: Rusya, Ukrayna, Beyaz Rusya, Moldova, Azerbaycan, G\u00fcrcistan, Ermenistan, Kazakistan, K\u0131rg\u0131zistan, T\u00fcrkmenistan, \u00d6zbekistan ve Tacikistan. Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019ni olu\u015fturan di\u011fer \u00fc\u00e7 cumhuriyet Letonya, Litvanya ve Estonya AB taraftan tam \u00fcyelik s\u00fcrecine kabul edildikten sonra, bu tan\u0131m \u00e7er\u00e7evesinden \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131larak, MDA\u00dc aras\u0131nda yer ald\u0131lar. Anla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi YBD belli bir b\u00f6lgenin tan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flanmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6tesinde bir de AB taraf\u0131ndan uygulanan politikalar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bir stat\u00fc fonksiyonunu da ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r. AB\u2019nin<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>YBD\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 politikalar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu devletlerle benzer bir geli\u015fim s\u00fcrecine sahip olan Mo\u011folistan da bu tan\u0131m dahilinde yer almaktad\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Arial; font-size: small;\"><b>II. AB\u2019N\u0130N YEN\u0130 BA\u011eIMSIZ DEVLETLER VE G\u00dcNEY KAFKASYA DEVLETLER\u0130NE Y\u00d6NEL\u0130K POL\u0130T\u0130KASI<\/p>\n<p>1. AB\u2019nin G\u00fcney Kafkasya B\u00f6lgesine Y\u00f6nelik Politikalar\u0131n\u0131n Geli\u015ftirilmesini Etkileyen Fakt\u00f6rler<\/p>\n<p>1.1 Avrupa Kurumlar\u0131yla \u0130li\u015fkilerin Geli\u015ftirilmesinin G\u00fcney Kafkasya<br \/>\nDevletleri\u2019nin D\u0131\u015f Politika Tercihlerindeki \u00d6nceli\u011fi<\/p>\n<p><\/b>G\u00fcney Kafkasya B\u00f6lgesi, Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra b\u00f6lgede ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kazanm\u0131\u015f Azerbaycan, G\u00fcrcistan ve Ermenistan\u2019dan m\u00fcte\u015fekkildir. B\u00f6lge Rusya\u2019dan do\u011fal bir s\u0131n\u0131r olarak kabul edilen Kafkas da\u011flar\u0131 ile ayr\u0131lmaktad\u0131r. Kafkas s\u0131rada\u011flar\u0131 Alp-Himalaya da\u011f sisteminin bir par\u00e7as\u0131d\u0131r. Bu da\u011flar, Bat\u0131da Azak Denizi ve Karadeniz k\u0131y\u0131lar\u0131ndan ba\u015flay\u0131p, Do\u011fu\u2019da Hazar denizi k\u0131y\u0131lar\u0131na kadar uzanmaktad\u0131r. Bu iki nokta aras\u0131ndaki uzakl\u0131k ise yakla\u015f\u0131k 1200 km\u2019ye. varmaktad\u0131r. Da\u011flar\u0131n kuzey noktas\u0131 Mani\u00e7 Olu\u011fu\u2019ndan ba\u015flar ve g\u00fcneyde K\u00fcr \u00e7ay\u0131nda son bulur. G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesi do\u011fu ve bat\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan Hazar Denizi ve Karadeniz ile ku\u015fat\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (172<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Sovyetler Birli\u011fi d\u00f6neminde bu \u00fc\u00e7 devletin bulundu\u011fu b\u00f6lge TransKafkasya B\u00f6lgesi \u015feklinde adland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olsa da, \u00fclkelerin tarihsel geli\u015fimleri, \u00f6ncelikleri ve aralar\u0131ndaki sorunlar y\u00fcz\u00fcnden co\u011frafi alan d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ortak herhangi bir siyasi veya ekonomik tan\u0131m vermek zordur. Bug\u00fcn her \u00fc\u00e7 devleti siyasi olarak ayn\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131 alt\u0131nda birle\u015ftirmek imk\u00e2ns\u0131z ve ayn\u0131 zamanda yanl\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00dclkelerin d\u0131\u015f politika \u00f6nceliklerine bakacak olursak G\u00fcrcistan kararl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde Avrupa ve Avrupa-Atlantik kurumlar\u0131na b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme politikas\u0131 izlemektedir. Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n da G\u00fcrcistan\u2019la ayn\u0131 politikay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc yani Avrupa kurumlar\u0131yla b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme amac\u0131n\u0131 sahip oldu\u011fu s\u00f6ylenebilse de bu \u00fclke daha temkinli hareket etmektedir. Ermenistan\u2019a gelince, H\u0131ristiyanl\u0131k k\u00fclt\u00fcr\u00fc ve Fransa\u2019da bulunan 500.000 Ermeni\u2019yi temsil eden lobi faaliyetleriyle Avrupa ile b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme plan\u0131n\u0131 sakl\u0131 tutsa da, hali haz\u0131rda aslen Rusya ile t\u00fcm alanlarda geni\u015f ili\u015fkiler kurmu\u015ftur. Yine de, Kuzey kom\u015fusu ile bu geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 ili\u015fkiler Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n Avrupa-Atlantik y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bir entegrasyonu d\u0131\u015f politika \u00f6ncelikleri aras\u0131ndan t\u00fcm\u00fcyle kald\u0131rmamaktad\u0131r. (173<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesini ilgilendiren \u00f6ncelikleri ise; kom\u015fu \u00fclkelerle kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 ve iyi niyetli ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015ftirilmesi, b\u00fct\u00fcn b\u00f6lgede g\u00fcvenli\u011fin ve istikrar\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131, b\u00f6lgede yasad\u0131\u015f\u0131 askeri ve di\u011fer transferlerin \u00f6nlenmesi, k\u00fcresel silah s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131rma politikalar\u0131n\u0131n desteklenmesi, G\u00fcney Kafkasya\u2019n\u0131n n\u00fckleer silahlardan ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bir b\u00f6lge olarak kalmas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalara katk\u0131 ve Hazar Denizi\u2019nin silahtan ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamakt\u0131r. (174<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Her \u00fc\u00e7 G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletinin d\u0131\u015f politika \u00f6nceliklerinde de\u011fi\u015fik nedenlerle farkl\u0131l\u0131klar g\u00f6r\u00fclmesine ra\u011fmen, bu devletlerin a\u00e7\u0131k veya z\u0131mni olarak Avrupa ve Avrupa-Atlantik kurumlarla ili\u015fkileri geli\u015ftirme ve entegrasyon s\u00fcrecine girme planlar\u0131 bulunmaktad\u0131r. Bu durumda, her \u00fc\u00e7 devlet konumlar\u0131n\u0131n imkan verdi\u011fi \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ili\u015fkilerin geni\u015flemesi ve derinle\u015fmesi i\u00e7in gereken tedbirleri ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015facakt\u0131r. Lakin bu ad\u0131mlar\u0131 kendi \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131n gerektirdi\u011fi oranda atacakt\u0131r. AB ve di\u011fer kurumlardan umduklar\u0131n\u0131 bulamamalar\u0131 halinde, bu devletlerin AB ile ili\u015fkilerde daha temkinli hareket edecekler ve bu kuruma ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131ktan ve kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131ks\u0131z y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fckler \u00fcstlenmekten ka\u00e7\u0131nacaklard\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><b>1.2 Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131ktan Sonra G\u00fcney Kafkasya Devletleri\u2019nde Ortaya \u00c7\u0131kan Ekonomik Sorunlar<\/p>\n<p><\/b>Azerbaycan, G\u00fcrcistan ve Ermenistan di\u011fer Yeni Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z Devletlerde oldu\u011fu gibi, eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi d\u00f6neminden miras kalan devlet ekonomilerinin daralmas\u0131, hiper-enflasyon, eski ili\u015fkilerin kesilmesinden kaynaklanan hammadde ve geleneksel pazarlar\u0131n kayb\u0131 sonucunda sanayi \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinin \u00fcretiminin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc gibi sorunlarla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda her \u00fc\u00e7 ekonomi piyasa ekonomisine ge\u00e7i\u015f s\u00fcrecinin sanc\u0131lar\u0131ndan da kendi paylar\u0131n\u0131 alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Esas itibariyle eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi pazarlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik \u00fcretim ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiren her \u00fc\u00e7 devlet, Birli\u011fin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131yla geleneksel pazarlar\u0131ndan yoksun kald\u0131lar. Sovyetler d\u00f6neminde Azerbaycan ekonomisi esasen petrol \u00fcretimi, petrol ar\u0131tma sanayisinde ve tar\u0131m alan\u0131nda uzmanla\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. 60-80 y\u0131llar\u0131 aras\u0131nda bu Cumhuriyet\u2019te kimya, makine, tekstil, g\u0131da ve di\u011fer sanayi alanlar\u0131 da olu\u015fturulmu\u015ftur. Karaba\u011f sorunun ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131yla ve Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin ekonomisinin k\u00f6t\u00fcye gitmesi nedeniyle, Azerbaycan ekonomisinde 1988\u20131994 y\u0131llar\u0131 aras\u0131nda ciddi bir daralma ya\u015fam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n ilan edildi\u011fi tarihten 1996 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar t\u00fcm sanayi % 60 kadar k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. 1994\u2019te \u00fclkedeki enflasyon % 1600\u2019lara kadar ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (175<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>G\u00fcrcistan\u2019a gelince, 1992 y\u0131l\u0131na gelindi\u011finde ekonomik \u00fcretim % 40 oran\u0131nda daralm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r ki bu daralman\u0131n % 48\u2019i sanayi alan\u0131nda, % 32\u2019si ise tar\u0131m alan\u0131nda ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 1994 y\u0131l\u0131na gelinince ekonominin ormanc\u0131l\u0131k ve in\u015faat gibi sekt\u00f6rleri t\u00fcm\u00fcyle yok olmu\u015ftur. Y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon % 8500\u2019lere, i\u015fsizlik ise % 20\u2019lere kadar varm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (176<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n ekonomisi Sovyetler d\u00f6neminde esasen kimya, makine, elektronik, g\u0131da ve tekstil \u00fczerinde yo\u011funla\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131 ve t\u00fcm\u00fcyle di\u011fer cumhuriyetlerden getirilen hammaddeye ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131yd\u0131. Eski ili\u015fkilerin kopmas\u0131yla Ermenistan sanayisi girdilerden yoksun kalm\u0131\u015f ve t\u00fcm\u00fcyle durmu\u015ftu. 1992\u20131993 y\u0131llar\u0131nda GSMH % 60 kadar k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n durumunu daha da k\u00f6t\u00fc hale getiren 1988 y\u0131l\u0131nda ya\u015fanan ve 25 bin ki\u015finin \u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcne neden olan deprem olmu\u015ftur. Birka\u00e7 \u015fehrin yery\u00fcz\u00fcnden silinmesine neden olan bu deprem 500.000 ki\u015fiyi evsiz b\u0131rakm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f y\u00fcz\u00fcnden Azerbaycan\u2019la devam eden anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcz\u00fcnden, bu \u00fclke ile ve T\u00fcrkiye ile s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 kapal\u0131 durumdad\u0131r ki, bu durum denize \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 olmayan bu \u00fclkenin ekonomisine b\u00fcy\u00fck zarar vermektedir. (177<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Bu duruma her \u00fc\u00e7 devlette etnik \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar sonucu kendi yurtlar\u0131ndan ka\u00e7an ve temel gereksinimlerini kar\u015f\u0131lamaktan aciz kalan y\u00fcz binlerce m\u00fcltecinin ilgili devletlerin himayesini bekledi\u011fini ekleyecek olursak, 90\u2019l\u0131 y\u0131llar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda Azerbaycan, G\u00fcrcistan ve Ermenistan devletlerinin ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131dan nas\u0131l bir darbo\u011fazda bulundu\u011fu anlamak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olacakt\u0131r. Di\u011fer taraftan, 1992\u2019de Rusya eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi cumhuriyetlerini \u201cyak\u0131n \u00e7evresi\u201d olarak ilan etmekle, AB\u2019nin k\u0131sa vadede bu b\u00f6lgeye m\u00fcdahalesini de engellemi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>YBD\u2019nin ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kazand\u0131klar\u0131 ilk zamanlarda AT, Azerbaycan, G\u00fcrcistan ve Ermenistan dahil t\u00fcm eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi \u00fclkelerine insani yard\u0131m sa\u011flamakla yetinmekteydi. (178<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bunun sebebi, MDA\u00dc ve Balkanlar\u2019da acil geli\u015fmelere y\u00f6nelik ani kararlar\u0131n verilmesi zaruretidir. Bu b\u00f6lgelerdeki geli\u015fmeler AT\u2019nin yak\u0131n \u00e7evresini olu\u015fturdu\u011fu i\u00e7in ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k rahat bir \u015fekilde toplulu\u011fa da s\u0131\u00e7rayabilirdi. Ancak eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi cumhuriyetlerine y\u00f6nelik herhangi somut bir politika geli\u015ftirilmemi\u015ftir. Bu \u00fclkelere sa\u011flanan yard\u0131mlar bile, hantal mekanizmalarla ve Rusya \u00fczerinden TACIS Program\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde sa\u011flanmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lmaktayd\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130nsani yard\u0131m bu devletlere esasen ECHO ve G\u0131da Yard\u0131m\u0131 Operasyonlar\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde sa\u011flanmaktayd\u0131. Mesela Azerbaycan, 1991 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren g\u0131da da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m\u0131, m\u00fclteciler i\u00e7in \u00e7ad\u0131r al\u0131nmas\u0131 ve t\u0131bb\u0131 yard\u0131m sa\u011flanmas\u0131, temel g\u0131da maddelerinin g\u00fcvenli teminin sa\u011flanmas\u0131, devlet b\u00fct\u00e7esine baz\u0131 altyap\u0131sal projelerin ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in \u00f6zel yard\u0131m olarak ve ayn\u0131 zamanda sava\u015ftan zarar g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015f arazilerin rehabilitasyonunun sa\u011flanmas\u0131 amac\u0131yla 399 milyon Euro yard\u0131m alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (179<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Benzer maksatlarla G\u00fcrcistan insani yard\u0131m olarak 160 milyon Euro ald\u0131. (180<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>Ermenistan\u2019a gelince, bu devlet sadece insani yard\u0131m olarak AB\u2019den 120 milyon Euro ald\u0131. (181<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0B\u00f6lgeye yap\u0131lan bu yard\u0131mlar o s\u0131rada zor durumda olan bu devletlerin imdad\u0131na yeti\u015fse de, b\u00f6lgede mevcut olan herhangi bir soruna \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm getirme ihtimali bir hayli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckt\u00fc. Asl\u0131nda bu yard\u0131mlar daha \u00e7ok, zor durumda olan eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi devletlerinin durumunu biraz da olsa hafifletme g\u00f6revini yerine getirdi. Yard\u0131mlar\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki sorunlar\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6zmekte yetersiz kalaca\u011f\u0131na inanan AB, b\u00f6lge ile TACIS Program\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde ili\u015fkilerini geli\u015ftirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><b>1.3 G\u00fcney Kafkasya B\u00f6lgesi\u2019ndeki Etnik \u00c7at\u0131\u015fmalar<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nB\u00f6lgedeki i\u015fbirli\u011fini geli\u015ftirmeye engel olan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar hen\u00fcz Sovyetler Birli\u011fi da\u011f\u0131lmadan ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nde Gorba\u00e7ev d\u00f6neminde ba\u015flayan reform hareketleri ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131kla sonu\u00e7lan\u0131nca, \u00fclkede siyasi sorunlar \u015fiddetlenmi\u015f, arkas\u0131ndan ekonomik sorunlar gelmi\u015ftir ki, bu da \u00e7ok milletli \u00fclkede etnik gruplar aras\u0131nda \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalara yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Karaba\u011f\u2019da ya\u015fayan Ermeniler, \u015eubat 1988\u2019de Azerbaycan\u2019dan ayr\u0131lma ve Ermenistan\u2019la birle\u015fme karar\u0131n\u0131 alm\u0131\u015flar. Bu kararla birlikte iki taraf aras\u0131nda \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (182<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Azerbaycan, bu karar\u0131n hem Sovyetler Birli\u011fi, hem de kendi anayasas\u0131na ayk\u0131r\u0131 oldu\u011funu belirterek, Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f Ermenilerinin bu karar\u0131n\u0131 reddetti. Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f Ermenilerinin karar\u0131n\u0131 desteklemesi \u00fczerine, iki Sovyet Cumhuriyeti aras\u0131ndaki toprak anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131 SSCB Y\u00fcksek Sovyet\u2019inde g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcld\u00fc. S\u00f6z\u00fc edilen kurul verdi\u011fi kararla Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f\u2019\u0131n Azerbaycan\u2019a ait oldu\u011funu belirtti. Buna ra\u011fmen, Ermeniler Karaba\u011f\u2019da Azerbaycanl\u0131lara kar\u015f\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131na devam ettiler. (183<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><br \/>\n1991 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019\u00fcnde, Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f Ermenileri Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nde olu\u015fan de\u011fi\u015fimleri g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurarak, Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f Otonom B\u00f6lgesi ve bu b\u00f6lgeye biti\u015fik olan Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n \u015eaumyan rayonunun (184<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>arazisinde Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f Cumhuriyeti\u2019ni kurduklar\u0131n\u0131 ilan ettiler. Bunun \u00fczerine Azerbaycan Y\u00fcksek Sovyet\u2019i (185<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a026 Kas\u0131m\u2019da Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f Otonom B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin stat\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc iptal etmi\u015ftir. (186<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0\u00c7ok ge\u00e7meden, ayn\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f Ermenileri b\u00f6lgede referandum d\u00fczenleyip, elde edilen sonu\u00e7lar do\u011frultusunda s\u00f6zde Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f Cumhuriyeti\u2019nin ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ilan ettiler. (187<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bu olu\u015fum, Ermenistan dahil hi\u00e7bir devlet taraf\u0131ndan tan\u0131nmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>1991 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f\u2019da s\u0131cak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar ba\u015flad\u0131. Daha iyi haz\u0131rlanm\u0131\u015f ve her t\u00fcr silahla donat\u0131lm\u0131\u015f Ermeniler, Karaba\u011f\u2019dan Azerbaycan n\u00fcfusunu \u00e7\u0131karmaya muvaffak olmu\u015ftur. 26 \u015eubat 1992 y\u0131l\u0131nda Karaba\u011f\u2019daki Azerbaycanl\u0131lar\u0131n ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 Hocal\u0131 \u015fehrinde Ermeniler taraf\u0131ndan katliam yap\u0131ld\u0131. Bu \u015fehir Ermeniler i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck stratejik \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yordu. Hankendi\u2019ni di\u011fer k\u00f6ylerle birle\u015ftiren yol bu \u015fehirden ge\u00e7mekteydi. (188<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Her ne kadar Ermeni kaynaklar\u0131 burada sadece 20 ki\u015finin \u00f6ld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc iddia etseler de, (189<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0uluslararas\u0131 g\u00f6zlemcilerin verdi\u011fi bilgilere g\u00f6re o gece 200 ile 1000 aras\u0131nda sivil Azerbaycanl\u0131 katledilmi\u015ftir. Bu olay, b\u00fcy\u00fck cinayet olarak kabul edilmektedir. (190<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Azerbaycan kaynaklar\u0131na g\u00f6re, 600\u2019den fazla sivil \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f, 487 ki\u015fi ise Ermeniler taraf\u0131ndan rehine al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Hocal\u0131 katliam\u0131nda Hankendi\u2019de konu\u015flanan 366\u2019nc\u0131 Rus Alay\u0131\u2019n\u0131n da yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bilinmektedir. (191<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0\u00c7ok ge\u00e7meden Ermeniler Rus askerlerin de deste\u011fiyle Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda bulunan 6 b\u00f6lgeyi de i\u015fgal etmeye muvaffak olmu\u015flard\u0131r. (192<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>1994 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar devam eden s\u0131cak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar taraflar aras\u0131nda 24 May\u0131s 1994\u2019te Bi\u015fkek\u2019te imzalanan ate\u015fkes antla\u015fmas\u0131yla sona ermi\u015ftir. Sava\u015f zaman\u0131 30000\u2019den fazla ki\u015fi hayat\u0131n\u0131 kaybetmi\u015ftir. Her iki tarafta b\u00fcy\u00fck say\u0131da m\u00fclteci olu\u015fmu\u015ftur. Azerbaycan\u2019dan 300.000\u2019e yak\u0131n Ermeni as\u0131ll\u0131 ki\u015fi Ermenistan\u2019dan ve i\u015fgal olunmu\u015f arazilerden de 800.000 kadar Azerbaycanl\u0131 kendi yurtlar\u0131n\u0131 terk etmek zorunda kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Halen Azerbaycan topraklar\u0131n\u0131n % 20\u2019si Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n i\u015fgali alt\u0131ndad\u0131r. (193<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>Taraflar aras\u0131nda geni\u015f \u00e7apta s\u0131cak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar g\u00f6zlemlenmese de, Karaba\u011f sorunu hen\u00fcz \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcme kavu\u015fmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (194<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesinde G\u00fcrcistan\u2019da Abhazya b\u00f6lgesindeki ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 hareket daha Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan \u00f6nce ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Sovyetler d\u00f6neminde G\u00fcrcistan i\u00e7inde \u00f6zerk cumhuriyet stat\u00fcs\u00fcne sahip olan Abhazya 25 A\u011fustos 1990\u2019da G\u00fcrcistan\u2019dan ayr\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve 1921 y\u0131l\u0131nda G\u00fcrcistan\u2019a ba\u011flanmadan \u00f6nceki stat\u00fc ile SSCB dahilinde bir cumhuriyet oldu\u011funu ilan etti. (195<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a013 A\u011fustos 1992\u2019de Abhazya\u2019n\u0131n ba\u015fkenti Suhum\u2019da iki taraf aras\u0131nda yap\u0131lan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131kla sonu\u00e7lan\u0131nca G\u00fcrcistan askerleri Abhazya\u2019ya girdi ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f oldu. Bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar 30 Eyl\u00fcl 1993\u2019e kadar s\u00fcrd\u00fc. (196<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Abhazya ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 y\u00f6netimi i\u00e7in Rusya\u2019dan gelen g\u00f6n\u00fcll\u00fcler sava\u015fmaktayd\u0131. (197<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Abhazya\u2019n\u0131n n\u00fcfusunun sadece % 17\u2019sini olu\u015fturan Abhazlar\u0131n, Rus subaylar\u0131n yard\u0131m\u0131 ve Sovyetler d\u00f6neminden kalma askeri altyap\u0131 olmaks\u0131z\u0131n G\u00fcrc\u00fc ordusuna kar\u015f\u0131 direnmesi imk\u00e2ns\u0131zd\u0131. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Rusya, Kuzey Kafkasya halklar\u0131n\u0131n Abhaz \u201ckarde\u015flerinin\u201d yan\u0131nda yer almalar\u0131n\u0131 te\u015fvik etmekteydi. Say\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n iki ile \u00fc\u00e7 bin aras\u0131nda oldu\u011fu tahmin edilen Kuzey Kafkasya cumhuriyetlerinden gelen bu sava\u015f\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n, Abhazlar\u0131n G\u00fcrc\u00fclere direni\u015finde b\u00fcy\u00fck katk\u0131lar\u0131 olmu\u015ftur. 1993\u2019te Rusya\u2019n\u0131n da yard\u0131m\u0131yla Abhaz ayr\u0131mc\u0131 sava\u015f\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131, G\u00fcrc\u00fcleri Abhazya\u2019dan \u00e7\u0131karmaya muvaffak olmu\u015flard\u0131r. (198<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a01993 y\u0131l\u0131nda BM Abhazya meselesinde arabuluculu\u011fu \u00fcstlendi ve Abhaz, G\u00fcrc\u00fc ve Rus temsilcilerin de kat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmenin sonunda nihai bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm sa\u011flamayan bir antla\u015fmaya var\u0131ld\u0131. (199<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>G\u00fcrcistan arazisinde mevcut olan di\u011fer ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 hareket G\u00fcney Osetya\u2019da 1989 y\u0131l\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (200<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Osetler Sovyetler Birli\u011fi d\u00f6neminde iki ayr\u0131 y\u00f6netim biriminde ya\u015famaktayd\u0131lar; Rusya\u2019da yer alan Kuzey Osetya \u00d6zerk Cumhuriyeti ve G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131n bir par\u00e7as\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturan G\u00fcney Osetya \u00d6zerk B\u00f6lgesi. 1989\u2019da G\u00fcrcistan\u2019da SSCB\u2019den ayr\u0131lma sesleri duyulmaya ba\u015flan\u0131nca, G\u00fcney Osetya b\u00f6lgesinin de stat\u00fcs\u00fc konusunda tart\u0131\u015fmalar ba\u015flad\u0131. A\u011fustos 1990\u2019da G\u00fcney Osetya \u00d6zerk B\u00f6lgesi G\u00fcrcistan\u2019dan ayr\u0131lma karar\u0131 ald\u0131. Bunun \u00fczerine Aral\u0131k 1990\u2019da G\u00fcrcistan Parlamentosu G\u00fcney Osetya\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6zerklik stat\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc kald\u0131rd\u0131. (201<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Taraflar aras\u0131nda s\u00fcren \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma, \u015eevardnadze\u2019nin iktidara gelmesinden sonra, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n giri\u015fimiyle 24 Haziran 1992\u2019de ate\u015fkes antla\u015fmas\u0131 imzalanmas\u0131yla sona erdi. Bu Antla\u015fmaya g\u00f6re, b\u00f6lgeden b\u00fct\u00fcn askeri birlikler \u00e7ekilecekti ve yerine G\u00fcrc\u00fc, Oset ve Ruslardan olu\u015fan bir bar\u0131\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc konu\u015flanacakt\u0131. 1995\u2019te G\u00fcrcistan, G\u00fcney Osetya\u2019n\u0131n stat\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc kald\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 teyit ederek, b\u00f6lgeyi Tshinvali ad\u0131yla y\u00f6netim a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan do\u011frudan Tiflis\u2019in otoritesine ba\u011flad\u0131. (202<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Buna ra\u011fmen, G\u00fcney Osetya de- facto olarak Rusya destekli ayr\u0131mc\u0131 bir y\u00f6netimin kontrol\u00fc alt\u0131nda bulunmaya devam etmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>14 May\u0131s 1995\u2019te G\u00fcrcistan ve G\u00fcney Osetya ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 hareketi aras\u0131nda Moskova\u2019da Ate\u015fkes Antla\u015fmas\u0131 imzaland\u0131. Ate\u015fkes d\u00fczenini korumak amac\u0131yla ise Karaba\u011f \u00f6rne\u011finden farkl\u0131 olarak BDT bar\u0131\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn konu\u015flanmas\u0131 karar\u0131na var\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. BDT bar\u0131\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc t\u00fcm\u00fcyle Rus askerlerinden olu\u015fmaktad\u0131r. (203<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>2. AB ile YBD Aras\u0131ndaki \u0130li\u015fkilerin Tarihsel Geli\u015fimi<\/p>\n<p>2.1 AB\u2019nin YBD ile \u0130li\u015fkilerinin Ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131<\/p>\n<p><\/b>SSCB\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131nda sonra, k\u0131sa bir belirsizlik d\u00f6nemi ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015f ve Avrupa Birli\u011fi b\u00f6lge devletleri ve YBD ile ili\u015fkilerinde Rusya merkezli bir politika izlemeye devam etmi\u015ftir. AB her \u00fc\u00e7 devletin ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 di\u011fer eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi devletleri ile birlikte 31 Aral\u0131k 1991 tarihinde resmi olarak tan\u0131m\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. AB, 1993 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren zor durumda olan b\u00f6lge \u00fclkelerine yard\u0131m etmeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu ise, Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin \u00f6zellikle son d\u00f6nemlerinde ba\u015flayan ve ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131ktan sonra daha da derinle\u015fen bu ekonomik s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131y\u0131 ya\u015fayan \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131maktayd\u0131. AB i\u00e7in bu yard\u0131mlar\u0131n \u00f6nemi, Kafkasya ve Merkezi Asya b\u00f6lgelerinde istikrar\u0131n ve devletlerin kendilerine olan g\u00fcvenlerinin sa\u011flanmas\u0131nda yat\u0131yordu.<br \/>\nAB\u2019nin G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleriyle ve di\u011fer YBD ile ili\u015fkilerinin benzer bir s\u00fcre\u00e7ten ge\u00e7mesi ve Br\u00fcksel bunlara y\u00f6nelik ayn\u0131 d\u0131\u015f politikalar\u0131 uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in Azerbaycan, G\u00fcrcistan ve Ermenistan\u2019la olan ili\u015fkilerin bu devletlerle birlikte ele al\u0131nmas\u0131 konumuz a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan daha uygun g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Ayr\u0131ca, Avrupa Toplulu\u011fu, G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesi devletleri ile ili\u015fkilerini hen\u00fcz Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin mevcut oldu\u011fu d\u00f6nemde ba\u015flatm\u0131\u015f ve o d\u00f6nemde bu ili\u015fkiler Moskova merkezli olarak y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr.<\/p>\n<p>Avrupa Birli\u011fi ve Sovyetler Birli\u011fi, Avrupa Topluluklar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kuruldu\u011fu 1951\u2019den SSCB\u2019nin y\u0131k\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 1991\u2019e kadar ge\u00e7en k\u0131rk senenin otuz yedisinde hi\u00e7 bir ili\u015fkide bulunmam\u0131\u015flard\u0131r. \u0130lk ili\u015fkiler 1988 y\u0131l\u0131nda yani Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131na \u00fc\u00e7 sene kala kurulmu\u015ftur. (204<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><br \/>\nSovyet y\u00f6netiminin Avrupa entegrasyonuna kar\u015f\u0131 sergiledi\u011fi olumsuz tutum, So\u011fuk Sava\u015f d\u00f6neminin mant\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve iklimi ile belirlenmekteydi. Bat\u0131l\u0131 \u00fclkelerin herhangi bir konudaki benzer giri\u015fimi, Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ve d\u00fcnya emperyalizminin, Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019ne, Sosyalist \u00fclkelere, uluslararas\u0131 i\u015f\u00e7i hareketlerine ve \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck\u00e7\u00fc ulusal hareketlere kar\u015f\u0131 mevcut \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmada pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirme amac\u0131na y\u00f6nelik \u00f6nlemler olarak alg\u0131lan\u0131yordu. (205<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Di\u011fer taraftan Avrupa Ekonomik Toplulu\u011fu da, Do\u011fu Bloku\u2019nun ekonomik birli\u011fini temsil eden COMECON\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 ilgisizlik sergilemi\u015f ve kurucu anla\u015fmalar\u0131nda ne Do\u011fu Avrupa \u00fclkeleri, ne de Sovyetler Birli\u011fi ile ili\u015fkiler konusunda herhangi bir h\u00fckme yer vermemi\u015ftir. (206<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>AT\u2019nin COMECON\u2019a \u00fcye olan her devletle ayr\u0131 ayr\u0131 resmi ili\u015fkiler kurmas\u0131na ilk somut \u00f6rnek 1988 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n Haziran ay\u0131nda imzalanm\u0131\u015f olan Ortak Deklarasyon\u2019dur. (207<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Ayn\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n yaz\u0131nda taraflar aras\u0131nda ili\u015fkiler kuruldu ve Avrupa Topluluklar\u0131 Komisyonu yan\u0131nda bu devletlerin temsilcilikleri a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131. Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde bu \u00fclkelerle Ticaret ve \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Antla\u015fmalar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n imzalanmas\u0131 konusunda g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere ba\u015flanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. SSCB ile ticari ve iktisadi antla\u015fma 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k s\u00fcre i\u00e7in 1989 y\u0131l\u0131nda imzalanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Antla\u015fma, 1 Haziran 1990 tarihinde y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmi\u015ftir. Avrupa Topluluklar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan, SSCB\u2019nin yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ihracata uygulanan baz\u0131 miktar k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131 1 A\u011fustos 1991 tarihinde kald\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar sadece baz\u0131 hassas mallara kar\u015f\u0131 uygulanmaya devam etmi\u015ftir. SSCB bunun kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, kota, lisans ve d\u00f6viz miktar\u0131n\u0131n ayr\u0131lmas\u0131 gibi konularda Avrupa Topluluklar\u0131 i\u00e7in serbest rejim d\u00fczenlemi\u015ftir. Antla\u015fma, mallar\u0131n sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n pazar fiyatlar\u0131na g\u00f6re yap\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 ve savunma tedbirlerini \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. (208<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>1990 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n sonlar\u0131na do\u011fru Avrupa Topluluklar\u0131 ile SSCB antla\u015fman\u0131n i\u00e7eri\u011finin geni\u015fletilmesi konusunda g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler yapma niyeti i\u00e7inde olmu\u015flard\u0131r. Fakat bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler, 1991 y\u0131l\u0131nda SSCB\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131 nedeniyle hi\u00e7bir zaman ger\u00e7ekle\u015fememi\u015ftir. Sovyetler Birli\u011fi da\u011f\u0131l\u0131nca yerine ayn\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z Devletler Toplulu\u011fu kuruldu, bu nedenle ortaya tamam\u0131yla farkl\u0131 bir durum \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. 31 Aral\u0131k 1991 tarihinde Avrupa Topluluklar\u0131 ve \u00fcye devletler ortak beyannamelerinde YBD tan\u0131d\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015flard\u0131r. \u0130lk a\u015famada Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nin bu \u00fclkelere y\u00f6nelik politikas\u0131, Avrupa Konseyi\u2019nin YBD ile ili\u015fkiler konusunda 16<br \/>\nMart 1992\u2019de ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 karara ve b\u00fct\u00fcn SSCB ile 18 Aral\u0131k 1989\u2019da yap\u0131lan, BDT ve Balt\u0131k \u00fclkelerinde hukuki ge\u00e7erlili\u011fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcren anla\u015fmaya dayan\u0131yordu. (209<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Fakat yap\u0131lan d\u00fczenlemeler bu \u00fclkelerle ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015ftirilmesinde yetersiz kal\u0131yordu. Bunun \u00fczerine, AB yeni bir t\u00fcr s\u00f6zle\u015fme haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131na karar vermi\u015ftir. TACIS Program\u0131 b\u00f6ylece ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><b>2.2 AB\u2019nin YBD\u2019ye Uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 TACIS Program\u0131<\/p>\n<p>2.2.1 TACIS Program\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Olu\u015fumu ve Ama\u00e7lar\u0131<\/p>\n<p><\/b>TACIS (210<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Program\u0131, AT ile eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi devletleri aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in ilk a\u015famada en temel ve en \u00f6nemli ara\u00e7 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Bu program AB\u2019nin PHARE ve CARDS Programlar\u0131yla beraber en \u00f6nemli d\u0131\u015f programlardan biridir ve 23 milyon km2\u2019lik alanda 285 milyonluk bir n\u00fcfusu kapsamaktad\u0131r. Bu program\u0131n esas amac\u0131, Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra, \u00e7ok zor bir d\u00f6nemden ge\u00e7en ve yeni ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z olan devletlere demokratik y\u00f6netim ve piyasa ekonomisine ge\u00e7i\u015f a\u015famas\u0131nda yard\u0131m edilmesidir.<\/p>\n<p>1990\u2019da Dublin ve Roma Zirveleri\u2019nde bu konu ile ilgili olarak eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi Cumhuriyetleri\u2019ne y\u00f6nelik teknik yard\u0131m program\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flat\u0131lmas\u0131na karar verilmi\u015ftir. Bu program, 1992\u2019de art\u0131k \u00e7\u00f6km\u00fc\u015f olan Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin eski cumhuriyetlerine teknik yard\u0131m yapmak ve b\u00f6ylece ekonomik kalk\u0131nmaya destek sa\u011flamak amac\u0131yla ba\u015flat\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (211<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nin TACIS Program\u0131, eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019ne \u00fcye olan 12 devlete ve Mo\u011folistan\u2019a know-how aktar\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in mali ba\u011f\u0131\u015flar sunmaktad\u0131r. Bu giri\u015fim, Programa taraf \u00fclkelerde pazar ekonomisi ve demokratik toplum olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 amac\u0131yla ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmektedir. (212<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Yap\u0131lan yard\u0131m i\u00e7in gereken hukuksal yap\u0131 Konseyin 1279\/96 No\u2019lu T\u00fcz\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ile d\u00fczenlenmi\u015ftir; daha sonra 31 Aral\u0131k 1999 tarihinde y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fckten kalkan bu d\u00fczenlemenin yerine yeniden haz\u0131rlanan T\u00fcz\u00fck 2000\u20132006 y\u0131llar\u0131n\u0131 kapsamaktad\u0131r. Yeni d\u00fczenleme, TACIS Program\u0131 i\u00e7in ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki d\u00fczenlemeleri ve gelecekteki \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 bir araya getirerek, ama\u00e7lar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi do\u011frultusunda \u201cgeni\u015f ufuklar\u201d a\u00e7maktad\u0131r. (213<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0AB bu program \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde 3138 milyon Euro tutar\u0131nda b\u00fct\u00e7e ay\u0131rm\u0131\u015f bulunmaktad\u0131r. (214<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bundan sonra TACIS Program\u0131yla yeni d\u00fczenleme olu\u015fturulmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (215<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Yeni d\u00fczenlemede, \u00fcye devletlere piyasa ekonomisine ge\u00e7i\u015f d\u00f6neminde ve demokrasinin g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesi konusunda yap\u0131lacak yard\u0131mlarda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki hususlara dikkat edilmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr: S\u0131n\u0131r \u00f6tesi kirlilik dahil, \u00e7evre kirlili\u011fi riskinin azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in gereken giri\u015fimlerin ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi, enerji kaynaklar\u0131 ve di\u011fer do\u011fal kaynaklar\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131, projelerin sosyal y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fcn ara\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n temin edilmesi.<br \/>\nTACIS program\u0131 ayn\u0131 zamanda AB, Merkezi ve Do\u011fu Avrupa devletleri ve YBD aras\u0131nda devletleraras\u0131, b\u00f6lgeler aras\u0131 ve s\u0131n\u0131r \u00f6tesi i\u015fbirli\u011fini te\u015fvik etmektedir. Bu i\u015fbirli\u011fi ulusal seviyede ileti\u015fim a\u011flar\u0131n\u0131n kurulmas\u0131, \u00e7evre koruma, adalet ve i\u00e7i\u015fleri gibi alanlarda tek ba\u015f\u0131na ba\u015f edemeyecekleri sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesinde yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Program; YBD\u2019nin de\u011fi\u015fen \u00e7e\u015fitli ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n ve \u00f6nceliklerinin her bir \u00fclke \u00f6zelinde ve b\u00f6lgesel seviyede belirlenmesi, demokrasiye, piyasa ekonomisine ge\u00e7i\u015fleri ve s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir ekonomik geli\u015fmelerinin sa\u011flanmas\u0131, reformlar\u0131n sosyal y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fcn ara\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, kad\u0131nlar i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat e\u015fitli\u011finin sa\u011flanmas\u0131, \u00e7evre koruma a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan do\u011fal kaynaklar\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir \u015fekilde kullan\u0131m\u0131 konular\u0131nda belirlenen kriterlerin benimsenmesi do\u011frultusunda yard\u0131m etmeyi \u00f6ng\u00f6rmektedir. (216<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Bu program \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde n\u00fckleer g\u00fcvenlik, adalet, i\u00e7i\u015fleri ve s\u0131n\u0131r \u00f6tesi i\u015f birli\u011fi gibi konularda yard\u0131mlar\u0131n yap\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, yat\u0131r\u0131m ve yat\u0131r\u0131mla ilgili eylemler \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Yard\u0131mlar, yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n te\u015fviki i\u00e7in teknik yard\u0131m \u015feklinde olabilir. Finansman\u0131n, s\u0131n\u0131r\u00f6tesi i\u015fbirli\u011fi, k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck ve orta i\u015fletmelere destek verilmesi, \u00e7evre altyap\u0131s\u0131 gibi konularda kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Projelerin belirlenmesi ve haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131 yerel ve b\u00f6lgesel seviyede ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilecektir. Baz\u0131 projeler a\u015famal\u0131 \u015fekilde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilebilir. A\u015famalar aras\u0131nda kopuklu\u011fun olmamas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6nceki a\u015faman\u0131n ba\u015far\u0131yla ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi halinde yeni a\u015famaya ge\u00e7i\u015fin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in gereken tedbirlerin al\u0131nmas\u0131 gerekli g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. (217<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0TACIS Program\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde yer alan TRACECA ve INOGATE Programlar\u0131 konumuz a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r ve programlar konusunda ayr\u0131ca bilgi gereklidir.<\/p>\n<p><b>2.2.2 TACIS TRACECA Program\u0131 ve \u00d6nemi<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nTRACECA (218<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Program\u0131 TACIS Program\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesindeki programlardan biri ve ilk \u00f6nce 1992\u2019de AB\u2019nin BDT devletlerine y\u00f6nelik yeniden yap\u0131lanma ve piyasa ekonomisine ge\u00e7i\u015fini kolayla\u015ft\u0131rmak i\u00e7in \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen B\u00f6lgesel Devletleraras\u0131 Program\u0131\u2019n\u0131n geli\u015ftirilmi\u015f halidir. Bu program\u0131n en \u00f6nemli amac\u0131, program\u0131 kapsayacak b\u00f6lgede altyap\u0131, ortak standartlar ve uygulama s\u00fcrecini olu\u015fturmak ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetle yap\u0131labilecek hem ulusal, hem de uluslararas\u0131 bir \u015febekenin olu\u015fturulmas\u0131d\u0131r. Bu \u015febeke, ula\u015f\u0131m, enerji ve telekom\u00fcnikasyon alanlar\u0131n\u0131 kapsayacakt\u0131r. 1993 May\u0131s ay\u0131nda Br\u00fcksel&#8217;de (be\u015fi Merkezi Asya \u00fc\u00e7\u00fc ise Kafkasya Cumhuriyeti olan) sekiz ilgili devletin Ula\u015f\u0131m ve Ticaret bakanlar\u0131n\u0131n bir araya geldi\u011fi konferansta TRACECA\u2019n\u0131n temel ilkeleri belirlenmi\u015ftir. Bu konferansta Avrupa\u2019dan bat\u0131-do\u011fu istikametinde Karadeniz \u00fczerinden, Kafkasya\u2019dan, Hazar Denizinden Merkezi Asya\u2019ya kadar ula\u015f\u0131m koridorunun geli\u015ftirilmesi \u015feklindeki AB\u2019nin bu devletlere y\u00f6nelik global stratejisinin bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olarak \u015fu hedefler g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr: (219<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Avrupa ve D\u00fcnya pazarlar\u0131na alternatif ula\u015f\u0131m yollar\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015ftirilmesiyle bu cumhuriyetlerin politik ve ekonomik ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 desteklemek; cumhuriyetler aras\u0131nda i\u015fbirli\u011finin geli\u015fmesini te\u015fvik etmek; bu program arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla uluslararas\u0131 mali kurumlar\u0131n ve \u00f6zel yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n bu devletlere yat\u0131r\u0131m yapmas\u0131n\u0131 te\u015fvik etmek; TRACECA ula\u015f\u0131m koridorunu AB\u2019de mevcut olan Trans-Avrupa \u015eebekesine ba\u011flamak.<\/p>\n<p>TRACECA Program\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde Bat\u0131 Avrupa ile b\u00f6lge devletleri aras\u0131ndaki ba\u011flant\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesi ve Rusya \u00fczerinden ge\u00e7en kuzey koridoruna ve T\u00fcrkiye ile \u0130ran \u00fczerinden ileride olu\u015fturulabilecek bir koridora alternatif yaratmak ama\u00e7lanmaktad\u0131r. Bununla da yeni kurulmu\u015f cumhuriyetlerin ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131, b\u00f6lgesel i\u015fbirli\u011fi ve istikrar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesine, peki\u015ftirilmesine \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lmaktad\u0131r. Nitekim b\u00f6lgenin enerji ve do\u011fal kaynak potansiyelini geli\u015ftirmek ve i\u015fletmek amac\u0131yla ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan TRACECA ile daha \u00f6nce ve g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde yeni projelerle yeniden canland\u0131r\u0131lmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lan ve esasen kuzey-g\u00fcney ekseninde in\u015fa edilen ve edilebilecek boru hatlar\u0131 projelerini do\u011fu-bat\u0131 eksenine d\u00f6nd\u00fcrmek ama\u00e7lanmaktad\u0131r. Bunu ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmek i\u00e7in, TRACECA Program\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesinde Hazar k\u0131y\u0131s\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir liman olan Bak\u00fc ile Karadeniz limanlar\u0131 aras\u0131nda ana koridorda bulunan demiryollar\u0131n\u0131, karayollar\u0131n\u0131 ve boru hatlar\u0131n\u0131, ayn\u0131 zamanda hava limanlar\u0131n\u0131 yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131racak \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar yap\u0131lacakt\u0131r. (220<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Yap\u0131lacak \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar<\/p>\n<p>sonucunda jeopolitik a\u00e7\u0131dan son derece b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yan ve Rusya ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda te\u011fet bir hat olu\u015fturan ve bu a\u00e7\u0131dan projenin amac\u0131na ula\u015fabilmesi i\u00e7in co\u011frafi tekel durumunda bulunan G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesi, AB ile Orta Asya ve Uzak Do\u011fu aras\u0131nda sa\u011flam bir ba\u011f olu\u015fturmaya muvaffak olacakt\u0131r. Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesinin hassas dengesinden do\u011fan ve Program \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen di\u011fer \u00f6nemli projeler ise Kazakistan\u2019\u0131n Almat\u0131 \u015fehrinden T\u00fcrkmenistan\u2019\u0131n Mari (Merv) \u015fehrine, oradan \u0130ran ve T\u00fcrkiye \u00fczerinden bir kara yolu ile Almat\u0131\u2019dan Merkezi Asya boyunca Rusya\u2019ya kadar uzanan demiryolunun yeniden<br \/>\nyap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131d\u0131r. (221<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bu durumda AB\u2019den co\u011frafi a\u00e7\u0131dan uzakta bulunan ve mali a\u00e7\u0131dan bu projeleri kendi ba\u015f\u0131na ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirme olana\u011f\u0131 olmayan b\u00f6lge \u00fclkeleri bu Birlik ile ekonomik ili\u015fkilerde alternatif imk\u00e2nlardan yararlanma \u015fans\u0131na sahip olacakt\u0131r. Bu nedenle ili\u015fkilerin p\u00fcr\u00fczs\u00fcz geli\u015fimi konusunda hem AB hem de b\u00f6lge devletleri son derece b\u00fcy\u00fck hassasiyet g\u00f6stermektedirler.<\/p>\n<p>G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde TRACECA Program\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde geli\u015ftirilen projeler \u00fcye devletleraras\u0131nda \u00e7e\u015fitli konularda e\u015fg\u00fcd\u00fcm\u00fcn yetersizli\u011fi nedeniyle istenilen seviyede geli\u015fmemektedir. Bu durumda TRACECA Program\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde b\u00f6lgede ula\u015f\u0131m koridorlar\u0131n geli\u015ftirilmesi konusunda farkl\u0131 giri\u015fimler de desteklenmektedir. Bunlardan biri, 23\u201324 Eyl\u00fcl 2007 y\u0131l\u0131nda Tacikistan\u2019\u0131n ba\u015fkenti Du\u015fanbe\u2019de, AG\u0130T taraf\u0131ndan d\u00fczenlenen 2015 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar Merkezi Asya b\u00f6lgesini \u00fczerinden ge\u00e7ecek Trans-Asya ve Avrasya ula\u015f\u0131m koridorlar\u0131n geli\u015fim olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131 konusundaki konferanst\u0131r. Bu Konferansa, TRACECA Program\u0131nda yer alan devletler kat\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. AG\u0130T\u2019in bu giri\u015fimi TRACECA ama\u00e7lar\u0131 ile \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc i\u00e7in, bu program\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fcten TRACECA Genel Sekreterli\u011finden de temsilciler kat\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Konferansta g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fclen en \u00f6nemli konulardan biri de, b\u00f6lgede bulunan devletleraras\u0131nda ula\u015f\u0131m politikalar\u0131n geli\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in daha da derin e\u015fg\u00fcd\u00fcm\u00fcn olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 gereklili\u011fi idi. (222<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>2.2.3 INOGATE<\/b>\u00a0(223<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><b>\u00a0Program\u0131\u00a0<\/b>\u00a0(224<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><b><br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nBu program Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nin Hazar Denizi b\u00f6lgesinde bulunan petrol ve gaz\u0131n i\u015fletilmesi konusunda etkinli\u011fini art\u0131rmak ve b\u00f6lge devletlerinin refah seviyesini y\u00fckseltmek amac\u0131na y\u00f6nelik uzun s\u00fcredir devam eden giri\u015fimlerinden biridir. Bu mesele ile ilgili olarak 1995 y\u0131l\u0131nda AB Komisyonu taraf\u0131ndan petrol ve gaz\u0131n y\u00f6netim sorunlar\u0131 konusunda bir konferans d\u00fczenlenmi\u015ftir. Bu konferansta, Hazar Denizi b\u00f6lgesinde bulunan petrol ve gaz yataklar\u0131 ile ilgili b\u00f6lgesel i\u015fbirli\u011fi stratejileri belirlenmi\u015ftir. Bu tarihten beri Komisyon ilgili devletlerle Hazar Denizi\u2019nde enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn modernizasyonuna yard\u0131m etme konusunda aktif bir \u015fekilde i\u015fbirli\u011fi yapmaktad\u0131r. Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nin 1997 y\u0131l\u0131nda ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 INOGATE Program\u0131 bu y\u00f6ndeki giri\u015fimlerin en iyi \u00f6rne\u011fidir. (225<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>INOGATE Program\u0131, AB\u2019nin YBD\u2019ye teknik yard\u0131m konusunda uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 esas b\u00f6lgesel programd\u0131r. Bu programa TACIS\u2019e taraf olan devletler d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda PHARE Program\u0131na dahil olan Merkezi ve Do\u011fu Avrupa \u00dclkeleri de kat\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Program\u0131n esas ama\u00e7lar\u0131: YBD\u2019de b\u00f6lgesel gaz ula\u015f\u0131m sisteminin ve petrol \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinin ta\u015f\u0131ma sistemlerinin yeniden yap\u0131lanmas\u0131, verimlili\u011finin art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 ve modernle\u015ftirilmesi; Hazar Denizinden ve Merkezi Asya\u2019daki b\u00f6lgelerden petrol ve gaz\u0131n ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131 i\u00e7in alternatif yollar\u0131n belirlenmesidir. (226<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Buna ek olarak risk oran\u0131 y\u00fcksek s\u0131n\u0131rlar aras\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerin alt yap\u0131s\u0131na y\u00f6nelik orta \u00f6l\u00e7ekli yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n yap\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n (uluslararas\u0131 standartlar ve \u00e7evre korumas\u0131nda \u00e7a\u011fda\u015f teknolojik metotlar\u0131n uygulanmas\u0131 do\u011frultusunda) sa\u011flanmas\u0131 say\u0131labilir. Bu t\u00fcr yat\u0131r\u0131mlar, petrol ve gaz\u0131n uluslararas\u0131 alanda ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n altyap\u0131sal sorunlar\u0131 konusunda yeni kabul edilen s\u00f6zle\u015fmenin y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmesiyle \u00f6rnek projeler gibi g\u00f6sterilecektir. (227<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>INOGATE Program\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde desteklenmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen projeler aras\u0131nda Rusya\u2019dan Almanya\u2019ya Balt\u0131k Denizi\u2019nden ge\u00e7mesi planlanan, esasen gelecekte i\u015fletilmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen \u015etokman yata\u011f\u0131ndan gaz\u0131 Avrupa\u2019ya ta\u015f\u0131yacak Kuzey do\u011falgaz boru hatt\u0131 ve Rusya\u2019dan gelen do\u011falgaza alternatif olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen Hazar Denizi\u2019ndeki Azerbaycan \u015eahdeniz yata\u011f\u0131ndan Avrupa\u2019ya do\u011falgaz\u0131 iletecek T\u00fcrkiye-Yunanistan-\u0130talya do\u011falgaz boru hatt\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. (228<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>INOGATE Program\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde desteklenen en \u00f6nemli do\u011falgaz boru hatt\u0131 projesi ise Nabucco\u2019dur. Merkezi Asya devletleri, \u0130ran ve Azerbaycan\u2019da \u00fcretilecek olan do\u011falgaz\u0131n, yap\u0131m\u0131 planlanan TransHazar boru hatt\u0131yla Bak\u00fc\u2019ye buradan da Bak\u00fc-Tiflis-Erzurum boru hatt\u0131yla Nabucco boru hatt\u0131na nakledilerek Do\u011fu Avrupa \u00fclkelerine ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. S\u00f6z edilen projenin ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesiyle ilgili bir\u00e7ok sorun mevcut olmakla beraber, AB Ortak Enerji Politikas\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fumu a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem arz etmektedir. (229<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Program taraf\u0131ndan desteklenen petrol boru hatlar\u0131n\u0131n baz\u0131lar\u0131 Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n Karadeniz liman\u0131ndan Polonya\u2019ya kadar uzanan ve T\u00fcrk Bo\u011fazlar\u0131\u2019ndaki tanker trafi\u011fini hafifletmeyi sa\u011flayacak Odessa-Brody petrol boru hatt\u0131 ile yine Romanya\u2019n\u0131n Karadeniz liman\u0131ndan H\u0131rvatistan \u00fczerinden \u0130talya\u2019n\u0131n Trieste \u015fehrine kadar uzanan Constanza-Omisalj-Trieste petrol boru hatt\u0131d\u0131r. (230<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Di\u011fer bir ismiyle Pan-Avrupa boru hatt\u0131 olarak bilinen bu ikinci petrol ta\u015f\u0131ma hatt\u0131n\u0131n, Hazar Denizi\u2019nde var olan petrol\u00fc Avrupa\u2019ya ta\u015f\u0131mas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir ve Bo\u011fazlardaki trafi\u011fi hafifletmeyi ama\u00e7lamaktad\u0131r. (231<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>2.3 AB ile G\u00fcney Kafkasya Devletleri Aras\u0131ndaki \u0130li\u015fkilerin Geli\u015fi S\u00fcrecinde TACIS Program\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Rol\u00fc<\/p>\n<p><\/b>Her \u00fc\u00e7 G\u00fcney Kafkasya devleti ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 ilan ettikten sonra, Avrupa Birli\u011fi ile aktif ili\u015fkiler kurmak i\u00e7in \u00e7ok istekli olmu\u015flard\u0131r. Nitekim daha \u00f6nce s\u00f6z edildi\u011fi gibi, bu \u00fclkeler daha Sovyetler Birli\u011fi zaman\u0131nda ba\u015flat\u0131lan TACIS ve di\u011fer Avrupa Birli\u011fi Programlar\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde bu kurumla ili\u015fkilerini geli\u015ftirmeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>1992 y\u0131l\u0131nda TACIS Program\u0131\u2019n\u0131n b\u00f6lgede aktif bir \u015fekilde uygulanmaya ba\u015flamas\u0131 ile birlikte, 1993 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7inde ilk \u00f6nce 20 Temmuz\u2019da Ermenistan, daha sonra da 20 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de Azerbaycan ile Avrupa Ekonomik Toplulu\u011fu aras\u0131nda tekstil alan\u0131nda ticareti d\u00fczenleyen anla\u015fma imzalanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 1994 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fckte olan bu anla\u015fma daha sonra Finlandiya ve \u0130sve\u00e7\u2019in Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019ne tam \u00fcye olarak kat\u0131lmalar\u0131 ve bu Antla\u015fmada yap\u0131lan de\u011fi\u015fiklikler nedeniyle Ermenistan ile 23 \u015eubat 1995, Azerbaycan\u2019la 18 Aral\u0131k 1995 yeniden imzalanm\u0131\u015f ve bu Antla\u015fmaya yeni kat\u0131lan G\u00fcrcistan\u2019la 15 Haziran 1995\u2019te imzalanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (232<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>AB ile ili\u015fkilerini geli\u015ftirmeyi arzulayan ve TRACECA Projesini bir \u015fans bilen Azerbaycan Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Aliyev ve G\u00fcrcistan Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 \u015eevardnadze, 1997 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda, TRACECA \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde \u201c\u00c7ok Tarafl\u0131 Ula\u015f\u0131m Antla\u015fmas\u0131\u201dn\u0131n imzalanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in, 1998 y\u0131l\u0131nda Kafkasya\u2019da bir konferans\u0131n yap\u0131lmas\u0131 konusunda AB\u2019ye ortak teklifte bulundular. AB bu teklifi olumlu bir \u015fekilde kar\u015f\u0131lad\u0131 ve bunun \u00fczerine TRACECA&#8217;n\u0131n deste\u011fiyle 8 Eyl\u00fcl 1998 tarihinde Bak\u00fc&#8217;de \u201cTarihi \u0130pek Yolunun Canland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131\u201d adl\u0131 konferans d\u00fczenlenmi\u015ftir. Bu konferansa Azerbaycan, Bulgaristan, G\u00fcrcistan, K\u0131rg\u0131zistan, Moldova, Romanya, T\u00fcrkiye, \u00d6zbekistan ve Ukrayna Cumhurba\u015fkanlar\u0131, AB Komisyonu\u2019nun temsilcileri, h\u00fck\u00fcmet ba\u015fkanlar\u0131, ula\u015f\u0131m bakanlar\u0131 ve 32 devletten uzmanlar kat\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Konferansa 12 uluslararas\u0131 \u00f6rg\u00fct kat\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Konferans\u0131n sonunda, TRACECA \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde \u201cAvrupa-Kafkasya-Asya Uluslararas\u0131 Ula\u015f\u0131m Koridorunun Geli\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in \u00c7ok Tarafl\u0131 Antla\u015fma\u201d imzalanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (233<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Bu antla\u015fmaya g\u00f6re taraflar Avrupa&#8217;da, Karadeniz B\u00f6lgesinde, Kafkasya\u2019da, Hazar Denizi B\u00f6lgesinde ve Asya\u2019da ekonomik ili\u015fkileri, ticareti ve ula\u015f\u0131m\u0131, d\u00fcnya pazarlar\u0131na a\u00e7\u0131lan yollar\u0131, demiryolu nakliyat\u0131 ve ticari deniz yollar\u0131n\u0131, yol, mal g\u00fcvenli\u011fini ve \u00e7evre korumas\u0131n\u0131 geli\u015ftirmeyi, ula\u015f\u0131m alan\u0131nda politikalar\u0131 ve \u00fclkelerdeki yasal yap\u0131y\u0131 birbiriyle uyumlu hale getirmeyi, ula\u015f\u0131m faaliyetlerinde e\u015fit rekabet ortam\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturmay\u0131 temel ama\u00e7lar olarak belirlemi\u015flerdir. (234<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>2002\u2019de 1996 y\u0131l\u0131na ile k\u0131yasla, TRACECA koridoruyla ta\u015f\u0131nan y\u00fck miktar\u0131<br \/>\n12 defa artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Koridorun merkez ba\u011flant\u0131s\u0131 kabul edilen Azerbaycan ve G\u00fcrcistan arazilerinden 2002\u2019de 33 milyon ton y\u00fck ta\u015f\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (235<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>TAC\u0130S \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde uygulanan di\u011fer program ise B\u0130STRO\u2019dur. Bunun amac\u0131 100 bin Euro\u2019yu a\u015fmayan ve en fazla dokuz ay s\u00fcreyle s\u0131n\u0131rlanm\u0131\u015f olan k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck projelere h\u0131zl\u0131 bir bi\u00e7imde teknik yard\u0131m deste\u011finin sa\u011flanmas\u0131d\u0131r. Program Rusya, Kazakistan ve Ukrayna ile birlikte G\u00fcrcistan ve Ermenistan\u2019a y\u00f6neliktir. Bu devletler B\u0130STRO Program\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde finans, \u00f6zelle\u015ftirme, insan kaynaklar\u0131, enerji ve<br \/>\n\u00e7evre korumas\u0131 gibi konularda AB\u2019den mali ve teknik yard\u0131m alm\u0131\u015flard\u0131r. (236<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>AB\u2019nin b\u00f6lgeye y\u00f6nelik uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir di\u011fer yard\u0131m program\u0131 ise ECHO\u2019dur. Bu program\u0131n amac\u0131, b\u00f6lgede insani yard\u0131m\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesidir. Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131klardan hemen sonra ciddi politik, ekonomik ve sosyal sorunlarla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fan bu devletler acil yard\u0131mlara ihtiya\u00e7 duymaktayd\u0131lar. G\u00fcrcistan bu yard\u0131mlar\u0131 1993\u2019ten beri almaktad\u0131r ve en b\u00fcy\u00fck yard\u0131m 1995\u2019de 27.47 milyon Euro miktar\u0131 ile ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir. Ermenistan da bu program \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde en b\u00fcy\u00fck yard\u0131m\u0131 1995\u2019de alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Toplam miktar 25.9 milyon Euro olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir. Azerbaycan ise ECHO Program \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde 1995 y\u0131l\u0131nda 28.82 milyon Euro alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (237<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Genel olarak bu devletler 1991\u20132001 tarihleri aras\u0131nda AB\u2019den bu program \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde \u015fu miktarlar\u0131 alm\u0131\u015flard\u0131r: Azerbaycan 81.71 milyon Euro, G\u00fcrcistan 83.23 milyon Euro, Ermenistan ise 69.85 milyon Euro. (238<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Program \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde yard\u0131mlar ciddi bir \u015fekilde azalma g\u00f6sterse de, bu yard\u0131mlar \u00fclkelerin ge\u00e7i\u015f ekonomisi \u015fartlar\u0131n\u0131 ya\u015fad\u0131klar\u0131 en a\u011f\u0131r d\u00f6nemlerinde \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck katk\u0131 sa\u011flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><b>2.4 TACIS Program\u0131\u2019n\u0131 PHARE ve CARDS Programlar\u0131ndan Ay\u0131ran<br \/>\n\u00d6zellikler<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nDaha \u00f6nce de s\u00f6z edildi\u011fi gibi TACIS, (243<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan YBD\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik bir teknik ve mali yard\u0131m program\u0131d\u0131r. Bu a\u00e7\u0131dan TACIS Program\u0131 PHARE ve CARDS Programlar\u0131na \u00e7ok benzemektedir. Ancak her \u00fc\u00e7 program aras\u0131ndaki en \u00f6nemli fark, bu programlar\u0131n uygulanmayla taraf devletlerin elde edecekleri sonu\u00e7tur. Mesela PHARE Program\u0131\u2019n\u0131 ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 bir \u015fekilde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiren \u00fclkeler AB\u2019ye tam \u00fcye olarak kabul edilecektir. Di\u011fer bir deyi\u015fle PHARE bir \u00f6n kat\u0131l\u0131m program\u0131 \u00f6zelli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r. Nitekim bu programdan yararlanan MDA\u00dc daha sonra AB\u2019ye tam \u00fcye olmu\u015flard\u0131r. (244<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><br \/>\nBat\u0131 Balkan \u00fclkelerine y\u00f6nelik uygulanan CARDS Program\u0131, b\u00f6lge \u00fclkelerinin Do\u011fu Bloku\u2019nun da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra spesifik geli\u015fimini g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurularak \u00f6nerilen bir programd\u0131r. PHARE Program\u0131\u2019ndan fark\u0131, nihai amac\u0131 tam \u00fcyelik olmamakla beraber, ba\u015far\u0131yla tamamlayan Bat\u0131 Balkan \u00fclkelerine \u201cpotansiyel aday \u00fclke\u201d stat\u00fcs\u00fcne kavu\u015fmay\u0131 sa\u011flamas\u0131d\u0131r. (245<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Yani bu devlet adayl\u0131\u011fa ehil olarak kabul edilecektir. Asl\u0131nda CARDS Program\u0131, \u00fcyelik s\u00fcrecini biraz daha d\u00f6neme\u00e7li hale getirmektedir. (246<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bu ek a\u015famalar daha \u00f6nce anlat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fczere Bat\u0131 Balkanlar\u0131n \u00f6zel \u015fartlar\u0131ndan kaynaklanmakta ve bu devletleri tam \u00fcyelik i\u00e7in daha haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 duruma getirmeyi ama\u00e7lamaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>TACIS Program\u0131\u2019na gelince, bu program di\u011fer iki programla bir\u00e7ok ortak yan\u0131 oldu\u011fu halde, ne PHARE gibi tam \u00fcyelik, ne de CARDS gibi adayl\u0131\u011fa ehil say\u0131lmay\u0131 \u00f6nermektedir. Asl\u0131na bak\u0131l\u0131rsa, di\u011fer programlardan farkl\u0131 olarak TACIS sadece Avrupa k\u0131tas\u0131ndaki \u00fclkelere de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda Kazakistan ve T\u00fcrkmenistan gibi Merkezi Asya devletlerine de uygulanmaktad\u0131r. TACIS Program\u0131 YBD ve Mo\u011folistan\u2019a demokrasi ve piyasa ekonomisine ge\u00e7i\u015f s\u00fcrecinde gereken yard\u0131m\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131n\u0131 ama\u00e7lamaktad\u0131r. Asl\u0131nda PHARE Program\u0131 da ilk olarak, MDA\u00dc ile ilgili benzer ama\u00e7lar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesini hedeflemi\u015ftir. Ancak AB\u2019nin MDA\u00dc\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fmesiyle, PHARE Program\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6ncelikleri de de\u011fi\u015fmeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f ve belirtildi\u011fi gibi ko\u015fullu kat\u0131l\u0131m program\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr.<\/p>\n<p>Bu a\u00e7\u0131dan, her ne kadar TACIS Program\u0131 b\u00f6lge devletleri i\u00e7in AB ile entegrasyon amac\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131masa da, PHARE Program\u0131 \u00f6rne\u011finde g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00fczere, birlik i\u00e7inde Avrupa k\u0131tas\u0131nda yer alan YBD\u2019lere farkl\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fmesi, mesela daha yak\u0131n bir i\u015fbirli\u011fi hatta kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n hedeflenmesi gibi olas\u0131 durumlara y\u00f6nelik \u015fimdiden haz\u0131rl\u0131k yapm\u0131\u015f olmay\u0131 sa\u011flayan bir \u00f6n kat\u0131l\u0131m program\u0131 olarak da g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.<\/p>\n<p><b>3. YBD\u2019le \u0130li\u015fkilerin Olu\u015fturulmas\u0131nda Yeni A\u015fama: Partnerlik ve \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Anla\u015fmas\u0131<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\n<b>3.1 Partnerlik ve \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u00d6zellikleri<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nAB, 1994 y\u0131l\u0131nda Do\u011fu Bloku\u2019nu olu\u015fturan \u00fclkelerle ayr\u0131 ayr\u0131 Partnerlik ve \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Anla\u015fmalar\u0131 imzalam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. AB Konseyi 1992 y\u0131l\u0131nda, yeni bir siyasi ve ekonomik durum olu\u015fmas\u0131 sonucu YBD ile yeni bir anla\u015fman\u0131n imzalanmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Bu antla\u015fma; Partnerlik ve \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Anla\u015fmas\u0131 (247<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0(P\u0130A) olarak adland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f ve 1989 y\u0131l\u0131nda Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019yle imzalanm\u0131\u015f olan Ticaret ve \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n yerini alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ticaret ve \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Anla\u015fmas\u0131, AB ile YBD aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkilerin temelini olu\u015fturarak, bu ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015fmesi ve derinle\u015fmesi i\u00e7in P\u0130A\u2019ya ak\u0131c\u0131 bir ge\u00e7i\u015f sa\u011flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu Anla\u015fma, Tacikistan d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda b\u00fct\u00fcn YBD ile imzalanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Rusya ile imzalanan ilk P\u0130A Aral\u0131k 1997 tarihinde y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmi\u015ftir. Ukrayna ve Moldova ile imzalanan P\u0130A\u2019lar da 1998 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmi\u015ftir. (248<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0P\u0130A\u2019lar YBD\u2019nin farkl\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131na g\u00f6re her devlet i\u00e7in ayr\u0131 \u00f6zellikler ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r. Her P\u0130A, sadece AB ile YBD aras\u0131nda bir anla\u015fma de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda AB\u2019yi olu\u015fturan t\u00fcm \u00fcye devletlerle, partner devletler aras\u0131nda iki tarafl\u0131 bir anla\u015fma olma \u00f6zelli\u011fini de ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r. P\u0130A\u2019lar, AB ile partner devletler aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkilerin b\u00fcy\u00fcme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayan bir \u00e7er\u00e7eve olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r. P\u0130A\u2019lar do\u011frultusunda geli\u015fmekte olan i\u015fbirli\u011fi, TACIS Program\u0131\u2019n\u0131 kapsamaktad\u0131r ancak P\u0130A TACIS tecr\u00fcbesi \u00fczerine bina edilmi\u015ftir. (249<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>2003 ba\u015flar\u0131nda, P\u0130A imzalanan on bir \u00fclkeden dokuzunda y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmi\u015ftir. Beyaz Rusya ve T\u00fcrkmenistan\u2019da insan haklar\u0131n\u0131n ve demokratik ilkelerin s\u00fcrekli ihlali sebebi ile imzalanm\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmalar y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmemi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>P\u0130A\u2019lar\u0131n ortak y\u00f6nleri vard\u0131r. Her anla\u015fma, AB ve ilgili devletle aras\u0131nda, mal ve hizmet ticaretini, siyasi diyalogu, fikri haklar\u0131, \u015firketlerin tabi olaca\u011f\u0131 kurallar\u0131 olu\u015fturan yat\u0131r\u0131m te\u015fviki gibi d\u00fczenlemeleri, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ve kapsaml\u0131 siyasi ve ekonomik ili\u015fkilerin temelini olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r. Ula\u015f\u0131mdan y\u00fcksek \u00f6\u011frenime kadar farkl\u0131 konularda i\u015fbirli\u011fine olanak vermektedir. Bu anla\u015fmalar, ticaret ve yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n artmas\u0131nda giderek artan bir rol oynamaktad\u0131r. P\u0130A\u2019lar uluslararas\u0131 d\u00fczeyde kabul edilen insan haklar\u0131 ve demokrasi normlar\u0131na g\u00f6re d\u00fczenlenmi\u015ftir. Bu anla\u015fmalar, siyasi ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011fa ve parlamenter demokrasiye vurgu yaparak, her taraf devlete demokratikle\u015fme s\u00fcrecinde yard\u0131m etmektedir. (252<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>P\u0130A, AB ile YBD aras\u0131nda politik diyalogu geli\u015ftiren ve ayr\u0131mc\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6nleyen ticari ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015ftirilmesini sa\u011flamaktad\u0131r. YBD\u2019nin bat\u0131 k\u0131sm\u0131 i\u00e7in, ileride AB ile serbest ticaret b\u00f6lgesinin kurulmas\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 vard\u0131r. Bu anla\u015fma; e\u011fitim, istihdam, bilim ve teknoloji gibi geni\u015f bir yelpazeyi olu\u015fturan yeni alanlar\u0131 da i\u00e7ermektedir. (253<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Anla\u015fmaya g\u00f6re taraflar kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 olarak en \u00e7ok g\u00f6zetilen ulus stat\u00fcs\u00fc tan\u0131maktad\u0131r. Kendi aralar\u0131nda ticari ili\u015fkileri engelleyebilecek t\u00fcm kotalar kald\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bunun yan\u0131nda taraflar ekonominin esas alanlar\u0131ndan \u00e7evre korunmas\u0131 meselelerine, y\u00fcksek ve mesleki e\u011fitim, yasal olmayan g\u00f6\u00e7 ve toplu su\u00e7 ile m\u00fccadele konular\u0131na kadar i\u015fbirli\u011finin geli\u015ftirilmesinde kendilerini y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fc k\u0131lm\u0131\u015flard\u0131r. (254<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>3.2 AB ile G\u00fcney Kafkasya Devletleri \u0130li\u015fkilerinde Partnerlik ve \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Anla\u015fmalar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Yeri ve \u00d6nemi<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nAvrupa Birli\u011fi ile Azerbaycan, G\u00fcrcistan ve Ermenistan aras\u0131nda 22 Nisan<\/p>\n<p>1996 tarihinde ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015fimine yeni bir ivme kazand\u0131rabilecek nitelikte olan Partnerlik ve \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Anla\u015fmas\u0131 imzalanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (255<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nin P\u0130A\u2019lar\u0131 t\u00fcm b\u00f6lge \u00fclkeleri ile ayn\u0131 tarihte imzalamas\u0131n\u0131n en \u00f6nemli sebebi, siyasi konjonkt\u00fcr\u00fc hassas olan G\u00fcney Kafkasya\u2019da herhangi bir \u00fclkeye y\u00f6nelik ayr\u0131cal\u0131k veya ayr\u0131mc\u0131l\u0131k alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fmamas\u0131na dikkat etmesidir.<\/p>\n<p>B\u00f6lge devletleri ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131klar\u0131ndan hemen sonra ya\u015fad\u0131klar\u0131 belirsizlik d\u00f6nemlerini atlatmay\u0131 ba\u015far\u0131nca, devlet d\u00fczenlerinin kurulmas\u0131na bir \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde muvaffak olmu\u015flad\u0131r. Bu durum, yeni bir geni\u015fleme ve derinle\u015fme s\u00fcrecine girmi\u015f AB\u2019nin, bu s\u00fcre\u00e7lerin sonunda b\u00f6lge ile s\u0131n\u0131rda\u015f olma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bu \u00fclkelerin Avrupa co\u011frafyas\u0131n\u0131n bir par\u00e7as\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturmalar\u0131 ihtimalini de\u011ferlendirmesine sebep olmu\u015f ve G\u00fcney Kafkasya \u00fclkelerine y\u00f6nelik bir yakla\u015f\u0131m belirlenmesinin gereklili\u011fi belirmi\u015ftir.<br \/>\nBunun i\u00e7in gerekli ad\u0131mlar AB Komisyonu\u2019nun G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletlerine y\u00f6nelik stratejilerinin belirlenmesi ile Aral\u0131k 1995\u2019de Br\u00fcksel\u2019de at\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Komisyon, 1994\u2019de taraflar aras\u0131nda ate\u015fkes anla\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n imzalanmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, \u00fc\u00e7 b\u00f6lge devleti aras\u0131nda Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f ve Abhazya y\u00fcz\u00fcnden gerginli\u011fin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bildiri ile a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ayn\u0131 bildiride, b\u00f6lgenin jeopolitik a\u00e7\u0131dan \u00f6nemli bir konumda oldu\u011fu vurgulanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Burada AB\u2019nin \u00f6zellikle enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 oldu\u011funun \u00fczerinde durulmu\u015f, bu nedenle bu d\u00f6nemde son derece a\u011f\u0131r ekonomik sorunlarla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya olan ve istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k ve g\u00fcvenlik a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan tehdit sa\u00e7an bu b\u00f6lge devletleri ile Partnerlik ve \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Anla\u015fmas\u0131 ile sonu\u00e7lanacak bir strateji \u00f6nerilmi\u015ftir. (256<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>P\u0130A\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6nemli \u00f6zelli\u011fi bu anla\u015fman\u0131n sadece Avrupa Komisyonu ile G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleri aras\u0131nda de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda AB \u00fcye devletleriyle tek tek iki tarafl\u0131 olarak imzalanm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131d\u0131r. (257<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Di\u011fer bir de\u011fi\u015fle, bu anla\u015fma AB\u2019nin do\u011frudan ve sadece kendi ad\u0131na ba\u011fland\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir anla\u015fma niteli\u011fini ta\u015f\u0131m\u0131yor, burada \u00fcye devletlerin de kendi ad\u0131na AB \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde bu t\u00fcr bir partnerli\u011fin olu\u015fmas\u0131na r\u0131zas\u0131 aranmaktad\u0131r. Bunun sebebi AB\u2019nin ODGP\u2019sinin hen\u00fcz h\u00fck\u00fcmetleraras\u0131 bir nitelik ta\u015f\u0131mamas\u0131ndan kaynaklanmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>P\u0130A \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde her \u00fc\u00e7 G\u00fcney Kafkasya devleti i\u00e7in benzer ama\u00e7lar belirlenmi\u015ftir. Bu belgenin 1. maddesi b\u00f6lge \u00fclkeleri aralar\u0131ndaki siyasi ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015fmesini sa\u011flayacak diyalog \u00e7er\u00e7evesinin olu\u015fturulmas\u0131n\u0131, G\u00fcney Kafkasya \u00fclkelerinde demokrasinin geli\u015fimi, ekonominin kalk\u0131nmas\u0131 ve bu devletlerin piyasa ekonomisine ge\u00e7i\u015f s\u00fcre\u00e7lerini tamamlamas\u0131na AB taraf\u0131ndan destek verilmesini, Anla\u015fma taraflar\u0131 aras\u0131nda ticaretin ve yat\u0131r\u0131m ve uyumlu ekonomik ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015fmesinin te\u015fvik edilmesini ve bunlar\u0131n ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131dan s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirli\u011fini temin edilmesini ve temek hukuki, ekonomik, sosyal, mali, bilimsel, teknolojik ve k\u00fclt\u00fcrel alanlarda i\u015fbirli\u011finin te\u015fvik edilmesini \u00f6ng\u00f6rmektedir.<br \/>\nAnla\u015fman\u0131n \u00f6nem arz eden ikinci, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ve d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc maddeleri Antla\u015fman\u0131n I. B\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc olu\u015fturan \u201cGenel \u0130lkeler\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 alt\u0131nda toplanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 2. maddeye g\u00f6re, BM Antla\u015fmas\u0131, Helsinki Nihai Senedi ve Yeni Bir Avrupa i\u00e7in Paris \u015eart\u0131\u2019nda sz edilen demokrasiye sayg\u0131, uluslararas\u0131 hukuk ilkeleri ile insan haklar\u0131 gibi konular, bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda AG\u0130T\u2019in Bonn Konferans\u0131\u2019nda kabul edilen piyasa ekonomisi ilkeleri taraflar\u0131n i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131n\u0131n oldu\u011fu gibi bu anla\u015fman\u0131n da temelini olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n<p>3. maddeye g\u00f6re, G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesinde Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra yeni kurulan ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z devletler, gelecekte refah\u0131 ve istikrar\u0131 sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in Helsinki Nihai Senedi ve uluslararas\u0131 hukukta yer alan iyi kom\u015fuluk anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde kendi aralar\u0131nda i\u015fbirli\u011fi olu\u015fturman\u0131n ve geli\u015ftirmenin \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bu s\u00fcrecin te\u015fviki i\u00e7in t\u00fcm gayretlerini sarf edeceklerini kabul ettiklerini bildirilmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>Anla\u015fman\u0131n 4. maddesine g\u00f6re; taraf \u00fclkelerde piyasa ekonomisine ge\u00e7i\u015f s\u00fcrecinde geli\u015fen ekonomik durumun ve ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen ekonomik reformlar do\u011frultusunda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak de\u011fi\u015fimler nedeniyle gerekti\u011fi anda, taraflar aras\u0131nda olu\u015fturulacak \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Konseyi taraf\u0131ndan bu anla\u015fman\u0131n bu maddeleri do\u011frultusunda baz\u0131 kanunlar\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fimine y\u00f6nelik tavsiyelerde bulunulabilecektir. (258<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleri ile imzalanan P\u0130A\u2019larda i\u015fbirli\u011finin geli\u015ftirilmesi temelinde \u00f6nemli konulardan biri de, ku\u015fkusuz ki, ekonomik ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015ftirilmesidir ve bu konu antla\u015fman\u0131n Ekonomik \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 alt\u0131nda yer alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. AB her \u00fc\u00e7 devletin ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirecekleri ekonomik reformlar ve yeniden yap\u0131lanma s\u00fcrecinde uzun d\u00f6nemli yard\u0131m\u0131n yap\u0131lanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in ekonomik i\u015fbirli\u011finin olu\u015fturulmas\u0131n\u0131 istemektedir. Buna g\u00f6re, bu ama\u00e7lar\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmek i\u00e7in, her \u00fc\u00e7 devlette ekonomik ve sosyal reformlar ve ekonomik ve ticari sistemlerin yeniden yap\u0131lanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in baz\u0131 politikalar\u0131n ve di\u011fer d\u00fczenlemelerin haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Bununla ilgili olarak izlenilecek politikalar s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir ve uyumlu sosyal geli\u015fimin gereksinimleri do\u011frultusunda haz\u0131rlanacakt\u0131r. Ekonomik i\u015fbirli\u011fi \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen ama\u00e7lar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesine TACIS Program\u0131\u2019na da b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem verilmektedir. (259<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u0130mzalanan Anla\u015fma ile AB G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleriyle ekonomik ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015ftirilmesi amac\u0131yla bir tedbir olarak ticari kotalar\u0131n kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 ve m\u00fclkiyet haklar\u0131n\u0131n korunmas\u0131 da \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Taraflar kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 olarak bir birine en \u00e7ok g\u00f6zetilen ulus stat\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn uygulanmas\u0131n\u0131 da kabul etmi\u015ftir. (260<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>P\u0130A\u2019larda, taraflar aras\u0131nda siyasal diyalogun nas\u0131l olu\u015fturulaca\u011f\u0131na dair mekanizmalar da \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Buna g\u00f6re, toplant\u0131lar bakanlar d\u00fczeyinde \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Konseyi\u2019nde, ilgili devletlerin parlamenterleri d\u00fczeyinde Parlamento \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Komisyonu\u2019nda ve y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeyli memurlar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirecekleri d\u00fczenli toplant\u0131larda olu\u015fturulacakt\u0131r. (261<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><br \/>\nP\u0130A imzaland\u0131ktan sonra G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletlerinin d\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri bakanlar\u0131 bir araya gelerek, bu konuda niyetlerini sergileyen ortak bir bildiri yay\u0131nlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Yay\u0131nlanan bildiride, P\u0130A\u2019n\u0131n ilk d\u00f6rt maddesinde belirtilen ve taraflar aras\u0131nda ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015fmesini sa\u011flayan ortak de\u011ferler, ilkeler ve ortak ama\u00e7lar teyit edilmi\u015ftir. (262<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u00dc\u00e7 sene boyunca taraflar aras\u0131nda y\u00fckselen bir \u00e7izgi \u00fczerinde geli\u015fen ili\u015fkiler, 22 Haziran 1999 tarihinde L\u00fcksemburg\u2019da P\u0130A\u2019lar\u0131n y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmesi ile yeni bir d\u00f6n\u00fcm noktas\u0131n\u0131 ya\u015fam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. P\u0130A\u2019lar\u0131n y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmesi taraflar aras\u0131nda ili\u015fkilerin ciddi bir zemine oturmas\u0131na neden olmu\u015ftur. Bu tarihte ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen \u201cKafkasya Zirvesi\u201d \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde AB G\u00fcney Kafkasya\u2019da istikrar\u0131 ve g\u00fcvenli\u011fi g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek amac\u0131yla b\u00f6lgesel i\u015fbirli\u011finin geli\u015fimi i\u00e7in aktif bir \u015fekilde destek sergileyece\u011fini bir kez daha beyan etmi\u015ftir. (263<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0AB\u2019nin benzer politika giri\u015fimini daha<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>\u00f6nce Bat\u0131 Balkanlar b\u00f6lgesi \u00f6rne\u011finde g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fck. AB ilk \u00f6nce b\u00f6lge devletleri aras\u0131nda i\u015fbirli\u011fi geli\u015ftirmeye \u00f6ncelik vermektedir. Oysa G\u00fcney Kafkasya\u2019da b\u00f6lgesel i\u015fbirli\u011finin geli\u015fimine engel olan etnik \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmlenmesinde AB do\u011frudan yer almaktan ka\u00e7\u0131nmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>AB, P\u0130A\u2019lar \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde her \u00fc\u00e7 devletin \u00fclke b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc tan\u0131sa da, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc i\u00e7in AG\u0130T \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen giri\u015fimleri benimsemi\u015ftir. Ayn\u0131 zamanda b\u00f6lgenin di\u011fer uluslararas\u0131 kurumu olan Avrupa Konseyi\u2019nin bu \u00fclkelerdeki insan haklar\u0131 ve demokrasi ile ilgili sorunlar\u0131n takip edilmesi i\u00e7in uygun bir zemin olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (264<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><br \/>\nP\u0130A\u2019lar\u0131n y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmesi AB ile G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleri ili\u015fkilerinde bir d\u00f6n\u00fcm noktas\u0131 olmu\u015ftur. Bu anla\u015fmayla iki taraf aras\u0131nda ili\u015fkilerin k\u0131sa vadede hangi mecrada geli\u015fece\u011fi konusunda net bir \u00e7er\u00e7eve \u00e7izilmi\u015ftir. Anla\u015fma taraflar aras\u0131nda siyasi ve ekonomik ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in hangi ara\u00e7lar\u0131n kullan\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirlemektedir. Buna ra\u011fmen, baz\u0131 konularda AB, elindeki ara\u00e7lar\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 ve k\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131 olmas\u0131ndan ve \u00fcye devletlerin belli konularda ortak irade ve tutumlar\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fmamas\u0131ndan dolay\u0131 yetersiz kalmaktad\u0131r. Bu eksikli\u011fi gidermek i\u00e7in en az\u0131ndan belli bir s\u00fcre i\u00e7in di\u011fer b\u00f6lgesel kurumlarla i\u015fbirli\u011fine gitmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Nitekim AB, b\u00f6lge devletlerinde insan haklar\u0131 ve demokrasinin geli\u015fimi i\u00e7in Avrupa Konseyi\u2019nin, b\u00f6lgede mevcut olan etnik \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc i\u00e7inse AG\u0130T \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde yap\u0131lan giri\u015fimlerin desteklenmesiyle yetinmektedir. Di\u011fer taraftan bu durumu, NATO ile b\u00f6lge \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015fim s\u00fcrecinde de g\u00f6rmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. (265<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>Burada AB \u00fclkeleri ile birlikte NATO\u2019ya \u00fcye olan ve b\u00f6lge devleti olmayan s\u00fcper g\u00fc\u00e7 ABD\u2019nin b\u00f6lge devletlerinin Bat\u0131 d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n de\u011ferlerini benimsemesi iste\u011fi ve bunun i\u00e7in NATO ile ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015fmesinin gerekti\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc ile AB\u2019nin b\u00f6lgeye y\u00f6nelik politikalar\u0131 \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015fmektedir. Bu y\u00fczden AB bu \u00fclkelere y\u00f6nelik mevcut olan ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 bu b\u00f6lgede faaliyet g\u00f6steren di\u011fer kurumlar arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><b>4. AB\u2019nin Yeni Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131 ve \u00d6nemi<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nAB d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131n\u0131n yeni geli\u015ftirilmi\u015f bir arac\u0131 olan Yeni Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131, AB\u2019yi \u00e7evreleyen b\u00f6lgelerde refah, istikrar ve g\u00fcvenli\u011fin olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 amac\u0131yla ortaya konulmu\u015ftur. Geni\u015fleme s\u00fcreci sonsuza kadar devam edemeyece\u011fi i\u00e7in, gelecekte kendi siyasi birli\u011fini tamamlamay\u0131 ama\u00e7layan AB\u2019nin kom\u015fu devletlerde refah\u0131n, istikrar\u0131n ve g\u00fcvenli\u011fin geli\u015ftirilmesi amac\u0131yla ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilecek siyasi ve ekonomik reformlar\u0131n desteklenmesi i\u00e7in yeni bir araca ihtiyac\u0131 var idi. (266<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>AB\u2019nin Geni\u015fletilmi\u015f Avrupa-Yeni Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131 AB Konseyi taraf\u0131ndan resmi olarak Haziran 2003\u2019de onaylanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu politika AB Komisyonu\u2019nun Mart ay\u0131nda sundu\u011fu, \u201cGeni\u015fletilmi\u015f Avrupa-Yeni Kom\u015fuluk, G\u00fcney ve Bat\u0131 Kom\u015fular\u0131m\u0131z ile \u0130li\u015fkilerde Yeni Boyut\u201d adl\u0131 bildiri do\u011frultusunda kabul edilmi\u015ftir. (267<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0AB ile kom\u015fular\u0131 aras\u0131nda derinle\u015fmi\u015f ekonomik b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme, g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmi\u015f politik diyalog, vize rejiminin sadele\u015ftirilmesi, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ve b\u00f6lgesel krizlerin \u00f6nlenmesi, adalet ve i\u00e7i\u015fleri gibi konularda i\u015fbirli\u011fi, s\u0131n\u0131r \u00f6tesi ve b\u00f6lgesel i\u015fbirli\u011fi, ula\u015f\u0131m, enerji, telekom\u00fcnikasyon, k\u00fclt\u00fcr, bilim ve e\u011fitim, \u00e7evre koruma gibi konularda i\u015fbirli\u011fi, kom\u015fulukta yeni mali ara\u00e7lar\u0131n tatbik edilmesi perspektifini \u00f6ng\u00f6rmektedir. Avrupa Ekonomik Alan\u0131na \u00fcye olan devletlerle benzer bir stat\u00fc \u00f6ng\u00f6ren Yeni Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131, siyasi entegrasyon \u00f6ng\u00f6rmeksizin, kom\u015fu devletlerle tam ekonomik entegrasyonu ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeyi ama\u00e7lamaktad\u0131r. (268<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Giri\u015fimin temelinde farkl\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f ve a\u015famal\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131m yatmaktad\u0131r. Buna g\u00f6re her kom\u015fu devlete ferdi eylem plan\u0131 teklif edilecek ve bu plan AB ortak pazar\u0131nda b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme s\u00fcrecinde belirlenmi\u015f olan ortak kriterlerin ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi do\u011frultusunda olacakt\u0131r. Bu sistem AB\u2019nin MDA\u00dc\u2019ye tatbik etti\u011fi \u00fc\u00e7 a\u015famal\u0131 yak\u0131nla\u015fma form\u00fcl\u00fcne benzemektedir. Bu a\u015famalar Komisyon taraf\u0131ndan ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen y\u0131ll\u0131k g\u00f6zetimler, AB Eylem Plan\u0131 ve kom\u015fu devletler taraf\u0131ndan bu planlar\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmeye y\u00f6nelik haz\u0131rlanan ulusal programlard\u0131r. Yaln\u0131z her iki giri\u015fimin aras\u0131ndaki fark, MDA\u00dc i\u00e7in birle\u015fme \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmesi, kom\u015fu devletler i\u00e7in ise derinle\u015ftirilmi\u015f b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fmeden s\u00f6z edilmesidir. Yine de Yeni Kom\u015fuluk giri\u015fimi sadece kom\u015fu devletlerin de\u011fil her iki taraf\u0131n da belli y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fckler \u00fcstlenmesini<br \/>\n\u00f6ng\u00f6rmektedir. (269<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Yeni giri\u015fimin amac\u0131 AB taraf\u0131ndan, Rusya, Ukrayna, Moldova, Azerbaycan, G\u00fcrcistan, Ermenistan ve Akdeniz\u2019in G\u00fcney sahillerinde bulunan devletleri i\u00e7ine alan bir \u201cgeli\u015fim ve iyi kom\u015fuluk b\u00f6lgesi\u201d olu\u015fturulmas\u0131d\u0131r. Komisyon taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan bildiriye g\u00f6re, AB \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki on y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde i\u015fbirli\u011fi ve destek ilkeleri temelinde bu \u00fclkelerle dostane ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015ftirilmesine \u00e7al\u0131\u015facakt\u0131r. Buna g\u00f6re, kom\u015fu devletlerin siyasi, ekonomik ve kurumsal reformlar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesinde g\u00f6sterecekleri ba\u015far\u0131 do\u011frultusunda, AB Ortak Pazar\u0131na dahil olmaya imkan sa\u011flanacakt\u0131r. Bildiride bu giri\u015fim \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen \u00f6ncelikli i\u015fbirli\u011fi alanlar\u0131 say\u0131lmaktad\u0131r: AB\u2019nin ortak pazar\u0131n\u0131n ve denetim yap\u0131lar\u0131n geni\u015fletilmesi; \u00f6ncelikli ticari ili\u015fkiler ve pazarlar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131; yasad\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6\u00e7 hareketleri ve ki\u015filerin yasad\u0131\u015f\u0131 dola\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nlenmesi; ortak g\u00fcvenli\u011fe y\u00f6nelmi\u015f olan tehdidin \u00f6nlenmesi ve ortadan kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 amac\u0131yla i\u015fbirli\u011finin sa\u011flanmas\u0131; \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u00f6nlenmesi ve kriz y\u00f6netiminin geli\u015ftirilmesi; insan haklar\u0131n\u0131n korunmas\u0131, k\u00fclt\u00fcrel i\u015fbirli\u011finin ve kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131n geli\u015ftirilmesi; AB\u2019nin ula\u015f\u0131m, enerji ve telekom\u00fcnikasyon \u015febekelerine ve Avrupa bilimsel ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar alan\u0131yla b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fmenin sa\u011flanmas\u0131; yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n te\u015fviki ve korunmas\u0131 i\u00e7in yeni ara\u00e7lar\u0131n geli\u015ftirilmesi; d\u00fcnya ticaret sistemine entegrasyon konusunda deste\u011fin sa\u011flanmas\u0131; yeni finansman kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n belirlenmesi; daha geli\u015ftirilmi\u015f yard\u0131m \u00e7e\u015fitlerin belirlenmesi ve temin edilmesi. (270<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>AB\u2019nin \u201cYeni Kom\u015fuluk\u201d giri\u015fimini, bu kurumun BDT\u2019nin Avrupa\u2019da bulunan devletlerine y\u00f6nelik politikalar\u0131ndaki belirsizli\u011fin devam etmesi olarak da de\u011ferlendirmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Bir taraftan Irak sorunu konusunda \u00fcye devletler aras\u0131ndaki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f farkl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n AB ODGP\u2019sinin olu\u015fumu a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yeni bir olumsuzluk olarak de\u011ferlendirilmesine ek olarak, AB i\u00e7inde Fransa ve Danimarka\u2019da AB Anayasas\u0131\u2019na referandumlarda ret verilmesiyle ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan sorunlar nedeniyle Avrupa k\u0131tas\u0131nda yeni bir geni\u015flemenin ba\u015flamas\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan s\u00f6z etmek son derece g\u00fc\u00e7t\u00fcr. (271<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>Di\u011fer taraftan tarihinin en geni\u015f geni\u015fleme s\u00fcrecini ya\u015fayan AB ile Merkezi ve Do\u011fu Avrupa\u2019da bulunan on aday devletin tam \u00fcyeli\u011fe haz\u0131rl\u0131k s\u00fcreci, Birli\u011fin b\u00fcy\u00fck bir gayret sarf etmesine neden olmu\u015ftur. Bunca \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma sonucunda en yak\u0131n zamanda herhangi bir yeni geni\u015fleme ser\u00fcvenine giri\u015fmek bu nedenle \u015fimdilik zor g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Di\u011fer taraftan, AB yetkilileri yeni kom\u015fu \u00fclkelere kar\u015f\u0131 yetersiz olan faaliyetlerin ileride bunlar i\u00e7in \u00e7ok pahal\u0131ya mal olabilece\u011fini iyi anlamaktad\u0131rlar. Nitekim bu giri\u015fim bir ara form\u00fcl gibi kabul edilmi\u015ftir. Di\u011fer bir ifadeyle hem bu devletlerin kendilerini Avrupa ile b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme s\u00fcrecinde hissetmelerine ve bundan k\u0131smen yararlanmalar\u0131na imkan vermektedir, hem de \u015fu anda ama\u00e7lanmayan ama ileride m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fclebilecek tam \u00fcyelik s\u00fcrecine haz\u0131rl\u0131k niteli\u011finde olacakt\u0131r. Zaten mevcut giri\u015fim Avrupa k\u0131tas\u0131nda yerle\u015fen eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi devletleri i\u00e7in tam \u00fcyelik olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da takdim etmektedir. Nitekim Romano Prodi bu konuda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada: \u201cBizim yak\u0131nla\u015fma politikam\u0131z\u0131n, ne oldu\u011fu veya olaca\u011f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olmaks\u0131z\u0131n, Kopenhag Kriterlerine uygun olan hi\u00e7bir Avrupa devletinin tam \u00fcyelik perspektifini reddedemeyiz\u201d (272<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0demi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>Buna ra\u011fmen, s\u00f6ylemek gerekir ki, Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131 geni\u015flemeden sonra kom\u015fu olunan \u00fclkelere AB \u00fcyeli\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6rmeyen, fakat kurumla programa dahil olan devlet aras\u0131nda kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131ran ve Avrupa k\u0131tas\u0131nda olu\u015fan yeni d\u00fczenin gereksinimleri do\u011frultusunda uyumlu ve kapsaml\u0131 bir ortakl\u0131k ili\u015fkisini takdim eden bir yap\u0131dad\u0131r. Program, Avrupa Anla\u015fmalar\u0131nda \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen adayl\u0131k perspektifi ve Ortakl\u0131k ve \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Anla\u015fmas\u0131nda sunulan adayl\u0131\u011fa uygun hale gelme vaadinin aksine, geni\u015fleme stratejisinde kullan\u0131lan ara\u00e7lar ve mekanizmalar\u0131n benzerli\u011fine ra\u011fmen, yeni bir geni\u015fleme s\u00fcrecini \u00f6nleyici veya erteleyici bir \u00f6zelli\u011fe sahiptir. Bu durumda Program\u0131n uygulanmas\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan ba\u015fl\u0131ca sorun, kom\u015fu \u00fclkelerin \u00fcyelik perspektif olmaks\u0131z\u0131n, ko\u015fullu ama\u00e7lar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi i\u00e7in gereken ortak de\u011ferlere ba\u011fl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131 ve kom\u015fu devletlerin reformlar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesinde ne derecede istekli olacaklar\u0131 meseleleridir. (273<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>5. AB\u2019nin Yeni Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131n\u0131n G\u00fcney Kafkasya ile \u0130li\u015fkilerin Geli\u015ftirilmesinde Rol\u00fc<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nAB\u2019nin Ocak 2003\u2019te ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen Kopenhag Zirvesi\u2019nde, G\u00fcney Kafkasya ve Bat\u0131 Balkanlar b\u00f6lgesinde AB\u2019yle b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme s\u00fcrecinin d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kalan toplam on \u00fclkeden \u00fc\u00e7 y\u00fcze yak\u0131n parlamenterin imzas\u0131n\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yan ve AB\u2019nin \u00e7e\u015fitli organlar\u0131na g\u00f6nderilen mektup de\u011ferlendirmeye al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu mektupta s\u00f6z\u00fc ge\u00e7en \u00fclkelerin AB geni\u015fleme s\u00fcrecine dahil olmak istedikleri ve bunun i\u00e7in Kopenhag Kriterleri\u2019ni yerine getirmeye haz\u0131r olduklar\u0131 beyan edilmi\u015fti. AB Komisyonu\u2019ndan bu mektuba verilen cevaba g\u00f6re, G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleri ile ili\u015fkiler P\u0130A\u2019lar \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmektedir. AB, bu \u00fclkelerin hukukun \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ilkesini benimseme, ekonomik reformlar\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirme, istikrar\u0131n ve bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131 konular\u0131nda y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fc olduklar\u0131n\u0131 duyuruyordu. (274<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Tarihindeki en b\u00fcy\u00fck geni\u015fleme s\u00fcrecinden yeni \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f olan AB\u2019den bundan farkl\u0131 ve daha kesin h\u00fck\u00fcmler ta\u015f\u0131yacak cevap beklenilmesi yanl\u0131\u015f olurdu. Fakat AB yetkilileri s\u0131n\u0131rda\u015f olacaklar\u0131 b\u00f6lge \u00fclkelerine kar\u015f\u0131 kay\u0131ts\u0131z kal\u0131nmamas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini de iyi biliyordu. Aksi halde bu \u00fclkeler AB\u2019den bekledi\u011fi ilgiyi g\u00f6remeyince farkl\u0131 aray\u0131\u015flara girebilirdi. \u00d6rne\u011fin, Ermenistan Rusya ile daha da s\u0131k\u0131 ili\u015fkiler aray\u0131\u015f\u0131na y\u00f6nelebilirdi. Bu durumu Azerbaycan i\u00e7in de kurgulamak m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Di\u011fer taraftan, esasen \u015eii olan Azerbaycan, 30 milyona yak\u0131n Azeri az\u0131nl\u0131\u011f\u0131 bulunan \u0130ran ile de yak\u0131nla\u015fma s\u00fcrecine girebilirdi. Oysa 11 Eyl\u00fcl olaylar\u0131 sonras\u0131nda, g\u00fcvenlik konusunda hassasl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131ran AB i\u00e7in, laik bir Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n muhafazak\u00e2r \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n etkisi alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 hi\u00e7 de istenilen bir durum de\u011fildi. Bu y\u00fczden AB, bu \u00fclkelere y\u00f6nelik baz\u0131 giri\u015fimlerin ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesinin gerekti\u011fi inanc\u0131ndayd\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Bu de\u011ferlendirmeler \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde AB 2003\u2019te G\u00fcney Kafkasya \u00f6zel temsilcisi atam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Temsilcinin yetkileri, ekonomik sorunlardan b\u00f6lgesel i\u015fbirli\u011fine kadar olduk\u00e7a geni\u015f bir alan\u0131 kapsamaktad\u0131r. Bu \u00f6zel temsilci \u00e7e\u015fitli sebeplerle b\u00f6lge devletlerini ziyaret ederek, iki tarafl\u0131 diyalogun geli\u015fmesine katk\u0131da bulunmaktad\u0131r. (275<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Azerbaycan b\u00f6lgede AB\u2019nin en \u00f6nemli ticari orta\u011f\u0131d\u0131r. Azerbaycan\u2019dan AB\u2019ye ihra\u00e7 edilen esas mal petrol ve petrol \u00fcr\u00fcnleridir. 2005\u2019te faaliyete ba\u015flayan Bak\u00fc-Tiflis-Ceyhan petrol boru hatt\u0131 ve 2007\u2019de faaliyete ba\u015flayan Bak\u00fc-Tiflis- Erzurum do\u011falgaz boru hatlar\u0131, AB\u2019ye enerji kaynaklar\u0131 ihrac\u0131n\u0131 daha da artt\u0131rarak Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131 AB i\u00e7in alternatif enerji kayna\u011f\u0131na haline getirmeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. AB\u2019nin G\u00fcrcistan\u2019la ili\u015fkilerinde -di\u011fer G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleri ile oldu\u011fu gibi- esas amac\u0131 siyasi olarak istikrarl\u0131 ve ekonomik olarak zengin bir devlet kurmakt\u0131r. Bu, AB i\u00e7in \u00f6nemlidir \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu kurum ile s\u0131n\u0131rda\u015f olacak b\u00f6lge, AB\u2019nin g\u00fcneydo\u011fu s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcvence alt\u0131na almak i\u00e7in siyasi a\u00e7\u0131dan sorunsuz, ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131dan da refah i\u00e7inde olmal\u0131d\u0131r. Bu, hem \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc devletlerin b\u00f6lge \u00fczerinde etkisini azaltmak a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, hem de AB\u2019ye b\u00f6lgeden s\u0131\u00e7rayabilecek sorunlar\u0131 ve istenmeyen g\u00f6\u00e7 hareketlerini \u00f6nlemek i\u00e7in \u00f6nemlidir.<br \/>\nBu a\u00e7\u0131dan AB, G\u00fcrcistan\u2019da Abhazya ve G\u00fcney Osetya sorunlar\u0131na \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm bulunmas\u0131n\u0131 arzulamaktad\u0131r. AB bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131n \u00fclke b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc savunmaktad\u0131r. Azerbaycan gibi Avrupa ile Merkezi Asya aras\u0131nda \u00f6nemli enerji ve ula\u015f\u0131m koridorlar\u0131 \u00fczerinde bulunan G\u00fcrcistan, AB taraf\u0131ndan \u00f6zel dikkat g\u00f6rmektedir ve Br\u00fcksel sadece \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc de\u011fil, sonras\u0131ndaki iyile\u015ftirme ve yeniden in\u015fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131na i\u015ftirak etmeyi arzulamaktad\u0131r. (276<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Ermenistan Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Robert Ko\u00e7aryan 2003\u2019te Br\u00fcksel\u2019de Avrupa Birli\u011fi yetkilileri ile yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerde devletinin birli\u011fe \u00fcyeli\u011finin d\u0131\u015f politika \u00f6nceli\u011fi oldu\u011funu beyan etmi\u015ftir. 2003\u2019te \u0130talya D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6nderli\u011finde AB \u201ctroyka\u201ds\u0131 Erivan\u2019\u0131 ziyaret etmi\u015ftir. Eyl\u00fcl 2003\u2019te Ermenistan TRACECA Program\u0131n\u0131n d\u00f6nem ba\u015fkan\u0131 olmu\u015ftur. AB bu program\u0131n geli\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in TACIS Program\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde Ermenistan\u2019a on milyon Euro yard\u0131m ay\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Benzer yard\u0131m, g\u0131da program\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde de ayr\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (277<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Mart 2003\u2019te Avrupa Birli\u011fi yeni bir giri\u015fim takdim etti: \u201cDaha Geni\u015f Kom\u015fuluk: Yeni Kom\u015fular.\u201d (278<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bu programa g\u00f6re, geni\u015flemi\u015f Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n yeni kom\u015fular\u0131, her devlet ayr\u0131 ele al\u0131narak, siyasi ve ekonomik reformlar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi konusunda AB ile i\u015fbirli\u011finde \u00e7e\u015fitli alanlarda ayr\u0131cal\u0131klar elde etme hakk\u0131 kazanacaklard\u0131. Azerbaycan, G\u00fcrcistan ve Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n bu Giri\u015fim \u00e7er\u00e7evesine al\u0131nmas\u0131 konusu ilk defa Avrupa Parlamentosu\u2019nda Ye\u015filler Partisinin \u0130sve\u00e7li temsilcisi olan Per Garton\u2019un raporunda zikredilmi\u015ftir. AB\u2019nin d\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri, g\u00fcvenlik ve savunma kurulunda oy\u00e7oklu\u011fu ile kabul edilen bu rapora g\u00f6re, bu \u00fc\u00e7 \u00fclkenin s\u00f6z edilen giri\u015fime al\u0131nmalar\u0131 ve AB Komisyonu\u2019nun bu teklifi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesi gerekti\u011fi vurgulanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (279<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Haziran 2004\u2019de Azerbaycan, G\u00fcrcistan ve Ermenistan AB taraf\u0131ndan Yeni Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131 giri\u015fimine al\u0131nd\u0131. Bununla AB, bu \u00fclkelerle ili\u015fkilerine yeni bir ivme kazand\u0131rmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktayd\u0131. Daha \u00f6nce belirtildi\u011fi gibi, bu \u00fclkelerin parlamenterleri taraf\u0131ndan AB\u2019ye g\u00f6nderilen mektuba verilen yan\u0131t\u0131n bu \u00fclkelerde olu\u015fturabilece\u011fi ho\u015fnutsuzlu\u011fu ortadan kald\u0131rmak i\u00e7in bir giri\u015fimde bulunulmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini anlamaktayd\u0131lar. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda uluslararas\u0131 ortamdaki ani geli\u015fmeler, ABD Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imlerini Bush\u2019un yeniden kazanmas\u0131 ve ABD\u2019nin Cumhuriyet\u00e7i Parti y\u00f6netimi d\u00f6neminde sunulan B\u00fcy\u00fck Ortado\u011fu Projesi \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde \u0130ran\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 y\u00f6nelecek operasyon olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131, G\u00fcrcistan\u2019da y\u00f6netimin el de\u011fi\u015ftirmesi, Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n d\u00fcnya piyasalar\u0131na b\u00fcy\u00fck miktarda petrol sunma arifesinde olmas\u0131 gibi nedenlerle daha \u00f6nce al\u0131nmad\u0131klar\u0131 halde, bu \u00fclkelerin yukar\u0131da zikredilen giri\u015fimde yer almas\u0131 gereklili\u011fi AB yetkililerince anla\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>AB ile G\u00fcney Kafkasya aras\u0131ndaki Yeni Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131 do\u011frultusundaki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler Br\u00fcksel\u2019de 14 Kas\u0131m 2006 tarihinde AB ile Azerbaycan, G\u00fcrcistan ve Ermenistan\u2019la ayr\u0131 ayr\u0131 Ulusal Eylem Planlar\u0131n\u0131n imzalanmas\u0131yla tamamlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu Planlar\u0131 AB ad\u0131na D\u0131\u015f \u0130li\u015fkiler ve Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131ndan sorumlu Komisyon Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Benita Ferrero-Waldner, taraf devletler ad\u0131na ise D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakanlar\u0131 imzalam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (280<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>Be\u015f y\u0131ll\u0131k bir s\u00fcre i\u00e7in imzalanm\u0131\u015f olan her \u00fc\u00e7 Ulusal Program a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 yukar\u0131 ortak \u00f6zellikler ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r. Bu programlar taraf devletlerin AB ile yak\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 peki\u015ftirmeyi \u00f6ng\u00f6rmektedir ve bunun i\u00e7in birlik\u00e7e kabul edilen hukuk, norm ve standartlara uyum s\u00fcrecini belirlemektedir. Her \u00fc\u00e7 programdaki temel ama\u00e7lar\u0131 genel olarak \u00f6zetlemek gerekirse bunlar hukukun \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ilkelerinin peki\u015ftirilmesi, demokratik kurumlar\u0131n ve insan haklar\u0131 ve temel \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fcklere kar\u015f\u0131 sayg\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesi; \u015feffaf \u00f6zelle\u015ftirme s\u00fcrecinin ba\u015flat\u0131lmas\u0131, i\u015f ve yat\u0131r\u0131m iklimini geli\u015ftirmek, ayn\u0131 zamanda r\u00fc\u015fvete kar\u015f\u0131 m\u00fccadelenin kuvvetlendirilmesi; ekonomi ile ilgili yasal d\u00fczenlemeler ve y\u00f6netimsel uygulanmalar\u0131n peki\u015ftirilmesi; b\u00f6lgesel i\u015fbirli\u011finin geli\u015ftirilmesi; b\u00f6lgesel \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesi ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131 alt\u0131nda yer alm\u0131\u015flard\u0131r. (281<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Ulusal Eylem Planlar\u0131 her bir devletin kendi \u00f6zellikleri do\u011frultusunda baz\u0131 ama\u00e7lar \u00f6ng\u00f6rmektedir. \u00d6rne\u011fin, Azerbaycan Eylem Plan\u0131\u2019nda taraflar aras\u0131nda enerji ve ula\u015f\u0131m alan\u0131nda i\u015fbirli\u011finin g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesi, (282<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0G\u00fcrcistan Eylem Plan\u0131nda d\u0131\u015f ili\u015fkiler ve g\u00fcvenlik alanlar\u0131nda i\u015fbirli\u011fi, (283<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Ermenistan Eylem Plan\u0131nda ise b\u00f6lge \u00fclkelerine \u00e7evresel tehdit olu\u015fturan Medzamor N\u00fckleer Santrali\u2019nin kapat\u0131lmas\u0131 gibi konular yer almaktad\u0131r. (284<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0\u00d6zetle ifade etmek gerekirse AB\u2019nin G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesine y\u00f6nelik Yeni Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131, k\u00fcresel bir siyasi ve ekonomik akt\u00f6r olarak \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131 korumak ve de\u011ferlerini yaymak amac\u0131yla geni\u015f yelpazeyi olu\u015fturan ara\u00e7lar\u0131n kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7ermektedir. Bu konuda ODGP \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde bu devletlere y\u00f6nelik yard\u0131m sa\u011flanmas\u0131, bu devletlerle ticaret ili\u015fkilerinin geli\u015ftirilmesi, bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda bu devletleri AB\u2019nin i\u00e7 politikas\u0131na entegre etmeye kadar farkl\u0131 ara\u00e7lar\u0131n uygulanaca\u011f\u0131ndan s\u00f6z edilmektedir. (285<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0K\u0131sacas\u0131 Yeni Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde AB ile G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleri aras\u0131nda imzalanm\u0131\u015f olan Ulusal Eylem Planlar\u0131 ili\u015fkilere yeni bir ivme kazand\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><b>6. AB ile G\u00fcney Kafkasya B\u00f6lgesi Devletleri\u2019nin Gelecekteki \u0130li\u015fkilerini \u015eekillendirebilecek Etkenler<\/p>\n<p>6.1 AB\u2019de Enerji Sorunlar\u0131 ve Alternatif Aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nAvrupa Birli\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesiyle ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015fmesinde rol oynayacak en \u00f6nemli etken Hazar Denizi havzas\u0131nda bulunan enerji kaynaklar\u0131 ve bu kaynaklar\u0131n mevcut d\u0131\u015f enerji kaynaklar\u0131na bir alternatif olu\u015fturabilme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131d\u0131r. Zaten enerji a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 AB\u2019ye \u00fcye \u00fclkelerin siyasi birli\u011finin sa\u011flaml\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n da enerji kaynaklar\u0131 garanti alt\u0131na al\u0131nmaks\u0131z\u0131n s\u00fcrekli olabilece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclemez. 25 \u00fcyeli AB, d\u00fcnya enerji t\u00fcketiminin % 14-15\u2019ini tek ba\u015f\u0131na ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmektedir, oysa bu Birli\u011fin toplam n\u00fcfusu d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusunun sadece % 6\u2019s\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r. AB t\u00fcketimi, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131k petrol t\u00fcketiminin % 19\u2019unu, do\u011falgaz\u0131n % 16\u2019s\u0131n\u0131, k\u00f6m\u00fcr\u00fcn % 10\u2019unu ve uranyumun % 35\u2019ni olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r. (286<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde AB enerji ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131n % 50\u2019sini ithalat yoluyla kar\u015f\u0131lanmaktad\u0131r ki bu ithalat petrol t\u00fcketiminin % 80\u2019i ve do\u011falgaz\u0131n % 40\u2019\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r. Bununla birlikte enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n belli b\u00f6lgelerden temini ve bu b\u00f6lgelere ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k y\u00fcksek seviyededir. AB, do\u011falgaz\u0131n % 50\u2019sini, % 41\u2019i sadece Rusya\u2019dan olmak \u00fczere eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi \u00fclkelerinden ve % 25\u2019ini de Cezayir\u2019den temin etmektedir. Petrol\u00fcn % 40\u2019\u0131ndan fazlas\u0131 Ortado\u011fu\u2019dan (Suudi Arabistan, \u0130ran), %<br \/>\n30\u2019u Kuzey Afrika\u2019dan (Libya) temin edilmektedir. (287<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Bu rakamlar y\u00fckselen bir grafik \u00e7izmektedir. Yakla\u015f\u0131k rakamlarla 2020 y\u0131l\u0131 itibar\u0131yla AB\u2019nin petrolde ithalat oran\u0131n\u0131n % 90\u2019a, do\u011falgazda ise % 70\u2019e varaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin edilmektedir. Daha \u00f6nce g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz gibi AB\u2019nin petrol ihtiyac\u0131 \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde Ortado\u011fu ve Kuzey Afrika \u00fclkeleri taraf\u0131ndan kar\u015f\u0131lanmaktad\u0131r ve 2050 y\u0131l\u0131 itibariyle Ortado\u011fu ve Kuzey Afrika petrollerine ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 daha da artacakt\u0131r. (288<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Geni\u015fleme s\u00fcreci ise bu ivmeyi sadece art\u0131racakt\u0131r. \u015e\u00f6yle ki, 2004\u2019de geni\u015fleyen ve 2007\u2019de \u00fcye say\u0131s\u0131 yirmi yediye varan ve geni\u015flemesi halen devam eden AB\u2019nin enerji kaynaklar\u0131nda d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 petrolde % 90\u2019dan % 94, do\u011falgazda ise % 60\u2019dan % 90\u2019lara kadar varabilir. (289<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u015eu anda gaz t\u00fcketiminin % 85\u2019inden fazlas\u0131 AB\u2019nin be\u015f \u00fcye devleti (Almanya, Fransa, \u0130talya, Hollanda, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k) taraf\u0131ndan yap\u0131lmaktad\u0131r. Yunanistan ile Portekiz do\u011falgaz\u0131 kendi enerji sistemlerine yeni sokmu\u015flard\u0131r. Finlandiya, AB\u2019nin do\u011falgaz \u015febekesine ba\u011fl\u0131 de\u011fildir. (290<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Fakat bu ve di\u011fer devletler kendi enerji sistemlerinde do\u011falgaz\u0131n pay\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmak niyetindedirler. Bunun i\u00e7in de mevcut kaynaklarla birlikte alternatif b\u00f6lgelerden do\u011falgaz temin etmek gereklidir.<\/p>\n<p>Do\u011falgaz AB i\u00e7in stratejik bir kayna\u011fa d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. D\u00fcnya do\u011falgaz t\u00fcketiminde % 16 ile ikinci s\u0131rada bulunan AB, bu pay\u0131n\u0131 giderek art\u0131rmaktad\u0131r. AB\u2019nin mevcut do\u011falgaz t\u00fcketimini nereden kar\u015f\u0131lad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 derinlemesine incelersek daha \u00f6nce de belirtti\u011fimiz \u015fu durumla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131yoruz: Do\u011falgaz\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131sm\u0131 do\u011frudan veya dolayl\u0131 olarak Rusya\u2019dan temin edilmektedir. \u0130kinci \u00f6nemli arz Cezayir\u2019den deniz yolu ile temin edilmektedir. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda talebin kalan k\u0131sm\u0131 Tunus\u2019tan, bu \u00fclkeden \u0130talya\u2019ya kadar uzanan boru hatt\u0131 yoluyla Nijerya ve G\u00fcney Amerika\u2019dan yap\u0131lan LNC (291<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>, s\u0131v\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f do\u011falgaz ithalat\u0131 ile kar\u015f\u0131lamaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>G\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi ileride siyasi birli\u011fi nihai ama\u00e7 gibi hedefleyen AB, geli\u015fmeyi ve refah d\u00fczeyini koruyabilmek i\u00e7in s\u00fcrekli ve g\u00fcvenli enerji kaynaklar\u0131na gereksinim duymaktad\u0131r. Bunun i\u00e7in AB \u00f6ncelikli olarak petrol ve do\u011falgaz g\u00fcvenli\u011fini sa\u011flamak, kriz d\u00f6neminde i\u015fbirli\u011fini g\u00fcvenceye almak, AB i\u00e7inde stok sistemleri geli\u015ftirmek, enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7e\u015fitlendirmek, mevcut enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n etkin kullan\u0131m\u0131 ve enerji g\u00fcvenli\u011fi i\u00e7in bir d\u0131\u015f politika geli\u015ftirilmek ihtiyac\u0131 duymaktad\u0131r. (292<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>Geni\u015fleme sonras\u0131 ve artan talep sonucunda % 60\u2019lara varaca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclen do\u011falgaz arz\u0131n\u0131n 1999 y\u0131l\u0131nda % 41\u2019i sadece Rusya taraf\u0131ndan kar\u015f\u0131lanmaktad\u0131r. (293<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Stratejik bir \u00fcr\u00fcn olan do\u011falgaz a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan tek bir devlete bu \u015fekilde ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 duruma d\u00fc\u015fmek ve bu devletin Rusya olmas\u0131n, AB\u2019yi rahats\u0131z etmektedir ve onu bu kayna\u011fa alternatifler aramaya itmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>Bu konuda di\u011fer giri\u015fimlerle birlikte \u00f6ncelikli hamle petrol ve do\u011falgaz arz\u0131n\u0131n temini i\u00e7in alternatif kaynaklar\u0131n aranmas\u0131 olacakt\u0131r. Nitekim bu t\u00fcr alternatif kaynaklar, 1991 y\u0131l\u0131nda ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 elde etmeden \u00f6nce Bat\u0131 i\u00e7in ula\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 imkans\u0131z olan ve zengin petrol ve do\u011falgaz kaynaklar\u0131na sahip Hazar Havzas\u0131 ve etraf\u0131nda bulunan Kazakistan, \u00d6zbekistan, T\u00fcrkmenistan ve Azerbaycan gibi Yeni Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z Devletlerdir.<br \/>\nBu ba\u011flamda AB Enerji Politikas\u0131 ilkelerini kabul etmi\u015ftir. Buna g\u00f6re Birli\u011fin ithal enerji kaynaklar\u0131na ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131; Avrupa d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan temin olunan enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n co\u011frafi a\u00e7\u0131dan \u00e7e\u015fitlendirilmesi ve bunlar\u0131n g\u00fcvenlik ve istikrar\u0131n\u0131n temin edilmesi; enerji tasarrufunu sa\u011flayan teknolojilerin uygulanmas\u0131 ve sanayi \u00fcretiminde enerji t\u00fcketiminin azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in tedbirlerin al\u0131nmas\u0131; ortak i\u00e7 enerji pazar\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 ve bu pazarda faaliyet g\u00f6steren Avrupa \u015firketlerinin rekabete dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131; alternatif enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015ftirilmesi; enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde \u00e7evre koruma tedbirlerinin haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131 ve tatbik edilmesi prensipleri kabul edilmi\u015ftir. (294<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>1995 y\u0131l\u0131nda, AB Ortak Enerji Politikas\u0131n\u0131n kabul edilmesi ile birlikte, AB Komisyonu taraf\u0131ndan petrol ve do\u011falgaz\u0131n y\u00f6netim sorunlar\u0131 konusunda bir konferans yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu konferansta Hazar Denizi \u00e7evresinde bulunan petrol ve do\u011falgaz rezervleriyle ilgili b\u00f6lgesel i\u015fbirli\u011fi stratejileri belirlenmi\u015ftir. S\u00f6z\u00fc edilen d\u00f6nemden bu g\u00fcne kadar, Komisyon ilgili devletlerle Hazar Denizi\u2019nde enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn modernizasyonu s\u00fcrecine yard\u0131m etme konusunda aktif bir \u015fekilde i\u015fbirli\u011fi yap\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Bunun en iyi \u00f6rne\u011fi daha \u00f6nce zikredilen INOGATE Program\u0131d\u0131r. (295<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Nisan 1998\u2019de bu b\u00f6lgeyi ilgilendiren d\u00fczenleme olan \u201cEnerji \u015eart\u0131 Antla\u015fmas\u0131 ve Enerji Verimlili\u011fi Hakk\u0131nda Protokol\u201d y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmi\u015ftir. Protokol, Hazar b\u00f6lgesi ve Merkezi Asya co\u011frafyas\u0131 \u00fczerinde odaklanmaktad\u0131r. (296<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Hazar b\u00f6lgesindeki petrol ve do\u011falgaz rezervleri Ortado\u011fu kaynaklar\u0131na alternatif olarak alg\u0131lanmakta ve k\u0131sa ve orta vadede Ortado\u011fu b\u00f6lgesinde s\u0131k s\u0131k ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k durumlar\u0131nda, ek bir arz\u0131n temini a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Her iki cetvelde farkl\u0131 rakamlarla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fsak da, yine de bu rakamlar baz\u0131 ipu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n verilmesi bak\u0131m\u0131ndan \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r: hem AB, hem de ABD i\u00e7in, Hazar Denizi \u00e7evresinden Ortado\u011fu\u2019ya alternatif olabilecek enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131 temin etme imkan\u0131 do\u011facakt\u0131r. Bu y\u00fczden AB i\u00e7in b\u00f6lge ile do\u011frudan ili\u015fkide bulunmak ve bu ili\u015fkilerin s\u00fcreklilik ve emniyet i\u00e7inde devam etmesi son derece b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r. Aksi halde, b\u00f6lgenin Yeni Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z Devletlerinde olas\u0131 istikrars\u0131zl\u0131klar ve var olan altyap\u0131 yetersizlikleri direkt olarak AB\u2019yi etkileyecektir. \u0130stikrars\u0131z Ortado\u011fu b\u00f6lgesi ile kom\u015fu G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesinin, bu b\u00f6lgede, \u00f6zellikle \u0130ran\u2019da ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak herhangi bir istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k durumunda olumsuz etkilenece\u011fi ku\u015fkusuzdur.<\/p>\n<p>Petrol rezervleri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan Yeni Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z Devletler d\u00fcnya rezervleri ile k\u0131yaslan\u0131rsa, bu rezervler i\u00e7erisinde k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir yer tutmaktad\u0131r. Di\u011fer taraftan do\u011falgaz, k\u00f6m\u00fcr ve n\u00fckleer elektrik istasyonlar\u0131nda yak\u0131t olarak kullan\u0131lan uranyum a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, bu \u00fclkeler d\u00fcnya enerji kaynaklar\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir pay sahibidir. Petrol kaynaklar\u0131 \u00f6nemsenecek \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde olmamas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, mevcut enerji arzlar\u0131na bir alternatif co\u011frafya ve istikrarl\u0131 bir g\u00fczerg\u00e2h olarak eklenmesi bu durumu telafi etmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>Sadece Azerbaycan\u2019da uluslararas\u0131 petrol \u015firketleri ile birlikte petrol yataklar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015fletilmesi i\u00e7in g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze kadar 26 PSA (300<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0niteli\u011finde anla\u015fma imzalanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (301<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0H\u00e2s\u0131lat\u0131n payla\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fczenleyen bu anla\u015fmalar, hem petrol a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, hem de do\u011falgaz a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan y\u00fcksek miktarlar i\u00e7ermektedir ve Avrupa pazarlar\u0131na ihracata y\u00f6nelik \u00fcretim tahmininin sonucudur. (302<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u0130mzalanan anla\u015fmalardan ilki Azeri, \u00c7\u0131rak ve G\u00fcne\u015fli yataklar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015fletilmesini d\u00fczenleyen ve 20 Eyl\u00fcl 1994 Bak\u00fc\u2019de yap\u0131lan \u201cAsr\u0131n Antla\u015fmas\u0131\u201dd\u0131r. 670 milyon ton petrol ve yakla\u015f\u0131k 130 milyar m3 do\u011falgaz kapasitesinde olan bu yatak, d\u00fcnyada bilinen en b\u00fcy\u00fck deniz petrol kaynaklar\u0131 aras\u0131ndad\u0131r. Bu yataktan y\u0131ll\u0131k yakla\u015f\u0131k olarak 50 milyon ton petrol \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. (303<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Azerbaycan\u2019da bulunan \u00f6nemli yataklardan birisi de \u015eahdeniz do\u011falgaz yata\u011f\u0131d\u0131r. Bu yata\u011f\u0131n i\u015fletilmesi konusundaki anla\u015fma 1996 y\u0131l\u0131nda imzalanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r ve 1999 A\u011fustosu\u2019nda BP \u015firketi taraf\u0131ndan s\u00f6z edilen yatakta yap\u0131lan ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar sonucunda b\u00fcy\u00fck miktarda gaza rastland\u0131\u011f\u0131 konusunda bilgi verilmi\u015ftir. Bu BP Amoco \u015firketinin 1970 y\u0131l\u0131nda Alaska\u2019da ke\u015ffetti\u011fi Prudnoe Bay yata\u011f\u0131ndan sonraki en b\u00fcy\u00fck yatakt\u0131r. Bu yatak Hazar Denizi\u2019nde, Bak\u00fc\u2019den g\u00fcney-bat\u0131 istikametinde 70 km uzakl\u0131kta bulunmaktad\u0131r ve derinli\u011fi 50\u2013600 m aras\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015ferek 860 km2lik<br \/>\nalan\u0131 kapsamaktad\u0131r. Yata\u011f\u0131n i\u015fletilmesi i\u00e7in kurulan konsorsiyumda \u015firketlerin sahip olduklar\u0131 paylar \u015f\u00f6yledir: SOCAR (% 10), BP (% 25.5), Statoil (% 25.5), \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n OIEC (% 10), Rusya\/\u0130talya ortak \u015firketi (% 10) ve TPAO (% 9). (304<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0\u015eahdeniz yata\u011f\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemi, Avrupa\u2019ya Avrasya\u2019da bulunan b\u00fct\u00fcn do\u011fal yataklar\u0131ndan daha yak\u0131n olmas\u0131d\u0131r. Bunu g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulunduran AB\u2019nin g\u00fcney kanad\u0131nda bulunan \u00fclkeler ileride T\u00fcrkiye \u00fczerinden bu do\u011falgaz\u0131 kendi \u00fclkelerine ithal etmeyi ama\u00e7lamaktad\u0131rlar. Bu konuda Yunanistan\u2019la T\u00fcrkiye aras\u0131nda Hazar b\u00f6lgesinden ula\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lacak do\u011falgaz\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye \u00fczerinden Yunanistan\u2019a ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131 konusunda H\u00fck\u00fcmetleraras\u0131 Anla\u015fma imzalanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu anla\u015fmaya g\u00f6re Ankara- Dedea\u011fa\u00e7 (Yunanistan) Do\u011falgaz Boru Hatt\u0131 kurulmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. (305<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bu a\u00e7\u0131dan T\u00fcrkiye G\u00fcney Avrupa\u2019ya do\u011falgaz\u0131n ula\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131nda merkezi rol oynayacakt\u0131r ve bununla da Rusya\u2019dan AB\u2019ye ihra\u00e7 edilen do\u011falgaz g\u00fczerg\u00e2h\u0131na bir yenisi eklenecektir. Nitekim 17 Kas\u0131m 2007\u2019de T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u0130psala s\u0131n\u0131r kap\u0131s\u0131nda Azerbaycan Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 ile Yunanistan ve T\u00fcrkiye ba\u015fbakanlar\u0131n da kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131yla, resmi olarak faaliyete a\u00e7\u0131lan boru hatt\u0131n\u0131n 2012 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar \u0130talya\u2019ya kadar uzat\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. (306<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Di\u011fer taraftan Kazakistan\u2019da 1993 y\u0131l\u0131nda ABD Chevron \u015firketi ile birlikte Hazar Denizi\u2019nin kuzey k\u0131sm\u0131nda bulunan \u201cTengiz\u201d petrol yata\u011f\u0131n\u0131n i\u015fletilmesine ba\u015flanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Hesaplara g\u00f6re \u201cTengiz\u201d yata\u011f\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k 1 milyar ton petrol bulunmaktad\u0131r ve bu d\u00fcnyada bilinen en b\u00fcy\u00fck on yataktan biridir. Bunun yan\u0131nda Kazakistan\u2019da be\u015f \u00f6nemli do\u011falgaz yata\u011f\u0131 mevcuttur. Bunlar\u0131n hepsi Hazar Denizi\u2019nin yak\u0131nlar\u0131nda, Kuzey Mang\u0131\u015flak, Kuzey \u00dcst-Yurt, Bura\u015fl\u0131, Turgay ve \u00c7u- Sar\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerinde bulunmaktad\u0131r. Bu petrol ve do\u011falgaz yataklar\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Kazakistan\u2019da karbonhidrat kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n bulundu\u011fu fazladan dokuz yatak oldu\u011fu bilinmektedir. (307<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bir di\u011fer \u00f6nemli husus, Kazakistan\u2019\u0131n \u00f6nemli yataklar\u0131ndan biri say\u0131lan Kara\u00e7aganak b\u00f6lgesinde petrol ve do\u011falgaz ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 yapan t\u00fcm \u015firketlerin Avrupa \u00fclkelerine ait olmas\u0131d\u0131r. (308<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>Di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck projelerde de \u00e7ok say\u0131da ve hat\u0131r\u0131 say\u0131l\u0131r paylara sahip olan \u015firketleri g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurursak, belirtmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr ki Avrupa \u00fclkeleri Hazar havzas\u0131n\u0131n zengin enerji yataklar\u0131ndaki paylar\u0131n\u0131 garanti alt\u0131na almaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktad\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n<p>Hazar Denizine k\u0131y\u0131da\u015f olan bir di\u011fer \u00fclke olan T\u00fcrkmenistan\u2019\u0131n karbonhidrat rezervlerinin yakla\u015f\u0131k olarak 5 milyar ton petrol ve 20 trilyon m3 do\u011falgaz oldu\u011fu bilinmektedir. T\u00fcrkmenistan do\u011falgaz a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan d\u00fcnyada bilinen t\u00fcm rezervlerin %20\u2019sine, b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc belirtmek i\u00e7in \u00f6rnek verecek olursak Meksika K\u00f6rfezi\u2019ndeki rezervlerin be\u015f kat\u0131na sahiptir. (309<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bu da ku\u015fkusuz AB i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir alternatif do\u011falgaz kayna\u011f\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r. Nitekim T\u00fcrkmenistan d\u00fcnya pazarlar\u0131na gerekti\u011fi zaman y\u0131ll\u0131k 100 milyar m3 do\u011fal gaz ihracat\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirebilece\u011fini beyan etmi\u015ftir. (310<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a02010 y\u0131l\u0131nda Hazar Denizi b\u00f6lgesi devletleri taraf\u0131ndan g\u00fcnl\u00fck 3.8 milyon varil petrol \u00fcretilecektir; bu ise g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde Kuzey Denizi\u2019nde \u00fcretilen petrol\u00fcn % 60\u2019\u0131na denktir. Kuzey Denizi\u2019ndeki petrol\u00fcn t\u00fckendi\u011fini g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131rsak, bu petrol\u00fcn AB i\u00e7in ne kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yaca\u011f\u0131 ortadad\u0131r. (311<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>6.2 G\u00fcney Kafkasya B\u00f6lgesi\u2019ndeki Ula\u015f\u0131m Yollar\u0131 ve Bunlar\u0131n AB \u0130\u00e7in \u00d6nemi<\/p>\n<p><\/b>AB\u2019nin G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesine y\u00f6nelik di\u011fer ilgi alan\u0131 ise ula\u015f\u0131md\u0131r ve bu alan yukar\u0131da s\u00f6z\u00fc edilen enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli bir \u015fekilde Avrupa pazarlar\u0131na ula\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 da ilgilendirmektedir. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Avrasya b\u00f6lgesinde bulunan pazarlara eri\u015fen sa\u011flam ve alternatif yollar\u0131n kurulmas\u0131 ve bunlar\u0131n altyap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015ftirilmesi Birli\u011fin ilgi alan\u0131 i\u00e7indedir.<\/p>\n<p>Ula\u015f\u0131m AB ekonomisinin en \u00f6nemli sekt\u00f6rlerinden biri olarak kabul edilmektedir. Bu sekt\u00f6rde on milyona yak\u0131n insan istihdam edilmektedir Sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc y\u0131ll\u0131k 1000 milyar Euro\u2019ya yakla\u015fmaktad\u0131r. Bu ise AB GSMH\u2019 sinin % 10\u2019undan daha fazlad\u0131r. Bununla birlikte AB kendi ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k pazar\u0131n\u0131 Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6tesine, Merkezi ve Uzak Asya\u2019ya do\u011fru geni\u015fletmeyi ama\u00e7lamaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>AB ile Uzak Do\u011fu \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131nda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcmsenmeyecek miktarda d\u0131\u015f ticaret hacmi vard\u0131r. \u00d6rne\u011fin, 2002 y\u0131l\u0131nda AB ile \u00c7in aras\u0131nda d\u0131\u015f ticaret hacmi 115 milyar Euro\u2019ya ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 2003 y\u0131l\u0131nda AB\u2019ye \u00fcye olan 15 devletin \u00c7in\u2019e toplam ihracat\u0131 40.1 milyar Euro idi, buna kar\u015f\u0131 \u00c7in\u2019in Birlik devletlerine ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi ihracat ise 95.1 milyar Euro de\u011ferine ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00c7in AB\u2019nin en b\u00fcy\u00fck ticari partneridir. Uzak Do\u011fu\u2019nun di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomisi kabul edilen Japonya, AB\u2019nin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fck pazar\u0131 konumundad\u0131r. 2001 y\u0131l\u0131nda AB devletleri Japonya\u2019ya 54 milyar Euro de\u011ferinde ihracat ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmi\u015ftir. (312<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a02004 y\u0131l\u0131nda AB ile Japonya aras\u0131ndaki d\u0131\u015f ticaret hacmi 150 milyar Euro\u2019ya kadar ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu miktar d\u00fcnya ticaretin % 30\u2019nu olu\u015fturmas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan dikkat \u00e7ekicidir. (313<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0\u0130ki dev ekonomik b\u00f6lge aras\u0131nda bu seviyeye varan d\u0131\u015f ticaret ku\u015fkusuz ki alternatif ula\u015f\u0131m koridorlar\u0131na ihtiya\u00e7 duymaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>AB, Avrasya b\u00f6lgesinde gelecekteki g\u00fcvenli\u011fini art\u0131rmak amac\u0131yla var olan ula\u015f\u0131m koridorlar\u0131na yenilerini ekleme gere\u011fi duymaktad\u0131r. Uzak Do\u011fu b\u00f6lgesine giden mevcut karayollar\u0131n\u0131n hemen hepsi Rusya \u00fczerinden ge\u00e7mektedir. Trans- Sibirya demiryolu Moskova ile Rusya\u2019n\u0131n en do\u011fu noktalar\u0131ndan biri say\u0131lan Vladivostok\u2019u birle\u015ftirmektedir. Trans-Sibirya demiryolunun as\u0131l avantaj\u0131 bu yol \u00fczerinde ta\u015f\u0131nan y\u00fcklerin ula\u015f\u0131m zaman\u0131 ve maliyetidir. \u015e\u00f6yle ki, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n en do\u011fusunda yerle\u015fen Vostochn\u0131y liman\u0131ndan Rusya-Finlandiya s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na kadar y\u00fcklerin ta\u015f\u0131mas\u0131 11\u201312 g\u00fcnde, Brest \u015fehrine 12.5 g\u00fcne, Berlin\u2019e ise 14.5 g\u00fcnde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilebilir. Bu yolla yap\u0131lan ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k Pasifik, Hindistan ve Atlantik okyanuslar\u0131 \u00fczerinden ge\u00e7en deniz yolu ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan 3 kat daha k\u0131sa s\u00fcrmektedir. Trans-Sibirya yolu ile Yokogama liman\u0131ndan Almanya ve \u0130skandinav \u00fclkeleri nihai noktalar\u0131na kadar ta\u015f\u0131ma maliyeti deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na k\u0131yasen % 15\u201330 daha ucuzdur. G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde Avrupa ile Asya aras\u0131nda t\u00fcm ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n % 18\u2019inin bu yolla yap\u0131l\u0131yor olmas\u0131 ve var olan avantajlar\u0131 g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde al\u0131nacak olursa, ileride kapasitenin \u00e7ok daha fazla olaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. (314<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Bu durum da Avrupa\u2019dan Asya\u2019ya ve Asya\u2019dan Avrupa\u2019ya ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen y\u00fck ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n Rusya\u2019n\u0131n tekeline ge\u00e7ebilece\u011fi ve her iki b\u00f6lgenin ula\u015f\u0131m g\u00fcvenli\u011finin tehdit alt\u0131nda kalabilece\u011fini g\u00f6stermektedir. Trans-Sibirya demiryolunun geli\u015fimi de bu duruma i\u015faret etmektedir. (315<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Durumu a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6ren ve do\u011fru \u015fekilde alg\u0131layan AB, alternatif bir proje olarak TRACECA projesini ortaya koymu\u015ftur. Projenin esas maksad\u0131 Rusya\u2019ya ve \u0130ran\u2019a alternatif bir g\u00fczergah olu\u015fturmakt\u0131r. Bu durumda G\u00fcney Kafkasya projenin can damar\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r. Rusya ile \u0130ran d\u0131\u015far\u0131da b\u0131rak\u0131larak ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen TRACECA projesinin Uzak Do\u011fu ile ba\u011flant\u0131 i\u00e7in tek alternatif olan G\u00fcney Kafkasya\u2019dan ge\u00e7mesi ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmazd\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Trans-Sibirya demiryolunun esas dezavantajlar\u0131ndan biri, TRACECA Program\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde yeniden canland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen B\u00fcy\u00fck \u0130pek Yolu projesine k\u0131yasen daha uzun mesafeden ge\u00e7mesidir. \u015e\u00f6yle ki, \u00c7in\u2019in Kuzey-Do\u011fu eyaletleri ve Kore\u2019den ge\u00e7en ve Avrupa\u2019ya gelirken, Vladivostok, Habarovsk gibi \u015fehirlerden ge\u00e7erek buradan Trans-Sibirya demiryoluna ba\u011flanan ve nihayetinde Samara \u015fehrinden Brest\u2019e ula\u015fan g\u00fczergah\u0131n toplam uzunlu\u011fu 10.800 km\u2019dir. Oysa TRACECA \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde olu\u015fturulan B\u00fcy\u00fck \u0130pek Yolu\u2019nun \u00c7in ve Kore\u2019den ba\u015flayarak, Almat\u0131, T\u00fcrkmenba\u015f\u0131 liman\u0131ndan Hazar Denizi \u00fczerinden Bak\u00fc\u2019ye,<br \/>\nburadan da Tiflis \u00fczerinden Karadeniz\u2019de bulunan Poti liman\u0131ndan Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n Odessa ve Bulgaristan\u2019\u0131n Varna limanlar\u0131na ula\u015fan g\u00fczergah\u0131n\u0131n uzunlu\u011fu 3900 km daha k\u0131sad\u0131r. (316<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Bu durum AB\u2019nin var olan g\u00fczergahlara alternatiflerin geli\u015ftirilmesi fikrinin sa\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131 avantajlar\u0131 g\u00f6stermekte ve projeye ivme kazand\u0131rmaktad\u0131r. Bunun yan\u0131nda hali haz\u0131rda Merkezi Asya devletlerinin Rusya \u00fczerinden Avrupa\u2019ya ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi demiryolu ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 yeni olu\u015fan yola g\u00f6re \u00e7ok daha uzun mesafeleri a\u015fmaktad\u0131r. Bu devletler \u00fcretti\u011fi mallar\u0131 Avrupa pazarlar\u0131na ula\u015ft\u0131rmay\u0131 Sovyetler Birli\u011fi d\u00f6neminden kalan demiryolu altyap\u0131s\u0131ndan yararlanarak, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Samara \u015fehri \u00fczerinden Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n Lvov ve Beyaz Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Brest \u015fehirlerinden ge\u00e7erek ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmektedirler. Oysa B\u00fcy\u00fck \u0130pek Yolu koridoru ile Lvov ve Brest \u00fczerinden Avrupa\u2019ya ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n mesafesi \u00f6nemli oranda k\u0131salacakt\u0131r. (317<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Di\u011fer taraftan TRACECA Program\u0131\u2019ndan 30\u2019a yak\u0131n \u00fclke yararlanacakt\u0131r. Program sadece Avrupa ile Uzak Do\u011fu pazarlar\u0131 aras\u0131nda alternatif yolun olu\u015fturulmas\u0131yla kalmamakta, ayn\u0131 zamanda G\u00fcney Kafkasya ve Merkezi Asya\u2019daki (Kazakistan, K\u0131rg\u0131zistan, \u00d6zbekistan, Tacikistan, T\u00fcrkmenistan) \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda alternatif bir yol arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla bu \u00fclkeler aras\u0131 ekonomik ili\u015fkileri geli\u015ftirmekte ve bu devletlerin hem idari hem de ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131dan geli\u015fmelerine neden olmaktad\u0131r. (318<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bunun i\u00e7in de ku\u015fkusuz ki, bu devletler taraf\u0131ndan \u00fcretilen mal ve hizmetlerin d\u00fcnya pazarlar\u0131na ula\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in Rusya\u2019ya alternatif yollar\u0131n olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 gerekmektedir. Rusya\u2019ya bu a\u00e7\u0131dan olan ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 azaltacak devletler ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 peki\u015ftirmeye imkan bulacaklard\u0131r. \u0130\u015fte TRACECA bu t\u00fcr g\u00f6revin yerine getirilmesinde yeterli imkana sahiptir.<\/p>\n<p>Nitekim Kazakistan\u2019la \u00c7in Trans-Kazakistan demiryolunun in\u015fas\u0131na ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f durumdad\u0131r. Yakla\u015f\u0131k 2.5 milyar dolar de\u011ferindeki bu projenin G\u00fcney-Do\u011fu Asya devletlerini Avrupa \u00fclkeleri ile birle\u015ftirmesi beklenmektedir. Demiryolu g\u00fczergah\u0131 Dost\u0131k &#8211; Kazakistan\u2019\u0131n Aktogay, Jezkazgan, Beyney \u015fehirleri hatt\u0131n\u0131 takiben Hazar Deniz\u2019indeki Aktau liman\u0131na kadar uzanacakt\u0131r. (319<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Buradan da Bak\u00fc\u2019ye kadar gemiyle ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen y\u00fckler, daha sonra bilinen g\u00fczergah \u00fczerinden Bak\u00fc\u2019den G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131n Karadeniz\u2019deki limanlar\u0131na kadar ta\u015f\u0131nacakt\u0131r. \u015eunu belirtmek gerekir ki Aktau-Bak\u00fc-Batum koridoru TRACECA Program\u0131n\u0131n bir par\u00e7as\u0131d\u0131r ve bu program do\u011frultusunda birka\u00e7 proje \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (320<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bununla da Kazakistan, demiryolu sistemi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan k\u0131smen Rusya\u2019ya ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131ktan kurtulmu\u015f olacakt\u0131r; di\u011fer taraftan Moskova ile Pekin aras\u0131nda uzanan Trans-Sibirya demiryoluna da bir alternatif sunulmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Bu alternatifin daha da etkin bir \u015fekilde kullan\u0131ma a\u00e7\u0131k olmas\u0131 i\u00e7in demiryolunun Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesinden do\u011frudan T\u00fcrkiye \u00fczerinden Avrupa\u2019ya ba\u011flanmas\u0131 gerekmektedir. Sovyetler Birli\u011fi zaman\u0131nda Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n G\u00fcmr\u00fc \u015fehrinden T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Kars \u015fehrine demiryolu ba\u011flant\u0131s\u0131 varsa da, Azerbaycan\u2019la Ermenistan aras\u0131nda devam eden Karaba\u011f \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 y\u00fcz\u00fcnden ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcme kavu\u015fana dek Ermenistan\u2019la herhangi bir ekonomik ili\u015fkiye girmeyece\u011fine dair alm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu karardan dolay\u0131 at\u0131ld\u0131r. Bu demiryolunun uzant\u0131s\u0131 Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n Ermeniler taraf\u0131ndan i\u015fgal olunmu\u015f arazilerinden ge\u00e7ti\u011fi ve k\u0131smen bunlar taraf\u0131ndan s\u00f6k\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc i\u00e7in uzun zamandan beri kullan\u0131lmamaktad\u0131r. Yeniden faaliyete ba\u015flamas\u0131 i\u00e7in hem Karaba\u011f sorununun \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc beklemek gerekecek, hem de bu g\u00fczerg\u00e2h\u0131n yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck miktarda yat\u0131r\u0131mlara ihtiya\u00e7 duyulacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Di\u011fer taraftan, Uzak Do\u011fu\u2019dan ve Merkezi Asya \u00fczerinden mevcut ve olu\u015fturulacak olan demiryollar\u0131n\u0131n, Rusya ve \u0130ran\u2019a alternatif g\u00fczergah olan G\u00fcney Kafkasya ve T\u00fcrkiye \u00fczerinden Avrupa demiryolu \u015febekesine ba\u011flanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in Kars ile Tiflis aras\u0131nda bir demiryolunun hatt\u0131 in\u015fas\u0131 yeterlidir. 68 km\u2019lik k\u0131sm\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye, 30 km\u2019lik k\u0131sm\u0131 da G\u00fcrcistan i\u00e7inde kal\u0131p toplam uzunlu\u011fu 98 km olan ve maliyeti 400 milyon dolar olarak belirlenen demiryolu Uzak Do\u011fu ile Avrupa pazarlar\u0131n\u0131 yeni ve g\u00fcvenilir bir demiryolu ile birle\u015ftirmi\u015f olacakt\u0131r. (321<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bak\u00fc-Tiflis-Kars hatt\u0131 do\u011fuda \u00c7in ve Kazakistan demiryolu hatlar\u0131 ile bat\u0131da ise denizalt\u0131 ge\u00e7i\u015fli Marmara demiryolu t\u00fcneli \u00fczerinden Avrupa Demiryolu a\u011f\u0131na ba\u011flanacakt\u0131r. \u00c7in ve Kazakistan taraf\u0131ndan b\u00fcy\u00fck destek alan bu projenin temeli A\u011fustos 2007 tarihinde at\u0131lacak ve \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde tamamlanacakt\u0131r. (322<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesinin AB ile Uzak Do\u011fu ve b\u00f6lge \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131ndaki ticaretin g\u00fcvenli ve s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir \u015fekilde sa\u011flanmas\u0131nda \u00f6nemi bununla s\u0131n\u0131rlanamaz. Daha \u00f6nce de zikretti\u011fimiz gibi AB ekonomisi alternatif kaynaklardan enerji arz\u0131na b\u00fcy\u00fck gereksinim duymaktad\u0131r. Hazar havzas\u0131nda bu kaynaklar\u0131n var olmas\u0131, bunlardan yararlan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelmemektedir ve kaynaklar\u0131n g\u00fcvenli bir \u015fekilde AB\u2019ye ula\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 da \u00f6nemlidir. Oysa bu co\u011frafyada bulunan hidrokarbon kaynaklar\u0131 AB\u2019ye aslen Rusya \u00fczerinden ihra\u00e7 edilmektedir. Bu durumda Rusya\u2019dan AB\u2019ye ihra\u00e7 edilen kaynaklara alternatif olma \u00f6zellikleri ortadan kalkmaktad\u0131r. Bu y\u00fczden Avrupa Birli\u011fi i\u00e7in enerji kaynaklar\u0131na alternatif eri\u015fimi temin etmek i\u00e7in Hazar Denizi b\u00f6lgesinden Rusya\u2019ya alternatif boru hatlar\u0131 ve di\u011fer ula\u015f\u0131m sistemlerinin olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 zarureti vard\u0131r. Hazar Denizi havzas\u0131nda hem petrol, hem de do\u011falgaz Rusya\u2019n\u0131n tekelinde olan boru hatlar\u0131 ile Avrupa pazarlar\u0131na ta\u015f\u0131nmaktad\u0131r. Hatta Kazakistan\u2019\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan sonra kurulmu\u015f olan CPC (323<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0boru hatt\u0131 da b\u00f6yledir. Uzunlu\u011fu 1580 km olan bu boru hatt\u0131 Kazakistan\u2019\u0131n Tengiz yata\u011f\u0131ndan ba\u015flayarak Rusya \u00fczerinden bu \u00fclkenin Karadeniz\u2019de bulunan Novorossiysk liman\u0131na kadar uzanmaktad\u0131r. Buradan petrol tankerlerle T\u00fcrk Bo\u011fazlar\u0131\u2019ndan ge\u00e7erek, d\u00fcnya pazarlar\u0131na ula\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmaktad\u0131r. Boru hatt\u0131na yap\u0131lan masraf 2.6 milyar ABD dolar\u0131 olarak tahmin edilmektedir. (324<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Azerbaycan petrolleri ise Bak\u00fc-Novorossiysk Boru Hatt\u0131 ve daha sonra Karadeniz \u00fczerinden benzer g\u00fczergahla ta\u015f\u0131nmaktayd\u0131. 1997 y\u0131l\u0131nda kullan\u0131ma a\u00e7\u0131lan ve uzunlu\u011funun 233 km\u2019si Azerbaycan topraklar\u0131ndan ge\u00e7mek \u00fczere 1000 km olan bu petrol boru hatt\u0131n\u0131n kapasitesi y\u0131ll\u0131k 5 milyon tondur. Boru hatt\u0131 Asr\u0131n Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019na g\u00f6re Azeri, G\u00fcne\u015fli ve \u00c7\u0131rak yataklar\u0131ndan elde edilen erken petrol\u00fcn ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131 i\u00e7in planlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Kuzey g\u00fczergah\u0131 olarak da bilinen Bak\u00fc-Novorossiysk ile beraber, Bat\u0131 g\u00fczergah\u0131 ad\u0131 verilen ve uzunlu\u011fu 920 km (ki bunun 600 km Azerbaycan arazisinden ge\u00e7mektedir) olan Bak\u00fc-Supsa Boru Hatt\u0131n\u0131n da yap\u0131m\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmi\u015ftir. (325<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bu boru hatt\u0131n\u0131n in\u015fas\u0131 ile ilk defa herhangi bir eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi Cumhuriyeti kendi enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131 Avrupa pazarlar\u0131na Rusya\u2019ya alternatif bir g\u00fczergahtan ihra\u00e7 etmeye imkan bulmu\u015ftur. Supsa G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131n Karadeniz\u2019deki bir liman\u0131 olup, buradan tankerlerle ta\u015f\u0131nan erken petrol ilk defa Rusya\u2019ya alternatif olu\u015fturmu\u015ftur. (326<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Fakat hem kapasitenin k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ki bu Petrol Boru Hatt\u0131 \u00fczerinden y\u0131lda sadece 5.5\u20136 milyon ton petrol ta\u015f\u0131mak m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr, hem de Bo\u011fazlardan ge\u00e7i\u015fin g\u00fcvenlik tedbirleri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, Asr\u0131n Antla\u015fmas\u0131 olarak bilinen Azerbaycan petrollerinin \u00fcretim projesine y\u00f6nelik yeni bir boru hatt\u0131 in\u015fas\u0131 gereklili\u011fi ortaya koymu\u015ftur. Bu boru hatt\u0131 Bak\u00fc\u2019den T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Ceyhan liman\u0131na kadar uzanacak olan Ana Petrol Boru Hatt\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Uzunlu\u011fu 1730 km ve y\u0131ll\u0131k ta\u015f\u0131ma kapasitesi 50 milyon ton olarak \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen bu boru hatt\u0131n\u0131n 468 km\u2019si Azerbaycan, 225 km\u2019si G\u00fcrcistan, 1037 km\u2019si ise T\u00fcrkiye arazisinden ge\u00e7mektedir. Bir ton nakli i\u00e7in 18 ABD dolar\u0131 tarife \u00fccreti \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. (327<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bu ise Bak\u00fc-Novorossiysk Boru Hatt\u0131ndan ihra\u00e7 edilen petrol i\u00e7in \u00f6nerilen tarifeden \u00e7ok daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckt\u00fcr. Bak\u00fc-Ceyhan Boru hatt\u0131 \u00fczerinden ta\u015f\u0131nacak petrol i\u00e7in her varil ba\u015f\u0131na ortalama 2.57 ABD dolar\u0131 olan bu maliyet Bak\u00fc-Novorossiysk Boru Hatt\u0131 i\u00e7in 3 ABD dolar\u0131d\u0131r. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Novorossiysk\u2019ten tankerlerle Karadeniz\u2019den ta\u015f\u0131nan petrol i\u00e7in ek \u00fccret \u00f6demek gerekmektedir. Tanker ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve sigorta i\u00e7in \u00f6denilen masraflar k\u0131\u015f d\u00f6neminde artma e\u011filimini g\u00f6stermektedir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc k\u0131\u015f mevsiminde k\u00f6t\u00fc hava \u015fartlar\u0131 tankerlerin Bo\u011fazlar\u2019dan zaman\u0131nda ge\u00e7i\u015fini engellemektedir. \u00d6rne\u011fin, 2004 k\u0131\u015f mevsiminde gemilerin k\u00f6t\u00fc hava \u015fartlar\u0131 y\u00fcz\u00fcnden bekleme s\u00fcresinin maliyeti ortalama olarak 100.000 ABD dolar\u0131d\u0131r. Ocak 2004\u2019de Novorossiysk\u2019ten Akdeniz limanlar\u0131na petrol ta\u015f\u0131ma maliyeti be\u015f ABD dolar\u0131na kadar \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r, bu da 2003 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine k\u0131yasen \u00fc\u00e7 ABD dolar\u0131ndan \u00e7ok daha fazlayd\u0131. (328<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Bak\u00fc-Ceyhan Boru Hatt\u0131 hem AB a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, hem de Hazar b\u00f6lgesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r. \u0130lk \u00f6nce bu proje ev sahibi \u00fclkelerinin ekonomileri i\u00e7in ciddi miktarda gelir getirecektir. Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n petrol ve G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131n ta\u015f\u0131ma \u00fccretlerinden elde edecekleri kazan\u00e7, \u00fclkelerin refah\u0131n\u0131 hissedilir \u015fekilde art\u0131racakt\u0131r. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, Bak\u00fc-Tiflis-Ceyhan boru hatt\u0131 Rusya\u2019dan Avrupa\u2019ya uzanan petrol boru hatlar\u0131na ilk ciddi alternatiftir ve Avrupa pazarlar\u0131na petrol ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7e\u015fitlendirmeye imkan vermektedir. Nitekim Kazakistan da bu petrol boru hatt\u0131na kat\u0131lma konusunda talebini bildirmi\u015ftir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc mevcut durumda Kazakistan\u2019\u0131n \u00fcretti\u011fi petrol\u00fcn tamam\u0131 Rusya arazisinden nakledilmektedir, bu ise bu \u00fclkeyi Rusya\u2019ya ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 b\u0131rakacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Bir di\u011fer \u00f6nemli husus ise, Azerbaycan ve Kazakistan petrolleri daha \u00f6nce Karadeniz\u2019in Novorossiysk, Supsa ve Batum limanlar\u0131na kadar ula\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmaktayd\u0131 ve buradan da tankerlerle d\u00fcnya pazarlar\u0131na ta\u015f\u0131nmaktayd\u0131. Tankerlerin \u00e7ok hassas olan Bo\u011fazlar b\u00f6lgesinden ge\u00e7i\u015f yapmas\u0131 gerekmekteydi. Bo\u011fazlar \u00fczerinden gemilerin ge\u00e7i\u015fini d\u00fczenleyen 1936 Montreux Antla\u015fmas\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girdi\u011fi zaman, T\u00fcrk Bo\u011fazlar\u0131 b\u00f6lgesinden ge\u00e7en gemilerin say\u0131s\u0131, g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczdekinden \u00e7ok daha az idi. Ayr\u0131ca, gemi in\u015fa sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki geli\u015fmeler, gemilerin niteliklerini de \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde de\u011fi\u015ftirmi\u015fti. (329<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde Bo\u011fazlardan \u00e7ok daha b\u00fcy\u00fck ve geni\u015f hacimli gemiler ge\u00e7mektedir. Bu ise \u0130stanbul\u2019u s\u00fcrekli olarak tehdit alt\u0131nda b\u0131rakmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>1990\u2019l\u0131 y\u0131llarda y\u0131ll\u0131k olarak ortalama 60 milyon ton ham petrol ge\u00e7i\u015fi sa\u011flan\u0131yordu ve bu rakam y\u0131llar ge\u00e7tik\u00e7e daha da artmaktad\u0131r. Bu ise \u0130stanbul ve Bo\u011fazlar i\u00e7in gemilerin yo\u011fun trafi\u011fi, \u00e7evre kirlili\u011fi riski de dahil \u00f6nemli bir g\u00fcvenlik sorunu olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r. (330<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0D\u00fcnya pazarlar\u0131nda petrol gereksiniminin artmas\u0131yla birlikte Bo\u011fazlar\u0131n y\u00fck\u00fc de artmaktayd\u0131. Mesela 2003\u2019de 135 milyon ton petrol ta\u015f\u0131nmaktayken, 2004\u2019te bu rakam 160 milyon tona ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Oysa Bo\u011fazlar\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131k kapasitesi 200 milyon tondur. B\u00fcy\u00fck tankerlerle petrol\u00fcn ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131n neredeyse imkans\u0131z hale getiren Bo\u011fazlar\u0131n en dar b\u00f6lgesi sadece 600 metredir ve bazen gemiler tam dik a\u00e7\u0131da d\u00f6nmek zorunda kalmaktad\u0131r. (331<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Sadece, 1 May\u0131s 1982\u2019den 18 Ekim 1994\u2019e de\u011fin Bo\u011fazlarda, irili ufakl\u0131 toplam 210 kaza olmu\u015ftur. (332<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Kazalar\u0131 en aza indirme imkan\u0131 bulunsa da, Bo\u011fazlardan ge\u00e7en gemiler deniz kirlili\u011fine sebep olmakta hem de havay\u0131 kirletmektedir. Bu durum gemilerin kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 yak\u0131t\u0131n kalitesinden, geminin makinesindeki ar\u0131zadan, geminin h\u0131z\u0131ndan ve ge\u00e7en gemilerin yo\u011funlu\u011fundan kaynaklanmaktad\u0131r. Denizin kirlenmesi, tankerlerin balast sular\u0131n bo\u015falt\u0131lmas\u0131, tanklar\u0131n y\u0131kanmas\u0131, \u00e7amur, \u00e7\u00f6p ve sintine bo\u015faltmalar\u0131 sonucu da ortaya \u00e7\u0131kar. (333<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0G\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi Bo\u011fazlarda mevcut olan gemi trafi\u011fini azaltmaya yard\u0131m edecek alternatif g\u00fczergahlar\u0131n olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 hem \u0130stanbul\u2019un g\u00fcvenli\u011fi i\u00e7in hem de \u00e7evre a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Nitekim Bak\u00fc-Ceyhan Boru Hatt\u0131 bu t\u00fcr bir projedir ve T\u00fcrkiye arazisinden Akdeniz\u2019e inmektedir ve Avrupa pazarlar\u0131na yeni g\u00fcvenli ve alternatif bir g\u00fczergah sunmaktad\u0131r. Bak\u00fc-Tiflis-Ceyhan Boru Hatt\u0131\u2019ndan ilk petrol May\u0131s 2005\u2019te pompalanmaya ba\u015flanm\u0131\u015f, bir y\u0131l sonra Ceyhan liman\u0131ndan d\u00fcnya pazarlar\u0131na Azerbaycan petrol\u00fc girmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>B\u00f6lgede yak\u0131n zamanlarda tamamlanmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen ve Avrupa i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yan bir di\u011fer proje ise, \u015eahdeniz Do\u011falgaz Boru Hatt\u0131d\u0131r. Daha \u00f6nce de belirtti\u011fimiz gibi, Hazar Denizi\u2019nin Azerbaycan\u2019a ait k\u0131sm\u0131nda bulunan \u015eahdeniz do\u011falgaz yata\u011f\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lacak do\u011falgaz\u0131n Avrupa\u2019ya ula\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Bunun i\u00e7in gereken altyap\u0131 d\u00fczenlenmi\u015ftir. Azerbaycan\u2019da mevcut ve G\u00fcrcistan s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na kadar uzanan, uzunlu\u011fu 490 km olan boru hatt\u0131n\u0131 takiben, G\u00fcrcistan\u2019da yap\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen ve 280 km uzunlu\u011funda olacak boru hatt\u0131yla do\u011falgaz\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Erzurum \u015fehrine ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131 planlanmaktad\u0131r. Boru hatt\u0131n\u0131n 280 km\u2019lik k\u0131sm\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye arazisinde yap\u0131lacakt\u0131r. (334<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u0130n\u015fas\u0131 27 \u015eubat 2003\u2019te ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f (335<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0ve 2007\u2019de tamamlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (336<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>6.3 G\u00fcvenlik Sorunlar\u0131<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nAB\u2019yi b\u00f6lge a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ilgilendirebilecek di\u011fer bir durum ise g\u00fcvenlik sorunudur. G\u00fcney Kafkasya, b\u00f6lgede bulunan k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck ve belli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde etkisiz devletler nedeniyle d\u0131\u015f etkilere olduk\u00e7a hassast\u0131r, hatta b\u00f6lgede bulunan etnik \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n daha sonra tart\u0131\u015f\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 \u00fczere \u00e7o\u011funu d\u0131\u015f akt\u00f6rler menfaatleri \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde istismar etmektedirler. Nitekim bu durum hem t\u00fcm Avrupa k\u0131tas\u0131n\u0131, hem de AB\u2019yi olumsuz \u015fekilde etkilemektedir. 1998\u2019de Yugoslavya\u2019da Kosova b\u00f6lgesinde durdurulan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmadan sonra, t\u00fcm Avrupa k\u0131tas\u0131nda \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek oranda devam eden tek b\u00f6lge G\u00fcney Kafkasya olarak kalmaktad\u0131r. Hem G\u00fcrcistan\u2019da devam eden Abhazya ile G\u00fcney Osetya ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 hareketleri ile m\u00fccadele, hem de Azerbaycan- Ermenistan aras\u0131ndaki Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131, \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcme kavu\u015fturulmamalar\u0131 halinde her an yeniden \u015fiddetlenebilirler. \u00c7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131z bir Avrupa k\u0131tas\u0131 g\u00f6rmek isteyen AB devletleri i\u00e7in bu t\u00fcr bir olas\u0131l\u0131k en istenmeyen durumdur.<\/p>\n<p>AB i\u00e7in bu b\u00f6lgedeki sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmlenmesinin gerekli olmas\u0131n\u0131n bir di\u011fer nedeni ise, Birli\u011fe \u00fcye olan devletlerin \u00e7o\u011funda ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 hareketlerin olmas\u0131 ve zaman zaman bunlar\u0131n harekete ge\u00e7mesidir. G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesinde ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 hareketlerin ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131 AB\u2019ye \u00fcye devletlerdeki muadillerine harekete ge\u00e7me cesareti verebilir. AB\u2019nde bu t\u00fcr ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 hareketlere \u00f6rnek olarak Katalanlar\u0131, Kuzey \u0130rlanda\u2019y\u0131, Flamanlar\u2019i, \u0130spanya\u2019n\u0131n Bask \u00dclkesini g\u00f6stermek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. (337<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Genel olarak bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z zaman, Avrupa k\u0131tas\u0131nda 1920\u2019li y\u0131llarda 23 olan devlet say\u0131s\u0131, 1994\u2019de 44\u2019\u00fc bulmu\u015ftur. 1500\u2019li y\u0131llarda Avrupa\u2019da 500\u2019e kadar siyasi yap\u0131n\u0131n bulundu\u011funu g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurursak, (338<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>Avrupa\u2019da ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 hareketlerin hangi seviyeye ula\u015fabilece\u011fini g\u00f6rmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olacakt\u0131r. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcz Avrupa\u2019s\u0131nda hemen her \u00fclkede hat\u0131r\u0131 say\u0131l\u0131r \u00e7e\u015fitlilikte ve n\u00fcfusta az\u0131nl\u0131klar ya\u015famaktad\u0131r. Bunlara baz\u0131 \u00f6rnekler g\u00f6stermek gerekirse, \u0130spanya\u2019n\u0131n toplam n\u00fcfusunun % 16.3\u2019\u00fcn\u00fc Katalanlar, B\u00fcy\u00fck Britanya\u2019n\u0131n % 9\u2019unu \u0130sko\u00e7yal\u0131lar, % 5\u2019ini Galliler, % 3\u2019\u00fcn\u00fc \u0130rlandal\u0131lar, \u0130talya\u2019da toplam n\u00fcfusun yakla\u015f\u0131k % 40\u2019\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7e\u015fitli az\u0131nl\u0131k gruplar\u0131 olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r ki bunlar\u0131n aras\u0131nda en b\u00fcy\u00fckleri Lombardiyal\u0131lar ve Gali\u00e7yal\u0131lard\u0131r. Hatta L\u00fcksemburg gibi k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir devletin toplam n\u00fcfusunun % 25\u2019ni esas olarak da \u0130talyan az\u0131nl\u0131k olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r. (339<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bu listeyi uzatmak m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr.<\/p>\n<p>Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla t\u00fcm Avrupa devletleri, uluslararas\u0131 hukukta self-determinasyon ilkesine g\u00f6re yeni imkanlar\u0131n ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 durumunda, muhtemelen kendi arazilerinde, ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 hareketler ile y\u00fczle\u015febilirler. Bu y\u00fczden, G\u00fcney Kafkasya\u2019daki geli\u015fmeler ve buradaki sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm \u015fekli Avrupa Birli\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r ve bu kurumun dikkati haricinde b\u0131rak\u0131lmas\u0131 durumunda gelecekte b\u00fcy\u00fck sorunlara neden olabilecektir. Mesela Abhazya veya Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f\u2019da d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan yap\u0131lan m\u00fcdahalelerin de etkisiyle kal\u0131c\u0131 bir b\u00f6l\u00fcnme ya\u015fanmas\u0131 ve bu olu\u015fumlar\u0131n ilerde uluslararas\u0131 sistemin hukuki \u00f6zneleri olarak tan\u0131nmalar\u0131 self- determinasyon ilkesinin yeni bir yorumu olacak ve bu da Avrupa\u2019da ve d\u00fcnyada ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 hareketlerin taleplerini art\u0131racak ve rahats\u0131zl\u0131k verici bir emsal olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>G\u00fcney Kafkasya\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ortak \u00f6zellikleri, t\u00fcm \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ve o d\u00f6nemin Merkezi y\u00f6netimi taraf\u0131ndan y\u00f6nlendirilmesidir. Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nde Gorba\u00e7ov d\u00f6neminde ba\u015flayan reform hareketleri ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131kla sonu\u00e7lan\u0131nca, \u00fclkede siyasi sorunlar \u015fiddetlenmi\u015f, arkas\u0131ndan ekonomik sorunlar gelmi\u015ftir ki, bu da \u00e7ok etnik kimlikli \u00fclkelerde bu gruplar aras\u0131nda \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalara yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Karaba\u011f\u2019da ya\u015fayan Ermeniler, \u015eubat 1988\u2019de Azerbaycan\u2019dan ayr\u0131lma ve Ermenistan\u2019la birle\u015fme karar\u0131n\u0131 alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu kararla birlikte iki taraf aras\u0131nda \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (340<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesinde G\u00fcrcistan\u2019da Abhazya b\u00f6lgesindeki ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 hareket daha Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmadan \u00f6nce ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Sovyetler d\u00f6neminde G\u00fcrcistan dahilinde otonom b\u00f6lge stat\u00fcs\u00fcne sahip olan Abhazya\u2019da \u015fiddetli \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar 1992\u2019de ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Di\u011fer ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 hareket G\u00fcney Osetya\u2019da 1989 y\u0131l\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Her iki meselede de ate\u015fkes s\u00fcreci devam etse de, ne Abhazya, ne de G\u00fcney Osetya G\u00fcrcistan y\u00f6netimine tabi olmak istememektedir. (341<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi topraklar\u0131ndaki bu dondurulmu\u015f \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmeden AB\u2019nin g\u00fcvenli\u011fi s\u00fcrekli bir \u015fekilde tehdit alt\u0131nda olacakt\u0131r. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Rusya b\u00f6lgede \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 bir ara\u00e7 ve bahane olarak kullanarak her zaman m\u00fcdahalede bulunma imk\u00e2n\u0131na sahip olacakt\u0131r. Bunlardan dolay\u0131 AB\u2019nin hem genel olarak g\u00fcvenli\u011fi, hem de b\u00f6lgedeki \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 tehdit alt\u0131nda kalabilir.<\/p>\n<p>AB\u2019nin g\u00fcvenli\u011fine tehdit olarak alg\u0131lanmas\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek olan bu sorunlarla beraber, modern d\u00fcnyada \u201cyeni tehditler\u201d olarak tan\u0131mlanan ter\u00f6rizm, organize su\u00e7 ya da denetimsiz g\u00f6\u00e7 ak\u0131mlar\u0131 gibi sorunlar i\u00e7in (342<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesi \u201ctransit\u201d b\u00f6lge rol\u00fcn\u00fc oynayabilir. \u2018Yeni tehditler\u2019 olgusunun ter\u00f6rizm \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde de\u011ferlendirilmesi G\u00fcney Kafkasya\u2019n\u0131n AB g\u00fcvenli\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ter\u00f6rizm ba\u011flam\u0131ndaki \u00f6nemini belirleyecektir.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cEl-Kaide\u201d \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcn ABD\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 11 Eyl\u00fcl 2001\u2019de ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi, d\u00f6rt yolcu u\u00e7a\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 yoluyla New York, Washington ve Pittsburg \u015fehirlerinde binlerce insan\u0131n \u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcyle sonu\u00e7lanan sald\u0131r\u0131lardan sonra, bu \u00fclkenin ulusal g\u00fcvenlik alg\u0131lamas\u0131nda radikal de\u011fi\u015fimler meydana gelmi\u015ftir. (343<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Bunun \u00fczerine 27 Aral\u0131k 2001\u2019de AB\u2019ye \u00fcye devletler \u201cTer\u00f6rle M\u00fccadeleye \u0130li\u015fkin \u00d6zel \u00d6nlemlerin Uygulanmas\u0131na Dair Ortak Tutum\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir karar alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Karar\u0131n \u00f6nemi, AB taraf\u0131ndan ter\u00f6r eyleminin ortak tan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n yap\u0131lmas\u0131 ve ayn\u0131 zamanda ter\u00f6rist ki\u015fi, kurulu\u015f ve \u00f6rg\u00fctlerin listesinin belirlenmi\u015f olmas\u0131yd\u0131. (344<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Madrid\u2019de ve Londra\u2019da ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen ter\u00f6r eylemleri AB\u2019nin daha s\u0131k\u0131 tedbirlerin almas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemini ortaya koymu\u015ftur. Bu konuda AB\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli\u011fini sa\u011flamas\u0131 tedbirlerin aras\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir yer tutmaktad\u0131r. Bu konuda AB ile kom\u015fu b\u00f6lgesi olan G\u00fcney Kafkasya istisna olu\u015fturmamaktad\u0131r. G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcz d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n en istikrars\u0131z b\u00f6lgesi olan Ortado\u011fu ile kom\u015fu olan bu b\u00f6lge, haritas\u0131nda bir\u00e7ok \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma alan\u0131n bulunmas\u0131 ve bu nedenle olu\u015fan denetim d\u0131\u015f\u0131 alanlar, ter\u00f6r \u00f6rg\u00fctlerinin konu\u015flanmas\u0131 ve Avrupa\u2019ya ge\u00e7i\u015finin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ideal bir yer olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>AB g\u00fcvenli\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan b\u00f6lgeyi ilgilendiren bir di\u011fer olgu ise azgeli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerden AB \u00fcyesi \u00fclkelere y\u00f6nelen yo\u011fun g\u00f6\u00e7 ak\u0131mlar\u0131d\u0131r. 1950\u2019li y\u0131llarda ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmede patlama ya\u015fayan Avrupa \u00fclkeleri d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan gelen ucuz i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fcne b\u00fcy\u00fck bir ihtiya\u00e7 duymaktayd\u0131lar ve bu nedenle B\u00fcy\u00fck Britanya Karayip Adalar\u0131 ve Hindistan\u2019dan, Fransa Cezayir\u2019den Almanya, \u0130talya ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den \u00e7ok say\u0131da i\u015f\u00e7i alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131yla bu \u00fclkelerde geni\u015f topluluklar olu\u015fturan g\u00f6\u00e7menler baz\u0131 sorunlarla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Avrupa\u2019da artan i\u015fsizlik ve rekabet ortam\u0131nda daha ucuz \u00fccretle \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya haz\u0131r olan g\u00f6\u00e7menler yerel ahali i\u00e7erisinde a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 gruplar taraf\u0131ndan ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan sorunlar\u0131n temel kayna\u011f\u0131 olarak g\u00f6sterilmeye ba\u015flanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Zaman zaman \u00fclke h\u00fck\u00fcmetleri de benzer sebeple g\u00f6\u00e7menlere kar\u015f\u0131 ayr\u0131mc\u0131l\u0131k politikalar\u0131 uygulam\u0131\u015flar ve hatta Avusturya ve Fransa\u2019da oldu\u011fu gibi a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 milliyet\u00e7i partilerin n\u00fcfuzlar\u0131n\u0131n artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (345<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0G\u00f6\u00e7 sorunuyla ba\u015f etmek a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan AB\u2019nin G\u00fcney Kafkasya politikas\u0131n\u0131n, b\u00f6lgenin geli\u015fmi\u015flik d\u00fczeyini art\u0131rarak kendisinin illegal g\u00f6\u00e7men kayna\u011f\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7mek, entegrasyon s\u00fcrecinin sonucu olarak b\u00f6lge \u00fclkelerinin AB\u2019nin konuyla ilgili ve daha genel g\u00fcvenlik prosed\u00fcrlerinin par\u00e7as\u0131 haline gelmesi sayesinde olas\u0131 g\u00f6\u00e7men dalgalar\u0131n\u0131 kendi s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131nda kar\u015f\u0131lamas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamak y\u00f6n\u00fcnde uygulamalar gerektirdi\u011fi de\u011ferlendirmesi yap\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.circassiancenter.com\/cc-turkiye\/arastirma\/0530-avrupa-1.htm\"><span lang=\"en-us\">1. B<\/span>\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00a0<span lang=\"en-us\">&gt;&gt;&gt;<\/span><\/a><span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.circassiancenter.com\/cc-turkiye\/arastirma\/0531-avrupa-2.htm\"><span lang=\"en-us\">2.B<\/span>\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00a0<span lang=\"en-us\">&gt;&gt;&gt;<\/span><\/a><span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.circassiancenter.com\/cc-turkiye\/arastirma\/0532-avrupa-3.htm\">3<span lang=\"en-us\">.B<\/span>\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00a0<span lang=\"en-us\">&gt;&gt;&gt;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial;\"><b><span lang=\"en-us\">2. B\u00d6L\u00dcM D<\/span>\u0130PNOTLARI:<br \/>\n<\/b>fkasya\u2019n\u0131n Yeri, S\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 ve \u00d6zellikleri\u201d, No 17, Avrasya Et\u00fctleri Dergisi, Ankara, T\u0130KA, (\u0130lkbahar-Yaz, 2000), ss. 21\u201322.<br \/>\n<b>173<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Ruben \u015eugaryan, \u201cErmenistan D\u0131\u015f Politikas\u0131 \u00c7er\u00e7evesinde B\u00f6lgesel \u0130\u015fbirli\u011finin Olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131 (\u0418\u0434\u0435\u044f \u0420\u0435\u0433\u0438\u043e\u043d\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0421\u043e\u0442\u0440\u0443\u0434\u043d\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0430 \u0432 \u041a\u043e\u043d\u0442\u0435\u043a\u0441\u0442\u0435 \u0412\u043d\u0435\u0448\u043d\u0435\u0439 \u041f\u043e\u043b\u0438\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0438 \u0410\u0440\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0438)\u201d, Gayane Novikova, (ed.), Erivan, Antares, 2002, ss. 10\u201311.<br \/>\n<b>174<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Foreign Policy Priorities of the Republic of Azerbaijan, http:\/\/www.azembassy.com\/new\/pages.php?name=FPP, (25.09.07).<br \/>\n<b>175<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Azerbaycan Ekonomisi, (\u042d\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0438\u043a\u0430 \u0410\u0437\u0435\u0440\u0431\u0430\u0439\u0434\u0436\u0430\u043d\u0430), http:\/\/www.panasia.ru\/main\/azerbai\/economic\/, (18.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>176<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>G\u00fcrcistan Ekonomisi, (\u042d\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0438\u043a\u0430 \u0413\u0440\u0443\u0437\u0438\u0438), http:\/\/www.panasia.ru\/main\/gruziya\/economic\/, (18.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>177<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Ermenistan Ekonomisi, (\u042d\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0438\u043a\u0430 \u0410\u0440\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0438), http:\/\/www.panasia.ru\/main\/armeniya\/economic\/, (18.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>178<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Bu konuda bkz: EU Cooperation with Georgia, http:\/\/www.delgeo.ec.Europa.eu\/en\/eu_and_georgia\/cooperation.html, (10.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>179<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>EU-Relations with Azerbaijan, http:\/\/ec.Europa.eu\/external_relations\/azerbaijan\/intro\/index.htm,(10.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>180<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Bu konuda bkz: EU Cooperation with Georgia, http:\/\/www.delgeo.ec.Europa.eu\/en\/eu_and_georgia\/cooperation.html, (10.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>181<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>European Neighbourhood and Partnership Instrument, Armenia: Country Strategy Paper,2007-2013, s. 13.<br \/>\n<b>182<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Aras Aslanl\u0131, \u201cTarihten G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze Karaba\u011f Sorunu\u201d, Avrasya Dosyas\u0131, Cilt 7, Say\u0131 1, Ankara, (\u0130lkbahar, 2001), s. 45.<br \/>\n<b>183<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Emin \u015eihaliyev, T\u00fcrkiye ve Azerbaycan A\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan Ermeni Sorunu, Ankara, T\u00fcrk K\u00fclt\u00fcr veE\u011fitim Norm Geli\u015ftirme Vakf\u0131 Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2002, s. 150.<br \/>\n<b>184<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Azerbaycan\u2019da idari b\u00f6lgelere verilen isim.<br \/>\n<b>185<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Azerbaycan Sovyet Sosyalist Cumhuriyeti\u2019nin y\u00fcr\u00fctme organ\u0131<br \/>\n<b>186<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Chronology of Key Events February 1988-June 2003, http:\/\/www.nkrusa.org\/nk_conflict\/nkr_position.shtml, (29.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>187<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Daha etrafl\u0131 bilgi i\u00e7in bak: Declaration on State Independence of the Nagorno KarabakhRepublic, http:\/\/www.nkrusa.org\/nk_conflict\/declaration_independence.shtml, (29.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>188<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0S. Asratian, Karabakh War, Erivan, 2001, s. 189.<br \/>\n<b>189<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Asratian, a. g. e., s.189.<br \/>\n<b>190<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Da\u011fl\u0131k Qaraba\u011f: S\u00fclh Plan\u0131, International Crisis Group Raporu, No 167, 11.10.05, s. 8.<br \/>\n<b>191<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Emin Arif (\u015eihaliyev), Kafkasya Jeopoliti\u011finde Rusya, \u0130ran, T\u00fcrkiye Rekabetleri ve ErmeniFakt\u00f6r\u00fc, Ankara, Nat\u00fcrel Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2004, s. 56.<br \/>\n<b>192<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>\u00c7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n tarihi ve \u00c7\u00f6z\u00fcm S\u00fcreci, (\u0418\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0438\u044f \u041a\u043e\u043d\u0444\u043b\u0438\u043a\u0442\u0430 \u0438 \u041f\u0440\u043e\u0446\u0435\u0441\u0441 \u0423\u0440\u0435\u0433\u0443\u043b\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u044f), http:\/\/www.azerbembassy.org.cn\/rus\/background.html, (08.08.07)<br \/>\n<b>193<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Commission Staff Working Paper, Annex to \u201cEuropean Neighbourhood Policy\u201d, CountryReport, Azerbaijan, (COM(2005)72 F\u0131nal), Brussels, EU Commission, 02.03.2005.<br \/>\n<b>194<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Elena Lyubarskaya, Karan\u0131n 1\/6 Hissesi: \u201cKonyak Devrimini\u201d Engelleyen Ne, (1\/6 \u0427\u0430\u0441\u0442\u044c \u0421\u0443\u0448\u0438: \u0427\u0442\u043e \u043c\u0435\u0448\u0430\u0435\u0442 &#8220;\u041a\u043e\u043d\u044c\u044f\u0447\u043d\u043e\u0439 \u0420\u0435\u0432\u043e\u043b\u044e\u0446\u0438\u0438&#8221;),http:\/\/lenta.ru\/articles\/2005\/04\/15\/armenia, (21.08.07)<br \/>\n<b>195<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Elif Hatun K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7beyli, \u201cSovyet Sonras\u0131 Kafkasya\u2019da \u201cYeni Egemen\u201d Devletler: B\u00f6lge ve B\u00f6lge- D\u0131\u015f\u0131 Akt\u00f6rler ile B\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme S\u00fcreci\u201d, Ge\u00e7mi\u015ften G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fen Orta Asya ve Kafkasya, Yelda Demira\u011f-Cem Karadeli, (der.), Ankara, Palme Yay\u0131nc\u0131l\u0131k, 2006, s, 91.<br \/>\n<b>196<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0B. G. Hewitt, Abhazia, \u201cA Problem of Identity and Ownership\u201d, Transcaucasian Boundaries, John F. R. Wright Et al., (ed.), London UCL Press, 1996, s. 216.<br \/>\n<b>197<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Elena Lyubarskaya, Karan\u0131n 1\/6 Hissesi: Saaka\u015fvili Yanda\u015flar\u0131 Ne \u0130\u00e7in M\u00fccadele Verdiler, (1\/6 \u0447\u0430\u0441\u0442\u044c \u0441\u0443\u0448\u0438: \u0417\u0430 \u0447\u0442\u043e \u0431\u043e\u0440\u043e\u043b\u0438\u0441\u044c \u043f\u043e\u043a\u043b\u043e\u043d\u043d\u0438\u043a\u0438 \u0421\u0430\u0430\u043a\u0430\u0448\u0432\u0438\u043b\u0438), http:\/\/lenta.ru\/articles\/2005\/05\/03\/georgia\/, (21.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>198<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Paul B. Henze, \u201cRussia and the Caucasus\u201d, Perceptions: Journal of International Affairs,Volume 1, No 2, Ankara, Stratejik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Merkezi, (June-August, 1996), ss. 62-63.<br \/>\n<b>199<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7beyli, a. g. m., 2006, s. 90.<br \/>\n<b>200<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Elena Lyubarskaya, Karan\u0131n 1\/6 Hissesi: Saaka\u015fvili Yanda\u015flar\u0131 Ne \u0130\u00e7in M\u00fccadele Verdiler,(21.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>201<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Kamil A\u011facan, \u201cSo\u011fuk Sava\u015f Sonras\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye-G\u00fcrcistan \u0130li\u015fkileri\u201d, 21. Y\u00fczy\u0131lda T\u00fcrk D\u0131\u015fPolitikas\u0131, \u0130dris Bal, (ed.), Ankara, Nobel Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2004, s. 434.<br \/>\n<b>202<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7beyli, a. g. m., 2006, s. 92.<br \/>\n<b>203<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Aybeniz R\u00fcstemova, \u201cM\u00fcsteqillik Sonras\u0131 Cenubi Qafqaz ve Merkezi Asya Regionunda Tehl\u00fckesizlik ve Emekda\u015fl\u0131q Sahesinde \u0130nteqrasiya Prosesleri\u201d, Qloballa\u015fma Prosesinde Qafqaz ve Merkezi Asiya: \u0130qtisadi ve Beynelxalq M\u00fcnasibetler II Beynelxalq Konqres Materiallar\u0131, Bak\u00fc, Qafqaz Universiteti, 2007, s. 1001.<br \/>\n<b>204<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin 1951 y\u0131l\u0131nda Bat\u0131 Avrupa\u2019da ba\u015flayan entegrasyon s\u00fcrecine tepkisi, 11 Eyl\u00fcl1951 tarihinde Fransa h\u00fck\u00fcmetine \u201cSchumann Plan\u0131na\u201d kar\u015f\u0131 verilen resmi nota ile belirlenmi\u015ftir. Bu notada Sovyetler taraf\u0131 Schumann Deklarasyonu\u2019na olduk\u00e7a olumsuz bir reaksiyon sergilemektedir ve bunu Almanya i\u00e7in yeniden silahlanma ve Alman emperyalizmin yeniden do\u011fu\u015fu plan\u0131 olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc beyan etmi\u015ftir. O d\u00f6nemin Sovyet gazetelerinde yay\u0131nlanan makalelerde, Avrupa K\u00f6m\u00fcr \u00c7elik Toplulu\u011fu, sald\u0131rgan NATO blo\u011funa paralel bir ekonomikbirli\u011fin kurulmas\u0131nda ilk ad\u0131m olarak de\u011ferlendirilmekteydi. 1957\u2019de Roma Antla\u015fmas\u0131 ile kurulandi\u011fer iki toplulu\u011fa da benzer tepki g\u00f6sterilmi\u015ftir. Nitekim 1957 y\u0131l\u0131nda Sovyetler Birli\u011fi D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n 17 Mart 1957 tarihinde yay\u0131nlanan beyannamesinde bu organizasyonlar\u0131n kurulmas\u0131 NATO\u2019nun iki yeni \u015fubesinin olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 \u015feklinde de\u011ferlendirilmi\u015ftir. Bkz: Avrupa Birli\u011fi El Kitab\u0131, (\u0415\u0432\u0440\u043e\u043f\u0435\u0439\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0421o\u044e\u0437 \u0421\u043f\u0440\u0430\u0432\u043e\u0447\u043d\u0438\u043a), O. B. Butorina, (ed.), Moskova, Delovaya Literatura, 2003, s. 19<br \/>\n<b>205<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Avrupa Birli\u011fi El Kitab\u0131, 2003, s.19.<br \/>\n<b>206<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Esra Hatipo\u011flu, \u201cRusya-Avrupa Birli\u011fi \u0130li\u015fkileri\u201d, Marmara Avrupa Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Dergisi, \u0130stanbul, Cilt 9, Say\u0131 1, (2001), s. 116.<br \/>\n<b>207<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>Avrupa Birli\u011fi El Kitab\u0131, 2003, s.33.<br \/>\n<b>208<\/b><span lang=\"en-us\"><b>)<\/b>\u00a0<\/span>AT-Sizin Kom\u015funuz, AT Komisyonu, (E\u0432\u0440\u043e\u043f\u0435\u0439\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0435 C\u043e\u043e\u0431\u0449\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0432\u043e-B\u0430\u0448 \u0441\u043e\u0441\u0435\u0434, K\u043e\u043c\u0438\u0441\u0441\u0438\u044fE\u0432\u0440\u043e\u043f\u0435\u0439\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0445 C\u043e\u043e\u0431\u0449\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0432), Avrupa Komisyonu, Br\u00fcksel, 1992, s. 41.<br \/>\n<b>209<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Avrupa Birli\u011fi El Kitab\u0131, 2003, s. 203.<br \/>\n<b>210<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Technical Assistance to the Commonwealth of the Independent States.<br \/>\n<b>211<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Ali Faik Demir, AB\u2019nin G\u00fcney Kafkasya Politikalar\u0131, D\u00fcnden Bug\u00fcne Avrupa Birli\u011fi, BerilDedeo\u011flu, (der.), \u0130stanbul, Boyut Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2003, ss. 378\u2013379.<br \/>\n<b>212<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>Avrupa Komisyonu: TACIS Program\u0131, 1997 y\u0131l\u0131 Raporu, (E\u0432\u0440\u043e\u043f\u0435\u0439\u0441\u043a\u0430\u044f K\u043e\u043c\u0438\u0441\u0441\u0438\u044f: \u041f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u0440\u0430\u043c\u043c\u0430 TACIS, \u0413\u043e\u0434\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0439 \u041e\u0442\u0447\u0435\u0442 \u0417\u0430 1997 \u0413\u043e\u0434), Avrupa Komisyonu, Br\u00fcksel, 03.07.98, s.57.<br \/>\n<b>213<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>Avrupa Komisyonu: TACIS Program\u0131, 1997 y\u0131l\u0131 Raporu, 1998, s. 57.<br \/>\n<b>214<\/b><span lang=\"en-us\"><b>)<\/b>\u00a0<\/span>Avrupa Birli\u011fi El Kitab\u0131, 2003, s. 206.<br \/>\n<b>215<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Bkz: TACIS, http:\/\/ec.europa.eu\/external_relations\/ceeca\/tacis\/index.htm, (23.01.08)<br \/>\n<b>216<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>Vi\u015fne Korkmaz, \u201cAvrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nin G\u00fcney Kafkasya B\u00f6lgesine Y\u00f6nelik Politikalar\u0131\u201d, Stratejik\u00d6ng\u00f6r\u00fc Dergisi, \u0130stanbul, Tasam Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, Say\u0131 3, (Sonbahar, 2004), s. 163.<br \/>\n<b>217<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Korkmaz, a. g. m., 2004, s. 163.<br \/>\n<b>218<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Transit Corridor Central Europe-Caucasus-Central Asia.<br \/>\n<b>219<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>Avrupa Komisyonu: TACIS Program\u0131, 1997 y\u0131l\u0131 Raporu, 1998, s. 43.<br \/>\n<b>220<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Vi\u015fne Korkmaz, a. g. m., 2004, s. 163.<br \/>\n<b>221<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Vi\u015fne Korkmaz: a. g. m., 2004, s. 162<br \/>\n<b>222<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Conference on Prospects for the Development of Trans-Asian and Eurasian Transit Transportation through Central Asia up to 2015, http:\/\/www.traceca-org.org\/default.php?l=en, (23.01.08).<br \/>\n<b>223<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Interstate Oil and Gas Transport To Europe.<br \/>\n<b>224<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0About INOGATE, www.inogate.org \/en\/, (09.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>225<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>INOGATE Newsletter, No 1, Brussels, (Summer, 1998).<br \/>\n<b>226<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0What is INOGATE?, http:\/\/www.inogate.com\/russ\/rdefault.htm, (09.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>227<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0About INOGATE, (09.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>228<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Di\u011fer desteklenen do\u011falgaz boru hatt\u0131 projeleri i\u00e7in bkz: INOGATE Map of Natural Gas<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>Pipelines, http:\/\/www.inogate.org\/en\/resources\/map_gas, (09.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>229<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Rovshan Ibrahimov, Nabucco: Project with Strange Name and Mysterious Intentions, 25 Mart<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>2007, http:\/\/www.turkishweekly.net\/comments.php?id=2547, (08.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>230<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Map of Crude Oil Pipelines, (08.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>231<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Bu konuda bkz: Rovshan Ibrah\u0131mov, Energy Policy in EU Region-National Priorities vs. Common Policy, 16 Nisan 2007, http:\/\/www.turkishweekly.net\/comments.php?id=2569, (08.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>232<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Annotated Summary of Agreements Linking with Non-member Countries, European<br \/>\nCommission, Brussels, June, 2000.<br \/>\n<b>233<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Az\u0259rbaycan Respublikas\u0131n\u0131n TRASEKA layih\u0259sind\u0259 i\u015ftirak\u0131, http:\/\/www.mfa.gov.az\/az\/foreign_policy\/inter_affairs\/econom\/regional\/11.shtml, (13.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>234<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0TRACECA Project, http:\/\/www.azembassy.com\/traceca\/browse.htm, (05.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>235<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>Az\u0259rbaycan Respublikas\u0131n\u0131n TRASEKA layih\u0259sind\u0259 i\u015ftirak\u0131.<br \/>\n<b>236<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Demir, a. g. m., 2003, s. 383.<br \/>\n<b>237<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Demir, a. g. m., 2003, ss. 383\u2013384.<br \/>\n<b>238<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Co-operation That Counts Southern Caucasus, European Commission, Brussels, 2002, s., 21.<br \/>\n<b>239<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Commission Staff Working Paper, Annex to:European Neighborhood Policy, Country<br \/>\nReport, Azerbaijan, com (2005) 72 final), SEC (2005) 286\/3, Brussels, 02.03.2005.<br \/>\n<b>240<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>2006 tarihi i\u00e7in rakamlar Komisyon taraf\u0131ndan \u00f6nceden belirlenmi\u015ftir.<br \/>\n<b>241<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Commission Staff Working Paper, Annex to:European Neighborhood Policy, Country<br \/>\nReport, Georgia, com (2005) 72 final), SEC (2005) 288\/3, Brussels, 02.03.2005.<br \/>\n<b>242<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Commission Staff Working Paper, Annex to:European Neighborhood Policy, Country<br \/>\nReport, Armenia, com (2005) 72 final), SEC (2005) 285\/3, Brussels, 02.03.2005<br \/>\n<b>243<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Bkz: TACIS: Historical Background, http:\/\/ec.Europa.eu\/external_relations\/ceeca\/tacis\/, (10.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>244<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>PHARE, (10.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>245<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>About CARDS, http:\/\/ec.Europa.eu\/enlargement\/financial_assistance\/cards\/index_en.htm, (10.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>246<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Onursal, a. g. m., 2005, s. 175.<br \/>\n<b>247<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Asl\u0131nda P\u0130A bir\u00e7ok T\u00fcrk\u00e7e kaynakta hatal\u0131 bir \u015fekilde Ortakl\u0131k ve \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Anla\u015fmas\u0131 olarak zikredildi\u011fi i\u00e7in, T\u00fcrk\u00e7e metinde de\u011fi\u015fik bir isim verilmesine ihtiya\u00e7 duyulmu\u015ftur: Bu kavram\u0131 daha \u00f6nce Ankara \u00dcniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstit\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn Avrupa Topluluklar\u0131 Ana Bilim Dal\u0131nda<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>2001 y\u0131l\u0131nda savundu\u011fum \u201cTACIS ve Azerbaycan\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 y\u00fcksek lisans tezimde ilk defa<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>kullanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131m. Ama bu konuda daha geni\u015f bir ara\u015ft\u0131rma ve a\u00e7\u0131klama Fuad H\u00fcseynov\u2019un \u201cAvrupa Birli\u011fi-Azerbaycan \u0130li\u015fkileri\u201d kitab\u0131nda yer almaktad\u0131r. Yazar\u0131n verdi\u011fi bilgiye g\u00f6re, yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar sonucunda, AB hukukunda Ortakl\u0131k Anla\u015fmalar\u0131, Roma Antla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n 238. maddesinde yer almakta ve bunlar\u0131n amac\u0131: \u201cKar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131, yani her iki taraf\u0131n da, e\u015fit bir \u015fekilde belirlenen hak ve y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fckleri \u00fcstlenmesini \u00f6ng\u00f6rmekte, taraflar aras\u0131nda ortak davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131n ve \u00f6zel usullerin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131na\u201d i\u015faret etmektedir. Partnerlik t\u00fcr\u00fc anla\u015fmalarda, bu t\u00fcr e\u015fitlik g\u00f6r\u00fclmemektedir. Nitekim ili\u015fkileri ortakl\u0131k organ\u0131 de\u011fil, i\u015fbirli\u011fi organ\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmektedir.<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>Yazar\u0131n \u00f6nemli tespitleri ile ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan hakikat, her iki Anla\u015fman\u0131n farkl\u0131 ama\u00e7lar\u0131 i\u00e7erdi\u011fini g\u00f6rmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Nitekim AB hukukuna g\u00f6re \u201cOrtakl\u0131k\u201d kavram\u0131, \u201cAssociation\u201d olarak an\u0131lmakta, di\u011fer t\u00fcr anla\u015fmalar i\u00e7in verilen isim ise, \u201cPartnertship\u201ddir. Buradan hareketle, bu kavram\u0131 T\u00fcrk\u00e7ede \u201cPartnerlik\u201d olarak kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n uygun olaca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclmektedir. \u015eunu da eklemek gerekiyor ki, Partnerlik ve \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Anla\u015fmalar\u0131 nihai ama\u00e7 olarak tam \u00fcyeli\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6rmemektedir. Bkz: Fuad H\u00fcseynov, Avrupa Birli\u011fi-Azerbaycan \u0130li\u015fkileri, Ankara, Yeni Avrasya Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2003, ss., 58-61.<br \/>\n<b>248<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0TACIS Annual Report 1998, Brussels, European Commission, 23.07.1999, s. 6.<br \/>\n<b>249<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>TACIS Annual Report 1998, 2003, s. 6.<br \/>\n<b>250<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Avrupa Birli\u011fi El Kitab\u0131, 2003, s. 204.<br \/>\n<b>251<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Kaynak: Avrupa Birli\u011fi El Kitab\u0131, 2003, s. 204<br \/>\n<b>252<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0TACIS Annual Report 1998, 1999, s. 6.<br \/>\n<b>253<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Proposal for a Council Regulation Concerning the Provision of Assistance to Economic<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>Reform and Recovery in the New Independent States and Mongolia, Brussels, European<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>Commission, 08.01.1999, s. 5.<br \/>\n<b>254<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>Avrupa Komisyonu: TACIS Program\u0131, 1997 y\u0131l\u0131 Raporu, 1998, s. 57.<br \/>\n<b>255<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>Annotated Summary of Agreements Linking with Non-member Countries, 2000.<br \/>\n<b>256<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Demir, a. g. m., 2003, s. 366.<br \/>\n<b>257<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>EU Cooperation with Armenia, http:\/\/www.delarm.ec.Europa.eu\/en\/eu_and_armenia\/cooperation.htm, (13.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>258<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>AB ile G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleri \u00e2ras\u0131nda P\u0130A \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde belirlenen ama\u00e7lar i\u00e7in bkz: The European Union and Azerbaijan Republic: Partneship and Cooperation Agreement, (12.08.07), ss. 4\u20135; The European Union and the Republic of Georgia: Partnership and Cooperaiton Agreement, (12.08.07), ss. 4\u20135; The European Union and The Republic of Armenia: Partnership and Cooperation Agreement, (12.08.07), ss. 4\u20135.<br \/>\n<b>259<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>EU-Azerbaijan Partneship and Co-operation Agreement, TACIS, Baku, July, 2002, s. 23.<br \/>\n<b>260<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>The EU &amp; Georgia: Bilateral Relations, http:\/\/www.delgeo.ec.Europa.eu\/en\/eu_and_georgia\/bilateral_relations.html, (12.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>261<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Demir, a. g. m., s. 368.<br \/>\n<b>262<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Demir, a. g. m., s. 368.<br \/>\n<b>263<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Chronology of Basic Events in EU &#8211; Georgia Relations, http:\/\/www.mfa.gov.ge\/index.php?sec_id=125&amp;lang_id=ENG, (13.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>264<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Korkmaz, a. g. m., 2004, s.164.<br \/>\n<b>265<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Konuyla ilgili bkz: T. Yuryeva, \u201cNATO\u2019nun Merkezi Asya ve TransKafkasya Politikas\u0131, (\u041f\u043e\u043b\u0438\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0430 \u041d\u0410\u0422\u041e \u0432 \u041e\u0442\u043d\u043e\u0448\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0438 \u0426\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0440\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u043e\u0439 \u0410\u0437\u0438\u0438 \u0438 \u0417\u0430\u043a\u0430\u0432\u043a\u0430\u0437\u044c\u044f)\u201d, Etnonasionalnaya i Sosialno-Ekonomicheskaya Kartina Yujnogo Flanga SNG, Yujn\u0131y Flang SNG. Sentralnaya Aziya-Kasp\u0131y-Kafkaz: Vozmojnosti i V\u0131zov\u0131 dlya Rossii, Moskova, \u0130nosentr, Logos, 2003, ss.<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a03<\/span>58\u2013360.<br \/>\n<b>266<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Benita Ferrero-Waldner, \u201cThe European Neighbourhood Policy: The EU\u2019s Newest Foreign Policy Instrument\u201d, European Foreign Affairs Review, Volume 11, No 2, Holland, Kluwer Law International, (Summer, 2006), ss. 139-140.<br \/>\n<b>267<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Bu giri\u015fim, d\u00f6nemin AB d\u00f6nem Komisyon ba\u015fkan\u0131 olan Romano Prodi\u2019nin diliyle ifade edecek olursak: \u201cKurumlardan ba\u015fka-her \u015fey\u201dBunun \u0130ngilizce s\u00f6yleyi\u015fi: \u201ceverything but institutions\u201d.<br \/>\n<b>268<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Robert Aliboni, \u201cThe Geopolitical Implications of the European Neighbourhood Policy\u201d,<br \/>\nEuropean Foreign Affairs Review, Volume 10, No 1, Holland, Kluwer Law International, (Summer, 2006), s. 3.<br \/>\n<b>269<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>Geni\u015flemi\u015f Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n Ba\u015far\u0131lar ve Hayalleri, (\u0414\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0436\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0438 \u0418\u043b\u043b\u044e\u0437\u0438\u0438 \u041a\u043e\u043d\u0446\u0435\u043f\u0446\u0438\u0438<br \/>\n\u0420\u0430\u0441\u0448\u0438\u0440\u0435\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0439 \u0415\u0432\u0440\u043e\u043f\u044b), http:\/\/dialogs.org.ua\/ru\/print\/material\/5\/322, (01.06.07).<br \/>\n<b>270<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0N. Kulikova, \u201cAB ile BDT\u2019ye Olan Avrupa Devletleri Aras\u0131ndaki \u0130li\u015fkilerde Yeni Yakla\u015f\u0131m, (\u041d\u043e\u0432\u0430\u044f \u041a\u043e\u043d\u0446\u0435\u043f\u0446\u0438\u044f \u041e\u0442\u043d\u043e\u0448\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0439 \u041c\u0435\u0436\u0434\u0443 \u0415\u0421 \u0438 \u0415\u0432\u0440\u043e\u043f\u0435\u0439\u0441\u043a\u0438\u043c\u0438 \u0413\u043e\u0441\u0443\u0434\u0430\u0440\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0430\u043c\u0438, \u0412\u0445\u043e\u0434\u044f\u0449\u0438\u043c\u0438 \u0432 \u0421\u041d\u0413)\u201d, Evropeyskiy Soyuz: Fakt\u0131 i Kommentarii, Moskva, RAU i AE\u0130, No 32, Mart 2003-May\u0131s<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>2003), s. 8.<br \/>\n<b>271<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Roland Dankreuther, \u201cDeveloping the Alternative to Enlargement: The European Neighbourhood Policy\u201d, European Foreign Affairs Review, Volume 11, No 2, Holland, Kluwer Law International, (Summer, 2006), ss. 186-187.<br \/>\n<b>272<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Geni\u015flemi\u015f Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n Ba\u015far\u0131lar ve Hayalleri, ibid, 2007.<br \/>\n<b>273<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Sevilay Kahraman, \u201cThe European Neighbourhood Policy: A Critical Assessment\u201d, Avrupa<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>\u00c7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 Dergisi, Ankara, ATAUM Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, Cilt 5, Say\u0131 3, (Bahar, 2006), s. 14.<br \/>\n<b>274<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Korkmaz, a. g. m., 2004, s. 165.<br \/>\n<b>275<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Ermenistan D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Vardan Oskanyan 2003 Y\u0131l\u0131n Yekunlar\u0131 Konusunda Raporu, http:\/\/www.knews.ru\/allnews\/204095\/, (10.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>276<\/b><span lang=\"en-us\"><b>)<\/b>\u00a0<\/span>Muzaffer Dartan ve Esra Hatipo\u011flu, \u201cAvrupa Birli\u011fi Geni\u015fleme S\u00fcrecinin Karadeniz Ekonomik \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi B\u00f6lgesine Etkileri\u201d, Marmara Avrupa Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Dergisi, \u0130stanbul, Kaya Bas\u0131m San. ve Tic. A.\u015e. Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, Cilt 9, Say\u0131 2, (2001), s. 89.<br \/>\n<b>277<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Ermenistan D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Vardan Oskanyan 2003 y\u0131l\u0131n Yekunlar\u0131 Konusunda Raporu.<br \/>\n<b>278<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Xalid Niyazov, Avropa Evi\u2019nin Astanas\u0131nda, http:\/\/azerbaijan.news.az\/index.php?Lng=aze&amp;Pid=9113&amp;lng=aze&amp;pid=10211, (13.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>279<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>A. Mollazade ve R. Orucev,\u201d \u201cGeni\u015flenmi\u015f Avrupa\u201d, Tam \u00dcyeli\u011fin Yerine mi? (\u201c\u0420\u0430\u0441\u0448\u0438\u0440\u0435\u043d\u043d\u0430\u044f<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>\u0415\u0432\u0440\u043e\u043f\u0430\u201d \u0412\u0437\u0430\u043c\u0435\u043d \u0427\u043b\u0435\u043d\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0430 \u0412 \u0415\u0421?)\u201d, Echo Gazetesi, No 18, 30.01.2004.<br \/>\n<b>280<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Avrupa Birli\u011fi \u00dc\u00e7 G\u00fcney Kafkasya Devletiyle Antla\u015fma \u0130mzalayacak, (\u0415\u0432\u0440\u043e\u0441\u043e\u044e\u0437 \u041f\u043e\u0434\u043f\u0438\u0448\u0435\u0442 \u0421\u043e\u0433\u043b\u0430\u0448\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0421 \u0422\u0440\u0435\u043c\u044f \u0413\u043e\u0441\u0443\u0434\u0430\u0440\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0430\u043c\u0438 \u0417\u0430\u043a\u0430\u0432\u043a\u0430\u0437\u044c\u044f), 14.11.2006, http:\/\/www.day.az\/news\/politics\/63732.html, (10.07.07).<br \/>\n<b>281<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Bu konuda bkz: EU\/Azerbaijan Action Plan,<br \/>\nhttp:\/\/ec.Europa.eu\/world\/enp\/pdf\/action_plans\/azerbaijan_enp_ap_final_en.pdf, (10.07.07); EU\/Georgia Action Plan, http:\/\/ec.Europa.eu\/world\/enp\/pdf\/action_plans\/georgia_enp_ap_final_en.pdf, (10.07.07); EU\/Armenia Action Plan, http:\/\/ec.Europa.eu\/world\/enp\/pdf\/action_plans\/armenia_enp_ap_final_en.pdf, (10.07.07).<br \/>\n<b>282<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0EU\/Azerbaijan Action Plan.<br \/>\n<b>283<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>EU\/Georgia Action Plan.<br \/>\n<b>284<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>EU\/Armenia Action Plan.<br \/>\n<b>285<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>European Neighbourhood and Partnership Instrument: Azerbaijan, Country Strategy Paper,<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>2007-2013, Brussels, European Commission, s., 4.<br \/>\n<b>286<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Green Paper, Towards a European Stratejy for the Security of Energy Supply, (COM (2000)<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>769 final), Brussels, European Commission, 29 November, 2000, s. 28.<br \/>\n<b>287<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Avrupa Birli\u011fi El Kitab\u0131, 2003, s. 97.<br \/>\n<b>288<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Zeynep S\u00fctalan, \u201cAvrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nin Enerji Politikas\u0131 ve T\u00fcrkiye\u201d, Strateji \u00d6ng\u00f6r\u00fc Dergisi, \u0130stanbul, TASAM, Say\u0131 3, (Sonbahar, 2004), s. 111.<br \/>\n289<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0Green Paper Towards a European Stratejy for the Security of Energy Supply, 2000, s. 22.<br \/>\n<b>290<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0AB Enerji Politikas\u0131, Ankara, AB Avrupa Komisyonu T\u00fcrkiye Temsilcili\u011fi, 2000, s. 4.<br \/>\n<b>291<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Liquefied Natural Gaz<br \/>\n<b>292<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0S\u00fctalan, a. g. m., 2004, s. 111.<br \/>\n<b>293<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Green Paper Towards a European Stratejy for the Security of Energy Supply, 2000, s. 42.<br \/>\n<b>294<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Avrupa Birli\u011fi El Kitab\u0131, 2003, s. 97.<br \/>\n<b>295<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>INOGATE Newsletter, 1998.<br \/>\n<b>296<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Zeynep S\u00fctalan, 2004, s., 113.<br \/>\n<b>297<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>\u015eebnem Uzun, \u201cThe Politics of Caspian Region Enerji Resourses\u201d, Perceptions: Journal of<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>International Affai<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>rs, \u0130stanbul, Volume VI, No 4, (Aral\u0131k, 2001,-\u015eubat, 2002), s. 40.<br \/>\n<b>298<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Jan H. Kalicki, \u201cCaspian Enerji at the Crossroads\u201d, Foreign Affairs, Volume 8, No 5, Eyl\u00fcl-Ekim,<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>2001, s. 123.<br \/>\n<b>299<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Rakamlar y\u00fczde olarak g\u00f6sterilmektedir<br \/>\n<b>300<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Production Sharing Agreement<br \/>\n<b>301<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Bu konuda bkz: SOCAR\u2019\u0131n resmi sayt\u0131, http:\/\/www.socar.az\/projects-az.html, (24.01.08)<br \/>\n<b>302<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>C. Halilov, \u201cAzerbaycan Devlet Petrol \u015eirketi Yeni Petrol Antla\u015fmay\u0131 \u0130mzalad\u0131, (\u0413\u041d\u041a\u0410\u0420 \u041f\u043e\u0434\u043f\u0438\u0441\u0430\u043b\u0430 \u041e\u0447\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0434\u043d\u043e\u0439 \u041d\u0435\u0444\u0442\u044f\u043d\u043e\u0439 \u041a\u043e\u043d\u0442\u0440\u0430\u043a\u0442)\u201d, Echo Gazetesi, No 156, 17 A\u011fustos, 2005.<br \/>\n<b>303<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>\u201cExxonMobile in Azerbaijan\u201d, Caspian Energy, Bak\u00fc, Say\u0131 3, (Temmuz-A\u011fustos, 2002), s. 22<b><br \/>\n304<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>R\u00f6v\u015fen \u0130brahimov, \u015eahdeniz Yata\u011f\u0131nda \u015eahmat Oyunlar\u0131, www.gundelik.cjb.net, (06.07.03).<br \/>\n<b>305<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>Do\u011fal Gaz Boru Hatt\u0131n\u0131n \u0130n\u015faat\u0131 Konusunda T\u00fcrk-Yunan Uluslararas\u0131 Anla\u015fmas\u0131 (\u0422\u0443\u0440\u0435\u0446\u043a\u043e- \u0413\u0440\u0435\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u041c\u0435\u0436\u043f\u0440\u0430\u0432\u0438\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0414\u043e\u0433\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0440 \u043e \u0421\u0442\u0440\u043e\u0438\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0435 \u0413\u0430\u0437\u043e\u0432o\u0433\u043e \u0422\u0440\u0443\u0431\u043e\u043f\u0440\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0434\u0430),<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>www.caspian.ru, (26.03.02).<br \/>\n<b>306<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Rovshan Ibrahimov, Azerbaijan \u201cGas Attack\u201d &#8211; Exit to Europe, 27.11.07, http:\/\/www.turkishweekly.net\/comments.php?id=2768, (24.01.08).<br \/>\n<b>307<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Kemaleddin Heyderov, Azerbaycan G\u00f6mr\u00fc\u011f\u00fc Sabit \u0130nki\u015faf Yolunda, Bak\u00fc, Beynelxalq Elmler<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>Akademiyas\u0131, 2005, ss. 46\u201347.<br \/>\n<b>308<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Havva \u00c7aha, \u201cAvrupa Birli\u011fi Enerji Politikalar\u0131\u201d, Yeni T\u00fcrkiye Dergisi, \u0130stanbul, Yeni T\u00fcrkiye<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>Medya Hizmetleri, 36 Kesim, (Aral\u0131k, 2000), s. 1549.<br \/>\n<b>309<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Heyderov, a. g. e., 2005, s. 48.<br \/>\n<b>310<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>\u201cTurkmenistan Can Annually Export up to 100 Billion cu m of Gaz\u201d, Caspian Energy Dergisi, No<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>3, (July-August, 2002), s. 34.<br \/>\n<b>311<\/b><span lang=\"en-us\"><b>)<\/b>\u00a0<\/span>Merkezi Asya, Jeoekonomi, Jeopolitik, G\u00fcvenlik, (\u0426\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0440\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u0430\u044f \u0410\u0437\u0438\u044f, \u0413\u0435\u043e\u044d\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0438\u043a\u0430, \u0413\u0435\u043e\u043f\u043e\u043b\u0438\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0430, \u0411\u0435\u0437\u043e\u043f\u0430\u0441\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u044c), Ta\u015fkent, \u0130pak \u015eark, 2002, s. 17.<br \/>\n<b>312<\/b><span lang=\"en-us\"><b>)<\/b>\u00a0<\/span>Rza \u0130badov, Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131n\u0131n Esaslar\u0131, Bak\u00fc, Qarp-Poliqraf, 2004, ss. 167\u2013169.<br \/>\n<b>313<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>2004\u2019te AB ile Japonya Aras\u0131ndaki Ticari \u0130li\u015fkiler 150 Milyar Euro\u2019ya Varm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r, (2004 \u0433\u043e\u0434\u0443<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>\u0422\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0440\u043e\u043e\u0431\u043e\u0440\u043e\u0442 \u0415\u0421- \u042f\u043f\u043e\u043d\u0438\u0435\u0439 \u0421\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0430\u0432\u0438\u043b 150 \u041c\u0438\u043b\u043b\u0438\u0430\u0440\u0434\u043e\u0432 \u0415\u0432\u0440\u043e), 02.05.2005, http:\/\/5-05.mysob.ru\/news\/economy\/51189.html, (01.02.2008).<br \/>\n3<b>14<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Avrupa Birli\u011fi El Kitab\u0131, 2003, ss. 108\u2013109.<br \/>\n<b>315<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Avrupa Birli\u011fi El Kitab\u0131, 2003, s. 109.<br \/>\n<b>316<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>H. H\u00fcseynov, \u0130pek Yolundan \u0130stifade Eden \u00d6lkelerin \u0130qtisadiyyat\u0131n\u0131n Y\u00fckseli\u015f \u0130stiqametleri, Bak\u00fc, \u0130pek Yolu Konfernas\u0131n\u0131n Materiallar\u0131, Tehsil Cemiyyeti, Aral\u0131k, 2001, s. 52.<br \/>\n<b>317<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>H\u00fcseynov: a. g. m., s. 53.<br \/>\n<b>318<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Edward Shevardnadze, B\u00fcy\u00fck \u0130pek Yolu,Tiflis, Metsniereva, 1999, s. 31.<br \/>\n<b>319<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>A. Fuad, \u201cBDT Alan\u0131nda Bir Mega Proje (\u041c\u0435\u0433\u0430\u043f\u0440\u043e\u044d\u043a\u0442 \u043d\u0430 \u041f\u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0435 \u0421\u041d\u0413)\u201d, Zerkalo<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>Gazetesi, Bak\u00fc, No 132, 14 Temmuz, 2005.<br \/>\n<b>320<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Fuad, 2005.<br \/>\n<b>321<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>A. Fuad, \u201cMinistr\u0131 Transporta Slishkom Zanyat\u0131 ili Politicheskie Nyuans\u0131 Proekta Kars- Ahalkalaki\u201d, Zerkalo Gazetesi, No 157, 19 A\u011fustos, 2005.<br \/>\n<b>322<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Mustafa G\u00fcn Et al., \u201cDostluk K\u00f6pr\u00fcs\u00fc Enerjiden Sonra Demir A\u011flarla G\u00fc\u00e7lenecek\u201d, Zaman<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>Gazetesi, 8 \u015eubat, 2007.<br \/>\n<b>323<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Caspian Pipeline Consortium<br \/>\n<b>324<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Merkezi Asya, Jeoekonomi, Jeopolitik, G\u00fcvenlik, 2002, s., 33.<br \/>\n<b>325<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>INOGATE 96.02 Rehabilitation of Crude Oil and Oil Products in Azerbaijan Country<br \/>\nReport, Brussels, TACIS, European Commission, s. i.<br \/>\n<b>326<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Metin Meftun, Politik ve B\u00f6lgesel G\u00fc\u00e7: Hazar, \u0130stanbul, \u0130Q K\u00fclt\u00fcrsanat Yay\u0131nc\u0131l\u0131k, 2004, ss.<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>224\u2013225.<br \/>\n<b>32<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0E. T. Ta\u011f\u0131yev, \u201cBak\u0131-Tbilisi-Ceyhan Neft Boru Kemerinin \u0130n\u015faas\u0131n\u0131n Bezi Siyasi ve \u0130qtisadi Aspektleri,\u201d Bak\u0131-Tbilisi-Ceyhan Neft Kemerinin Beynelxalq ve Regional Ehemiyyeti adl\u0131 Uluslararas\u0131 Konferans Tezisleri, Bak\u00fc, Qafqaz \u00dcniversitesi, 6\u20137 Haziran, 2001, s. 15.<br \/>\n<b>328<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Pa\u015fa Kesamanski, \u201cPetrole Y\u00fcksek Fiyatlar\u0131n Etkileri, (\u041f\u043e\u0441\u043b\u0435\u0434\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0438\u044f \u0412\u044b\u0441\u043e\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u0426\u0435\u043d \u043d\u0430 \u041d\u0435\u0444\u0442\u044c)\u201d,<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>Echo Gazetesi, No 105, 3 Haziran, 2004.<br \/>\n<b>329<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0K\u00fcdret \u00d6zersay, \u201cBo\u011fazlar Konusu\u201d, T\u00fcrk D\u0131\u015f Politikas\u0131: Kurtulu\u015f Sava\u015f\u0131ndan Bug\u00fcneOlgular, Belgeler, Yorumlar, Cilt II: 1980-2001, Bask\u0131n Oran (ed.), \u0130stanbul, \u0130leti\u015fim Yay\u0131nlar\u0131,<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>2003, s. 186.<br \/>\n<b>330<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>Fatih Turan, \u201cT\u00fcrkiye-T\u00fcrk Cumhuriyetleri Ticari ve Ekonomik \u0130li\u015fkileri Hakk\u0131nda<br \/>\nDe\u011ferlendirme\u201d, D\u0131\u015f Ticaret Dergisi, Ankara, \u00d6zel Say\u0131, Ocak, 2002, ss. 258\u2013259.<br \/>\n<b>331<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0\u201cPazar \u0130\u00e7in M\u00fccadele (\u0411\u0438\u0442\u0432\u0430 \u0437\u0430 \u0420\u044b\u043d\u043e\u043a)\u201d, Caspian Energy, Say\u0131 5, (Eyl\u00fcl-Ekim, 2004), s. 40.<br \/>\n<b>332<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>\u00d6zersay, a. g. m., 2003, s. 187.<br \/>\n<b>333<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>\u00d6zersay, a. g. m., 2003, s. 187.<br \/>\n<b>334<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>\u00a0\u201cMain Export Gaz Pipeline of Azerbaijan becomes a Reality\u201d, Caspian Energy, Say\u0131 1, (\u015eubat- Mart, 2001), s. 8.<br \/>\n<b>335<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>Shah Deniz Aspires to New World Record\u201d, Caspian Energy, Say\u0131 1, (\u015eubat-Mart, 2005), s. 32.<br \/>\n<b>336<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Rovshan Ibrahimov, Azerbaijan-New Trend in Oil Strategy, 02.04.2007, http:\/\/www.turkishweekly.net\/comments.php?id=2556, (24.01.2008).<br \/>\n<b>337<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Margaret Moore, Introduction: The Self-Determination Principle and the Ethics of Secession, Oxford, Oxford University, 1998, s. 1.<br \/>\n<b>338<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Mustafa \u015eahin, Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nin Self-Determinasyon Politikas\u0131, Yay\u0131nlanmam\u0131\u015f Doktora Tezi, Sakarya, Sakarya \u00dcniversitesi, s. 22.<br \/>\n<b>339<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Ian Budge, Kenneth Newton et al, The Politics of the New Europe From Atlantic to Ural, London, Longman, 1997, s. 304.<br \/>\n<b>340<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Aras Aslanl\u0131, \u201cTarihten G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze Karaba\u011f Sorunu\u201d, Avrasya Dosyas\u0131, Cilt 7, Say\u0131 1, (\u0130lkbahar,<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>2001), s. 45.<br \/>\n<b>341<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Elena Lyubarskaya, Karan\u0131n 1\/6 Hissesi: Saaka\u015fvili Yanda\u015flar\u0131 Ne \u0130\u00e7in M\u00fccadele Verdiler,<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>2005.<br \/>\n<b>342<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Phillippe Marchesin, \u201cYeni Tehditler\u201d Kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda Avrupa\u201d, D\u00fcnden Bug\u00fcne Avrupa Birli\u011fi, Beril Dedeo\u011flu, (der.), \u0130stanbul, Boyut Kitaplar\u0131, 2003, s. 422.<br \/>\n<b>343<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span>\u00a0<\/b>Life AFR Newsfeed, Eubusiness, www.eubusiness.com\/cgi-bin\/item.cgi?id=57569terrorism, (12.09.01).<br \/>\n<b>344<span lang=\"en-us\">)\u00a0<\/span><\/b>Beril Dedeo\u011flu, \u201cTer\u00f6rizm \u00dczerine Kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmalar: Bermuda \u015eeytan \u00dc\u00e7geni\u201d, D\u00fcnden Bug\u00fcne<span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0<\/span>Avrupa Birli\u011fi, Beril, Dedeo\u011flu, (der.), \u0130stanbul, Boyut Kitaplar\u0131 Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2003, s. 460.<br \/>\n<b>345<span lang=\"en-us\">)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0Ian Budge, Kenneth Newton Et al, 1997, s., 376.<\/span><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Arial; font-size: small;\"><b>III. AB\u2019N\u0130N G\u00dcNEY KAFKASYA B\u00d6LGES\u0130NDE UYGULADI\u011eI DI\u015e POL\u0130T\u0130KANIN ETK\u0130NL\u0130\u011e\u0130<\/p>\n<p>1. AB\u2019nin B\u00f6lgede Uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 D\u0131\u015f Politika Ara\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n Etkinli\u011fi<\/p>\n<p>1.1 TACIS Program\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Uygulanmas\u0131 ve Etkinli\u011fi<\/p>\n<p>1.1.1 TACIS Program\u0131\u2019nda Nihai Amac\u0131n ve Hukuki Temelin Eksikli\u011fi<\/p>\n<p><\/b>Daha \u00f6nce de belirtildi\u011fi gibi TACIS Program\u0131 Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nde yeniden yap\u0131lanmay\u0131 desteklemek amac\u0131yla geli\u015ftirilmi\u015f teknik ve mali bir ara\u00e7t\u0131r. Asl\u0131nda program\u0131n ilk sunuldu\u011fu zamanda ula\u015fmak istedi\u011fi ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirecek olursak, bu program\u0131n \u015fu andaki duruma g\u00f6re daha ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 mevcut idi. O d\u00f6nemde, AT Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin \u00e7\u00f6kmesini istememekteydi, aksine bu \u00fclkenin bir b\u00fct\u00fcn olarak kendi i\u00e7erisinde piyasa ekonomisine ve demokrasiye ge\u00e7i\u015fine yard\u0131m etmeyi ve bunu h\u0131zland\u0131rmay\u0131 umuyordu ve TACIS\u2019in temel amac\u0131 da buydu.<br \/>\nHatta bu a\u00e7\u0131dan 90\u2019l\u0131 y\u0131llarda Yugoslavya\u2019da ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan da\u011f\u0131lma s\u00fcrecinin \u00f6nlenmek istenmesinin sebeplerinden biri de bunlar\u0131n SSCB\u2019ye de s\u0131\u00e7rayabilece\u011fi endi\u015fesidir. Mesela, H\u0131rvatistan ve Slovenya\u2019n\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 kazanmas\u0131 ve bunlar\u0131n AT taraf\u0131ndan desteklenmesi, SSCB\u2019nin ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 cumhuriyetlerini ve \u00f6zellikle Balt\u0131k Cumhuriyetleri ve G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131 bu y\u00f6nde hareket etmeye sevk edebilirdi. AT, Do\u011fu Blo\u011fu\u2019nda geli\u015fen de\u011fi\u015fimler sonucunda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan olaylar\u0131n Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n genel g\u00fcvenli\u011fini tehdit etmesini \u00f6nlemek i\u00e7in Yugoslavya ve SSCB\u2019nin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n devam etmesinin desteklenmesini siyasi strateji olarak benimsemi\u015fti. (346<\/p>\n<p>Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131yla TACIS Program\u0131, Do\u011fu Avrupa i\u00e7in ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerde geli\u015ftirilen PHARE Program\u0131ndan farkl\u0131 olarak, de\u011fi\u015fime uyum sa\u011flayamam\u0131\u015f ve ayn\u0131 program bu defa SSCB\u2019nin yerini alan YBD ve Mo\u011folistan i\u00e7in uygulanmaya ba\u015flanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Oysa MDA\u00dc\u2019ne y\u00f6nelik PHARE Program\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen ama\u00e7lar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesinde daha etkin bir te\u015fvik olarak taraf devletlerin AB ile entegrasyon s\u00fcrecine bir haz\u0131rl\u0131k program\u0131 niteli\u011fini alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (347)<\/p>\n<p>Nitekim g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze gelindi\u011finde PHARE ve TACIS Programlar\u0131 ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n benzerli\u011fine ra\u011fmen, bu ama\u00e7lar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan PHARE Program\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ba\u015far\u0131 oran\u0131 daha y\u00fcksektir. Programlar aras\u0131ndaki bu fark\u0131n bir di\u011fer sebebi, PHARE Program\u0131 MDA\u00dc i\u00e7in bir \u00f6n kat\u0131l\u0131m stratejisi olarak hukuki bir nitelik sahibi oldu\u011fu halde (348), TACIS Program\u0131 i\u00e7in herhangi bir hukuki \u00e7er\u00e7eve \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f ve AB ile YBD ili\u015fkileri yaln\u0131z Ticaret ve \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Anla\u015fmalar\u0131yla d\u00fczenlenmi\u015f olmas\u0131d\u0131r. TACIS Program\u0131\u2019n\u0131 daha etkin hale getirmek ve bu bo\u015flu\u011fun giderilmesini sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in AB d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131n\u0131n yeni bir arac\u0131 olan P\u0130A\u2019lar geli\u015ftirilmi\u015ftir. \u0130leride g\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fi \u00fczere, bu anla\u015fmalarla taraflar aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkilerin hukuki bir altyap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fturulmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6tesine gidilmemi\u015f ve sadece TACIS Program\u0131\u2019n\u0131n hangi mecrada geli\u015fece\u011fine \u0131\u015f\u0131k tutulmu\u015ftur.<\/p>\n<p><b>1.1.2. TRACECA Projesi\u2019nin Geli\u015fimine Engel Olan Sorunlar<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nTACIS Program\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde uygulanmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lan ve G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem arz eden TRACECA ve INOGATE Projeleri\u2019nin bile, AB\u2019nin ortak d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131n\u0131n etkili ara\u00e7lar\u0131ndan oldu\u011funu kabul etmek bir hayli g\u00fc\u00e7t\u00fcr. TRACECA Projesi \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde Rusya ve \u0130ran\u2019a alternatif olacak yeni bir ula\u015f\u0131m koridoru olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc halde, g\u00fczergah \u00fczerindeki devletler aras\u0131ndaki g\u00fcmr\u00fck tarifeleri konusunda mevcut fikir ayr\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu hatt\u0131n geli\u015fimine engel olmaktad\u0131r. Hatta devletler aras\u0131ndaki bu anla\u015fmazl\u0131k, Rusya ve \u0130ran taraf\u0131ndan geli\u015ftirilen ve bu g\u00fczergaha alternatif olarak ileri s\u00fcr\u00fclen Kuzey-G\u00fcney koridorunun geli\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in bir avantaj sa\u011flamaktad\u0131r. Bu projeye g\u00f6re, Finlandiya ile Do\u011fu Hindistan aras\u0131nda daha k\u0131sa bir yoldan y\u00fck ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in yeni bir koridor olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Buna g\u00f6re, Kuzey-G\u00fcney istikametindeki devletler Rusya, Azerbaycan, \u0130ran ve Umman\u2019d\u0131r. Pakistan ve Hindistan\u2019dan ta\u015f\u0131nan y\u00fckler Basra K\u00f6rfezine getirilerek, buradan \u0130ran ve Azerbaycan vas\u0131tas\u0131yla en k\u0131sa zamanda Rusya\u2019ya, oradan da Avrupa\u2019ya ta\u015f\u0131nacakt\u0131r. Projenin en aktif kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 Rusya ile \u0130ran\u2019d\u0131r. Bunun esas sebebi, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Avrupa ile Asya aras\u0131ndaki yollar\u0131 denetim alt\u0131nda tutma arzusu, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n da uluslararas\u0131 sistemden d\u0131\u015flanmaktan kurtulma ve ayn\u0131 zamanda Kafkasya ve Merkezi Asya b\u00f6lgelerinde daha aktif bir rol oynama iste\u011fidir. Her iki devletin TRACECA projesinin d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda tutulmalar\u0131 nedeniyle bu ula\u015f\u0131m koridoruna alternatif ve etkin bir g\u00fczergah olu\u015fturma amac\u0131 da ayn\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evede de\u011ferlendirilmelidir. Yeni g\u00fczerg\u00e2h\u0131n etkinli\u011fini test etme amac\u0131yla yap\u0131lan denemelerde Hindistan\u2019dan Pakistan ve Rusya \u00fczerinden Avrupa\u2019ya g\u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fclen y\u00fck konteynerleri 20 g\u00fcnde nihai noktas\u0131na varmaktad\u0131r. S\u00fcvey\u015f ve Bo\u011fazlardan gemilerle y\u00fcklerin ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131 ise en az 45 g\u00fcn s\u00fcrmektedir. \u00d6zellikle, k\u0131sa zaman i\u00e7inde ula\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 gereken y\u00fckler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu olduk\u00e7a b\u00fcy\u00fck bir avantajd\u0131r. (349)<\/p>\n<p>AB\u2019nin TRACECA Projesine taraf olan devletler aras\u0131nda g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergilerinin indirilmesi konusunda fikir birli\u011fine var\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 takdirde, Rusya g\u00fcd\u00fcml\u00fc projenin daha avantajl\u0131 hale gelmesi muhtemeldir.<br \/>\nG\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde TRACECA koridorundan ta\u015f\u0131nan y\u00fcklerin sadece Asya\u2019dan Avrupa istikametinde g\u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fclmesi ve Avrupa\u2019dan ta\u015f\u0131nan y\u00fcklerin bu g\u00fczergah\u0131 kullanmamas\u0131, ula\u015f\u0131m koridorunun geli\u015fiminde mevcut olan bir di\u011fer sorundur. B\u00f6lgede geli\u015ftirilen en \u00f6nemli projelerden kabul edilen Bak\u00fc-Ahalkalaki-Kars demiryolu, AB\u2019nin ula\u015f\u0131m politikalar\u0131 aras\u0131nda yer almamaktad\u0131r ve Azerbaycan, G\u00fcrcistan ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ortak bir te\u015febb\u00fcs\u00fc \u00f6zelli\u011fini ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r. Nitekim bu hatt\u0131n G\u00fcrcistan k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n in\u015fa edilmesi i\u00e7in Azerbaycan h\u00fck\u00fcmeti taraf\u0131ndan 25 y\u0131ll\u0131\u011f\u0131na 200 milyon dolarl\u0131k bir kredi a\u00e7\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (350) Sovyetler Birli\u011fi zaman\u0131nda Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n G\u00fcmr\u00fc \u015fehrinden T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Kars \u015fehrine demiryolu ba\u011flant\u0131s\u0131 olsa da, bu hat ikinci b\u00f6l\u00fcmde de\u011finildi\u011fi \u00fczere Karaba\u011f sorunu nedeniyle tahrip olmu\u015f durumda ve at\u0131ld\u0131r. Di\u011fer taraftan Uzak Do\u011fu\u2019dan ve Merkezi Asya \u00fczerinden mevcut ve olu\u015fturulacak olan demiryollar\u0131n\u0131n, Rusya ve \u0130ran\u2019a alternatif g\u00fczergah olan G\u00fcney Kafkasya ve T\u00fcrkiye \u00fczerinden Avrupa demiryolu \u015febekesine ba\u011flanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in Kars ile Tiflis aras\u0131nda bir demiryolunun hatt\u0131 in\u015fas\u0131 yeterlidir. 68 km\u2019lik k\u0131sm\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye, 30 km\u2019lik k\u0131sm\u0131 da G\u00fcrcistan i\u00e7inde kal\u0131p toplam uzunlu\u011fu 98 km olan ve maliyeti 400 milyon dolar olarak belirlenen demiryolu Uzak Do\u011fu ile Avrupa pazarlar\u0131n\u0131 yeni ve g\u00fcvenilir bir demiryolu ile birle\u015ftirmi\u015f olacakt\u0131r. (351) Bak\u00fc- Tiflis-Kars hatt\u0131 do\u011fuda \u00c7in ve Kazakistan demiryolu hatlar\u0131 ile bat\u0131da ise T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin demiryolu sistemi \u00fczerinden Avrupa Demiryolu a\u011f\u0131 ile 2010 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar birle\u015fecektir. (352) Asl\u0131nda bu hatt\u0131n in\u015faat\u0131n\u0131n tamamlamas\u0131yla, TRACECA g\u00fczergah\u0131n\u0131n da aktifle\u015fmesi beklenmektedir. Fakat AB\u2019nin bu hatt\u0131n yap\u0131lanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in veya en az\u0131ndan mevcut olan G\u00fcmr\u00fc-Kars demiryolunun yeniden \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in herhangi bir etkin giri\u015fimi olmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>AB\u2019nin TACIS TRACECA arac\u0131n\u0131n etkisiz oldu\u011funu sergileyen bir ba\u015fka \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 \u00f6rnek ise, AB\u2019nin b\u00f6lgede i\u015fbirli\u011fi geli\u015ftirmeyi istedi\u011fi halde, bu projeyi olu\u015fturan antla\u015fmalarla b\u00f6lgedeki siyasi ve ekonomik par\u00e7alanm\u0131\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 hukuki a\u00e7\u0131dan onaylam\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131d\u0131r. Mesela Azerbaycan, 8 Eyl\u00fcl 1998 tarihinde Bak\u00fc\u2019de TRACECA kapsam\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen \u201cTarihi \u0130pek Yolu\u2019nun Canland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131\u2019 Konferans\u0131 sonucunda imzalanm\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmaya Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n bu projede yer almas\u0131n\u0131 ciddi bir \u015fekilde k\u0131s\u0131tlayacak olan bir \u00e7ekince koymu\u015ftur. Bu \u00e7ekinceye g\u00f6re, \u201cHerhangi bir g\u00fczergah \u00fczerinde, ta\u015f\u0131nacak y\u00fckler Ermenistan\u2019a getiriliyorsa, Ermenistan \u00fczerinden ge\u00e7iriliyorsa veya Ermenistan\u2019a ula\u015ft\u0131r\u0131l\u0131yorsa, bu y\u00fcklerin ta\u015f\u0131mas\u0131na Azerbaycan arazisi kapal\u0131 tutulacakt\u0131r.\u201d (353) AB Komisyonu\u2019nun temsilcisinin de alt\u0131nda imzas\u0131 bulunan bu Antla\u015fmaya Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n \u00e7ekince koymas\u0131n\u0131n temel sebebi, Ermenistan\u2019\u0131 b\u00f6lgesel projelerin d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda b\u0131rakarak, do\u011fal kaynak ve ekonomik olanaklardan yoksun olan bu devleti Karaba\u011f sorununu \u00e7\u00f6zmeye ekonomik yapt\u0131r\u0131mlarla zorlama iste\u011fidir. Oysa Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n bu iste\u011fi AB\u2019nin G\u00fcney Kafkasya\u2019da b\u00f6lgesel i\u015fbirli\u011fini geli\u015ftirme iste\u011fiyle taban tabana z\u0131tt\u0131r. Yine de AB b\u00f6lge i\u015fbirli\u011fini geli\u015ftirecek herhangi ciddi bir giri\u015fimde bulunmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><b>1.1.3. INOGATE Projesi\u2019nin Etkili Olamamas\u0131n\u0131n Nedenleri<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nG\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesini do\u011frudan ilgilendiren bir di\u011fer AB projesi ise INOGATE\u2019dir. Daha \u00f6nce de belirtildi\u011fi gibi bu proje AB\u2019ye alternatif kaynaklardan enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik altyap\u0131 olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 i\u00e7in geli\u015ftirilmi\u015ftir. Fakat bu proje \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde b\u00f6lgeyi kapsayan herhangi bir projenin olu\u015fturuldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemek bir hayli g\u00fc\u00e7t\u00fcr. Hazar denizinden d\u00fcnya pazarlar\u0131na petrol ve do\u011falgaz\u0131n ula\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in Rusya g\u00fczergah\u0131na alternatif olarak geli\u015ftirilen iki \u00f6nemli ula\u015f\u0131m projesi Bak\u00fc-Tiflis-Ceyhan petrol boru hatt\u0131 ve Bak\u00fc-Tiflis-Erzurum do\u011falgaz hatt\u0131, b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7okuluslu \u015firketlerin yard\u0131m\u0131yla (354) ve AB\u2019nin herhangi bir do\u011frudan deste\u011fi olmaks\u0131z\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmi\u015ftir. Hatta her iki projenin en k\u0131sa g\u00fczergah\u0131 bu boru hatt\u0131n\u0131 Ermenistan \u00fczerinden in\u015fa etmek oldu\u011fu halde, iki devlet aras\u0131nda devam eden Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 nedeniyle daha uzun olan G\u00fcrcistan g\u00fczergah\u0131 tercih edilmi\u015ftir. Bu konuda AB\u2019nin geli\u015ftirmek istedi\u011fi b\u00f6lgesel i\u015fbirli\u011fi i\u00e7in Karaba\u011f sorununun \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn ne kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir daha ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>AB\u2019nin kendi Ortak Enerji Politikas\u0131n\u0131 geli\u015ftirmek amac\u0131yla b\u00f6lgeyle do\u011frudan ilgili olarak sundu\u011fu proje Nabucco\u2019dur. \u0130smini Babil kral\u0131 Nabucco\u2019dan alan bu proje Hazar denizinden Avrupa\u2019da do\u011falgaz\u0131 nakletmek i\u00e7in geli\u015ftirilmi\u015ftir. 3300 km uzunlukta olacak bu do\u011falgaz boru hatt\u0131 bir ucundan Erzurum\u2019da Bak\u00fc\u2019den ve Tebriz\u2019den uzanan boru hatlar\u0131yla birle\u015ftirilerek, Hazar denizi ve \u0130ran\u2019dan nakledilecek do\u011falgaz\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye \u00fczerinden Bulgaristan, Romanya, Macaristan ve Avusturya\u2019ya kadar ula\u015ft\u0131racakt\u0131r. Kazakistan ve T\u00fcrkmenistan\u2019dan gelecek olan do\u011falgaz\u0131n daha sonra in\u015faat\u0131 yap\u0131lacak TransHazar Boru Hatt\u0131 \u00fczerinden yap\u0131lmas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclmektedir. Hatt\u0131n toplam maliyeti 5 milyar Euro olarak \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. (355)<\/p>\n<p>Projenin ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan en temel sorun y\u0131ll\u0131k olarak 16 milyar m3 do\u011falgaz\u0131 kapasitesinde \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen bu boru hatt\u0131 i\u00e7in, bu miktarda do\u011falgaz\u0131n nereden bulunabilece\u011fi sorusudur. Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n \u015eahdeniz yata\u011f\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Nabucco\u2019ya gaz nakli \u015fu an pek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fclmemektedir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bunun i\u00e7in ilk \u00f6nce Kazakistan ve T\u00fcrkmenistan gibi \u00fclkelerle anla\u015fmak gerekecektir. Bu konuda AB\u2019nin b\u00fcy\u00fck bir rol oynad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemek bir hayli g\u00fc\u00e7t\u00fcr. Kazakistan ve Azerbaycan\u2019la enerji konusunda ayr\u0131 ayr\u0131 memorandum imzalanmas\u0131 d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda AB Nabucco projesi i\u00e7in gerekli gaz\u0131n temini i\u00e7in herhangi ciddi ad\u0131mlar atmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu durumun temel sebebi, \u00fcye devletler aras\u0131nda enerji konusunda ortak bir politikan\u0131n hen\u00fcz olu\u015fmamas\u0131d\u0131r. (356) Ayr\u0131ca T\u00fcrkiye, Yunanistan ve \u0130talya\u2019n\u0131n Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n \u015eahdeniz yata\u011f\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kacak do\u011falgaz\u0131n bu \u00fclkelere naklini \u00f6ng\u00f6ren antla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 Nabucco Projesinin ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesini daha da g\u00fc\u00e7le\u015ftirecek bir fakt\u00f6r olarak g\u00f6stermek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. (357) Bu durumda Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n her iki hatta yeterli arzda bulunabilmek i\u00e7in \u00fcretim hacmi yetersiz kalabilir.<\/p>\n<p>Asl\u0131nda bak\u0131l\u0131rsa, Nabucco Projesinin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi i\u00e7in AB\u2019den daha \u00e7ok ABD u\u011fra\u015fmaktad\u0131r. ABD diplomatik temsilcileri Kazakistan ve T\u00fcrkmenistan yetkilileri ile Bak\u00fc\u2019ye do\u011falgaz\u0131n nakli i\u00e7in TransHazar Boru Hatt\u0131\u2019n\u0131n in\u015fas\u0131 i\u00e7in yo\u011fun giri\u015fimlerde bulunmaktad\u0131rlar. (358) Durum o hale gelmi\u015ftir ki, bu projeye Avrupa kaynakl\u0131 olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen ABD temelli bir proje denilmeye ba\u015flanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (359) Yine de Nabucco Projesinin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi konusunda baz\u0131 sorunlar mevcuttur. Bunun en \u00f6nemlisi, T\u00fcrkmenistan\u2019daki do\u011falgaz rezervlerinin kesin olarak bilinmemesidir. Y\u0131ll\u0131k 60 milyar m3 do\u011falgaz \u00fcreten T\u00fcrkmenistan, bunun 10 milyar\u0131n\u0131 kendisi t\u00fcketmekte, di\u011fer 50 milyar m3\u2019\u00fc ise Rusya\u2019ya ihra\u00e7 etmektedir. Di\u011fer bir de\u011fi\u015fle, T\u00fcrkmenistan kendi \u00fcretimini art\u0131rmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 takdirde, yap\u0131lacak olan TransHazar ve Nabucco boru hatlar\u0131na aktar\u0131lacak do\u011falgaz yetmeyecektir. (360)<\/p>\n<p>G\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kadar\u0131yla AB, Nabucco Projesi\u2019ni ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 bir \u015fekilde tamamlamak i\u00e7in, Birlik\u2019te ortak politika yoklu\u011funda hem b\u00f6lge devletlerinin sergileyecekleri iradeye, hem de bu projeye ABD\u2019nin verece\u011fi deste\u011fe b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 bir haldedir. Aksi takdirde, AB sergilemesi gereken siyasi iradenin yoklu\u011funda, salt ekonomik ara\u00e7lar vas\u0131tas\u0131yla projeyi bitirme konusunda aciz kalacakt\u0131r. (361)<\/p>\n<p><b>1.2 P\u0130A\u2019lar\u0131n AB\u2019nin D\u0131\u015f Politika Ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n Ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesinde Yetersizli\u011fi ve Bunun Nedenleri<\/p>\n<p>1.2.1 B\u00f6lge \u0130\u00e7i \u0130\u015fbirli\u011finin Te\u015fviki \u0130\u00e7in Giri\u015fimlerin Ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n Nedenleri: B\u00f6lge \u0130\u00e7i Etnik \u00c7at\u0131\u015fmalar<\/p>\n<p><\/b>G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleriyle 1996 y\u0131l\u0131nda imzalanm\u0131\u015f ve 1999 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmi\u015f P\u0130A\u2019lar t\u00fcm Yeni Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z Devletler i\u00e7in oldu\u011fu gibi Azerbaycan, G\u00fcrcistan ve Ermenistan i\u00e7in de AB ile ili\u015fkilerde hukuki bir temel olu\u015fturmu\u015flard\u0131r. Bu Anla\u015fmalar\u0131n her \u00fc\u00e7 devlet i\u00e7in de ayn\u0131 tarihte y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmesi AB\u2019nin G\u00fcney Kafkasya\u2019y\u0131 b\u00fct\u00fcn bir b\u00f6lge olarak de\u011ferlendirmesi ve bu b\u00f6lge dahilinde i\u015fbirli\u011finin geli\u015ftirilmesi iste\u011finden kaynaklanmaktayd\u0131. (362) Nitekim G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleriyle imzalanm\u0131\u015f olan P\u0130A\u2019lar\u0131n giri\u015f k\u0131s\u0131mlar\u0131nda, G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesinde bulunan devletlerin aras\u0131nda anla\u015fmalar\u0131n kapsad\u0131\u011f\u0131 alanlarda refah\u0131n ve g\u00fcvenli\u011fin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 amac\u0131yla b\u00f6lgesel i\u015fbirli\u011finin olu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n AB taraf\u0131ndan desteklendi\u011fi bildirilmektedir. (363) Bu bildiriye ra\u011fmen G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesini siyasi veya ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131ndan bir b\u00fct\u00fcn olarak g\u00f6rmek olduk\u00e7a zordur. B\u00f6lgede devam eden etnik \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar y\u00fcz\u00fcnden Azerbaycan Ermenistan ili\u015fkileri t\u00fcm\u00fcyle kesilmi\u015ftir; G\u00fcrcistan ise Abhazya ve G\u00fcney Osetya b\u00f6lgeleri \u00fczerinde egemenli\u011fini sa\u011flama imkan\u0131ndan yoksundur.<\/p>\n<p>Asl\u0131nda b\u00f6lgesel i\u015fbirli\u011finin geli\u015ftirilmesinin bu t\u00fcr \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm yolu olabilece\u011fine inanan AB, i\u015fbirli\u011finin geli\u015ftirilmesinde tam da bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar y\u00fcz\u00fcnden ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olmaktad\u0131r. AB her ne kadar b\u00f6lgedeki g\u00fcvenli\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n bar\u0131\u015f\u00e7\u0131l yollarla \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesini desteklese de, AB ile G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleri aras\u0131nda imzalanm\u0131\u015f olan P\u0130A\u2019larda ilgin\u00e7 bir \u015fekilde bu sorunlara herhangi bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm getirilmemesi bir yana, bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalardan hi\u00e7bir \u015fekilde s\u00f6z edilmemi\u015ftir. Anla\u015fma metinlerinde sadece dolayl\u0131 olarak b\u00f6lgede uluslararas\u0131 bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n ve g\u00fcvenli\u011fin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 ve sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesi i\u00e7in BM ve AG\u0130T gibi \u00f6rg\u00fctlerin \u00f6nerdi\u011fi mekanizmalar \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde hareket etmek \u00f6nerilmektedir. (364) Bu durumda b\u00f6lge i\u00e7i refah\u0131n ve g\u00fcvenli\u011fin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in b\u00f6lgesel i\u015fbirli\u011fi olu\u015fturulmas\u0131na \u00e7aba harcayan AB\u2019nin, buna engel olan temel soruna dair herhangi bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm mekanizmas\u0131 \u00f6nermeden ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olmas\u0131 imkans\u0131zd\u0131r. P\u0130A\u2019lar bu konuda yetersiz kalmaktad\u0131rlar. Asl\u0131nda \u00e7eli\u015fki bu anla\u015fmalar\u0131n kapsam\u0131n\u0131n darl\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan kaynaklanmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><b>1.2.2 P\u0130A\u2019lar\u0131n Kapsam\u0131n\u0131n K\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nAB\u2019nin YBD\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 P\u0130A\u2019lar\u0131n, G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesi devletleri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan hem i\u015fbirli\u011finin geli\u015ftirilmesinde, hem de etnik \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n engellenmesinde ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olmas\u0131n\u0131n temelinde yatan sebeplerinden biri ku\u015fkusuz bu hukuki arac\u0131n, MDA\u00dc\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik Avrupa Antla\u015fmalar\u0131na veya Bat\u0131 Balkanlara y\u00f6nelik olan \u0130OA\u2019lara g\u00f6re ama\u00e7 ve kapsam\u0131n\u0131n daha dar olmas\u0131d\u0131r. AB MDA\u00dc ili\u015fkilerinde g\u00f6r\u00fclen geli\u015fmeler do\u011frultusunda Bat\u0131 Balkanlar ve YBD ile ili\u015fkilerinde yeni a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131mlar yap\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini anlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Sava\u015ftan yeni \u00e7\u0131kan Balkan b\u00f6lgesinde \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n yeniden ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131 engellemek i\u00e7in etkin baz\u0131 ara\u00e7lar\u0131n geli\u015ftirilmesi zarureti do\u011fmu\u015ftur. Bu durumda \u0130stikrar S\u00fcreci \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde b\u00f6lge devletlerinin g\u00f6sterece\u011fi baz\u0131 ilerlemelerin sonucunda bu devletlerle AB\u2019ye tam \u00fcyelik i\u00e7in adayl\u0131\u011fa ehil olma stat\u00fcs\u00fc veren \u0130OA\u2019lar\u0131n imzalanmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. \u00d6rnek vermek gerekirse, H\u0131rvatistan ve Makedonya ile imzalanan \u0130OA\u2019larda Avrupa Antla\u015fmalar\u0131ndan farkl\u0131 olarak, tam \u00fcyelik konusunda herhangi bir d\u00fczenlemeye rastlanmasa da, bu Antla\u015fmalar\u0131n Giri\u015f k\u0131s\u0131mlarda her iki \u00fclkenin ko\u015fullar\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131klar\u0131 takdirde, AB\u2019ye adayl\u0131k i\u00e7in uygun hale geleceklerinden s\u00f6z edilmektedir. (365)<\/p>\n<p>Oysa YBD ile ili\u015fkilerde durum olduk\u00e7a farkl\u0131yd\u0131; AB geli\u015ftirdi\u011fi P\u0130A\u2019larla bu devletlerle olan ili\u015fkilerin hukuki altyap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturmay\u0131 ama\u00e7lamaktayd\u0131. Nitekim P\u0130A\u2019lar\u0131n kapsam\u0131 bu ama\u00e7la s\u0131n\u0131rlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. P\u0130A\u2019lar\u0131n AB\u2019yle ortakl\u0131k ili\u015fkisini \u00f6ng\u00f6ren anla\u015fmalardan bir di\u011fer fark\u0131 ise, bunlar\u0131n asl\u0131nda Ticaret ve \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Antla\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015fmi\u015f bir \u015fekli olmas\u0131d\u0131r ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla ekonomik ve siyasi ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015fim mekanizmalar\u0131n hiyerar\u015fik s\u0131ras\u0131nda en alt yeri tutmalar\u0131d\u0131r. (366) P\u0130A\u2019larda Ortakl\u0131k Antla\u015fmalarda oldu\u011fu gibi taraf devletlere ki\u015fi, mal, hizmet ve sermayenin serbest dola\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamamaktad\u0131r ve yaln\u0131z bu devletlere \u201cen \u00e7ok g\u00f6zetilen ulus\u201d stat\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc tan\u0131maktad\u0131r. P\u0130A\u2019larla belirlenen ekonomik ama\u00e7lar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in somut ad\u0131mlar\u0131n ne olaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6sterilmese de, nihai ama\u00e7 olarak taraflar aras\u0131nda serbest ticaret alan\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Oysa Ortakl\u0131k Antla\u015fmalar\u0131 zaten serbest ticaret alanlar\u0131 \u00fczerinde olu\u015fturulmaktad\u0131r. (367) Ayr\u0131ca P\u0130A\u2019lar yine Ticaret ve \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Antla\u015fmalar\u0131\u2019na benzer \u015fekilde s\u00fcre s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131 i\u00e7ermekte ve 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k bir s\u00fcre i\u00e7in ge\u00e7erlidirler. (368)<\/p>\n<p>Kapsam\u0131n\u0131n darl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve b\u00f6lge \u00fclkeleri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00e7ok cazip olmayan nihai ama\u00e7lar\u0131 ile P\u0130A\u2019lar\u0131n, Azerbaycan, G\u00fcrcistan ve Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n olu\u015fturdu\u011fu b\u00f6lgede kendi ama\u00e7lar\u0131na ula\u015fmalar\u0131 kolay g\u00f6r\u00fcnmemektedir. B\u00f6lge devletleri i\u00e7in belirlenen ko\u015fullara kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, elle tutulabilecek herhangi bir \u201c\u00f6d\u00fcl\u00fcn\u201d bulunmamas\u0131 nedeniyle, bu ara\u00e7 (P\u0130A) b\u00f6lgedeki sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan olduk\u00e7a yetersiz kalmaktad\u0131r. Anla\u015fmalar\u0131n y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmesinden sonra yeterli bir s\u00fcre ge\u00e7mesine ra\u011fmen, taraflar aras\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen serbest ticaret alan\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan s\u00f6z etmek bir hayli g\u00fc\u00e7t\u00fcr. Bu amac\u0131 bile ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiremeyen AB\u2019nin, bu ara\u00e7la b\u00f6lgede istikrar ve bar\u0131\u015f\u0131 sa\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131na inanmak bir hayli g\u00fc\u00e7t\u00fcr. Oysa Avrupa Antla\u015fmalar\u0131\u2019nda tam \u00fcyeli\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6ren ko\u015fullu \u00fcyelik s\u00fcrecini Polonya \u00f6rne\u011finde inceledi\u011fimiz zaman, g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz ki bu \u00fclkeyle 16 Aral\u0131k 1991\u2019de imzalanm\u0131\u015f olan Avrupa Antla\u015fmas\u0131 k\u0131sa zaman i\u00e7inde iki taraf aras\u0131nda ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015fmesini olduk\u00e7a h\u0131zland\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Taraflar aras\u0131nda siyasi diyalogun olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 ve Polonya ekonomisinin liberalle\u015fmesinin temel sebebi, bu devletin yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 reformlar\u0131n neticesi olarak AB tam \u00fcyeli\u011fine al\u0131naca\u011f\u0131 vaadidir. (369)<\/p>\n<p>P\u0130A\u2019lar\u0131n bu eksikli\u011finin fark\u0131nda olan AB, 2004\u2019te MDA\u00dc\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik son geni\u015flemeden sonra geli\u015ftirdi\u011fi Yeni Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131yla bunu gidermeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015facakt\u0131r. Bu politikan\u0131n ortaya at\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n esas sebebini AB\u2019nin son geni\u015fleme neticesinde bu b\u00f6lgelerle (YBD) kom\u015fu hale gelmesi ve civar\u0131ndaki b\u00f6lgelerde devam eden geli\u015fmelere y\u00f6nelik duyarl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n artmas\u0131 ile izah etmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr.<\/p>\n<p><b>1.3 Yeni Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n AB\u2019nin G\u00fcney Kafkasya B\u00f6lgesine Y\u00f6nelik Politikalar\u0131na Etkisi<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nGeni\u015flemeden sonra d\u0131\u015f s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131nda bulunan kom\u015fular\u0131yla ili\u015fkilerini bu devletlere \u00fcyelik perspektifi sunmadan geli\u015ftiren AB\u2019nin Yeni Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131, YBD\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik politikalar\u0131 ba\u011flam\u0131nda bu devletleri iki gruba ay\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r: Eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi Cumhuriyetlerinden sadece Ukrayna, Moldova, Beyaz Rusya, Azerbaycan, G\u00fcrcistan ve Ermenistan devletleri bu programa dahil edilmi\u015ftir. AB ile ortak s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131 bulunmayan Merkezi Asya devletleri bu program \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde ele al\u0131nmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u0130lgin\u00e7 \u015fekilde program kapsam\u0131na al\u0131nan t\u00fcm YBD ayn\u0131 zamanda Avrupa k\u0131tas\u0131nda yer almaktad\u0131r. (370) Beyaz Rusya\u2019n\u0131n programa kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 insan haklar\u0131 sorunlar\u0131 nedeniyle \u00fclkede y\u00f6netim de\u011fi\u015fene kadar AB Komisyonu taraf\u0131ndan ask\u0131ya al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (371) Rusya\u2019ya gelince, bu devlet Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131\u2019na dahil olmay\u0131 kabul etmemi\u015ftir. Bu \u00fclkenin beklentisi, AB\u2019nin kendisiyle ili\u015fkilerini di\u011fer YBD ile ayn\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evede ve yakla\u015f\u0131mla de\u011fil ve Rusya\u2019ya \u00f6zel bir stat\u00fc vererek geli\u015ftirmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcndedir. (372) Bu ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmedi\u011fi takdirde, Yeni Kom\u015fuluk Program\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde \u00f6nerilen i\u015fbirli\u011fi ara\u00e7lar\u0131 Rusya\u2019n\u0131n beklentileri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yetersiz kalmaktad\u0131r. (373)<\/p>\n<p>Yeni Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131 ilk geli\u015ftirildi\u011fi zaman G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleri bu program kapsam\u0131na dahil edilmemi\u015flerdi. AB b\u00f6lgede bulunan devletleri yeni s\u0131n\u0131r kom\u015fusu olarak alg\u0131lamamakta, b\u00f6lgedeki sorunlarla u\u011fra\u015fmay\u0131 da \u00f6nemsiz kabul etmekteydi. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m AB ODGP Y\u00fcksek Temsilcisi Solana\u2019n\u0131n Haziran 2003\u2019te Selanik\u2019te yap\u0131lan ve Yeni Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n m\u00fczakere edildi\u011fi Zirve\u2019de Konsey\u2019e bu devletlerin de politika kapsam\u0131na al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131n gereklili\u011fini i\u00e7eren teklifinden sonra de\u011fi\u015fmi\u015ftir. Hatta bu gereklili\u011fi vurgulamak i\u00e7in b\u00f6lgeye y\u00f6nelik politikalar\u0131n daha da aktif bir \u015fekilde y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclmesi i\u00e7in Y\u00fcksek Temsilcilik taraf\u0131ndan \u00d6zel Temsilci atanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (374) Solana\u2019n\u0131n G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletlerinin de program kapsam\u0131na al\u0131nmas\u0131na dair teklifinden sonra, ayn\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda Avrupa Parlamentosu, Avrupa Komisyonu\u2019na ve Avrupa Konseyi\u2019ne \u201cG\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleri i\u00e7in Yeni Kom\u015fuluk Program\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde, b\u00f6lgedeki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcne de \u00f6nem verecek \u00f6zel bir politikan\u0131n geli\u015ftirilmesini\u201d \u00f6nermi\u015ftir. (375) Yeni Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131, ku\u015fkusuz P\u0130A\u2019lara k\u0131yasla daha geni\u015f olanaklar sa\u011flamaktad\u0131r. AB bu politika ile kom\u015fu devletlerde refah, istikrar ve g\u00fcvenli\u011fi sa\u011flayan bir dostluk b\u00f6lgesi olu\u015fturmaya ama\u00e7lamaktad\u0131r. (376) Bunun i\u00e7in, tercih edilen ara\u00e7lar P\u0130A\u2019ya k\u0131yasla \u00e7ok daha geli\u015fmi\u015ftir. Taraflarca belirlenen ama\u00e7lar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi sonucunda AB ile Azerbaycan, G\u00fcrcistan ve Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n ekonomik entegrasyonu ve siyasi i\u015fbirli\u011finin olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 hedeflenmektedir. (377)<\/p>\n<p>Yine de P\u0130A\u2019lardan farkl\u0131 olarak, G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesinde istikrar\u0131n ve g\u00fcvenli\u011fin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in b\u00f6lgedeki etnik \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n sona erdirilmesinden s\u00f6z edilmektedir. \u00d6nceki d\u00fczenlemelere k\u0131yasen \u00f6nemli bir geli\u015fme sergileyen AB\u2019nin bu tutumu, bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcne dair hangi somut ad\u0131mlar\u0131n at\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 konusunda yine de net bir manzara sergilememektedir. G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletlerinde yolsuzlu\u011fun azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 ve ekonomik geli\u015fmenin sa\u011flanmas\u0131n\u0131 ama\u00e7layan AB, g\u00fcvenlik ve istikrar i\u00e7in ula\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 istedi\u011fi di\u011fer ama\u00e7lar aras\u0131nda enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131nda kar\u015f\u0131la\u015facak sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesi, t\u00fcm b\u00f6lge i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck tehdit kayna\u011f\u0131 olan Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n Medzamor N\u00fckleer Santralinin kapat\u0131lmas\u0131 ve b\u00f6lgedeki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 bar\u0131\u015f yoluyla \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmlenmesi gelmektedir. (378) Daha \u00f6nce belirtti\u011fimiz gibi Hazar Denizi b\u00f6lgesinden petrol ve do\u011falgaz\u0131n ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131nda kendi ortak politikas\u0131n\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmekte ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olan AB, Ermenistan\u2019daki Medzamor Santralinin kapat\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan giri\u015fimlerden de sonu\u00e7 alamam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (379) G\u00fcrcistan\u2019a gelince AB, Yeni Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde Abhazya ve G\u00fcney Osetya sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcndeki rol\u00fcn\u00fc G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesine atad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00d6zel Temsilcinin giri\u015fimleri vas\u0131tas\u0131yla oynamay\u0131 planlamaktad\u0131r. Bu giri\u015fimleri ise \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma b\u00f6lgelerinde yeniden yap\u0131lanma ve rehabilitasyon projelerinin ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in gereken finansman\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131 yoluyla hayata ge\u00e7irme d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesindedir. (380)<\/p>\n<p>Azerbaycan ile Ermenistan aras\u0131nda devam eden Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131na gelince, sorunun bar\u0131\u015f yoluyla \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesini destekleyen AB, bu konuda AG\u0130T Minsk Grubu taraf\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan giri\u015fimleri destekleyece\u011fini vurgulam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. AB\u2019nin bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesinde \u00fcstlendi\u011fi rol, G\u00fcrcistan durumunda oldu\u011fu gibi bu kurumun b\u00f6lgede bulunan \u00d6zel Temsilcisinin giri\u015fimlerinden ibaret olacakt\u0131r. Yine de s\u00f6z edilen giri\u015fimler iki halk aras\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin sa\u011flanmas\u0131, sivil kurulu\u015flar\u0131n giri\u015fimlerinin aktifle\u015ftirilmesi, insani giri\u015fimlerin ve topraklar\u0131n may\u0131nlardan ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 gibi giri\u015fimlerin desteklenmesi olarak tespit edilmi\u015ftir. (381)<\/p>\n<p>AB taraf\u0131ndan Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f sorununun \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc i\u00e7in \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen di\u011fer ara\u00e7lar, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma b\u00f6lgelerinde yeniden yap\u0131lanma ve rehabilitasyon projelerin ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in gereken finansman\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131, Azerbaycanl\u0131 m\u00fcltecilerin topraklar\u0131na geri d\u00f6nmelerine yard\u0131m edilmesi ve konvansiyonel silahlar\u0131n say\u0131s\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n \u00f6nlenmesidir. (382)<br \/>\nG\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi, AB ilk defa Yeni Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde b\u00f6lgedeki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc konusunda do\u011frudan giri\u015fimlerde bulunmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fsa da, bunu daha \u00e7ok ekonomik ara\u00e7lar vas\u0131tas\u0131yla ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmeye e\u011filimlidir. Oysa daha \u00f6nceki Bosna-Hersek \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 \u00f6rne\u011finde g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi, etkin siyasi ara\u00e7lar olmaks\u0131z\u0131n, bu t\u00fcr \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ekonomik ara\u00e7larla \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmlemesi imkans\u0131z g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. AB, eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi b\u00f6lgesindeki en kanl\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma olarak bilinen Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f sorununun \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcme ula\u015fmas\u0131 i\u00e7in do\u011frudan giri\u015fimlerde bulunmak yerine, kendisine as\u0131l fonksiyonu \u00fcstlenen AG\u0130T\u2019in \u00f6ne s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm planlar\u0131n\u0131 destekleyici kurum rol\u00fcn\u00fc bi\u00e7mi\u015ftir. (383)<\/p>\n<p>B\u00f6lgedeki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n sona erdirilmesi ve anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesi konusunda do\u011frudan sorumluluk almayan ve ciddi katk\u0131 sa\u011flayamayan AB\u2019nin, Bat\u0131 Balkanlar \u00f6rne\u011finde oldu\u011fu gibi bu b\u00f6lgede de istenilen istikrar ve g\u00fcvenli\u011fi sa\u011flamas\u0131 pek olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclmemektedir. Bu ama\u00e7lar\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131ndaki \u015fartlardan biri olan b\u00f6lgesel i\u015fbirli\u011fi ise mevcut \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131 ve gerilim y\u00fcz\u00fcnden engellenmektedir. Oysa AB\u2019nin t\u00fcm giri\u015fimleri bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 sona erdirmekle ilgili olmaktan \u00e7ok, \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcn sa\u011flanmas\u0131ndan sonra yap\u0131lacak \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalarla ilgilidir.<\/p>\n<p>Di\u011fer taraftan AB\u2019nin bu politikayla olu\u015fan bo\u015flu\u011fu doldurabilecek en etkin kabul edilen d\u0131\u015f politika arac\u0131 olan Avrupa devletlerine ko\u015fullu tam \u00fcyelik vaadinin verilmesi ise, Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131 ko\u015fulluluk temelinde olu\u015fturulmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, bu programda \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmemektedir. (384) AB\u2019nin yeni kom\u015fuluk politikas\u0131, ilk ba\u015fta geni\u015fleme s\u00fcrecinin mant\u0131ki bir devam\u0131 gibi g\u00f6z\u00fckse de, asl\u0131nda geni\u015flemede kullan\u0131lan ara\u00e7lar\u0131n ve mekanizmalar\u0131n benzerli\u011fine ra\u011fmen, politik ama\u00e7lar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan farkl\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6stermektedir. En ba\u015fta Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 geni\u015fleme s\u00fcrecinden ay\u0131ran \u00f6zellik, bu politikan\u0131n nihai bir ama\u00e7 olarak tam \u00fcyeli\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6rmemesidir. Asl\u0131na bak\u0131l\u0131rsa AB\u2019ye aday her bir devlet MDA\u00dc devletleri \u00f6rne\u011finde g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi kat\u0131l\u0131m veya Bat\u0131 Balkanlar\u2019daki gibi \u00f6n kat\u0131l\u0131m s\u00fcrecine tabi tutulmadan \u00f6nce gereken politik ve ekonomik reformlar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi s\u00fcrecinde uzun bir yoldan ge\u00e7mektedirler. Kom\u015fuluk stratejisi, AB\u2019ye kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rmese de ama\u00e7lara ula\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde programa dahil olan devletlerin ekonomik entegrasyonunu ve derinle\u015ftirilmi\u015f siyasi diyalogu \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde sa\u011flamas\u0131yla, devletleri bu kuruma yak\u0131nla\u015ft\u0131rmaktad\u0131r. (385)<\/p>\n<p>Ancak bu ama\u00e7lar\u0131, tam \u00fcyelik perspektifi g\u00f6remeyen kom\u015fu devletlerin bu t\u00fcr giri\u015fime istekli bir \u015fekilde kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 beklemek zor, hatta imkans\u0131z olurdu. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u201cKurumlardan ba\u015fka her \u015fey\u201d form\u00fcl\u00fc (386) do\u011frultusundaki geli\u015fmeler yeni kom\u015fuluk politikas\u0131nda yer alan devletler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan elveri\u015fli bir perspektif de\u011fildir. AB Ortak Pazar\u0131\u2019nda yer alsalar bile bu devletler hem karar verme mekanizmas\u0131 d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kalacaklar, hem de AB\u2019ye \u00fcye olan devletlerin ortaya koyacaklar\u0131 hukuki d\u00fczenlemelere en ba\u015ftan boyun e\u011feceklerdir. Bu ise herhangi bir devletin kolayca kabul edebilece\u011fi bir durum de\u011fildir. Bu durumda giri\u015fim ama\u00e7lar\u0131 do\u011frultusunda kom\u015fu devletlerin AB\u2019nin \u201cacquis communautaire\u201d\u2019in b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131sm\u0131na uyum sa\u011flamas\u0131 ve \u201ckom\u015fu\u201d stat\u00fcs\u00fcnde kalmakta devam etmeleri, AB\u2019nden beklenebilecek en \u00fcst katk\u0131 izlenimini olu\u015fturabilir. Bu da AB\u2019nin b\u00f6lgedeki devletlerde destekledi\u011fi reformlar\u0131n en az\u0131ndan yava\u015flamas\u0131na neden olabilecektir.<\/p>\n<p>G\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi, AB\u2019nin G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesinde uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve geli\u015ftirdi\u011fi t\u00fcm ara\u00e7 ve mekanizmalar ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in yetersiz kalmaktad\u0131r. Avrupa k\u0131tas\u0131n\u0131n di\u011fer b\u00f6lgelerinde oldu\u011fu gibi ko\u015fullu entegrasyon s\u00fcrecini \u00f6neremeyen kurum, b\u00f6lgede mevcut temel sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcnde yetersizdir. Buna ra\u011fmen, ara\u00e7lar\u0131n yetersizli\u011fi nedeniyle s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 \u00e7eken AB, y\u00fczle\u015fti\u011fi bu \u00e7\u0131kmazlardan di\u011fer akt\u00f6rlerin yard\u0131m\u0131yla kurtulmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktad\u0131r. Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f sorununun \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcnde AG\u0130T\u2019in giri\u015fimlerine bel ba\u011flayan AB, ayn\u0131 zamanda NATO\u2019nun b\u00f6lgede kendi giri\u015fimlerine tamamlay\u0131c\u0131 bir \u015fekilde rol oynamas\u0131n\u0131 arzulad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 beyan etmekle (387), asl\u0131nda MDA\u00dc ve Bat\u0131 Balkanlar b\u00f6lgelerinde oldu\u011fu gibi G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesinde de, kendisinin yetersiz kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 alanlarda bu kurumlardan destek almay\u0131 \u00fcmit etmekte oldu\u011funu ima etmektedir.<\/p>\n<p><b>2. AB\u2019nin B\u00f6lgesel \u00d6rg\u00fctlerin Deste\u011fiyle G\u00fcney Kafkasya B\u00f6lgesinde D\u0131\u015f Politika Ama\u00e7lar\u0131na Ula\u015fma Olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/p>\n<p>2.1 AB\u2019nin AG\u0130T\u2019ten Yararlanma Olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/p>\n<p><\/b>G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesi i\u00e7in AG\u0130T\u2019in \u00f6nemine de\u011finecek olursak \u015funu belirtmek gerekiyor ki, bu \u00f6rg\u00fct Azerbaycan, G\u00fcrcistan ve Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 elde ettikten sonra tam \u00fcye olduklar\u0131 Avrupa merkezli ilk b\u00f6lgesel \u00f6rg\u00fctt\u00fcr. Azerbaycan ile Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n \u00f6rg\u00fcte \u00fcyeli\u011fi 30 Ocak 1992\u2019de, G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131n \u00fcyeli\u011fi ise 24 Mart 1992\u2019de ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir. Eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi \u00fcyesi olan bu devletler i\u00e7in \u00f6rg\u00fcte \u00fcyelik, kazand\u0131klar\u0131 ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n peki\u015ftirilmesi ve tan\u0131nmalar\u0131n\u0131n bir kez daha teyidi anlam\u0131na geliyordu.<\/p>\n<p>Her \u00fc\u00e7 devlet de AG\u0130T\u2019e 8 Temmuz 1992 Helsinki\u2019de d\u00fczenlenen Zirve\u2019de,<br \/>\n1975 Helsinki Nihai Senedi\u2019ne imza atarak kat\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00c7ok ge\u00e7meden bu devletler Paris \u015eart\u0131\u2019n\u0131 da imzalam\u0131\u015flard\u0131r. Hen\u00fcz 1992 y\u0131l\u0131nda AG\u0130T b\u00f6lgede baz\u0131 giri\u015fimlerde bulunmu\u015ftur. Ayn\u0131 y\u0131lda BM giri\u015fimlerine destek olarak Karaba\u011f sorununa \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm aranmas\u0131 i\u00e7in Beyaz Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ba\u015fkenti Minsk\u2019te on bir \u00fclkenin kat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir konferansta, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc i\u00e7in bir arabulucu kurumu olarak Minsk Grubu olu\u015fturmu\u015ftur. (388) Bu gruba s\u0131ras\u0131yla d\u00f6nemin AG\u0130T ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yapm\u0131\u015f, yapan ve yapacak troyka devletleri \u00c7ek ve Slovak Cumhuriyeti, Almanya, \u0130sve\u00e7, ev sahibi devlet Beyaz Rusya\u2019n\u0131n yan\u0131nda Fransa, \u0130talya, Rusya, T\u00fcrkiye ve ABD kat\u0131lm\u0131\u015flard\u0131r. Minsk grubu \u00fcye \u00fclkeleri Azerbaycan\u2019la Ermenistan aras\u0131nda Karaba\u011f sorunu ile ilgili olarak BM G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi\u2019nin \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131 822, 853, 874 ve 884 No\u2019lu kararlar \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm yollar\u0131n\u0131n bulunmas\u0131na \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yorlard\u0131. (389)<\/p>\n<p>Zaten AB\u2019nin Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f sorununun \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc i\u00e7in AG\u0130T\u2019in giri\u015fimlerinin desteklenmesi politikas\u0131nda giri\u015fimlerden kas\u0131t Minsk Grubu taraf\u0131ndan ileri s\u00fcr\u00fclen \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm teklifleridir. 6 Aral\u0131k 1994 AG\u0130T Zirvesinde Minsk Grubu\u2019nun e\u015f ba\u015fkanlar taraf\u0131ndan y\u00f6netilmesi karar\u0131 al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. E\u015f-ba\u015fkan devletler olarak, ABD, Fransa ve Rusya kabul edilmi\u015ftir. (390) Bu grubun ama\u00e7lar\u0131 olarak ate\u015fkesin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilmesi i\u00e7in gereken tedbirlerin al\u0131nmas\u0131, \u00f6nceki arabuluculuk giri\u015fimlerini devam ettirmek ve geli\u015ftirmek ve bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n bar\u0131\u015f yolu ile \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesi i\u00e7in baz\u0131 tekliflerin haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131 ve sunulmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Bu tedbirlerin AG\u0130T\u2019in 2\u20133 Aral\u0131k 1996\u2019da yap\u0131lan Lizbon Zirvesi\u2019nde belirlenen ilkeler \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi karara al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu temel ilkeler \u015fu \u015fekilde belirlenmi\u015ftir: Azerbaycan Cumhuriyeti\u2019nin ve Ermenistan Cumhuriyeti\u2019nin toprak b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcn tan\u0131nmas\u0131; Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f\u2019a Azerbaycan\u2019daki en y\u00fcksek otonomi stat\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn verilmesi; Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f\u2019da ya\u015fayan n\u00fcfusun, taraflar\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fckleri \u00fczerine almas\u0131 yoluyla g\u00fcvenli\u011finin sa\u011flanmas\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvence alt\u0131na al\u0131nmas\u0131d\u0131r. Bu ilkeler Ermenistan hari\u00e7 t\u00fcm Avrupa \u00fclkeleri taraf\u0131ndan yani toplam elli \u00fc\u00e7 devlet taraf\u0131ndan kabul edilmi\u015ftir. Minsk Grubu \u00e7e\u015fitli \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda bulunarak, \u015fu ana kadar ikisi Ermenistan, biri ise Azerbaycan taraf\u0131ndan reddedilmi\u015f \u00fc\u00e7 \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm plan\u0131<br \/>\nsunmu\u015ftur. (391)<\/p>\n<p>Minsk Grubu taraf\u0131ndan \u201cDa\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f \u00c7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00c7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcne Dair Genel Anla\u015fma\u201d adl\u0131 ilk teklif 11 Haziran 1997\u2019da \u00f6ne s\u00fcr\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr ve k\u0131saca \u201cPaket \u00c7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u201d ad\u0131yla da bilinmektedir. Bu belgede bir\u00e7ok konu Azerbaycan taraf\u0131n\u0131 da memnun etmese de, esasen Ermenistan taraf\u0131ndan reddedilmi\u015ftir. Bunun \u00fczerine Minsk Grubu E\u015f-ba\u015fkanlar\u0131 19 Eyl\u00fcl 1997 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u201cDa\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f\u2019da Silahl\u0131 \u00c7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n Durdurulmas\u0131 Konusunda Anla\u015fma\u201d veya \u201cA\u015famal\u0131 \u00c7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u201d diye bilinen ikinci bir teklif \u00f6ne s\u00fcr\u00fcm\u00fc\u015ftir. Bu anla\u015fmaya g\u00f6re ilk a\u015famada \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n getirdi\u011fi zararlar ortadan kald\u0131r\u0131lacakt\u0131, daha sonra AG\u0130T taraf\u0131ndan d\u00fczenlenecek Konferans\u2019ta Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n \u00fclke b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc de g\u00f6zetilerek Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f\u2019\u0131n stat\u00fcs\u00fc belirlenecekti. Bu teklif Ermenistan taraf\u0131ndan reddedilmi\u015ftir. Nihayet, Kas\u0131m 1998\u2019de \u201cOrtak Devlet\u201d \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc teklif edilmi\u015ftir. Buna g\u00f6re Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f i\u00e7 i\u015flerinde ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z olarak kendi yasama, y\u00fcr\u00fctme ve yarg\u0131 organlar\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturma imk\u00e2n\u0131na ve kendi d\u00fczenledi\u011fi bir Anayasaya sahip olacakt\u0131r. Azerbaycan Anayasas\u0131 ve kanunlar\u0131 sadece Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f Anayasas\u0131 ile \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 konularda bu b\u00f6lge \u00fczerinde ge\u00e7erli olacakt\u0131r. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f kendi ulusal askeri g\u00fcc\u00fc ve polis g\u00fcc\u00fcne sahip olacak, Azerbaycan ordusu ve polis g\u00fcc\u00fc ise Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f y\u00f6netimin izni olmadan b\u00f6lgeye d\u00e2hil olamayacakt\u0131r. Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f kendi bayra\u011f\u0131 ve di\u011fer devlet remzlerine sahip olacakt\u0131r. B\u00f6lgenin ayr\u0131ca do\u011frudan d\u0131\u015f politika ve ekonomik ili\u015fkleri y\u00fcr\u00fctmeye imk\u00e2n\u0131 da olacakt\u0131. Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f\u2019\u0131n kendi b\u00fctcesi olmas\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131nda, Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n bu b\u00f6lgeye yat\u0131r\u0131m yapma y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc olacakt\u0131r. (392) Mevcut uluslararas\u0131 hukuk d\u00fczenlemelerine, \u00f6zellikle devlet egemenli\u011fi gibi bir\u00e7ok kavrama ayk\u0131r\u0131 h\u00fck\u00fcmler i\u00e7eren bu belge, Azerbaycan taraf\u0131ndan reddedilmi\u015ftir. (393)<\/p>\n<p>AG\u0130T G\u00fcrcistan\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar konusunda da aktif giri\u015fimlerde bulunmu\u015ftur. Bu konuda BM ile birlikte sorumluluk alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u015e\u00f6yle ki, BM Abhazya sorununa \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm yolu arad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131rada, AG\u0130T de ayn\u0131 sorumlulu\u011fu G\u00fcney Osetya\u2019daki probleme y\u00f6nelik olarak yerine getiriyordu. AG\u0130T 1992 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u00fclkede faaliyetlerini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in Tiflis\u2019te temsilcilik kurmu\u015ftur. Zaman ge\u00e7tik\u00e7e, bu temsilcilik insan haklar\u0131 konusundaki \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131 b\u00fct\u00fcn G\u00fcrcistan\u2019da s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 1996 y\u0131l\u0131nda bu \u00f6rg\u00fct BM ile birlikte Abhazya\u2019da da insan haklar\u0131ndan sorumlu bir merkez a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (394) 15 Aral\u0131k 1999\u2019da, AG\u0130T G\u00fcrcistan\u2019daki misyonunun yetkilerini geni\u015fleterek, G\u00fcrcistan\u2019la Rusya\u2019n\u0131n \u00c7e\u00e7enistan s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131 \u00fczerinde denetleme yapmaya ba\u015flamas\u0131na izin vermi\u015ftir. Bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma, G\u00fcrcistan h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin iki \u00fclke aras\u0131ndaki s\u0131n\u0131r \u00fczerinde ge\u00e7i\u015flerin rapor haline getirilmesi iste\u011fi \u00fczerine ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmi\u015ftir. 12 Nisan 2000\u2019den itibaren AG\u0130T denetim grubunun eleman say\u0131s\u0131 42 ki\u015fiye kadar y\u00fckseltilmi\u015ftir ve uzunlu\u011fu 82 km olan s\u0131n\u0131r \u00fczerinde birka\u00e7 merkez a\u00e7\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. AG\u0130T denet\u00e7ilerinin g\u00fcvenli\u011fi t\u00fcm\u00fcyle G\u00fcrcistan taraf\u0131ndan kar\u015f\u0131lanmaktad\u0131r. (395) G\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00fczere AG\u0130T, G\u00fcrcistan\u2019daki sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcnde hem g\u00f6revlendirdi\u011fi ki\u015fi say\u0131s\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, hem de mali deste\u011finin olm AG\u0130T\u2019in her iki G\u00fcney Kafkasya sorununun \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc konusunda, uzun zaman ge\u00e7mesine ra\u011fmen giri\u015fimlerinin yetersizli\u011fi nedeniyle herhangi bir geli\u015fme sa\u011flayamam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. AG\u0130T\u2019in giri\u015fimlerinin etkisizli\u011fi b\u00f6lgesel g\u00fc\u00e7lerin, \u00f6zellikle Rusya\u2019n\u0131n bu soruna bak\u0131\u015f\u0131na fazlas\u0131yla ili\u015fkilidir. Minsk Grubunun e\u015f- ba\u015fkanlar\u0131ndan biri olan bu \u00fclke, Karaba\u011f meselesinde \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan itibaren Ermenileri desteklemekteydi ve bu \u00fclkeye b\u00fcy\u00fck miktarda silah yard\u0131m\u0131 da yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Hatta Azerbaycan taraf\u0131ndan Lizbon kararlar\u0131n hi\u00e7e say\u0131lmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelece\u011fi i\u00e7in reddedilen ve daha \u00e7ok Ermenistan ve Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f\u2019\u0131n i\u015fine gelen, \u201cOrtak Devlet\u201d \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc de do\u011frudan Rusya taraf\u0131ndan \u00f6nerilmi\u015ftir. (396)<\/p>\n<p>Asl\u0131nda Rusya, Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f sorunun \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesi halinde, her iki devletin yani hem Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n, hem de Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n ABD ve AB arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n etkisi alt\u0131nda kalaca\u011f\u0131ndan endi\u015felenmektedir. Azerbaycan \u00fczerinde etkisini kaybeden Rusya, Ermenistan \u00fczerinde hala ciddi bir etkiye sahiptir. Bu y\u00fczden, bu \u00fclkeye bask\u0131 yaparak, Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n bat\u0131ya yakla\u015fma iste\u011fine ket vurmaktad\u0131r (397) ve ayn\u0131 zamanda Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f sorununun da \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc engellemektedir. Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k sonras\u0131nda Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n ilk cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 olan Ter-Petrosyan\u2019\u0131n izledi\u011fi d\u0131\u015f politikada Rusya\u2019ya ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131\u011f\u0131 azaltma iste\u011fi olsa da, Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f sorunu nedeniyle, Ermenistan iyice bu \u00fclkeye ba\u011fl\u0131 duruma gelmi\u015ftir. Durumu iyi de\u011ferlendiren Rusya, bu \u00fclkede kendi askeri \u00fcslerini kurmakta gecikmemi\u015f, 30 Eyl\u00fcl 1992\u2019de Ermenistan\u2019la imzalad\u0131\u011f\u0131 Antla\u015fma do\u011frultusunda, T\u00fcrk-Ermeni s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131nda askerlerini konu\u015fland\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (398)<\/p>\n<p>AB\u2019nin G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesinde etkin ara\u00e7lardan yoksun ve b\u00f6lge devletlerinin \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 do\u011frultusunda hareket etmek zorunda olan AG\u0130T\u2019e g\u00fcvenmesi ve desteklemesi, ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131na \u015fimdiden imza atmak anlam\u0131na gelmektedir. Zaten, AG\u0130T\u2019in Minsk Grubu\u2019na y\u00f6neltilen ele\u015ftirilerden biri, bu kurumun \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc i\u00e7in gereken bask\u0131y\u0131 sergilemekte hem isteksiz, hem de yetersiz oldu\u011fudur. \u015eu ana kadar Minsk Grubunun e\u015f-ba\u015fkanlar\u0131 olan ABD, Fransa ve Rusya, do\u011frudan Azerbaycan\u2019a ve Ermenistan\u2019a sorunu \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcme kavu\u015fturmalar\u0131 durumunda i\u015fbirli\u011fi ve milyonlarca dolarl\u0131k yard\u0131m programlar\u0131 teklif etmi\u015flerdir. (399) Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, AB\u2019nin de Bat\u0131 Balkanlardaki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcnde salt ekonomik ara\u00e7lar\u0131n kullanmas\u0131n\u0131n b\u00f6lgede bar\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve g\u00fcvenli\u011fi sa\u011flamakta ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131\u011fa u\u011framas\u0131 gibi yetersiz kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Minsk Grubunun sergiledi\u011fi ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131k kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda baz\u0131 \u00fcst d\u00fczey politikac\u0131lar bu kurumun arabuluculu\u011fundan vazge\u00e7ilmesinin zaman\u0131 geldi\u011fini zikretmeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015flard\u0131r. (400) AB\u2019nin \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm ara\u00e7lar\u0131ndan yoksun kalan AG\u0130T\u2019in b\u00f6lgesel \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcnde desteklenmesi ve bununla da b\u00f6lgesel i\u015fbirli\u011finin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131, b\u00f6lge devletlerinin, \u00f6zellikle Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ad\u0131mlar\u0131na ve kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131na ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in, bu konuda baz\u0131 ba\u015fka aray\u0131\u015flarda bulunulmas\u0131n\u0131 gerektirmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>AG\u0130T\u2019in G\u00fcrcistan\u2019daki giri\u015fimleri de sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcne bir katk\u0131 sa\u011flayamam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. May\u0131s 1994\u2019te Abhazya\u2019ya BDT taraf\u0131ndan 3000 ki\u015filik bar\u0131\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc g\u00f6nderilmesi kararla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ancak Rusya d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki di\u011fer BDT devletlerinden kimse bar\u0131\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fcne kat\u0131lmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu y\u00fczden b\u00f6lge Rusya\u2019n\u0131n denetimi alt\u0131nda kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Rus bar\u0131\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn denetimi Abhazya\u2019da BM G\u00f6zlemci Misyonu, G\u00fcney Osetya\u2019da ise AG\u0130T G\u00f6zlemci Misyonu taraf\u0131ndan ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Her iki Misyon bu denetimde etkili olamam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (401) 1999 y\u0131l\u0131nda AG\u0130T Zirvesi\u2019nde Rusya G\u00fcrcistan\u2019daki \u00fcslerini kapatmas\u0131 talebine hi\u00e7bir yan\u0131t vermeye gerek duymam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (402) Bilakis 2002 y\u0131l\u0131nda, Moskova Abhazya\u2019da ya\u015fayanlara Rus vatanda\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 vermi\u015f, bir\u00e7ok Abhaz da bunu kabul etmi\u015ftir. (403) Son olarak, Saaka\u015fvili A\u011fustos 2004\u2019te G\u00fcney Osetya\u2019ya AG\u0130T\u2019in bar\u0131\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc yerle\u015ftirmesi \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131nda bulunsa da, bu \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131 cevaps\u0131z kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. AG\u0130T ve \u00fcye devletler Rusya\u2019y\u0131 bu konuda kar\u015f\u0131lar\u0131na almak istememi\u015flerdir. (404)<\/p>\n<p>AG\u0130T\u2019in b\u00f6lgedeki giri\u015fimlerinin etkisizli\u011fi AB\u2019nin ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmek i\u00e7in ba\u015fvurabilece\u011fi farkl\u0131 se\u00e7eneklerin incelenmesini gerektirmektedir. Bu konuda 1991 y\u0131l\u0131ndan sonra kendine yeni ama\u00e7lar edinen ve So\u011fuk Sava\u015f sonras\u0131 sorunlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcnde tecr\u00fcbe kazanan NATO\u2019nun, AB\u2019nin b\u00f6lgedeki m\u00fcttefiki rol\u00fcn\u00fc \u00fcstlenebilece\u011fi konusunda baz\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fler bulunmaktad\u0131<\/p>\n<p><b>2.2 NATO\u2019nun G\u00fcney Kafkasya B\u00f6lgesi\u2019ndeki Faaliyetlerinin AB\u2019nin D\u0131\u015f Politika Ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n Ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesini Destekleme Olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nNATO, Do\u011fu Blo\u011fu\u2019nun da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrse de faaliyet ve ama\u00e7lar\u0131nda yeni d\u00fczenlemeler yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Buna ek olarak, bu kurum NATO \u00fcyesi olmayan \u00fclkeler ile ili\u015fkiler sisteminde yeni mekanizmalar geli\u015ftirmeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Nitekim 1991 y\u0131l\u0131nda Kuzey Atlantik \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Konseyi (KA\u0130K) ve 1994 y\u0131l\u0131nda, \u201cBar\u0131\u015f i\u00e7in Ortakl\u0131k\u201d programlar\u0131 kuruldu. 20 Aral\u0131k 1991 tarihinde kurulmu\u015f KA\u0130K, NATO ve eski Var\u015fova Pakt\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki g\u00fcvensizli\u011fin giderilmesinin ilk ad\u0131m\u0131 idi. G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleri bu konseyin kurucu \u00fcyeleri aras\u0131nda yer almam\u0131\u015flard\u0131.<br \/>\n1997 y\u0131l\u0131nda ismi Avrupa-Atlantik Ortakl\u0131k Konseyi olarak de\u011fi\u015ftirilen bu konseye, Azerbaycan ve Ermenistan 1992 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n Mart ay\u0131nda G\u00fcrcistan ise Nisan ay\u0131nda tam \u00fcye olmu\u015flard\u0131r. Bu \u00fclkeler 1994 y\u0131l\u0131nda da, \u201cBar\u0131\u015f i\u00e7in Ortakl\u0131k\u201d program\u0131na kat\u0131lm\u0131\u015flard\u0131r. \u201cBar\u0131\u015f i\u00e7in Ortakl\u0131k\u201d program\u0131 NATO taraf\u0131ndan Ocak 1994\u2019de Br\u00fcksel\u2019de d\u00fczenlenen Kuzey Atlantik Konseyi Zirvesi\u2019nde g\u00fcndeme al\u0131nan bir giri\u015fimdir. Program\u0131n esas amac\u0131 b\u00fct\u00fcn Avrupa\u2019da istikrar\u0131n ve g\u00fcvenli\u011fin sa\u011flanmas\u0131d\u0131r. Bu giri\u015fime KA\u0130K\u2019e ve AG\u0130T\u2019e \u00fcye olan b\u00fct\u00fcn \u00fclkeler davet edilmi\u015ftir. B\u0130O Program\u0131 savunmaya dayal\u0131 i\u015fbirli\u011fini esas kabul etmekle birlikte, NATO ve ortak \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131nda diyalogun ve i\u015fbirli\u011finin geli\u015ftirilmesine de hizmet etmektedir. Bu giri\u015fim, Avrupa g\u00fcvenli\u011finin in\u015fas\u0131nda \u00f6nemli ve devaml\u0131 bir karaktere d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr ve b\u00fct\u00fcn Avrupa\u2019da siyasi ve askeri i\u015fbirli\u011finin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesinde rol oynamaktad\u0131r. Program, NATO\u2019nun sundu\u011fu demokratik ilkeler temelinde istikrar\u0131n artmas\u0131na, bar\u0131\u015fa y\u00f6nelik tehditlerin azalmas\u0131na ve pratik i\u015fbirli\u011fine dayanan g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmi\u015f g\u00fcvenli\u011fin kurulmas\u0131na yard\u0131m etmektedir. (405)<\/p>\n<p>Program\u0131n faaliyete ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, 23 Mart 1994\u2019te G\u00fcrcistan D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Aleksandr \u00c7ikvaidze, 4 May\u0131s 1994\u2019te Azerbaycan Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Haydar Aliyev, 5 Ekim 1994\u2019de Ermenistan D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Vahan Papazyan B\u0130O \u00c7er\u00e7eve Antla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 imzalam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<br \/>\nNATO\u2019nun 90\u2019lar\u0131n ortalar\u0131nda G\u00fcney Kafkasya ve Merkezi Asya devletlerine y\u00f6nelik politikas\u0131n\u0131 \u015fu \u015fekilde \u00f6zetlemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr: \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi s\u00fcrecine ve tehlike halinde kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler sonucunda b\u00f6lge \u00fclkelerinin Avrupa g\u00fcvenlik sistemine uyum sa\u011flamas\u0131n\u0131n temini; askeri i\u015fbirli\u011finin ve enformasyon al\u0131\u015fveri\u015finin aktifle\u015ftirilmesi; askeri kuvvetin \u00fczerinde sivil kontrol\u00fcn olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 ve sivil-asker ili\u015fkilerinin geli\u015ftirilmesi yoluyla b\u00f6lgesel istikrar\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131; bar\u0131\u015f\u0131 sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in \u00e7ok uluslu operasyonlar\u0131n d\u00fczenlenmesi gibi ama\u00e7lar i\u00e7in, askeri kuvvetlerin operasyon e\u015fg\u00fcd\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131. Yine de 11 Eyl\u00fcl olay\u0131na kadar, G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletlerinin esas g\u00fcvenlik sorunlar\u0131 b\u00f6lge i\u00e7i \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar ve ekonomik sorunlar idi. Bu konuda NATO AB ile benzer \u015fekilde hareket ederek, di\u011fer b\u00f6lgesel kurumlara \u00f6ncelik tan\u0131yarak, bu sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm \u00e7abalar\u0131na fiilen kat\u0131lmamay\u0131 ye\u011flemi\u015ftir. Temmuz 2000\u2019de G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131 ziyaret eden d\u00f6nemin NATO ba\u015fkan\u0131 Robertson, G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesinde bar\u0131\u015f ve istikrar\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131n\u0131 b\u00f6lge \u00fclkelerinin kendilerinin temin etmelerinin gerekti\u011fini, bu konuda uluslararas\u0131 \u00f6rg\u00fctlerden aktif olarak BM ve GU\u00d6AM\u2019\u0131n faaliyet g\u00f6stermesinin gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6ylemi\u015f, NATO\u2019nun bu ad\u0131mlar\u0131 sadece destekleyebilece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (406)<\/p>\n<p>11 Eyl\u00fcl 2001 tarihinden sonra NATO\u2019nun tehdit alg\u0131lamas\u0131 k\u00f6kl\u00fc \u015fekilde de\u011fi\u015fmi\u015ftir. ABD\u2019nin \u201culuslararas\u0131 ter\u00f6rizme kar\u015f\u0131 k\u00fcresel m\u00fccadele\u201d \u015feklinde tan\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcvenlik politikalar\u0131 NATO ve AB\u2019nin yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 etkilemi\u015f ve bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesinin \u00f6nemi \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 \u015fekilde artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Mesela, ABD \u00f6nderli\u011findeki koalisyon devletlerinin Afganistan\u2019da ba\u015flatt\u0131klar\u0131 operasyonda b\u00f6lge \u00fclkelerinin deste\u011fine ihtiya\u00e7 duyulmu\u015ftur. Nitekim her \u00fc\u00e7 devlet bu anti-ter\u00f6r operasyonuna tam destek verdiklerini a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015f ancak destek \u015fekli \u00fclkeden \u00fclkeye de\u011fi\u015fiklik g\u00f6stermi\u015ftir. Azerbaycan ve G\u00fcrcistan aktif destek verirken, Ermenistan esas m\u00fcttefiki olan Rusya\u2019dan \u00e7ekinerek, bu deste\u011fi fiiliyata d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in acele etmemi\u015ftir. Zaten, Azerbaycan\u2019la G\u00fcrcistan ilerde NATO\u2019ya tam \u00fcye olma arzusunda olduklar\u0131n\u0131 defalarca ve a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a beyan etmeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015flard\u0131r. (407)<\/p>\n<p>2002 y\u0131l\u0131nda Prag\u2019da d\u00fczenlenen NATO zirvesinde, Bireysel Ortakl\u0131k Eylem Plan\u0131 kabul edilmi\u015ftir. Bu plan \u00e7ok geni\u015f yelpazede konular\u0131 i\u00e7ermektedir. \u00d6rne\u011fin, \u00fcye devletlerin silahl\u0131 kuvvetlerinin, genel olarak savunma sistemlerinin yeniden yap\u0131lanmas\u0131, insan haklar\u0131na sayg\u0131n\u0131n peki\u015ftirilmesi ve bir\u00e7ok di\u011fer konularda d\u00fczenlemelerin ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. NATO bu giri\u015fim \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n d\u0131\u015f politika konseptini, ulusal g\u00fcvenlik konseptini ve askeri doktrinini haz\u0131rlamaya yard\u0131m etmi\u015ftir. (408) Nitekim G\u00fcrcistan ve Azerbaycan bu plan\u0131 imzalayarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015flard\u0131r. Ermenistan ise, Rusya\u2019ya olan siyasi ba\u011fl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 nedeniyle NATO\u2019nun bu giri\u015fimine kat\u0131lmaya teredd\u00fct etmektedir. Lakin 2005 y\u0131l\u0131nda Ermenistan da bu program\u0131 kabul ederek kendi Eylem Plan\u0131n\u0131 NATO\u2019ya sunmu\u015ftur. (409)<\/p>\n<p>Haziran 2004\u2019de \u0130stanbul\u2019da yap\u0131lan NATO Zirvesi\u2019nde G\u00fcney Kafkasya ve Merkezi Asya b\u00f6lgesi i\u00e7in NATO taraf\u0131ndan bir Genel Sekreter B\u00f6lge Temsilcisinin atanmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Bu g\u00f6reve Robert Simmons atanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. B\u00f6lge \u00fclkelerinin savunma alan\u0131nda yeniden yap\u0131lanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in Balt\u0131k \u00fclkeleri g\u00f6rev \u00fcstlenmi\u015ftir. Bu konuda G\u00fcney Kafkasya\u2019da NATO\u2019yu temsilen Letonya Savunma Bakan\u0131\u2019n\u0131n dan\u0131\u015fman\u0131 Ramualdas Rajuks atanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. (410) Bu ataman\u0131n AB Y\u00fcksek Temsilcili\u011fi taraf\u0131ndan b\u00f6lgeye \u00f6zel bir Temsilcinin atanmas\u0131yla a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 yukar\u0131 ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neme ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi dikkat edilecek bir rastlant\u0131d\u0131r. Bu atamalar\u0131 de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fimiz zaman, AB ve NATO\u2019nun daha \u00f6nce MDA\u00dc ve Bat\u0131 Balkanlarda g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi bu b\u00f6lge devletlerine y\u00f6nelik paralel bir politika y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6zlemlemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. \u0130leride g\u00f6rece\u011fimiz gibi bu iki kurumun b\u00f6lgeye y\u00f6nelik politikalar\u0131nda buna benzer ba\u015fka paralellikler s\u00f6z konusudur. G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleri aras\u0131nda NATO\u2019ya tam kat\u0131lmay\u0131 en fazla arzu eden devlet G\u00fcrcistan\u2019d\u0131r. 28 Kas\u0131m 2005\u2019de G\u00fcrcistan Ba\u015fbakan\u2019\u0131 Br\u00fcksel\u2019e ziyarette bulundu\u011fu s\u0131rada \u00fclkesinin NATO\u2019ya 2008 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar tam \u00fcye olma arzusunu dile getirince, NATO\u2019nun Genel Sekreteri Jaap de Hoop Scheffer, NATO\u2019nun kap\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n bu \u00fclkeye a\u00e7\u0131k oldu\u011funu belirtmi\u015f, fakat bu \u00fclke taraf\u0131ndan daha uzun bir yol kat edilmesi gerekti\u011fini vurgulam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. (411)<\/p>\n<p>G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131n tam \u00fcyelik i\u00e7in bu a\u00e7\u0131k talebi NATO\u2019nun 29 Kas\u0131m 2006 tarihinde Riga\u2019da ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi zirvede bir daha zikredilmi\u015f ve yay\u0131nlanan deklarasyonda da yer alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda deklarasyonun 43. alt ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda NATO\u2019nun Azerbaycan, G\u00fcrcistan ve Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n \u00fclke b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131k \u015fekilde tan\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 ilan edilmi\u015f ve G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesinde mevcut \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n bar\u0131\u015f yoluyla \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmlenmesine destek vurgulanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (412) Nihayet 10 Nisan 2007 tarihinde ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Bush, H\u0131rvatistan, Makedonya, Arnavutluk, Ukrayna ve G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131n NATO\u2019ya \u00fcye olmalar\u0131n\u0131 desteklemek amac\u0131yla 2007 Y\u0131l\u0131nda \u201cNATO \u00c7er\u00e7evesinde \u00d6zg\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn Peki\u015ftirilmesi\u201d Yasas\u0131n\u0131 imzalam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu yasa do\u011frultusunda ABD b\u00fct\u00e7esinden 12 milyon ABD dolar\u0131 ayr\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (413)<\/p>\n<p>NATO ile ili\u015fkilere gelince, G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletlerinin bu kurumla ili\u015fkileriyle, AB ile ili\u015fkileri aras\u0131nda ciddi bir paralellik sezilmektedir. Bunu anlamak i\u00e7in, NATO nezdindeki Bar\u0131\u015f i\u00e7in Ortak Program\u0131\u2019n\u0131n belirledi\u011fi ama\u00e7larla, AB\u2019nin b\u00f6lgeye y\u00f6nelik uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 Partnerlik ve \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Antla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 k\u0131yaslamak yeterlidir. Bir di\u011fer paralellik ise, NATO\u2019nun Bireysel Ortakl\u0131k Eylem Plan\u0131 ile AB\u2019nin Yeni Kom\u015fuluk Siyaseti \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde ortaya konulan ama\u00e7larda ve her \u00fclkeye ferdi yakla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131nda sezilmektedir. Zaten, AB\u2019nin geli\u015fim tarihine bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z zaman, bu kuruma \u00fcye olan devletler ilk \u00f6nce NATO ile tam \u00fcyelik s\u00fcrecini tamamlamaktad\u0131rlar ki Merkezi ve G\u00fcney Avrupa\u2019ya y\u00f6nelik olan son geni\u015fleme de bundan farkl\u0131 olmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Benzer \u015fekilde b\u00f6lgedeki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan NATO AB\u2019ye yak\u0131n bir tutum sergilemektedir ve b\u00f6lgedeki sorunlar\u0131n BM ve AG\u0130T \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmlenmesini tercih etmekte ve<br \/>\ndesteklemektedir. (414)<\/p>\n<p>NATO\u2019nun b\u00f6lge devletlerine y\u00f6nelik olarak uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 programlarda da, bu \u00f6rg\u00fcte tam \u00fcyelik \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmemektedir. Bunun ba\u015fl\u0131ca sebepleri b\u00f6lgedeki mevcut \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar ve T\u00fcrkiye ile Ermenistan aras\u0131nda ya\u015fanan gerginliktir. (415) Oysa NATO\u2019ya \u00fcyelik g\u00fcndemi mevcut olsa, hem \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6zmek i\u00e7in b\u00f6lgedeki \u00fclkeler taraf\u0131ndan daha somut ad\u0131mlar at\u0131lmak zorunda kal\u0131nacakt\u0131 ve AB\u2019nin b\u00f6lgede ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmeyi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ama\u00e7lar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da ciddi bir katk\u0131 sa\u011flanabilecekti. Hatta Azerbaycan\u2019da baz\u0131 uzmanlarca, Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f sorununu sadece NATO\u2019nun \u00e7\u00f6zebilece\u011fine dair tespitler dile getirilmektedir. Bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 ve anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6zmek i\u00e7in Rusya\u2019ya yap\u0131lmas\u0131 gereken bask\u0131y\u0131 sadece bu kurumun yapabilece\u011fine inan\u0131lmaktad\u0131r. (416)<\/p>\n<p>Di\u011fer taraftan G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletlerinin NATO\u2019ya \u00fcyeli\u011fi bu kurumun tek ba\u015f\u0131na bu sorunu \u00e7\u00f6zece\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelmemektedir. Mesela, G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131n NATO\u2019ya \u00fcyeli\u011fini destekleyen Almanya, bu \u00fclkenin tam \u00fcyelik s\u00fcrecinde Abhazya ve G\u00fcney Osetya sorunlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesinin bir \u00f6nko\u015ful olarak tan\u0131mlanmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini vurgulamaktad\u0131r. (417) Bu durum asl\u0131nda NATO\u2019nun yeni \u00fcye devletlerin \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcyle u\u011fra\u015fmak konusunda isteksiz oldu\u011funu ortaya koymaktad\u0131r. Bunun en esas sebebi, NATO ve \u00fcyelerinin Rusya ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya gelmekten ka\u00e7\u0131nmalar\u0131d\u0131r. Hatta Abhazya\u2019n\u0131n ayr\u0131mc\u0131 lideri Bagap\u015f, Rusya\u2019dan alaca\u011f\u0131 deste\u011fe g\u00fcvenerek, G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131n NATO\u2019ya \u00fcye olmas\u0131 halinde, Abhazya ve G\u00fcney Osetya\u2019daki ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k s\u00fcre\u00e7lerini daha da h\u0131zland\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtmi\u015ftir. (418)<\/p>\n<p>NATO\u2019nun G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesine y\u00f6nelik politikas\u0131 burada s\u0131cak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 engellemek ve bar\u0131\u015f\u0131 sa\u011flamakla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131d\u0131r. Bunun temel sebebi, b\u00f6lgede var olan enerji boru hatlar\u0131n\u0131n Hazar Denizi\u2019nde \u00fcretilen petrol ve do\u011falgaz\u0131 d\u00fcnya pazarlar\u0131na arz etmesinin g\u00fcvenceye al\u0131nmak istenmesidir. B\u00f6lgedeki anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 \u015fekilde \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcme kavu\u015fmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik bir NATO katk\u0131s\u0131, bu politika \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde 2001 tarihine kadar NATO bu b\u00f6lgeyi bir tehdit unsuru olarak dahi kabul etmemi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>Bu da kurumun b\u00f6lgedeki faaliyetlerinin istihbarat ve bilgi payla\u015f\u0131m\u0131, ulusal kuvvetlerin ter\u00f6re kar\u015f\u0131 e\u011fitilmesi gibi aktivitelerle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131na neden olmu\u015ftur. (419) Asl\u0131nda NATO\u2019nun G\u00fcney Kafkasya\u2019daki faaliyetlerini, Avrupa \u00fcyelerinden daha \u00e7ok ABD belirlemektedir. Nitekim NATO ile G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleri aras\u0131nda imzalanan Bireysel Ortakl\u0131k Eylem Plan\u0131\u2019n\u0131n geli\u015ftirilmesi 11 Eyl\u00fcl olaylar\u0131n\u0131n sonras\u0131na denk gelmektedir. Yine, ABD taraf\u0131ndan NATO\u2019ya aday \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in ayr\u0131lan mali yard\u0131mlardan G\u00fcrcistan\u2019a da pay ayr\u0131lmas\u0131, hemen adayl\u0131\u011fa al\u0131nmasa bile bu konuda g\u00fcndem olu\u015fturuldu\u011funa i\u015faret olarak yorumlanabilir. (420) Bu durumda, NATO\u2019nun b\u00f6lgeye yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 AB\u2019nin bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131yla benzerlik ve paralellik g\u00f6sterse de, bu benzerli\u011fin AB\u2019nin ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yard\u0131mc\u0131 veya tamamlay\u0131c\u0131 bir rol\u00fc bulunmamaktad\u0131r. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc NATO\u2019nun b\u00f6lgede uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 politika k\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131d\u0131r ve bu k\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131l\u0131k AB\u2019nin daha geni\u015f kapsaml\u0131 (g\u00fcvenlik d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda siyasi ve ekonomik boyutu olan) ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesine imkan vermemektedir. Yine de, NATO\u2019nun Bat\u0131 Balkanlarda oldu\u011fu gibi G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesine y\u00f6nelik politikas\u0131nda da de\u011fi\u015fim s\u00f6z konusu olabilir. Bu de\u011fi\u015fim olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ku\u015fkusuz ki, bu \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fcn b\u00f6lgeye y\u00f6nelik alg\u0131lamas\u0131nda bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik oldu\u011fu halde s\u00f6z konusu olabilir. Bu de\u011fi\u015fiklik de bu \u00f6rg\u00fcte \u00fcye olan devletlerin b\u00f6lgeye y\u00f6nelik ilgilerinin artmas\u0131yla da m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olabilir. Bu durumda hem NATO, hem de AB\u2019ye \u00fcye olan devletlerin b\u00f6lgeye y\u00f6nelik d\u0131\u015f politika \u00f6nceliklerinin ve \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n ne oldu\u011fu, hem de NATO\u2019da b\u00fcy\u00fck etkinli\u011fe sahip olan ABD\u2019nin tutumunu g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irmek b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r. NATO\u2019nun AB ile i\u015fbirli\u011fi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n son bir de\u011ferlendirilmesinin yap\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00fcye devletlerin b\u00f6lgeye y\u00f6nelik politikalar\u0131n g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irilmesi \u00f6nemlidir.<\/p>\n<p><b>3. AB\u2019nin B\u00f6lgede \u00c7\u0131karlar\u0131 Bulunan Devletlerin Yard\u0131m\u0131yla Ama\u00e7lar\u0131na Ula\u015fma Olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/p>\n<p>3.1 AB\u2019ye \u00dcye Devletlerin B\u00f6lgedeki D\u0131\u015f Politikalar\u0131n\u0131n AB\u2019nin Ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n Ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesine Katk\u0131s\u0131<\/p>\n<p><\/b>AB\u2019nin ODGP\u2019sinin hen\u00fcz supranasy\u00f6nal bir nitelik kazanmamas\u0131, \u00fcye devletler aras\u0131nda bir\u00e7ok konudaki fikir ayr\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 nedeniyle, \u00f6rg\u00fcte \u00fcye baz\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck devletlerin G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletlerine y\u00f6nelik politikalar\u0131n\u0131n AB a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan belirleyici ya da \u00e7ok etkili olmas\u0131 sonucunu beraberinde getirebilir. Nitekim Yugoslavya \u00f6rne\u011finde oldu\u011fu gibi Almanya\u2019n\u0131n Slovenya ve H\u0131rvatistan\u2019\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tan\u0131mas\u0131 t\u00fcm kurumun benzer \u015fekilde hareket etmesine neden olmu\u015ftur.<\/p>\n<p>Bu durumda s\u00f6ylemek gerekir ki, G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleri ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 elde ettikten sonra, her \u00fc\u00e7 devlet de baz\u0131 Avrupa devletlerinden belli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclerde destek alm\u0131\u015flard\u0131r. Mesela, B\u00fcy\u00fck Britanya Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131, Almanya G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131, Fransa ise Ermenistan\u2019\u0131 desteklemi\u015ftir. Asl\u0131na bak\u0131l\u0131rsa AB \u00fcyesi olan bu devletler, di\u011fer konularla birlikte bu kurumun d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131n\u0131 da etkileyen ve zaman zaman \u015fekillendiren en \u00f6nemli devletlerdir. (421)<\/p>\n<p>B\u00fcy\u00fck Britanya\u2019n\u0131n Azerbaycan\u2019a \u00f6zel bir ilgi g\u00f6stermesini, onun bu devletin elindeki petrol ve do\u011falgaz kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015fletilmesine y\u00f6nelik b\u00fcy\u00fck ilgisiyle a\u00e7\u0131klamak m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. B\u00fcy\u00fck Britanya\u2019n\u0131n BP petrol \u015firketi, Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n en \u00f6nemli iki petrol yata\u011f\u0131nda da \u00f6nemli paya sahiptir. Mesela Azeri, \u00c7\u0131rak, G\u00fcne\u015fli petrol yata\u011f\u0131nda BP\u2019nin pay\u0131 % 34.14\u2019tir ve bu konsorsiyuma taraf olan \u015firketlere ayr\u0131lan en b\u00fcy\u00fck payd\u0131r. Azerbaycan\u2019a ait olan di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck yata\u011f\u0131 olan \u015eahdeniz\u2019de ise % 25,5 paya sahiptir. (422) Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda B\u00fcy\u00fck Britanya daha 1994 y\u0131l\u0131nda Azerbaycan\u2019a 150 milyon dolarl\u0131k petrol sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda silah sevk\u0131yat\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmi\u015fti, ayn\u0131 zamanda G\u00fcrcistan donanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in de baz\u0131 gere\u00e7ler sevk etmi\u015ftir. (423)<\/p>\n<p>Almanya\u2019n\u0131n G\u00fcrcistan\u2019a mevcut olan ilginin \u00f6nemli bir sebebinin, d\u00f6nemin SSCB D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 daha sonra da G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131n devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131 olan \u015eevardnadze\u2019nin iki Almanya\u2019n\u0131n birle\u015fmesine yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 katk\u0131s\u0131 (424) oldu\u011fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcrse, Almanya\u2019n\u0131n bu \u00fclke ile ili\u015fkilerinin geli\u015ftirilmesinde herhangi bir ulusal \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131n olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 daha iyi anla\u015f\u0131labilir. Yine de bu sebeple bile olsa, Almanya\u2019n\u0131n G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleri aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkilerin daha \u00e7ok G\u00fcrcistan\u2019la geli\u015ftirdirdi\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Almanya ve B\u00fcy\u00fck Britanya G\u00fcrcistan\u2019a askeri yard\u0131mda bulunmu\u015flard\u0131r. (425)<\/p>\n<p>Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n Fransa\u2019dan g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc destek, bu \u00fclkede ya\u015fayan ve olduk\u00e7a etkin ve kalabal\u0131k olan Ermeni diasporas\u0131yla ili\u015fkilidir. Fransa\u2019daki toplam n\u00fcfusu 500.000 olan Ermenilerin, 200.000\u2019i Paris\u2019te ya\u015famaktad\u0131r. Fransa parlamentosu \u201c1915 olaylar\u0131n\u0131\u201d soyk\u0131r\u0131m olarak tan\u0131m\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu konuyu dair tek maddelik yasa 29 Ocak 2001\u2019de onaylanarak y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmi\u015ftir. (426) 23 Eyl\u00fcl 1991\u2019de Ermenistan ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ilan edince, Frans\u0131z Ermenilerinin g\u00fcndemine bu \u00fclkenin Azerbaycan ile ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f sorunu da girmi\u015ftir. Ermeni lobisi bu konuda da Fransa h\u00fck\u00fcmeti nezdinde giri\u015fimlerde bulunmaktad\u0131r. (427)<\/p>\n<p>Buna ra\u011fmen G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleri ile AB \u00fcyesi b\u00fcy\u00fck devletler aras\u0131ndaki siyasi ili\u015fkiler hi\u00e7bir zaman ABD veya Rusya ile olan ili\u015fkiler seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Yani Avrupa devletleri G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesinde siyasi istikrar ve s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n korunmas\u0131 gibi konulara kadar varan siyasi i\u015fbirli\u011fi tekliflerinde bulunmam\u0131\u015flard\u0131r. (428) Hatta Almanya uluslararas\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u00f6nlenmesi, kriz y\u00f6netimi ve ayn\u0131 zamanda uluslararas\u0131 ter\u00f6rizme kar\u015f\u0131 m\u00fccadelede BM\u2019nin alaca\u011f\u0131 kararlar \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde hareket etmeyi ye\u011flemektedir. Asl\u0131nda Almanya sorunlar\u0131n di\u011fer devletlerle ortakla\u015fa ve belirli kurumsal yap\u0131lar\u0131n \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmlenmesini savunmaktad\u0131r. Mesela Almanya \u0130ran\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 al\u0131nacak tedbirlerin de ayn\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evede halledilmesi gerekti\u011fini beyan etmi\u015ftir. (429) Fransa\u2019ya gelince, bu devletin b\u00f6lgedeki istikrar\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in giri\u015fimleri, AG\u0130T Minsk Grubunun e\u015f ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fctmekle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmaktad\u0131r. Bu \u00fclke ayn\u0131 zamanda bu g\u00f6revle AB\u2019nin Minsk Grubundaki hem temsilcisi, hem de kendi ulusal \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6zlemcisi gibi davranmaktad\u0131r. Asl\u0131nda bak\u0131l\u0131rsa, di\u011fer AB \u00fcye devletleri, Fransa\u2019n\u0131n bu yerini almaya pek de istekli g\u00f6r\u00fcnmemektedirler ve Fransa\u2019n\u0131n bu konuda y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc politikadan memnun olduklar\u0131n\u0131 bildirmektedirler. Fransa\u2019n\u0131n AB\u2019yi temsil konumu, AB\u2019nin G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesine \u00d6zel Temsilci atanmas\u0131yla sorunlu bir durum olu\u015fturmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu a\u00e7\u0131dan, baz\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flere g\u00f6re, Fransa\u2019n\u0131n Minsk Grubu\u2019ndaki yerini AB \u00d6zel Temsilcisi al\u0131rsa AB\u2019nin konumu g\u00fc\u00e7lenecektir. (430)<\/p>\n<p>Di\u011fer taraftan b\u00f6lgede \u00e7e\u015fitli giri\u015fimlerde bulunan B\u00fcy\u00fck Britanya, Almanya ve Fransa, \u00fcye \u00fclkeler veya \u00fcye \u00fclkeler ile AB aras\u0131nda b\u00f6lge politikalar\u0131 ile ilgili e\u015fg\u00fcd\u00fcm olu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 da \u00f6nlemektedirler. Bu devletlerin b\u00f6lgede kendilerine ait \u00f6zel politikalara ve \u00e7\u0131karlara sahip olmas\u0131 asl\u0131nda AB\u2019nin b\u00fct\u00fcnc\u00fcl bir b\u00f6lge politikas\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 engellemektedir. (431) Siyasi ili\u015fkileri bu seviyede seyreden taraflar (AB \u00fcye devletleri ve G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleri) aras\u0131nda ekonomik ili\u015fkilerin de geli\u015fmedi\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Asl\u0131nda ekonomik ili\u015fkilerin G\u00fcney Kafkasya \u00fclkeleri ekonomilerinin k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck olmas\u0131 nedeniyle bu d\u00fczeyde kalmas\u0131 normal kar\u015f\u0131lanmal\u0131d\u0131r. (432)<\/p>\n<p>G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletlerinin b\u00fcy\u00fck say\u0131lmayacak d\u0131\u015f ticaret hacimlerinde Avrupa devletlerinin pay\u0131 bu devletler i\u00e7in \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131mayacak kadar k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fckt\u00fcr. Mesela G\u00fcney Kafkasya\u2019da en b\u00fcy\u00fck d\u0131\u015f ticaret hacmine sahip olan Azerbaycan 2006\u2019da di\u011fer devletlerle 1,1639.8 milyon dolarl\u0131k ticaret yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r, bu rakam\u0131n 6,372.1 milyon dolar\u0131n\u0131 ihracat, 5,267.6 milyon dolar\u0131n\u0131 ise ithalat te\u015fkil etmi\u015ftir. G\u00fcrcistan\u2019a gelince, bu \u00fclkenin 2006 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki d\u0131\u015f ticaret hacmi 4,674.3 milyon dolar olmu\u015ftur, bunun 993.1 milyon dolar\u0131n\u0131 ihracat, 3,681.2 milyon dolar\u0131n\u0131 ise ithalat olu\u015fturmu\u015ftur. Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n 2006 y\u0131l\u0131nda d\u0131\u015f ticaret hacmi, 3198.3 milyon ABD dolar\u0131d\u0131r, bunun 1,004 milyon dolar\u0131 ihracat, 2,194.3 milyon dolar\u0131 ise ithalatt\u0131r. (433) Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n esas d\u0131\u015f ticaret orta\u011f\u0131 AB devletleridir. Azerbaycan bu \u00fclkelerle 2006\u2019da 5,267.6 milyon dolarl\u0131k ticaret ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmi\u015ftir. Bunun 1,692.3 milyon dolar\u0131n\u0131 ithalat, 3,676.5 milyon dolar\u0131n\u0131 ise ihracat olu\u015fturmu\u015ftur. Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ticari orta\u011f\u0131 \u0130talya olmu\u015ftur. Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n 2006\u2019da yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ticaret hacminin % 25.5\u2019i veya 2,970 milyon dolar\u0131 bu \u00fclkenin pay\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Bunun sebebi, Azeri-\u00c7irag-G\u00fcne\u015fli petrol yata\u011f\u0131ndan \u00fcretilen petrol\u00fcn Ceyhan liman\u0131ndan \u0130talya\u2019ya sat\u0131lmas\u0131d\u0131r. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Azerbaycan \u0130talya\u2019dan sadece 125 milyon dolarl\u0131k mal ithal etmi\u015ftir. (434) Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n ikinci en \u00f6nemli ticari orta\u011f\u0131 Rusya\u2019d\u0131r. Bu \u00fclkeyle ticaretin hacmi 1525,8 milyon dolard\u0131r. Rusya ayn\u0131 zamanda Azerbaycan\u2019a en \u00e7ok mal ihra\u00e7 eden devlettir. Azerbaycan bu \u00fclkeden 2006\u2019da 1181,58 milyon dolarl\u0131k mal ithal etmi\u015ftir. Oysa Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n AB\u2019nin \u00fc\u00e7 b\u00fcy\u00fck devleti olan B\u00fcy\u00fck Britanya, Fransa ve Almanya ile toplam ticaret hacmi sadece 1285,4 milyon dolar olmu\u015ftur. (435)<\/p>\n<p>G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleri aras\u0131nda en b\u00fcy\u00fck ticari hacme sahip Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n AB devletleriyle ticari ili\u015fkileri bu seviyede olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen AB devletlerinin G\u00fcrcistan ve Ermenistan ile ticaret hacimleri \u00e7ok daha k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck kalmaktad\u0131r. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131n Azerbaycan\u2019dan farkl\u0131 olarak, d\u0131\u015f ticaretinin esas hacmi BDT devletlerinin pay\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fmektedir. Mesela 2006\u2019da G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131n d\u0131\u015f ticaret hacminin % 39.8\u2019i BDT ve % 19.8\u2019i AB pay\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fmekteydi. Ermenistan\u2019a gelince, 2006\u2019da bu devletin d\u0131\u015f ticaret hacminin % 28.5\u2019i BDT, % 34.2\u2019si ise AB\u2019nin pay\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fmekteydi. (436)<\/p>\n<p>Bu devletlerin AB \u00fcye devletleri ile ticaret hacminin k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck olmas\u0131, ekonomik ili\u015fkilerin AB\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131n\u0131 y\u00f6nlendirebilecek devletler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemsiz bir etken olarak de\u011ferlendirilmesine neden olmaktad\u0131r. Bu y\u00fczden, Almanya ve Slovenya ve H\u0131rvatistan \u00f6rneklerinde oldu\u011fu gibi, ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131dan AB \u00fcyesi devletlerin b\u00f6lgede AB politikas\u0131n\u0131 etkileyebilecek ad\u0131mlar\u0131n at\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamalar\u0131n\u0131 beklemek bir hayli g\u00fc\u00e7t\u00fcr. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleri AB\u2019nin, \u00f6zellikle de b\u00fcy\u00fck devletlerin s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131ndan Bat\u0131 Balkanlar b\u00f6lgesine k\u0131yasen \u00e7ok daha uzakta olduklar\u0131 i\u00e7in AB \u00fcyesi devletlerde b\u00f6lgeden gelebilecek tehditlere kar\u015f\u0131 duyarl\u0131l\u0131k daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckt\u00fcr. Bu y\u00fczden, AB ve \u00fcye devletler, G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletlerinin demokratikle\u015fme ve piyasa ekonomisine ge\u00e7i\u015f s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinin desteklenmesini ve b\u00f6lgesel sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc, di\u011fer b\u00f6lgesel \u00f6rg\u00fctler \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde sa\u011flanmas\u0131n\u0131 desteklemektedirler. (437) Bu y\u00fczden b\u00f6lge devletleri Haziran 2003\u2019de ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen Selanik Zirvesi\u2019nde ilk a\u015famada \u201cYeni Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131na\u201d al\u0131nmam\u0131\u015flard\u0131r. AB\u2019nin G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesini farkl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde alg\u0131lamas\u0131, bu kurumu b\u00f6lge a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ABD ve Rusya\u2019ya g\u00f6re daha zay\u0131f bir akt\u00f6r haline getirmektedir. AB, G\u00fcney Kafkasya\u2019ya Rusya\u2019ya g\u00f6re daha fazla ekonomik kaynak sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 halde, bu b\u00f6lgeyi Rusya\u2019n\u0131n n\u00fcfuzu alan\u0131 olarak kabul etmi\u015ftir. (438) Bunu AB\u2019nin b\u00f6lgeye y\u00f6nelik uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 politikalarda da g\u00f6rmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Almanya b\u00f6lgede bar\u0131\u015f ve g\u00fcvenli\u011fin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in Fransa ile i\u015fbirli\u011fine \u00f6nem vermi\u015ftir, buna ra\u011fmen b\u00f6lgedeki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak sona erdirilmesinin daha etkin \u015fekilde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilebilmesi i\u00e7in ABD\u2019nin \u00f6nc\u00fc rol\u00fcn\u00fc kabul etmektedir. (439)<\/p>\n<p>Ayr\u0131ca B\u00fcy\u00fck Britanya &#8211; ABD ili\u015fkileri AB\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131n\u0131 etkilemektedir. Her iki devletin petrol \u015firketleri taraf\u0131ndan Azerbaycan\u2019da b\u00fcy\u00fck yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi, b\u00f6lgeye y\u00f6nelik ortak bir tavr\u0131n olu\u015fturulmas\u0131nda etkin bir rol oynamaktad\u0131r. (440) Bu noktada AB\u2019nin b\u00f6lgedeki ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmek i\u00e7in ya ABD, ya da Rusya veya her ikisi ile birlikte i\u015fbirli\u011fi i\u00e7erisinde bulunma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 incelenmelidir.<\/p>\n<p><b>3.2 AB\u2019nin G\u00fcney Kafkasya B\u00f6lgesi\u2019ndeki Ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n Ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi \u0130\u00e7in Di\u011fer Devletlerle \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131<\/p>\n<p>3.2.1 ABD ile \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/p>\n<p><\/b>1991 y\u0131l\u0131nda Do\u011fu Bloku\u2019nun ve Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131yla tek s\u00fcper g\u00fc\u00e7 olarak ayakta kalmay\u0131 ba\u015faran ABD, politik ve siyasi hegemonyas\u0131n\u0131n yay\u0131lmas\u0131 ile beraber ve bununla ili\u015fkili olarak b\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnyada Bat\u0131l\u0131 liberal de\u011ferlerin yay\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n da \u00f6nderli\u011fini yapmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Fakat bu politikay\u0131 izlerken d\u0131\u015f politika \u00f6ncelikleri do\u011frultusunda hareket etti\u011fi i\u00e7in, bunun etkisi b\u00f6lgelere g\u00f6re farkl\u0131l\u0131k sergilemektedir. Bu y\u00fczden, G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletlerinin ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n ilk y\u0131llar\u0131nda, b\u00f6lgede Rusya\u2019n\u0131n etkisi devam etti\u011fi ve bu co\u011frafya ABD\u2019nin ulusal \u00e7\u0131kar alan\u0131na girmedi\u011fi i\u00e7in bu devletlerle ili\u015fkileri \u00e7ok geli\u015fmemi\u015ftir. Bahsedildi\u011fi \u015fekilde s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalsa da, ABD\u2019nin ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 elde ettikten sonra G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletlerine ilk y\u00f6neli\u015fi Ermenistan ve G\u00fcrcistan\u2019la oldu. Bunun en \u00f6nemli sebebi, ABD\u2019de ya\u015fayan bir milyon civar\u0131nda Ermeni\u2019nin, ABD\u2019nin Ermenistan\u2019a y\u00f6nelik politikalar\u0131nda \u00f6nemli rol oynamas\u0131d\u0131r. ABD\u2019de ya\u015fayan lobinin aktif giri\u015fimleri neticesinde, eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi b\u00f6lgesinde ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fen en y\u00fcksek ekonomik yard\u0131m Ermenistan\u2019a ABD taraf\u0131ndan sa\u011flanmaktad\u0131r. Bu diaspora ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131ktan sonra \u00fclkenin ABD ile ekonomik ve siyasi ili\u015fkilerinde en belirleyici rol\u00fc oynam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00d6rne\u011fin, diasporan\u0131n lobi \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fc olan Amerikan Ermeni Ulusal Komitesi, Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n Ermenistan\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 ambargo uygulamaya ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan sonra, Ekim 1992\u2019de \u00d6zg\u00fcrl\u00fckleri Destekleme Yasas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n 907. b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc Kongre\u2019den ge\u00e7irterek, ABD\u2019nin Azerbaycan\u2019a yard\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 engellemi\u015ftir. (441)<\/p>\n<p>G\u00fcrcistan\u2019a gelince, bu \u00fclkenin ekonomisine en b\u00fcy\u00fck yard\u0131m\u0131 sa\u011flayan yine ABD\u2019dir. ABD ayn\u0131 zamanda G\u00fcrcistan\u2019daki en b\u00fcy\u00fck yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131d\u0131r. \u00dclke, \u015eevardnadze iktidara geldikten sonra, ABD taraf\u0131ndan b\u00f6lgede \u00f6nemli bir m\u00fcttefik olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Bu durum, \u015eevardnadze\u2019nin Sovyetler Birli\u011fi D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 olarak \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131rada Amerika\u2019n\u0131n siyasi elitiyle kurdu\u011fu s\u0131k\u0131 ili\u015fkilere de dayan\u0131yordu. Bu nedenle ABD Abhazya\u2019da \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 zaman ya\u015fanan istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k d\u00f6neminde, G\u00fcrcistan Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131na destek vermi\u015ftir. Hatta \u015eevardnadze\u2019nin ki\u015fisel g\u00fcvenli\u011finin Amerikal\u0131lar taraf\u0131ndan temin edildi\u011fi d\u00f6nemler s\u00f6z konusu olmu\u015ftur. (442)<\/p>\n<p>Azerbaycan\u2019la ABD aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkileri y\u00f6nlendirense petrol \u015firketleri olmu\u015ftur. ABD y\u00fcr\u00fctmesinin petrol \u015firketlerinin etkisiyle geli\u015fen, Azerbaycan ile ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015ftirilmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki tutumu, Ermeni lobisinin etkisinde bulunan ve bu \u00fclkeyle ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015fmesine kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kan Kongre\u2019yi belli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde dengelenmi\u015ftir. (443) Kongre, \u00d6zg\u00fcrl\u00fckleri Destekleme Yasas\u0131n\u0131n 907. b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131na ra\u011fmen, Deniz A\u015f\u0131r\u0131 \u00d6zel Yat\u0131r\u0131m \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi ve Demokrasinin Geli\u015ftirilmesi Programlar\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde Azerbaycan\u2019a yard\u0131m edilmesini kabul etmi\u015ftir. (444) Bunlara ek olarak, Haydar Aliyev\u2019in ABD\u2019ye ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi ilk resmi ziyarette, iki devlet aras\u0131nda ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015fmesine y\u00f6nelik baz\u0131 hukuki d\u00fczenlemeler yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. ABD kamuoyu ve devletinin Azerbaycan hakk\u0131nda sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 \u015fekilde bilgilendirilmesi ve Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f sorunu konusunda ABD\u2019nin tutumunun g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irilmesi sa\u011flanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (445) Ocak 1997\u2019de ABD, G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesini siyasi ve ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131dan stratejik bir b\u00f6lge ilan etti. ABD\u2019nin b\u00f6lgede ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi konusunda hassas oldu\u011fu ama\u00e7lar aras\u0131nda istikrar\u0131 sa\u011flamak, demokrasiyi yerle\u015ftirmek ve piyasa ekonomisinin olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 yer almaktayd\u0131. (446) Bu durumda ABD\u2019nin ama\u00e7lar\u0131 ile AB\u2019nin b\u00f6lgede ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmeyi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ama\u00e7lar \u00e7ak\u0131\u015fmaktayd\u0131. Yaln\u0131z ileride de\u011finilece\u011fi gibi, ABD ile AB\u2019nin bu ama\u00e7lar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in se\u00e7ti\u011fi y\u00f6ntemler aras\u0131nda ciddi farkl\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>ABD\u2019nin b\u00f6lge devletleri ile ili\u015fkilerinin geli\u015fmesi 11 Eyl\u00fcl 2001\u2019den sonras\u0131na rastlar. Ter\u00f6rle m\u00fccadelede geli\u015ftirilen \u00e7e\u015fitli politikalar nedeniyle ABD\u2019nin bir\u00e7ok devletle i\u015fbirli\u011fi yapmas\u0131 ihtiyac\u0131 do\u011fmu\u015ftur. Di\u011fer devletlerle beraber, Azerbaycan da ABD\u2019ye ter\u00f6rizme kar\u015f\u0131 sava\u015fta istedi\u011fi deste\u011fi verece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde a\u00e7\u0131klama yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Azerbaycan Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Haydar Aliyev beyanlar\u0131nda y\u0131llar boyu ter\u00f6rden zarar g\u00f6ren Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n ABD\u2019yi \u00e7ok iyi anlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bu konuda sonuna kadar destekleyece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 15 Aral\u0131k 2001\u2019de ABD Savunma Bakan\u0131 Donald Rumsfeld Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131 ziyaret etmi\u015f, Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 ve di\u011fer resmi yetkililerle g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesinde, iki \u00fclke aras\u0131nda sadece ticari alanda de\u011fil, askeri alanda da ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015ftirilmesini arzulad\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 belirtmi\u015f; 907 say\u0131l\u0131 karar\u0131n dondurulmas\u0131 ile iki \u00fclke aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkilerin daha da geli\u015fece\u011fini ifade etmi\u015ftir. Kas\u0131m 2002\u2019de Azerbaycan, hava sahas\u0131n\u0131 ve hava alanlar\u0131n\u0131 ABD u\u00e7aklar\u0131na a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Azerbaycan Afganistan\u2019daki Uluslararas\u0131 G\u00fcvenlik ve Destek G\u00fcc\u00fcne T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin komutas\u0131 alt\u0131nda 30 ki\u015filik bir birlik g\u00f6ndermi\u015ftir. (447)<\/p>\n<p>11 Eyl\u00fcl olaylar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde G\u00fcrcistan ile ABD aras\u0131nda ili\u015fkiler olumlu geli\u015fmekteydi, ancak bu sald\u0131r\u0131lardan sonra daha da peki\u015fmi\u015ftir. Mesela, Nisan 2002\u2019den itibaren Amerikan askeri g\u00fc\u00e7leri \u201cter\u00f6rle m\u00fccadele amac\u0131yla\u201d G\u00fcrc\u00fc ordusuna y\u00f6nelik \u201ce\u011fit ve donat\u201d program\u0131 ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (448) Programa g\u00f6re G\u00fcrcistan\u2019da 64 milyon ABD dolar\u0131 tutar\u0131nda harcama yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (449) Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra b\u00f6lgede ilk defa ABD taraf\u0131ndan bir askeri birlik yerle\u015ftirilmi\u015ftir. G\u00fcrcistan ordusu ABD deste\u011fi ile yeni silah ve cephane, \u00fcniforma ve muhabere ekipman\u0131 ile donat\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (450)<\/p>\n<p>Ermenistan ABD\u2019ye uluslararas\u0131 ter\u00f6rizmle m\u00fccadelede her t\u00fcrl\u00fc yard\u0131m\u0131 sa\u011flamak konusunda teminat vermi\u015ftir. Nitekim 2004 sonlar\u0131nda Ermenistan Irak\u2019taki koalisyon g\u00fc\u00e7lerine bir birlikle katk\u0131da bulunmu\u015ftur. (451) ABD, 11 Eyl\u00fcl olaylar\u0131ndan sonra G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesinde aktif bir politika s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesine ve ba\u015fta G\u00fcrcistan olmak \u00fczere bu devletlere demokrasi ve piyasa ekonomisine ge\u00e7i\u015f s\u00fcrecinde b\u00fcy\u00fck destek sa\u011flamas\u0131na bakarsak, asl\u0131nda AB\u2019nin takip etti\u011finden farkl\u0131 bir politika izledi\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. AB, Yeni Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde b\u00f6lgede a\u015famal\u0131 olarak liberal de\u011ferleri a\u015f\u0131lamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 halde, ABD, G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesini, \u201cB\u00fcy\u00fck Ortado\u011fu Projesi\u2019nin\u201d bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olarak g\u00f6rmektedir. ABD taraf\u0131ndan geli\u015ftirilen bu projeye g\u00f6re G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesine Ortado\u011fu\u2019nun arka cephesi rol\u00fc bi\u00e7ilmektedir ve bu b\u00f6lgenin \u201ccephe hatt\u0131na\u201d k\u0131yasla istikrarl\u0131 ve g\u00fcvenli olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclmektedir. (452)<\/p>\n<p>ABD bu t\u00fcr bir istikrar\u0131n kayna\u011f\u0131n\u0131 b\u00f6lgede demokrasinin ve piyasa ekonomisinin olu\u015fumunda g\u00f6rmektedir. Fakat burada bile belli farkl\u0131l\u0131klar vard\u0131r: ABD G\u00fcrcistan\u2019da \u201cdemokratikle\u015fmeyi\u201d aktif bir \u015fekilde destekledi\u011fi ve Ermenistan\u2019\u0131 bu y\u00f6nde ciddi eksikliklerin oldu\u011fu y\u00f6n\u00fcnde ele\u015ftirdi\u011fi halde, bu konuda Azerbaycan\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 tutumu \u00e7ok daha \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131d\u0131r. Bunun sebeplerinden biri, Azerbaycan\u2019daki n\u00fcfusun % 60\u2019\u0131n\u0131n Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f sorununun sava\u015f yoluyla \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc desteklemesi ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla \u00fclkede tam demokratik se\u00e7imlerin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi halinde iktidar\u0131n izlemesi gerekecek politikalar nedeniyle B\u00fcy\u00fck Ortado\u011fu\u2019nun istikrarl\u0131 \u2018arka cephesi\u2019 kurgusunun ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i olmaktan \u00e7\u0131kacak olmas\u0131d\u0131r. (453)<\/p>\n<p>Asl\u0131na bak\u0131l\u0131rsa, k\u0131sa ve orta d\u00f6nemde ABD\u2019nin b\u00f6lgede ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmeyi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ama\u00e7larla AB\u2019ninkiler paraleldir. Zaten ABD\u2019nin G\u00fcrcistan\u2019da h\u00fck\u00fcmet de\u011fi\u015fimini ve Saaka\u015fvili y\u00f6netimini desteklemesi, (454) ard\u0131ndan Acaristan\u2019daki ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 y\u00f6netimin devrilmesine yard\u0131m etmesi, (455) bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda AB\u2019nin enerji ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan kurtulmas\u0131 i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yan Bak\u00fc-Tiflis-Ceyhan petrol boru hatt\u0131n\u0131 ve Bak\u00fc-Tiflis-Erzurum do\u011falgaz boru hatlar\u0131n in\u015fas\u0131n\u0131 desteklemesi, AB\u2019nin b\u00f6lgedeki ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan b\u00fcy\u00fck katk\u0131 sa\u011flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Di\u011fer taraftan 6 Kas\u0131m 2005\u2019de Azerbaycan\u2019da yap\u0131lan parlamento se\u00e7imlerinde AG\u0130T g\u00f6zlemcilerince sand\u0131klar\u0131n % 43\u2019\u00fcnde oy kullanma ve say\u0131m standartlar\u0131 \u201ck\u00f6t\u00fc\u201d veya \u201c\u00e7ok k\u00f6t\u00fc\u201d olarak de\u011ferlendirilmi\u015ftir. Buna ra\u011fmen, ABD al\u0131nan sonu\u00e7lar do\u011frultusunda Azerbaycan\u2019a y\u00f6nelik herhangi bir bask\u0131da veya yapt\u0131r\u0131mda bulunmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bunu da Afganistan ve Irak operasyonlar\u0131 sonras\u0131nda Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n artan stratejik \u00f6nemi ve b\u00f6lgede yeni kurulmu\u015f boru hatt\u0131yla akan petrol ile a\u00e7\u0131klamak m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. (456)<\/p>\n<p>Bu a\u00e7\u0131dan ABD\u2019nin ulusal \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131n gerektirdi\u011fi \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde b\u00f6lge devletlerine y\u00f6nelik demokrasi ve di\u011fer Bat\u0131l\u0131 de\u011ferlerin benimsemesi talepleri farkl\u0131l\u0131k sergileyebilir. Bu farkl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 iyi anlamayan Azerbaycan muhalif g\u00fc\u00e7lerini temsil eden Azadl\u0131k Bloku ABD\u2019nin deste\u011fini arkalar\u0131na almak i\u00e7in Ukrayna\u2019daki \u2018Portakal Devrim\u2019den\u201d esinlenerek, portakal rengini kendine se\u00e7mi\u015ftir. Fakat se\u00e7imlerde sadece 6 sandalye kazanmaya muvaffak olan Azatl\u0131k Bloku, se\u00e7imler bir\u00e7ok yabanc\u0131 g\u00f6zlemci taraf\u0131ndan ele\u015ftirilmekle beraber sonu\u00e7lar bunlar\u0131n tamam\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan kabul edildi\u011fi i\u00e7in siyasi a\u00e7\u0131dan b\u00fcy\u00fck darbe alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (457) ABD\u2019nin b\u00f6lge devletlerine y\u00f6nelik liberal de\u011ferlerin yay\u0131lmas\u0131 konusunda sergiledi\u011fi bu farkl\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131m AB\u2019nin b\u00f6lgesel yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 zedelemektedir. Bu durum farkl\u0131 muameleye tabi tutulan devletlerin ve \u00f6zellikle Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n, AB\u2019nin b\u00f6lgeye y\u00f6nelik e\u015fit yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 kendi \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131na ters d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc durumlarda, ABD destekli politikalara daha fazla \u00f6nem vererek b\u00f6lgesel i\u015fbirli\u011finin olu\u015fumunu olumsuz etkilemelerinin kayna\u011f\u0131 olabilir.<\/p>\n<p>Uzun d\u00f6nemde b\u00f6lgede bu s\u00fcrecin ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in kulland\u0131klar\u0131 ara\u00e7lar ve elde edecekleri sonu\u00e7lar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ABD ile AB aras\u0131nda farkl\u0131l\u0131klar g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. (458) ABD b\u00f6lgede kendi \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131n gerektirdi\u011fi \u015fekilde hareket etmektedir. Mesela Acaristan\u2019daki Rus yanl\u0131s\u0131 y\u00f6netim yerine Saaka\u015fvili\u2019nin destekledi\u011fi y\u00f6netimin ABD taraf\u0131ndan getirilmesinin nedeni, bu b\u00f6lgeden ge\u00e7ecek Bak\u00fc-Tiflis-Ceyhan boru hatt\u0131n\u0131 Rusya\u2019n\u0131n olas\u0131 etkinlik alan\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131karmakt\u0131r. O d\u00f6nemde Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Acaristan\u2019da askerlerini konu\u015fland\u0131rmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen bu \u015fekilde davranan (459) ABD Saaka\u015fvili\u2019nin ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde Abhazya ve G\u00fcney Osetya b\u00f6lgesine y\u00f6nelik giri\u015fimlerini Rusya ile gereksiz \u015fekilde kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya gelmek istememe gibi bir nedenle desteklememi\u015f ve bu b\u00f6lgelere en az\u0131ndan bar\u0131\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc g\u00f6nderilmesi talebi dahi kabul g\u00f6rmemi\u015ftir. (460) Bu etnik sorunlar\u0131n varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00f6lgede etkinli\u011fini art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ABD\u2019nin lehine rol oynamaktad\u0131r. Bu durum Azerbaycan ile G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131 ABD ile daha da yak\u0131nla\u015fmaya itmektedir. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n uzun y\u0131llar bu b\u00f6lgede ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 hareketleri desteklemesi, Azerbaycan ve G\u00fcrcistan taraf\u0131ndan Rusya\u2019ya kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fcvensizli\u011fi art\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r ve bu y\u00fczden her iki devleti ABD\u2019ye yakla\u015fmaya sevk etmi\u015ftir. (461)<\/p>\n<p>AB ABD\u2019nin b\u00f6lgedeki politikas\u0131n\u0131n ipote\u011fi alt\u0131nda kalmaktad\u0131r. ABD\u2019nin b\u00f6lge devletlerine y\u00f6nelik uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 politikalarda yapaca\u011f\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fiklikler sonucunda AB kalan mirasla tek ba\u015f\u0131na y\u00fczle\u015fmek zorunda kalabilir. Oysa a\u015famal\u0131 bir geli\u015fim s\u00fcrecini tercih eden AB, b\u00f6lge devletleri aras\u0131ndaki farkl\u0131la\u015fma nedeniyle sorunlar ya\u015fayabilir.<\/p>\n<p><b>3.2.2 G\u00fcney Kafkasya B\u00f6lgesinde Rusya ile \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nD\u0131\u015f politika ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmek i\u00e7in AB\u2019nin Rusya ile b\u00f6lgeye y\u00f6nelik olas\u0131 bir i\u015fbirli\u011finin de\u011ferlendirilmesi i\u00e7in, bu devletin G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletlerine y\u00f6nelik politikas\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturan etkenleri g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irmek gerekmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra Rusya ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan de\u011fi\u015fimlere hen\u00fcz haz\u0131r de\u011fildi ve yak\u0131n ge\u00e7mi\u015fte d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc devletlerinden olup, \u00e7ok k\u0131sa bir zamanda bu g\u00fcc\u00fc kaybetme ger\u00e7e\u011fi ile y\u00fczle\u015fememekteydi. Bu y\u00fczden Rusya eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi devletlerine y\u00f6nelik olarak, bu co\u011frafyada \u00f6zel \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 oldu\u011funu ifade eden Yak\u0131n \u00c7evre Doktrini\u2019ni beyan etmi\u015ftir. Bu kavram ilk kez d\u00f6nemin D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 olan Kozirev taraf\u0131ndan 2 Ocak 1992 tarihinde yaz\u0131lan bir makalede ele al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Kozirev\u2019in dile getirdi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fe g\u00f6re, eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi Cumhuriyetleri\u2019nin kendi aralar\u0131nda askeri ve ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131dan birlik olu\u015fturmalar\u0131 gerekliydi. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Yak\u0131n \u00c7evre yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi\u2019nden 1993\u2019te resmi onay alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (462) Rusya\u2019n\u0131n bu tutumu, AB\u2019nin ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131klar\u0131n ilk y\u0131llar\u0131nda eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi devletlerine y\u00f6nelik daha aktif bir politika y\u00fcr\u00fctmesini engellemi\u015ftir. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki politikas\u0131 Hazar Havzas\u0131 ve G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesi \u00fczerinde kontrol\u00fc elinde tutmay\u0131 hedeflemektedir. Bunun en \u00f6nemli saiklerinden biri, b\u00f6lgeden bat\u0131 pazarlar\u0131na akan enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde denetime sahip olma iste\u011fi ve bununla da Avrupa\u2019ya ihra\u00e7 edilen petrol ve do\u011falgaz konular\u0131ndaki politikay\u0131 belirleme imk\u00e2n\u0131n\u0131 elinde tutmak arzusudur. Her ne kadar Azerbaycan enerji konusunda kendi ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z politikas\u0131n\u0131 uygulasa da, Rusya bunu engellemek i\u00e7in G\u00fcrcistan \u00fczerinde yo\u011funla\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ermenistan ise hem siyasi, hem de ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131dan giderek Rusya\u2019ya ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 duruma d\u00fc\u015fmektedir. (463)<\/p>\n<p>Asl\u0131na bak\u0131l\u0131rsa, G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesindeki devletler ne zaman Bat\u0131\u2019ya y\u00f6nelmi\u015flerse, Rusya taraf\u0131ndan sert bir tepkiyle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fm\u0131\u015flard\u0131. Mesela, Avrupa ve \u00f6zellikle T\u00fcrkiye ile ili\u015fkilerini geli\u015ftirmeye ve Rus askerlerini Azerbaycan\u2019dan \u00e7\u0131karmaya can atan El\u00e7ibey y\u00f6netimi, Rusya\u2019ya olan askeri ve siyasi ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan kurtulmak istiyordu (464) ancak bu siyasetin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi El\u00e7ibey h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin sonu olmu\u015ftur.<\/p>\n<p>G\u00fcrcistan 1992 y\u0131l\u0131ndan beri, Kafkasya\u2019da esas oyuncu olan Rusya\u2019n\u0131n \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 ile Avrupa ve Bat\u0131 kurumlar\u0131yla b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme iste\u011fi aras\u0131nda dengeli bir politika izlemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktayd\u0131. Azerbaycan gibi G\u00fcrcistan da 1993 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar BDT\u2019ye girmeyi reddetmi\u015ftir. Ama \u00fclke d\u00e2hilinde ba\u015flayan ve arkas\u0131nda Rusya\u2019n\u0131n bulundu\u011fu ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 hareketler ilk \u00f6nce 1992\u2019de G\u00fcney Osetya\u2019da, daha sonra Eyl\u00fcl 1993\u2019de Abhazya\u2019da ba\u015fkald\u0131rarak, G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131 iyice y\u0131pratm\u0131\u015f ve b\u00f6lgeler \u00fczerinde egemenli\u011fini kaybetmesine neden olmu\u015ftur. (465) Ermenistan\u2019a gelince, ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ilan etti\u011fi ilk y\u0131llar\u0131nda, Ter-Petrosyan y\u00f6netimi alt\u0131nda b\u00f6lge devletleri ile iyi ge\u00e7inme siyasetini izlemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bunun i\u00e7in T\u00fcrkiye ve \u0130ran ile iyi ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015ftirmesini arzulam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ter-Petrosyan, Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 peki\u015ftirmek i\u00e7in Rusya ile de dengeli bir politika uygulamak gerekti\u011fine inan\u0131yordu. Fakat Rusya\u2019n\u0131n etkisinden kurtulmak i\u00e7in T\u00fcrkiye ile ili\u015fkilerin normal hale getirilmesi gerekti\u011fini de biliyordu. Bu y\u00fczden T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi rahats\u0131z edecek \u201csoyk\u0131r\u0131m iddialar\u0131\u201d ve \u201ctoprak talepleri\u201d konular\u0131na de\u011finmemeye dikkat ediyordu. Bu nedenle de, milliyet\u00e7i Ermenilerin ve diasporan\u0131n tepkisi ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalm\u0131\u015f. Muhalif seslere g\u00fc\u00e7 veren geli\u015fmeler Ter-Petrosyan\u2019\u0131 ve ekibini g\u00fc\u00e7 duruma sokmu\u015ftur. (466)<\/p>\n<p>1993\u2019de G\u00fcrcistan\u2019da a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 milliyet\u00e7i olan Gamsarhurdia\u2019dan sonra iktidara gelen Eduard \u015eevardnadze ve Azerbaycan\u2019da El\u00e7ibey\u2019in yerinde iktidara gelen Haydar Aliyev daha \u00f6nceki y\u00f6netimler taraf\u0131ndan \u0131srarla kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lan ve Rusya\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6nderli\u011findeki Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z Devletler Toplulu\u011fu\u2019na 1993\u2019te tam \u00fcyelik i\u00e7in ba\u015fvurdular ve toplulu\u011fa girdiler. (467) Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Azerbaycan\u2019a y\u00f6nelik bir di\u011fer giri\u015fimi ise El\u00e7ibey d\u00f6neminde \u00fclkeden \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lan Rus Ordusu\u2019nun yeniden konu\u015fland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 konusundad\u0131r. Rusya bu konuda Azerbaycan\u2019la \u0130ran s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131nda s\u00fcrekli Rus askerlerin bulundurulmas\u0131 konusunda anla\u015fmay\u0131 imzalatmaya muvaffak olsa da, s\u00f6z\u00fc edilen anla\u015fma asla y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmedi. (468)<\/p>\n<p>Azerbaycan ve G\u00fcrcistan bu ad\u0131mlara ra\u011fmen Avrupa ile yak\u0131nla\u015fma siyasetinden vazge\u00e7memi\u015flerdir. Bu durumu etkinli\u011fini azaltan bir unsur olarak g\u00f6ren Rusya\u2019n\u0131n bu devletlerle ili\u015fkileri olumsuzla\u015fmaya devam etmi\u015ftir. (469) Azerbaycan\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 sert tav\u0131r sergileyen Rusya, Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n d\u0131\u015f ili\u015fkilerdeki \u00f6nceliklerini g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irmesine neden olmu\u015ftur. Nitekim Bat\u0131l\u0131 \u00fclkelerle imzalanmas\u0131 beklenen uluslararas\u0131 anla\u015fmalar\u0131n \u00f6ncesinde Aliyev\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 yap\u0131lmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lan suikast ve darbeleri Rusya\u2019n\u0131n haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6ylentileri g\u00fcndeme gelmi\u015ftir. Rusya Azerbaycan\u2019la olan s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131 \u00c7e\u00e7enistan\u2019da patlak veren olaylar\u0131 bahane ederek kapatm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu t\u00fcr tedbirlere s\u0131k s\u0131k ba\u015fvuran Rusya, Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n d\u0131\u015f politika \u00f6nceliklerini etkilemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktayd\u0131. Ancak bu tav\u0131rlar Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirmek bir yana, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n zarar\u0131na istikamete y\u00f6nelmesine sebep olmu\u015ftur.<\/p>\n<p>ABD ve AB\u2019nin Azerbaycan ve G\u00fcrcistan\u2019a y\u00f6nelik ilgileri zamanla artmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Hazar Denizi\u2019ndeki enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n ve Orta Asya\u2019n\u0131n kap\u0131s\u0131 olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fckleri bu b\u00f6lgenin yeniden Rusya\u2019n\u0131n etkisine girmesini istemeseler de, bu \u00fclkelerin Bat\u0131 yanl\u0131s\u0131 y\u00f6netimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 ihtiyatl\u0131 hareket etmekteydiler. Buna ra\u011fmen, Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n Hazar sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde bulunan petrol yataklar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015fletilmesi konusunda Bat\u0131\u2019y\u0131 temsil eden ulus\u00fcst\u00fc \u015firketlerle Azerbaycan y\u00f6netimi aras\u0131ndaki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler hayli erken bir d\u00f6nemde (Muttalibov d\u00f6nemi) ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu durumda Rusya, b\u00f6lgedeki geli\u015fmeleri yak\u0131ndan izlemek ve m\u00fcdahale etmek imk\u00e2n\u0131na sahip olmak i\u00e7in bir m\u00fcttefike ihtiya\u00e7 duydu. Bu ise ancak Ermenistan olabilirdi. 1988 y\u0131l\u0131nda patlak veren Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f sorunu nedeni ile Azerbaycan\u2019la s\u0131cak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma halinde olan bu \u00fclke, bu sava\u015f y\u00fcz\u00fcnden hem Azerbaycan\u2019la, hem de T\u00fcrkiye ile ekonomik ili\u015fkilerden yoksun kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131 ve do\u011fal kaynaklar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan fakirdi. Bu a\u00e7maz kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda Ermenistan Rusya ile ili\u015fkileri geli\u015ftirilmek i\u00e7in can at\u0131yordu. Ter- Petrosyan\u2019\u0131n izledi\u011fi d\u0131\u015f politikada Rusya\u2019ya ba\u011fl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 azaltma iste\u011fi olsa da, Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f sorunu nedeniyle, Ermenistan iyice bu \u00fclkeye ba\u011fl\u0131 duruma gelmi\u015ftir. Durumu iyi de\u011ferlendiren Rusya, bu \u00fclkede askeri \u00fcslerini kurmakta gecikmemi\u015f, 30 Eyl\u00fcl 1992\u2019de Ermenistan\u2019la imzalad\u0131\u011f\u0131 antla\u015fma do\u011frultusunda, T\u00fcrk-Ermeni s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na kendi askerlerini konu\u015fland\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (470)<\/p>\n<p>29 A\u011fustos 1997\u2019de, Rusya\u2019yla Dostluk, \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi ve Kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 Yard\u0131m Antla\u015fmas\u0131 imzalayan Ermenistan, iki taraf aras\u0131nda giderek geli\u015fen ittifak\u0131 resmile\u015ftirdi. Bunun sonucu olarak, Rusya bu \u00fclkeye 5000 askerini konu\u015fland\u0131rd\u0131. B\u00fct\u00fcn bu geli\u015fmeler Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n b\u00f6lgede geli\u015fen uluslararas\u0131 rekabette taraf\u0131n\u0131 belirledi. Rusya Aral\u0131k 1998\u2019de b\u00f6lgedeki g\u00fc\u00e7 dengesini T\u00fcrkiye ve Azerbaycan aleyhine ciddi oranda de\u011fi\u015ftirecek \u015fekilde M\u0130G\u201329 sava\u015f u\u00e7aklar\u0131n\u0131 bu \u00fclkede konu\u015fland\u0131rd\u0131 ve \u015eubat 1999\u2019dan itibaren de G\u00fcmr\u00fc askeri \u00fcss\u00fcne S\u2013300 Zenit hava<br \/>\nsavunma sistemlerini g\u00f6nderdi. (471) Rusya taraf\u0131ndan Ermenistan\u2019a devredilen R\u201317 (SCUD-B) f\u00fczeleri ise, Azerbaycan\u2019da istedi\u011fi noktay\u0131 vurma kapasitesindedir. (472)<\/p>\n<p>Rusya ile Ermenistan aras\u0131nda imzalanan bu anla\u015fmada, taraflardan biri sava\u015f durumunda oldu\u011fu takdirde, di\u011ferinin ona yard\u0131mda bulunaca\u011f\u0131 taahh\u00fcd\u00fcnde bulunulmaktad\u0131r. Bu madde T\u00fcrkiye ve Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n tepkisiyle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Her iki devlet bunu Rusya\u2019n\u0131n G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesine bir m\u00fcdahalesi olarak nitelemi\u015f ve k\u0131nam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (473) Rusya bu b\u00f6lgedeki askeri \u00fcslerini ve stratejik silahlar\u0131n\u0131 Avrupa ile yak\u0131nla\u015fma s\u00fcrecinde bulunan Azerbaycan ve G\u00fcrcistan\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 bir bask\u0131 unsuru gibi kullanmaktad\u0131r. (474) Kas\u0131m 2003\u2019deki G\u00fcrcistan siyasi krizi ve ard\u0131ndan y\u00f6netimin de\u011fi\u015fmesinden sonra, Rusya b\u00f6lgede tek m\u00fcttefiki olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc Ermenistan\u2019la ili\u015fkilerini daha da geli\u015ftirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ermenistan\u2019daki baz\u0131 sanayi tesisleri Rusya\u2019ya olan bor\u00e7lar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, bu \u00fclkenin \u015firketlerine b\u0131rak\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bunlar\u0131n aras\u0131nda Medzamor N\u00fckleer Santrali ve alt\u0131 hidroelektrik santral da yer almaktad\u0131r. (475) Rusya\u2019n\u0131n bu tedbirleri b\u00f6lge devletleri aras\u0131nda i\u015fbirli\u011finin olu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 daha da imk\u00e2ns\u0131zla\u015ft\u0131rmaktad\u0131r. Rusya\u2019ya daha da ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 hale gelen Ermenistan, hem Avrupa kurumlar\u0131yla ili\u015fkilerini istedi\u011fi seviyede geli\u015ftirmekte zorluk ya\u015famakta, hem de b\u00f6lge devletleriyle ili\u015fkilerde bu \u00fclkeyle dan\u0131\u015fmak zorunda kalmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Rusya ile G\u00fcrcistan aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkiler bu \u00fclkede Bat\u0131 yanl\u0131s\u0131 olarak bilinen Saaka\u015fvili\u2019nin iktidara gelmesiyle daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fmi\u015ftir. G\u00fcrcistan, Abhazya ve G\u00fcney Osetya sorunlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcms\u00fcz kalmas\u0131 konusunda Rusya\u2019y\u0131 su\u00e7lamakta, bu devleti ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lere yard\u0131m etmekle itham etmektedir. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n b\u00f6lgeye m\u00fcdahalesine g\u00f6sterilecek \u00f6rneklerden biri, Kosova\u2019n\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n tan\u0131nmas\u0131 durumunda bunun Abhazya ve G\u00fcney Osetya i\u00e7in bir emsal olu\u015fturaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 beyan etmesidir. Hatta 11 Mart 2005\u2019de Rusya Parlamentosu, \u201cRusya Federasyonu\u2019na yeni b\u00f6lgelerin kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131\u201d ile ilgili yasada baz\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fiklikler yaparak eski Sovyetler Birli\u011fi arazisinde bulunan ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 hareketlere Rusya\u2019ya kat\u0131l\u0131m i\u00e7in hukuksal zemin olu\u015fturmu\u015ftur. (476)<\/p>\n<p>Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Rusya G\u00fcrcistan\u2019a y\u00f6nelik baz\u0131 ekonomik yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar da ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmi\u015ftir. G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131n temel ihra\u00e7 \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc olan \u015farablar\u0131n ihracat\u0131na k\u0131s\u0131tlama getirilmesi ve do\u011falgaz fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 artt\u0131rmas\u0131 bu yapt\u0131r\u0131amlara \u00f6rnek olarak g\u00f6sterilebilir. Buna cevaben G\u00fcrcistan Eyl\u00fcl 2006\u2019da, G\u00fcrcistan topraklar\u0131nda bulunan Rus askeri \u00fcslerinde hizmet eden bir grup subay\u0131 yakalayarak, Rusya lehine ajanl\u0131k yapmakla su\u00e7layarak, s\u0131n\u0131rd\u0131\u015f\u0131 etmi\u015ftir. (477)<\/p>\n<p>Kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131 Avrupa kurumlar\u0131 ile b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme s\u00fcrecine itmi\u015ftir. \u015e\u00f6yle ki, 5 Ocak 2008\u2019de yap\u0131lan Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 se\u00e7imleri ile birlikte ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen referendumda, kat\u0131lanlar\u0131n % 73\u2019\u00fc G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131n NATO\u2019ya \u00fcye olmas\u0131n\u0131 istediklerini belirtmi\u015flerdir. Nitekim 18 Ocak 2008\u2019de Saaka\u015fvili, Gori\u2019de yeni askeri \u00fcs a\u00e7arken, G\u00fcrc\u00fc askerlere Rus Kala\u015fnikov silah\u0131n\u0131n yerine, Amerikan yap\u0131m\u0131 M\u20134 otomatik t\u00fcfekleri da\u011f\u0131tarak, bununla da t\u00fcm Rus yap\u0131m\u0131 silahlar\u0131ndan vazgece\u00e7ilece\u011fini beyan etmi\u015ftir. Rusya bu durumdan olduk\u00e7a rahats\u0131z<br \/>\nolmu\u015ftur. (478)<\/p>\n<p>B\u00f6lge devletlerinin siyasi a\u00e7\u0131dan Avrupa ve Avrupa-Atlantik kurumlar\u0131yla ili\u015fkilerini geli\u015ftirmesine kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kan Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ekonomik konularda da AB ile b\u00f6lgeye y\u00f6nelik i\u015fbirli\u011fi imk\u00e2ns\u0131z g\u00f6r\u00fcnmektedir. AB\u2019nin G\u00fcney Kafkasya\u2019ya y\u00f6nelik ula\u015ft\u0131rma ve enerji politikalar\u0131 zaten Rusya\u2019ya alternatif olarak geli\u015ftirilmi\u015ftir. AB\u2019nin b\u00f6lgede geli\u015ftirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 TRACECA ve INOGATE Programlar\u0131, bu kurumun \u00e7ok y\u00f6nl\u00fc ula\u015f\u0131m sistemin bir par\u00e7as\u0131d\u0131r (479) ve daha \u00f6nce belirtildi\u011fi gibi, Rusya \u00fczerinden ge\u00e7en koridorlara alternatif niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r. H\u00e2lbuki Rusya, en ba\u015fta Hazar Denizi havzas\u0131nda bulunan enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen boru hatlar\u0131yla beraber, di\u011fer t\u00fcm ula\u015ft\u0131rma yollar\u0131n kendi arazisi \u00fczerinden ge\u00e7mesi konusunda \u0131srar etmekteydi. Bu durum Merkezi Asya ve G\u00fcney Kafkasya\u2019daki devletlerin Rusya\u2019ya ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayacakt\u0131. Ula\u015f\u0131m yollar\u0131n \u00fczerindeki tekel konumu, Rusya taraf\u0131ndan b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fc\u00e7 stat\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn devaml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayacak \u00f6nemli ara\u00e7lardan biri olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. (480)<\/p>\n<p>AB\u2019nin Rusya ile i\u015fbirli\u011fini m\u00fcmk\u00fcn k\u0131labilecek di\u011fer alan ise, Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n do\u011fusundaki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ve anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar\u0131n birlikte \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesi olabilirdi. Yeni Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131, AB ile kom\u015fu olan devletlerde ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak veya mevcut olan sorunlar\u0131n \u00f6nlenmesi, y\u00f6netilmesi ve \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesi i\u00e7in geli\u015ftirilmi\u015ftir. Bu durumda Rusya\u2019n\u0131n \u201cyak\u0131n \u00e7evre\u201d politikas\u0131 ve AB\u2019nin \u201ckom\u015fuluk\u201d politikas\u0131 YBD ba\u011flam\u0131nda birbiriyle \u00fcst \u00fcste gelebilirdi. AB\u2019nin do\u011fu s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131nda Transdinsyester\u2019den, Kafkasya\u2019ya kadar uzanan b\u00f6lgelerde var olan sorunlarda Rusya do\u011frudan yer almaktad\u0131r. Bu durumda AB\u2019nin Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde \u00f6nlemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 baz\u0131 krizler Rusya\u2019y\u0131 da ilgilendirmektedir. (481)<\/p>\n<p>Ancak, AB taraf\u0131ndan 2004\u2019te y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe konulan Yeni Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131, Rusya taraf\u0131ndan kabul edilmemi\u015ftir. Rusya, bu programa taraf olan di\u011fer devletlerle ayn\u0131 yere konulmaktan ho\u015fnut de\u011fildir ve kendine farkl\u0131 ve daha derin bir yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n uygulanmas\u0131n\u0131 talep etmektedir. (482) Elbette taraflar aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcnde Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Yeni Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131\u2019nda yer almas\u0131 \u015fart de\u011fildir. Ancak bunun i\u00e7in AB ile bu \u00fclke aras\u0131nda daha farkl\u0131 i\u015fbirli\u011fi mekanizmalar\u0131 geli\u015ftirilmesi m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. (483)<br \/>\nAncak AB ile Rusya aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkilerde de son zamanlar baz\u0131 sorunlar ya\u015fanmaktad\u0131r. AB ile Rusya aras\u0131nda ili\u015fkileri d\u00fczenleyen Partnerlik ve \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n s\u00fcresi 30 Kas\u0131m 2007\u2019de sona ermektedir. Rusya bu anla\u015fmay\u0131 ayn\u0131 \u015fekilde yenilenmesini reddetmek birlikte, AB\u2019den kendi \u00f6zel konumunu g\u00f6zeten yeni bir anla\u015fma olu\u015fturmas\u0131n\u0131 istemektedir. (484) Asl\u0131na bak\u0131l\u0131rsa AB ile Rusya aras\u0131ndaki P\u0130A, zaten di\u011fer benzer antla\u015fmalardan farkl\u0131yd\u0131 ve MDA\u00dc ile yap\u0131lan Avrupa Antla\u015fmalar\u0131na daha \u00e7ok benzemekteydi. AB\u2019nin Rusya\u2019ya Y\u00f6nelik Ortak Stratejisi de Haziran 1999\u2019da bu P\u0130A\u2019y\u0131 temel alarak belirlenmi\u015ftir. Buna g\u00f6re taraflar aras\u0131nda stratejik ortakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesi, Rusya\u2019da demokrasinin sa\u011flamla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 ve bu \u00fclkenin Avrupa ekonomik ve k\u00fclt\u00fcr alan\u0131na girmesinin h\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 ama\u00e7lamaktayd\u0131. (485) Buna ra\u011fmen Rusya, mevcut P\u0130A ve Yeni Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131 \u00f6tesinde bir i\u015fbirli\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6ren yeni bir mekanizman\u0131n olu\u015fturulmas\u0131n\u0131 istiyor. Di\u011fer taraftan, AB ile Rusya aras\u0131nda yeni anla\u015fman\u0131n imzalanmas\u0131 Polonya taraf\u0131ndan engellenmektedir. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n bu \u00fclkeden ithal edilen ete ve bu\u011fdaya uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar nedeniyle, Polonya AB ile Rusya aras\u0131ndaki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere veto uygulamaktad\u0131r. Taraflar aras\u0131nda bir di\u011fer anla\u015fmazl\u0131k, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n kendi \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131na ters d\u00fc\u015fmesi nedeniyle AB taraf\u0131ndan \u00f6nerilen Enerji \u015eart\u0131\u2019na kat\u0131lmamas\u0131d\u0131r. Rusya, kendisinden Merkezi Asya\u2019dan ula\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lacak petrol i\u00e7in altyap\u0131s\u0131ndan serbest ge\u00e7i\u015f izni vermesi istenirken, ayn\u0131 hakk\u0131n AB topraklar\u0131nda kendisine tan\u0131mamas\u0131n\u0131 hakl\u0131 olarak kabul edilemez bulmaktad\u0131r. (486) AB ile Rusya aras\u0131nda ikili ili\u015fkileri ilgilendiren konularda uyu\u015fma sa\u011flanmadan G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesine y\u00f6nelik ortak bir politika \u00fczerinde anla\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 da m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fclmemektedir. Bu durumda farkl\u0131 i\u015fbirli\u011fi olanaklar\u0131 de\u011ferlendirilmelerinin de ba\u015far\u0131 getirece\u011fi ku\u015fku do\u011furmaktad\u0131r. \u00d6rne\u011fin, 1 Ocak 2007\u2019de AB, Romanya ve\u00a0 Bulgaristan\u2019\u0131 kendi saflar\u0131na dahil etmekle, Karadeniz b\u00f6lgesinde b\u00f6lgesel akt\u00f6r konumuna gelmi\u015ftir. Bu durumda AB ile Rusya aras\u0131nda G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesine y\u00f6nelik ortak ad\u0131mlar\u0131n Karadeniz Ekonomik \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi (KE\u0130) \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde at\u0131lmas\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 teoride de olsa ortaya \u00e7\u0131kabilirdi. (487) Bu durumda KE\u0130\u2019nin avantaj\u0131, G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleri yan\u0131 s\u0131ra T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de bu \u00f6rg\u00fcte \u00fcye olmas\u0131d\u0131r. Bu \u00f6rg\u00fct sayesinde G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesine y\u00f6nelik AB, Rusya ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin i\u015fbirli\u011fi sa\u011flanabilirdi. (488) Fakat ili\u015fkilerin mevcut durumu KE\u0130 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde de bu t\u00fcr bir i\u015fbirli\u011finin olu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131f bir ihtimale d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrmektedir. Yine de KE\u0130 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde olmasa bile, Rusya ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin b\u00f6lgeye y\u00f6nelik i\u015fbirli\u011fi olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 da de\u011ferlendirmek gerekmektedir. Bu olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n y\u00fcksekli\u011fi AB\u2019nin T\u00fcrkiye ile G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesine y\u00f6nelik ortak hareketini de do\u011frudan etkileyebilecektir<\/p>\n<p><b>3.2.3 T\u00fcrkiye ile \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nG\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesi T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r. B\u00f6lgedeki istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k durumu, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin g\u00fcvenli\u011fi ve istikrar\u0131 bak\u0131m\u0131ndan da \u00f6nemli bir tehdittir. B\u00f6lgede var olan sorunlar ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar ve \u00f6zellikle Ermenistan\u2019la iyi gitmeyen ili\u015fkiler b\u00f6lgeyi g\u00fcvenlik a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in kritik hale getirmektedir. G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesinin T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in bir di\u011fer stratejik \u00f6nemi ise, bu b\u00f6lgenin Merkezi Asya devletleri ile bir k\u00f6pr\u00fc rol\u00fcn\u00fc oynamas\u0131d\u0131r. Enerji koridorlar\u0131n\u0131n kesi\u015fti\u011fi noktan\u0131n \u00fczerinde bulunan bu b\u00f6lge, Azerbaycan\u2019dan ta\u015f\u0131nan petrol ve do\u011falgaz\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, Kazakistan ve T\u00fcrkmenistan\u2019dan enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n nakli i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir g\u00fczergah haline d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015febilir. (489)<\/p>\n<p>G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleri ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 elde ettikten sonra bu devletleri ilk tan\u0131yanlardan biri T\u00fcrkiye olmu\u015ftur. Tarihi, etnik ve dini yak\u0131nl\u0131\u011f\u0131 bulunan Azerbaycan yetkilileri 29 Ekim 1991\u2019de \u00fclkenin tan\u0131nmas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131da bulundu\u011fu zaman tan\u0131yacak ilk \u00fclkenin T\u00fcrkiye olmas\u0131n\u0131 arzu ettiklerini beyan etmi\u015flerdir. Nitekim 9 Kas\u0131m 1991\u2019de T\u00fcrkiye Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tan\u0131d\u0131. (490) G\u00fcrcistan\u2019a gelince, T\u00fcrkiye ilk \u00fclke olarak bu devleti 16 Aral\u0131k 1991\u2019de tan\u0131m\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ard\u0131ndan 21 May\u0131s 1992\u2019de d\u00f6nemin d\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri bakan\u0131 Hikmet \u00c7etin\u2019in bu \u00fclkeyi ziyareti s\u0131ras\u0131nda imzalanan protokolle iki \u00fclke aras\u0131nda diplomatik ili\u015fki kuruldu. Daha sonra, 30 Temmuz 1992\u2019de Ba\u015fbakan S\u00fcleyman Demirel G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131 ziyaret ederek, Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Eduard \u015eevardnadze ile \u201cDostluk, \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi ve \u0130yi Kom\u015fuluk Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u201d imzalad\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tan\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcnde, Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n da ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tan\u0131d\u0131. (491)<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye ilk d\u00f6nemde G\u00fcney Kafkasya ve Merkezi Asya devletleri ile ili\u015fkilerini geli\u015ftirirken bir model ve lider olma arzusuyla hareket etmekteydi. Fakat bunu yaparken b\u00f6lgede bir plan\u0131 veya projesi yoktu. T\u00fcrkiye ayn\u0131 zamanda Rusya\u2019n\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6z ard\u0131 eden ve b\u00f6lgedeki etkinli\u011fini k\u0131rmaya y\u00f6nelik bir politika izlemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (492) Azerbaycan\u2019da T\u00fcrkiye yanl\u0131s\u0131 olarak bilinen El\u00e7ibey y\u00f6netimine sergiledi\u011fi sempatiye ra\u011fmen, T\u00fcrkiye 4 Haziran 1993\u2019te Albay S\u00fcret H\u00fcseynov\u2019un El\u00e7ibey\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 giri\u015fti\u011fi darbeyi engellemek i\u00e7in somut herhangi bir ad\u0131m atmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Yasal olarak se\u00e7ilen El\u00e7ibey\u2019in y\u00f6netimini destekledi\u011fini beyan etmekle yetinmi\u015f, fakat diplomatik a\u00e7\u0131klamadan \u00f6te herhangi bir ad\u0131m atmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (493) Zamanla SSCB\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra b\u00f6lgedeki bo\u015flu\u011fun Rusya taraf\u0131ndan dolduruldu\u011funu anlayan T\u00fcrkiye, b\u00f6lge \u00fclkeleriyle ili\u015fkilerini istedi\u011fi d\u00fczeye \u00e7\u0131karamaman\u0131n hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ya\u015famaktayd\u0131. (494)<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye ile ili\u015fkileri geli\u015ftirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan Aliyev, iktidara geldikten sonra bu \u00fclke ile olu\u015fan so\u011fuk ili\u015fkileri d\u00fczeltmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bunu yaparken, El\u00e7ibey d\u00f6neminde Rusya ile k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fen ili\u015fkileri de d\u00fczeltmeye \u00e7aba g\u00f6stermi\u015ftir. Bunun i\u00e7in Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Azerbaycan\u2019a y\u00f6nelik baz\u0131 \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lamak i\u00e7in bir tak\u0131m ad\u0131mlar atm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (495) Azerbaycan Rusya\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6nderlik etti\u011fi BDT\u2019ye \u00fcye olmu\u015ftur, fiiliyata ge\u00e7irilmese de, El\u00e7ibey d\u00f6neminde \u00fclkeden \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lan Rus Ordusu\u2019nun yeniden konu\u015fland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in Rusya ile anla\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (496) Rusya ile dengeli bir ili\u015fki s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan Aliyev, El\u00e7ibey d\u00f6neminde ba\u015flat\u0131lan, Bat\u0131 ile ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015ftirilmesi ba\u011flam\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye ile yak\u0131nla\u015fma politikas\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. (497)<\/p>\n<p>Nitekim \u015eubat 1994\u2019te ilk resmi ziyaretini T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. Bu ziyaret s\u0131ras\u0131nda iki \u00fclke aras\u0131nda \u00f6nemli anla\u015fmalar imzaland\u0131. Bak\u00fc-Tiflis-Ceyhan boru hatt\u0131 projesine destek verildi. Demirel ile Aliyev aras\u0131ndaki yak\u0131nl\u0131k bu iki \u00fclke aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015fmesine yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu. (498) Nitekim 1995\u2019te Aliyev\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 yap\u0131lan ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z darbe giri\u015fiminden T\u00fcrkiye sorumlu tutuldu\u011fu halde, Aliyev bu darbe giri\u015fimi konusunda bilgiyi Demirel\u2019den ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bununla da hayat\u0131n\u0131 kurtard\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemi\u015ftir. (499) Azeri, \u00c7\u0131rag, G\u00fcne\u015fli petrol yataklar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015fletilmesinde T\u00fcrk Petrolleri Anonim Ortakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n pay\u0131n\u0131 % 1.75\u2019den % 6.75\u2019e y\u00fckseltildi, iki \u00fclke aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkileri d\u00fczenleyen bir\u00e7ok konuda anla\u015fmalar imzaland\u0131. (500) Nitekim Haydar Aliyev\u2019in 12 Aral\u0131k 2003\u2019teki cenazesine T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den b\u00fct\u00fcn \u00fcst d\u00fczey yetkililer kat\u0131larak, Azerbaycan\u2019la olan ili\u015fkilerin durumunu ve \u00f6nemini sergilemi\u015flerdir.<\/p>\n<p>G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye ile ili\u015fkileri ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7tan beri olumlu havada geli\u015fmekte idi. T\u00fcrkiye G\u00fcrcistan i\u00e7in Rusya\u2019ya bir alternatif olarak, Bat\u0131\u2019ya a\u00e7\u0131lan kap\u0131 rol\u00fcn\u00fc oynamaktad\u0131r. G\u00fcrcistan, T\u00fcrkiye ve ili\u015fki kurdu\u011fu di\u011fer b\u00f6lge \u00fclkesi Azerbaycan\u2019la ortak jeopolitik \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 do\u011frultusunda bir\u00e7ok konuda ortak hareket etmeyi ye\u011flemektedir. Nitekim bu \u00fclkelerle birlikte petrol nakli i\u00e7in planlanan ve in\u015fas\u0131 bitmi\u015f olan Bak\u00fc-Tiflis-Ceyhan ve do\u011falgaz nakli i\u00e7in d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclen Bak\u00fc-Tiflis- Erzurum boru hatlar\u0131n\u0131n in\u015fas\u0131nda ortak tutum sergilemi\u015ftir ve sergilemeye devam etmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ilk g\u00fcn\u00fcnden beri T\u00fcrkiye, G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131n toprak b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc tan\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bu \u00fclkede var olan b\u00fct\u00fcn ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131l\u0131k sorunlar\u0131n\u0131n bar\u0131\u015f\u00e7\u0131l yollardan \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc destekledi\u011fini beyan ederek, \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcme yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmaya da \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131. (501) T\u00fcrkiye ile 1997 y\u0131l\u0131nda Askeri \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n imzalanmas\u0131 da b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r. Bu anla\u015fmaya g\u00f6re, G\u00fcrcistan silahl\u0131 kuvvetleri i\u00e7in T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin askeri okullar\u0131nda uzman yeti\u015ftirilmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmekteydi. Nitekim bu anla\u015fmaya g\u00f6re T\u00fcrkiye taraf\u0131 G\u00fcrc\u00fc subaylara e\u011fitim vermeye ba\u015flad\u0131 ve jandarma sisteminin geli\u015ftirilmesi konusunda yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu. 1998 y\u0131l\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye ile G\u00fcrcistan aras\u0131nda askeri i\u015fbirli\u011fi alan\u0131nda bir memorandum imzalanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r, bu memorandumda Ankara ile Tiflis aras\u0131nda stratejik askeri partnerli\u011fin olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 konusundan s\u00f6z edilmekteydi. Bu partnerlikle T\u00fcrkiye taraf\u0131ndan G\u00fcrcistan askeri kuvvetleri i\u00e7in maddi-teknik altyap\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 ve kadro yeti\u015ftirilmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. (502)<\/p>\n<p>Asl\u0131nda bak\u0131l\u0131rsa, T\u00fcrkiye, Azerbaycan ve G\u00fcrcistan aras\u0131nda i\u015fbirli\u011fi bir t\u00fcr stratejik \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131ma\u011fa ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Her \u00fc\u00e7 devlet aras\u0131nda ili\u015fkiler b\u00f6lgesel ula\u015f\u0131m projelerinin ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesiyle yeni bir d\u00fczeye \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u0130lk ba\u015fta bu konuda Hazar b\u00f6lgesinde \u00fcretilecek petrol ve do\u011falgaz\u0131n Avrupa pazarlar\u0131na ula\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen boru hatt\u0131 projelerin \u00f6nemi b\u00fcy\u00fckt\u00fcr. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Azerbaycan\u2019da \u00fcretilen erken petrol\u00fcn Bak\u00fc-Supsa boru hatt\u0131 \u00fczerinden ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131na deste\u011fine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, G\u00fcrcistan esas ihra\u00e7 boru hatt\u0131n\u0131n Bak\u00fc-Tiflis-Ceyhan olmas\u0131n\u0131 kabul ederek deste\u011fini ortaya koymu\u015f oldu. (503) Enerji ula\u015f\u0131m koridorlar\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesinin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, \u00fc\u00e7 \u00fclkenin demiryollar\u0131n\u0131 birle\u015ftirecek olan Bak\u00fc \u2013 Ahalkalaki \u2013 Kars demiryolunun bu devletler aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015ftirilmesinde b\u00fcy\u00fck ve stratejik rol\u00fc vard\u0131r. B\u00f6lge devletlerinin d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan destek al\u0131nmaks\u0131z\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirece\u011fi projenin, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 kendisi taraf\u0131ndan, G\u00fcrcistan\u2019daki k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 ise Azerbaycan taraf\u0131ndan bu \u00fclkeye verilen kredi ile yap\u0131lmas\u0131, bu devletlerin kimi konularda d\u0131\u015f etkenler olmaks\u0131z\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirebilece\u011fi i\u015fbirli\u011finin en bariz \u00f6rne\u011fidir. (504)<\/p>\n<p>Azerbaycan ve G\u00fcrcistan\u2019dan farkl\u0131 olarak T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Ermenistan\u2019la ili\u015fkileri asla ayn\u0131 d\u00fczeyde olmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu iki \u00fclke aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015fmesine iki temel engel, Ermenilerin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den 1915 olaylar\u0131n\u0131n bir soyk\u0131r\u0131m olarak tan\u0131nmas\u0131 talebi ve Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f dahil olmak \u00fczere Azerbaycan topraklar\u0131n\u0131 i\u015fgalidir. Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n ilk y\u0131llar\u0131nda bu \u00fclkenin ilk Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 olan Ter-Petrosyan Ermenistan\u2019\u0131 tam ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z bir devlet haline getirmek i\u00e7in Rusya ile dengeli politika, T\u00fcrkiye ve \u0130ran ile iyi ili\u015fkiler kurman\u0131n gerekti\u011fini biliyordu. T\u00fcrkiye ile normal ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in, bu \u00fclkeye kar\u015f\u0131 hi\u00e7bir \u00f6nko\u015ful s\u00fcrmemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan Ter-Petrosyan y\u00f6netimi bu ad\u0131mlara kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k hem \u00fclke i\u00e7inde milliyet\u00e7ilerden, hem de Ermeni diasporas\u0131ndan a\u011f\u0131r ele\u015ftiriler al\u0131yordu. Di\u011fer taraftan T\u00fcrkiye o zamanki Ermenistan y\u00f6netiminin samimiyetinden ku\u015fku duyuyordu. Bunun en \u00f6nemli sebebi Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n Azerbaycan\u2019dan silah yoluyla toprak koparma gayretleridir. May\u0131s 1992\u2019de Karaba\u011f\u2019da ba\u015far\u0131 sa\u011flayan Ermenistan, bir sonraki ad\u0131m olarak Nah\u00e7ivan\u2019a sald\u0131rmay\u0131 ama\u00e7lam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ermenilerin maceraperest bir siyaset g\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc anla\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00fczerine T\u00fcrkiye Ermenilerin bu hareketlerine sert tepki ile kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k vermi\u015f, Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n yan\u0131nda yer almakla kalmay\u0131p, Ermenistan\u2019a ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015ftirilmesini arzu ediyorsa, s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131 silah zoruyla de\u011fi\u015ftirme y\u00f6nteminden vazge\u00e7mesini deklare etmi\u015ftir. (505)<\/p>\n<p>1993 y\u0131l\u0131nda Ermenilerin Azerbaycan kenti olan Kelbecer\u2019i i\u015fgali, T\u00fcrkiye Ermenistan ili\u015fkilerinin sonu oldu. T\u00fcrkiye bu i\u015fgal \u00fczerine, insani yard\u0131mlar da dahil olmak \u00fczere, Ermenistan\u2019a yap\u0131lacak hi\u00e7bir sevk\u0131yat i\u00e7in topraklar\u0131n\u0131 ve hava sahas\u0131n\u0131 kulland\u0131rmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. (506)<br \/>\n21 Eyl\u00fcl 1996\u2019da Ermenistan\u2019da yap\u0131lan Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7imlerde Da\u015fnak ve di\u011fer muhalefet partileri, Ter-Petrosyan\u2019\u0131 se\u00e7imlere hile kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmakla su\u00e7layarak, eylemlere ba\u015flad\u0131lar. Bu durum \u00fclkede ciddi bir siyasi kriz yaratt\u0131. Bu krizi yat\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmak i\u00e7in s\u00f6zde \u201cDa\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f Cumhuriyeti\u201dnin o zamanki ba\u015fkan\u0131 Robert Ko\u00e7aryan etkin rol oynad\u0131. Muhalefette ve diaspora \u00fczerinde b\u00fcy\u00fck n\u00fcfuza sahip olan Ko\u00e7aryan, Ter-Petrosyan taraf\u0131ndan ba\u015fbakan olarak atand\u0131. \u00c7ok ge\u00e7meden, 1998 y\u0131l\u0131nda, Ter-Petrosyan istifa etti, yerine Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 olarak Azerbaycan vatanda\u015f\u0131 olan Ko\u00e7aryan se\u00e7imleri kazanarak, g\u00f6revine ba\u015flad\u0131. Ko\u00e7aryan\u2019\u0131n iktidara gelmesi ile ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi icraatlar, T\u00fcrkiye ile gergin ili\u015fkileri daha da \u00e7\u0131kmaza sokmu\u015ftur. Ter-Petrosyan d\u00f6neminde faaliyeti yasaklanan, T\u00fcrkiye hakk\u0131nda radikal d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncelere sahip Da\u015fnaksutyun Partisi yeniden yasalla\u015ft\u0131. Bu parti kanal\u0131yla d\u00fcnyadaki Ermeni diasporas\u0131yla ili\u015fkiler yeniden peki\u015ftirildi. Ermeni lobisinin \u201cErmeni Soyk\u0131r\u0131m\u0131\u201dn\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye taraf\u0131ndan tan\u0131nmas\u0131 talepleri, Ko\u00e7aryan d\u00f6neminde T\u00fcrkiye ile ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015fmesi i\u00e7in bir \u00f6n ko\u015ful olarak ileri s\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc. Dolay\u0131s\u0131 ile T\u00fcrkiye Ermenistan\u2019la ili\u015fkilerin ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131 Karaba\u011f probleminin \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcne ba\u011fland\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi, Ko\u00e7aryan y\u00f6netimi de \u015fart olarak soyk\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n tan\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 ileri s\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. (507) Bu iki ko\u015ful iki \u00fclke aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkileri \u00e7\u0131kmaza sokmu\u015f, g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze kadar ili\u015fkilerin dondurulmas\u0131nda \u00f6nemli rol oynam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r (508). Ara s\u0131ra, iki devlet aras\u0131nda \u00e7e\u015fitli platformlarda ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015ftirilmesi konusunda g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler yap\u0131lsa da, hatta iki \u00fclke aras\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 konusunda giri\u015fimler ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilse de, her iki devlet kendi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnde ve pozisyonunda kararl\u0131l\u0131k sergilemektedir.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye, G\u00fcney Kafkasya ve Merkezi Asya b\u00f6lgesinden Avrupa devletlerine ta\u015f\u0131nacak petrol ve do\u011falgaz\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yacak boru hatlar\u0131n\u0131n arazisinden ge\u00e7mesi nedeniyle AB\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131 ve g\u00fcvenlik politikas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli bir rol \u00fcstlenmi\u015ftir. Ula\u015f\u0131mda yer alan di\u011fer iki devlet Azerbaycan ve G\u00fcrcistan ile ili\u015fkilerin \u00fcst d\u00fczeyde olmas\u0131 bu \u00f6nemi daha da art\u0131rmaktad\u0131r. (509) Fakat T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Azerbaycan ve G\u00fcrcistan\u2019la geli\u015fen iyi ili\u015fkilerinin aksine, Ermenistan\u2019la var olan sorunlar\u0131, AB\u2019nin b\u00f6lgedeki ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesinde bu \u00fclkenin yard\u0131m\u0131ndan yararlanmas\u0131n\u0131 engellemektedir. Daha 1992 y\u0131l\u0131nda Ermenistan\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 daha \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 politika sergileyen T\u00fcrkiye, AB taraf\u0131ndan Ermenistan\u2019a yard\u0131m olarak g\u00f6nderilen 100 bin ton bu\u011fday\u0131n kendi arazinin \u00fczerinden g\u00f6nderilmesini kabul etmi\u015ftir. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Ermenistan\u2019a kendi enerji a\u011f\u0131ndan elektrik sa\u011flanmas\u0131n\u0131 da kabul etmi\u015ftir. Fakat Azerbaycan\u2019dan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 y\u00fckselen itirazlar do\u011frultusunda, T\u00fcrkiye AB\u2019nden gelen bu\u011fday\u0131n ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015flatt\u0131. Nisan 1993\u2019ten itibaren ise insani yard\u0131mlar dahil, Ermenistan\u2019a hi\u00e7bir sevk\u0131yat i\u00e7in topraklar\u0131n\u0131 kulland\u0131rmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye, Ermenistan\u2019a sevk edilen her t\u00fcrl\u00fc malzemenin bu \u00fclkenin sava\u015f \u00e7abas\u0131na katk\u0131da bulundu\u011funu belirtti. (510)<\/p>\n<p>AB yetkilileri T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin b\u00f6lgedeki \u00f6zel konumunun Azerbaycan ile Ermenistan aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcnde \u00f6nemli rol oynayabilece\u011fi inanc\u0131n\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131rlar. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin AB\u2019ye tam \u00fcye olup olmamas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olmaks\u0131z\u0131n AB T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den i\u015fbirli\u011fi taraftar\u0131, yap\u0131c\u0131 ve bar\u0131\u015f\u00e7\u0131 bir rol \u00fcstlenmesini beklemektedir. AB ile T\u00fcrkiye aras\u0131ndaki s\u0131k\u0131 ili\u015fkiler ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin b\u00f6lgedeki konumu, bu \u00fclkenin b\u00f6lgedeki sorunun \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcnde AB\u2019ye katk\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcrmektedir. (511) Fakat g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Azerbaycan\u2019a yak\u0131nl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Karaba\u011f sorunu konusunda m\u00fcttefikli\u011fi, Azerbaycan-Ermenistan sorununun \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcndeki katk\u0131s\u0131na engel olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r. (512)<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6rne\u011fin, 2000 y\u0131l\u0131nda AB Komisyonu\u2019nun T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye ili\u015fkin y\u0131ll\u0131k ilerleme raporunda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Kafkasya\u2019da bar\u0131\u015f ve istikrara bir s\u0131ra tedbirle katk\u0131da bulundu\u011fu belirtilmi\u015ftir. Bu tedbirlerin en \u00f6nemlisi ise G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesini ilgilendiren \u0130stikrar Pakt\u0131\u2019n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanarak, sunulmas\u0131d\u0131r. Fakat bu tedbirler Karaba\u011f sorununu \u00e7\u00f6zmeye yeterli olamam\u0131\u015f bilakis bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma y\u00fcz\u00fcnden Pakt y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girememi\u015ftir. (513) T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Azerbaycan ile Ermenistan aras\u0131ndaki sorunun \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesine y\u00f6nelik di\u011fer plan\u0131 ise, Ermenistan ile Karaba\u011f ve Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n esas k\u0131sm\u0131yla Nah\u00e7ivan aras\u0131nda koridorlar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131yd\u0131. Fakat bu \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm \u00f6nerisi Ermeniler taraf\u0131ndan hemen reddedilmi\u015ftir. Azerbaycan\u2019la Nah\u00e7ivan aras\u0131nda olu\u015fturulacak koridor Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n Megri b\u00f6lgesinden ge\u00e7ecekti ve bu \u0130ran ile olan s\u0131n\u0131r ba\u011flant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 tehlike alt\u0131na sokmaktad\u0131r. Bu ba\u011flant\u0131 ise Ermenistan i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r. (514)<\/p>\n<p>Asl\u0131nda Avrupa\u2019daki Ermeni lobisi G\u00fcney Kafkasya\u2019daki geli\u015fmeler konusunda AB\u2019nin deste\u011fini Ermenistan lehine y\u00f6nlendirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktad\u0131r. Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f sorununa gelince, Ermeni lobisinin faaliyeti sayesinde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye su\u00e7lamalar y\u00f6neltilmi\u015f, bu \u00fclkenin Ermenistan\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ambargo nedeniyle, G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesinde bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n temin edilmesi i\u00e7in gerekli katk\u0131y\u0131 yapmaktan uzak oldu\u011fu ifade edilmi\u015ftir. (515)<\/p>\n<p>AB\u2019nin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesindeki giri\u015fimleri konusunda farkl\u0131 tav\u0131rlar sergilemesi esasen bu konuda net bir politikan\u0131n olu\u015fmamas\u0131yla ilgilidir. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin AB\u2019nin ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan nas\u0131l katk\u0131da bulunabilece\u011fi konusunda net bir g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f \u015fekillenmemi\u015ftir. Zaman zaman, AB\u2019ye \u00fcye olan devletlerin bu konuya kar\u015f\u0131 sergiledi\u011fi ilgi do\u011frultusunda, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin b\u00f6lgeye y\u00f6nelik davran\u0131\u015f bi\u00e7iminin de\u011ferlendirilmesi \u00f6tesinde herhangi bir somut \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm \u00f6neride bulunmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin b\u00f6lge i\u00e7i istikrar\u0131n olu\u015fmas\u0131na olas\u0131 katk\u0131lar\u0131na Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ermenistan\u2019a m\u00fcdahalesi ve esasen ABD ve Fransa\u2019da bulunan Ermeni lobisinin tav\u0131rlar\u0131 engel olmaktad\u0131r. B\u00f6lgedeki son m\u00fcttefikini (Ermenistan) kaybetmekten \u00e7ekinen Rusya, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin giri\u015fimlerini ABD ve AB\u2019nin b\u00f6lge politikalar\u0131n\u0131n bir uzant\u0131s\u0131 gibi g\u00f6rerek, bu t\u00fcr giri\u015fimleri engellemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktad\u0131r. Zaten ABD ve Fransa\u2019daki lobilerin tavr\u0131 bu t\u00fcr giri\u015fimlerin sonu\u00e7lanma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da azaltmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><b>3.3 AB\u2019nin G\u00fcney Kafkasya B\u00f6lgesi\u2019ndeki Ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n Ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi\u00a0 \u0130\u00e7in Di\u011fer Olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n De\u011ferlendirilmesi<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nAB\u2019nin G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesine y\u00f6nelik olarak di\u011fer b\u00f6lgesel akt\u00f6rlerle ikili i\u015fbirli\u011fi geli\u015ftirme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirildi\u011fi zaman, bunlar\u0131n kurumun ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yetersiz kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesinde siyasi ve ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131dan bir b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn olu\u015fmamas\u0131, b\u00f6lgede aktif politika y\u00fcr\u00fcten uluslararas\u0131 \u00f6rg\u00fctler ve devletlerin, Azerbaycan, G\u00fcrcistan ve Ermenistan\u2019a y\u00f6nelik b\u00fct\u00fcnc\u00fcl bir politika y\u00fcr\u00fctmekte ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olmalar\u0131na ve b\u00f6lgeye y\u00f6nelik de\u011fil \u00fclkelere y\u00f6nelik politikalara ba\u015fvurmalar\u0131na yol a\u00e7maktad\u0131r. Buna ek olarak, bu akt\u00f6rlerin herhangi birinin b\u00f6lgeye y\u00f6nelik faaliyetlerini art\u0131rma niyeti, bu b\u00f6lgede kendi \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zeten di\u011fer bir akt\u00f6r ile \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 nedeniyle engellenmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>Bu durumda, b\u00f6lgeye y\u00f6nelik politikalar\u0131n iki tarafl\u0131 i\u015fbirli\u011fi \u00e7er\u00e7evesi yerine b\u00f6lgede \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 olan birka\u00e7 akt\u00f6r\u00fc i\u00e7eren, \u00e7ok tarafl\u0131 giri\u015fimlerin AB\u2019nin b\u00f6lgede istikrar\u0131 ve g\u00fcvenli\u011fin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 amac\u0131na y\u00f6nelik bir se\u00e7ene\u011fi olarak de\u011ferlendirilmesini gerektirmektedir. Asl\u0131nda bu t\u00fcr giri\u015fimler daha \u00f6nce de g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. AB\u2019yi do\u011frudan ilgilendiren ve bu kurumun da deste\u011fini alan ilk teklif Kafkasya \u0130stikrar Pakt\u0131 olmu\u015ftur. T\u00fcrkiye taraf\u0131ndan \u00f6nerilen bu pakt\u0131n AG\u0130T\u2019in g\u00f6zetiminde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Fakat Rusya\u2019n\u0131n o d\u00f6nemde 2. \u00c7e\u00e7enistan m\u00fcdahalesi nedeniyle sertle\u015fen Kafkasya politikas\u0131 y\u00fcz\u00fcnden \u00e7ekinen G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleri bu teklifi pek s\u0131cak kar\u015f\u0131lamad\u0131lar. Bunun neticesinde Rusya\u2019n\u0131n yer alamayaca\u011f\u0131 ve b\u00f6lgeyi ilgilendiren herhangi bir giri\u015fimin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesinin zor olaca\u011f\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (516) Bu teklifin ard\u0131ndan Kafkasya G\u20138\u2019i olarak bilinen ve b\u00f6lgeye ilgisi olan t\u00fcm akt\u00f6rlerin yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 3+3+2 form\u00fcl\u00fcne dayal\u0131 (Azerbaycan, G\u00fcrcistan, Ermenistan+ Rusya, T\u00fcrkiye, \u0130ran+ ABD, AB) bir istikrar pakt\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in yeni bir yakla\u015f\u0131m geli\u015ftirildi. Mart 2001\u2019de itibaren, G\u00fcney Kafkasya\u2019da i\u015fbirli\u011fi aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131, b\u00f6lgesel istikrar\u0131n ve g\u00fcvenli\u011fin olu\u015fumuna y\u00f6nelik farkl\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131mlar aras\u0131nda bir m\u00fccadeleye d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Azerbaycan ve G\u00fcrcistan, Bat\u0131l\u0131 devletler ve uluslararas\u0131 kurulu\u015flar, AG\u0130T g\u00f6zetiminde G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Avrupa \u0130stikrar Pakt\u0131 benzeri bir i\u015fbirli\u011fini savunmaktad\u0131rlar. Bat\u0131 Balkanlarda istikrar\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131n\u0131 ve korunmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6ren bu Pakt 27 May\u0131s 1999\u2019da Bonn\u2019da G\u00fcney Avrupa Konferans\u0131\u2019nda g\u00fcndeme getirilmi\u015ftir. \u0130stikrar Pakt\u0131, Balkan \u00fclkelerine somut bir istikrar perspektifi ve Avrupa-Atlantik yap\u0131s\u0131na kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131n\u0131 garantilemektedir. (517)<\/p>\n<p>Di\u011fer taraftan Ermenistan sadece b\u00f6lge devletlerinin (Rusya, T\u00fcrkiye, \u0130ran) kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 istemi\u015ftir. (518) Oysa G\u00fcrcistan \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n b\u00f6lgesel sorunlara m\u00fcdahale etmesine kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r, bu devlet yerine ABD\u2019nin yer almas\u0131n\u0131 teklif etmi\u015ftir. (519) Di\u011fer taraftan G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131n mesafeli davranmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 Rusya, olas\u0131 bir i\u015fbirli\u011fini BDT s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde tutmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktad\u0131r. Bu m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmasa bile, olu\u015facak herhangi bir i\u015fbirli\u011fi modelinde mutlaka yer almak istedi\u011fini belli etmi\u015ftir. (520) G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze dek bu i\u015fbirli\u011fi tekliflerinden herhangi birinin ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in herhangi bir ad\u0131m at\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 halde, G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Avrupa stikrar Pakt\u0131 benzeri ve AB\u2019yi ilgilendiren bir giri\u015fimin hangi \u015fekli alaca\u011f\u0131 ve Avrupa-Atlantik kat\u0131l\u0131m perspektifi belirsiz oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in, b\u00f6lgeye y\u00f6nelik akt\u00f6rlerin kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan en kapsaml\u0131 i\u015fbirli\u011fi modeli olan bu \u201cG-8\u201d ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z say\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r. Teklif edilen di\u011fer \u00e7ok tarafl\u0131 i\u015fbirli\u011fi modellerinde ise AB herhangi bir rol \u00fcstlenmemektedir. Di\u011fer taraftan, \u00e7ok tarafl\u0131 g\u00fcvenlik ve i\u015fbirli\u011fi giri\u015fimlerinin ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olmas\u0131 i\u00e7in sadece b\u00f6lgesel g\u00fc\u00e7lerin de\u011fil G\u00fcney Kafkasya\u2019daki t\u00fcm devletlerin kabul edebilece\u011fi bir teklif ileri s\u00fcr\u00fclmelidir. (521)<\/p>\n<p>G\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kadar\u0131yla AB\u2019nin G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesindeki ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in ba\u015fvurabilece\u011fi ve daha \u00f6nce en ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 kabul edilen tek ara\u00e7, bu devletlere y\u00f6nelik ko\u015fullu entegrasyon s\u00fcrecini ba\u015flatarak, daha \u00f6nce de MDA\u00dc ve Bat\u0131 B\u00f6lgelerinde g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi, bu devletlere mevcut \u00fclkeler aras\u0131 sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc ko\u015ful olarak sunmak veya sunulan \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm tekliflerini kabul ettirmektir.<\/p>\n<p>Asl\u0131na bak\u0131l\u0131rsa G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleri tarihinde entegrasyon sonucunda \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesi daha \u00f6nce de g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Bu her \u00fc\u00e7 devletin Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin bir par\u00e7as\u0131 oldu\u011fu zamana rast gelmektedir. G\u00fcney Kafkasya\u2019da \u00c7arl\u0131k Rusya\u2019dan miras olarak kalan Abhazya, Osetya ve Karaba\u011f sorunlar\u0131, 1922\u2019de Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin kurulmas\u0131yla belli bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcme kavu\u015fmu\u015ftur. 28 May\u0131s 1918\u2019de kurulan Azerbaycan Demokratik Cumhuriyeti s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde yer alan bu b\u00f6lge, Azerbaycan ile Ermenistan aras\u0131nda \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma alan\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. (522) Azerbaycan ve Ermenistan K\u0131z\u0131l Ordu taraf\u0131ndan i\u015fgal edildikten sonra 1922 y\u0131l\u0131nda kurulan Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olunca, 7 Temmuz 1923\u2019de Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f \u00d6zerk B\u00f6lgesi Azerbaycan Sovyet Sosyalist Cumhuriyeti s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 i\u00e7inde kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r (523) ve bununla da iki taraf aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma 1988 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar dondurulmu\u015ftur.<\/p>\n<p>Abhazya\u2019ya ve Osetya\u2019ya gelince, 1918\u2019de ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k ilan eden G\u00fcrcistan\u2019la Abhazya aras\u0131nda 8 Haziran 1918\u2019de yap\u0131lan anla\u015fmaya g\u00f6re, Abhazya G\u00fcrcistan i\u00e7inde otonom stat\u00fc alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Fakat bu anla\u015fma y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girememi\u015ftir, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc 1921 y\u0131l\u0131nda K\u0131z\u0131l Ordu G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131 i\u015fgal ettikten sonra Abhazya ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ilan ederek, Abhazya Sovyet Sosyalist Cumhuriyeti\u2019ni ilan etti. Bununla 1922 y\u0131l\u0131nda kurulan Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019ni olu\u015fturan cumhuriyetlerle ayn\u0131 stat\u00fcde oldu\u011funu ve Moskova ile direkt ili\u015fki kurdu\u011funu ima etmi\u015f oluyordu. Nitekim Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019ni olu\u015fturan anla\u015fmada, G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131n G\u00fcrcistan ve Abhazya olarak iki ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z devletten olu\u015ftu\u011fu belirtilmi\u015ftir. 1931 y\u0131l\u0131nda Abhazya\u2019n\u0131n bu stat\u00fcs\u00fc ortadan kald\u0131r\u0131larak, G\u00fcrcistan dahilinde Otonom Cumhuriyet stat\u00fcs\u00fcne ge\u00e7ilmi\u015ftir. (524) G\u00fcney Osetya\u2019ya gelince, G\u00fcrcistan bu b\u00f6lgeyi \u00fclkenin ayr\u0131lmaz bir par\u00e7as\u0131 ilan etmi\u015fti. Oysa Osetler\u2019in bu konuda fikri farkl\u0131yd\u0131. K\u0131z\u0131l Ordu b\u00f6lgeye girdikten sonra Osetler, Osetya Sovyet Cumhuriyetini ilan etmi\u015flerdir. Daha sonra, 1922\u2019de bu b\u00f6lge G\u00fcney Osetya Otonom B\u00f6lgesi olarak G\u00fcrcistan Sovyet Sosyalist Cumhuriyeti\u2019nde yer alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (525) Bu sayede taraflar aras\u0131nda \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma, taraflar\u0131n ayn\u0131 birlik \u00e7at\u0131s\u0131 alt\u0131na girmesiyle, Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin devam etti\u011fi s\u00fcrede \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcme kavu\u015fmu\u015ftur.<\/p>\n<p>Her \u00fc\u00e7 sorun Sovyetler Birli\u011fi d\u00f6neminde dayatma yoluyla bir \u015fekilde sonu\u00e7land\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in, bu, sorunlar\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6zmekten ziyade dondurmu\u015ftur. Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nde da\u011f\u0131lma s\u00fcreci ba\u015flay\u0131nca, bu sorunlar yine ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015flard\u0131r. Bu durumda, Azerbaycan, G\u00fcrcistan ve Ermenistan i\u00e7in AB\u2019ye tam \u00fcyelik s\u00fcrecinde \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm yollar\u0131n dayatma y\u00f6ntemi ile olmamal\u0131d\u0131r, aksi takdirde \u00fcyelik perspektifi de b\u00f6lgedeki sorunlar\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6zmeye yetmeyebilir. Bunun \u00f6rne\u011fi \u015fu anda Kosova\u2019da g\u00f6zlenmektedir. S\u0131rbistan\u2019a Kosova\u2019n\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n tan\u0131nmas\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda AB\u2019ye tam \u00fcyelik vaadinde bulunulsa da, bu b\u00f6lgenin ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z olmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kan S\u0131rbistan\u2019da bu durumda AB\u2019ye \u00fcyelikten de vazge\u00e7ilebilece\u011fi \u00fclke y\u00f6netiminin farkl\u0131 kademelerde zikredilmeye ba\u015flanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. (526)<\/p>\n<p>Di\u011fer taraftan AB\u2019nin G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesindeki sorunlar\u0131 dikkate almamas\u0131 yan\u0131nda ba\u015fka sorunlar da getirebilir. \u00c7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n durdu\u011fu d\u00f6nemde g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler yoluyla sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcne dair \u00fcmitlerini giderek kaybeden Azerbaycan ve G\u00fcrcistan, gerekirse sorunlar\u0131 askeri yolla \u00e7\u00f6zece\u011fini defalarca beyan etmi\u015ftir. \u00d6rne\u011fin G\u00fcrcistan 2008 y\u0131l\u0131nda askeri b\u00fct\u00e7eyi 200 milyon ABD dolar kadar art\u0131rmay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmektedir. (527)<\/p>\n<p>Azerbaycan\u2019a gelince bu \u00fclke iki taraf aras\u0131nda y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin bir netice vermemesi durumunda Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f konusunda sava\u015f yoluna ba\u015fvuraca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 defalarca beyan etmi\u015ftir. Askeri b\u00fct\u00e7esi Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n toplam b\u00fct\u00e7esi miktar\u0131na art\u0131ran Azerbaycan, son zamanlar aktif bir \u015fekilde silah kapasitesini geli\u015ftirmektedir. Azerbaycan yetkilileri Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f sorununu k\u0131sa vadede bar\u0131\u015f veya sava\u015f yoluyla \u00e7\u00f6zmeye niyetlidirler. Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n ba\u015fkent Bak\u00fc ile 2016 Yaz Olimpiyat Oyunlar\u0131na aday olmas\u0131 bile oyunlar\u0131n \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma b\u00f6lgesinden en az 45 km uzakta olmas\u0131 \u015fart\u0131na at\u0131fla bu \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm iradesini ve Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n konuyla ilgili olarak bar\u0131\u015f\u0131 bir \u015fekilde temin ederek istikrarl\u0131 bir ortam olu\u015fturma kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermektedir. (528)<\/p>\n<p>Mevcut durum Ermenistan\u2019da da memnuniyetsizli\u011fi art\u0131rmaktad\u0131r. \u015e\u00f6yle ki Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n ilk cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Levon Ter-Petrosyan, Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n gelece\u011finin, halk\u0131n\u0131n refah\u0131n\u0131n ve ekonomik geli\u015fiminin Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f sorununun \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesine ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011funu beyan etmi\u015ftir. (529) Zaten Azerbaycan taraf\u0131ndan Da\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f i\u00e7in teklif edilen \u00f6zerklik stat\u00fcs\u00fc, burada ya\u015fayan Ermenilerin kendi y\u00f6netimini olu\u015fturmas\u0131na olanak vermektedir. Di\u011fer taraftan giderek g\u00fc\u00e7lenen Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n farkl\u0131 bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm \u00f6nerisini kabul etmesi de pek olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclmemektedir.<\/p>\n<p>G\u00fcney Kafkasya b\u00f6lgesindeki etnik \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ve mevcut \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcms\u00fczl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn devam etmesi, ticareti, g\u00fcvenli\u011fi ve b\u00f6lgesel i\u015fbirli\u011fini ciddi bir \u015fekilde etkilemektedir. Uzun vadede bu sorunlar ekonomik refah\u0131 da olumsuz etkileyecektir. \u0130\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f kaynakl\u0131 istikrars\u0131zl\u0131klar b\u00f6lge devletlerinin siyasi ve ekonomik olarak yeniden yap\u0131lanmalar\u0131na odaklanmas\u0131n\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131rmakta, bu ise aralar\u0131ndaki i\u015fbirli\u011finin geli\u015ftirilmesine ve bu i\u015fbirli\u011finden yararlanmalar\u0131n\u0131 imkans\u0131z k\u0131lmaktad\u0131r. (530) Bu durumda AB ile ili\u015fkileri giderek artan G\u00fcney Kafkasya\u2019da ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k durumu AB\u2019yi de do\u011frudan etkileyecektir.<\/p>\n<p>AB at\u0131l bir g\u00f6zlemci olarak kenarda kalamaz ve b\u00f6lgede ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in ekonomik ara\u00e7lar\u0131n yan\u0131nda siyasi ara\u00e7lara ba\u015fvurmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Ko\u015fullu entegrasyon bu ama\u00e7lar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi i\u00e7in bir ara\u00e7 olarak tercih edilirse, ilk a\u015famada bu devletlerin farkl\u0131 aray\u0131\u015flara (silahl\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma gibi) y\u00f6nelme ihtimallerini azalt\u0131r, ama uzun vadede b\u00f6lge i\u00e7i istikrar\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in mevcut etnik \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc de gerektirmektedir. Ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilecek \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmlerin kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in ise, bunlar\u0131n mevcut uluslararas\u0131 hukuk kurallar\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde yap\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekmektedir<\/p>\n<p><b>SONU\u00c7<br \/>\n<\/b><br \/>\nBu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmada g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze kadar AB\u2019nin G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleri ile ili\u015fkilerinin geli\u015fim s\u00fcreci, mevcut durumu betimlenmi\u015f ve AB\u2019nin b\u00f6lge ile ilgili ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme oran\u0131 ile ilgili de\u011ferlendirmeler yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu de\u011ferlendirmeler AB\u2019nin MDA\u00dc ve Bat\u0131 Balkanlar\u2019a y\u00f6nelik ortak d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131 ve ortak g\u00fcvenlik politikas\u0131n\u0131n ara\u00e7 ve sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n G\u00fcney Kafkasya dahil olmak \u00fczere YBD i\u00e7in izlenen politika ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131ndan elde edilen sonu\u00e7lara dayand\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ayn\u0131 zamanda AB\u2019nin bu ama\u00e7lar\u0131na ula\u015fmak i\u00e7in b\u00f6lgesel ve uluslararas\u0131 akt\u00f6rlerle mevcut ve olas\u0131 i\u015fbirli\u011fi se\u00e7enekleri maddeler halinde incelenmi\u015ftir. B\u00fct\u00fcn bu de\u011ferlendirmeler sonunda, Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nin b\u00f6lgeyle ilgili temel d\u0131\u015f politika ve g\u00fcvenlik politikas\u0131 \u00f6nceli\u011fi olan g\u00fcvenlik ve istikrar ortam\u0131n\u0131n tesisi ve b\u00f6lgenin enerji ve ula\u015f\u0131m imk\u00e2nlar\u0131n\u0131n birli\u011fin ihtiya\u00e7 duydu\u011fu alternatifler olarak seferber edilmesi gibi ama\u00e7lar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olundu\u011fu h\u00fckm\u00fcne var\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>En ba\u015fta AB\u2019nin G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletlerine y\u00f6nelik temel d\u0131\u015f politika hedefini de kapsayan, kendisine kom\u015fu b\u00f6lgelerde g\u00fcvenlik ve istikrar\u0131 sa\u011flama ve koruma amac\u0131na ula\u015f\u0131lamam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. B\u00f6lgede Ermenistan ve Azerbaycan aras\u0131nda Karaba\u011f meselesi y\u00fcz\u00fcnden, G\u00fcrcistan i\u00e7inde de Abhazya ve G\u00fcney Osetya\u2019daki ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 hareketler nedeniyle s\u0131cak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 halen mevcut olup, beklenmedik bir anda fiili bir soruna d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015febilir. S\u0131cak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma veya mevcut gerilimlerin t\u0131rmanmas\u0131 Karadeniz \u00fczerinden AB ile kom\u015fu hale gelmi\u015f bu b\u00f6lgedeki sorunlar\u0131n do\u011frudan veya dolayl\u0131 \u015fekilde birlik co\u011frafyas\u0131na da s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yaratm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu sorunlar aras\u0131nda yasad\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6\u00e7, organize su\u00e7 ve uyu\u015fturucu trafi\u011fi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131, devletlerin egemenlik alanlar\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma b\u00f6lgelerinin ter\u00f6r \u00f6rg\u00fctlerini bar\u0131nd\u0131rma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi risk fakt\u00f6rlerinin mevcut oldu\u011fu de\u011ferlendirilmesi yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Di\u011fer bir ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131k da AB\u2019nin prensipte, yayg\u0131nla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 konusunda b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7aba g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi insan haklar\u0131na dayal\u0131 \u00e7o\u011fulcu demokrasilerin b\u00f6lgede kurulamam\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131d\u0131r. B\u00f6lgede demokratik rejimler te\u015fvik etmeye y\u00f6nelik giri\u015fimler olmu\u015fsa da bunlar ABD\u2019den gelmi\u015f, AB\u2019nin bu konuda herhangi bir katk\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 tespit etmekte g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fck \u00e7ekilmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131k kriteri olarak AB\u2019nin b\u00f6lgede ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmek istedi\u011fi ekonomik i\u015fbirli\u011fi ortam\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fturulamam\u0131\u015f ve AB\u2019nin b\u00f6lgeyle ilgili enerji ve ula\u015f\u0131m politikalar\u0131n\u0131n sonu\u00e7 vermemi\u015f olmas\u0131 say\u0131labilir. Bu tespit, TACIS \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi beklenen TRACECA ve INOGATE projelerinin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme oran\u0131n\u0131n ve etkinli\u011finin yetersiz d\u00fczeyde kalmas\u0131, AB\u2019nin Nabucco gibi kendisi taraf\u0131ndan geli\u015ftirilmi\u015f projeleri tek ba\u015f\u0131na y\u00fcr\u00fctmekte zorluk \u00e7ekmesi ve b\u00f6lgede sonuca ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f ekonomik i\u015fbirli\u011fi giri\u015fimlerinin b\u00f6lge \u00fclkelerinin kendi \u00e7abalar\u0131 ve AB d\u0131\u015f\u0131 uluslararas\u0131 akt\u00f6rlerin (ABD gibi) insiyatifiyle sonuca ula\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 gibi olgulara dayand\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. AB\u2019nin bu alandaki ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131n do\u011fusunda enerji ve ula\u015ft\u0131rma alanlar\u0131nda Rusya\u2019ya mahkum durumda kalmas\u0131 riskini beraberinde getirmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>AB\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f politika ve g\u00fcvenlik politikas\u0131 ama\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmede ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olmas\u0131 veya yeterli d\u00fczeyde ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olamamas\u0131n\u0131n sebeplerinin temelinde bu ama\u00e7lar\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmede ba\u015fvurdu\u011fu ara\u00e7lar\u0131n yetersizli\u011fidir. Bu ara\u00e7lar\u0131n etkinli\u011finin \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmlenmesi s\u0131ras\u0131nda tespit edilen \u00f6nemli fakt\u00f6rlerden birisi AB\u2019nin OGDP\u2019yi ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmekte en ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 oldu\u011fu MDA\u00dc b\u00f6lgesinde uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ko\u015fullu entegrasyon ve yine k\u0131smi ba\u015far\u0131 yakalad\u0131\u011f\u0131 Bat\u0131 Balkanlar i\u00e7in uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ko\u015fullu adayl\u0131k perspektifi \u00f6d\u00fcllerini i\u00e7eren politikalar\u0131n G\u00fcney Kafkasya devletleri i\u00e7in izlenmesinin m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmamas\u0131d\u0131r. Bunun yerine b\u00f6lge \u00fclkeleriyle ili\u015fkileri d\u00fczenlemesi ve b\u00f6lgeye y\u00f6nelik OGDP\u2019yi ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmesi i\u00e7in devreye sokulan en son giri\u015fim olan Yeni Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131 ile, siyasi bir kat\u0131l\u0131m perspektifi takdim edilmeden nihai olarak ve sadece ekonomik entegrasyon teklif edilmektedir. Bu da taraf devletleri ilgili AB organlar\u0131nda s\u00f6z hakk\u0131 olmaks\u0131z\u0131n bir tak\u0131m d\u00fczenlemelere tabi olma zorunlulu\u011fu ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya b\u0131rakmakta ve ekonomik \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131 savunma imk\u00e2nlar\u0131ndan mahrum etmekte olmas\u0131 nedeniyle bu \u00fclkelerce ku\u015fku ve isteksizlikle kar\u015f\u0131lanmaktad\u0131r. AB\u2019nin istikrar ve g\u00fcvenli\u011fin temini a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan temel \u015fart oldu\u011funu savundu\u011fu, \u00e7o\u011fulcu demokrasilerle y\u00f6netilen, serbest piyasa ilkelerine ba\u011fl\u0131 \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda ekonomik i\u015fbirli\u011fi ideali ve bu AB idealine y\u00f6nelik reformlar bu isteksizlik ve ku\u015fku nedeniyle ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilememektedir.<\/p>\n<p>AB\u2019nin b\u00f6lgeye y\u00f6nelik olarak ekonomik reformlar\u0131 ve mali yard\u0131mlar\u0131 i\u00e7eren, yani a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak ekonomik ara\u00e7larla desteklenen politikalar\u0131, mevcut \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 ve anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar\u0131 sona erdirmekte ve \u00e7\u00f6zmekte yetersiz kalmakta ve AB de kurum olarak bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc ba\u015fka uluslararas\u0131 akt\u00f6rlere (AG\u0130T gibi) b\u0131rakmaktad\u0131r. AB\u2019nin bu konuda inisiyatif alm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 halinde bile G\u00fcney Kafkasya\u2019daki mevcut konjonkt\u00fcr nedeniyle bu sorunlar\u0131 tek ba\u015f\u0131na \u00e7\u00f6zmesinin imkans\u0131z oldu\u011fu tespit edilmi\u015ftir. Bunun nedenleri aras\u0131nda Rusya, ABD gibi, b\u00f6lgede \u00f6nemli \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc pozisyonu olan \u00fclkelerle AB aras\u0131nda ama\u00e7lar veya ara\u00e7lar d\u00fczeyinde uzla\u015fmazl\u0131klar\u0131n varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Ayn\u0131 nedenler AB\u2019nin bu b\u00f6lgesel ya da uluslararas\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lere ra\u011fmen de\u011fil onlarla i\u015fbirli\u011fi yoluyla da g\u00fcvenlik ve istikrar tesisi amac\u0131na ula\u015fmas\u0131na imkan tan\u0131mamaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>B\u00fct\u00fcn bu fakt\u00f6rler g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir ki, AB bir \u00f6rg\u00fct olarak kurulu\u015fundan bu yana geli\u015ftirdi\u011fi etkin politika ara\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 bu b\u00f6lgede uygulayamamakta, geli\u015ftirdi\u011fi di\u011fer ara\u00e7lar veya uygulamak istedi\u011fi yeni politikalar da yetersiz kalmaktad\u0131r. Ayn\u0131 noktadan hareketle bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde AB\u2019nin bu a\u00e7mazdan kurtulmas\u0131 i\u00e7in gerekli alternatif bir politika \u00f6nerilmemekle beraber, mevcut d\u0131\u015f politika ara\u00e7lar\u0131yla yola devam edilmesinin, kurumun bu b\u00f6lge ile ilgili olarak ama\u00e7lar\u0131na ula\u015fmaktan uzak kalmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131 sonucuna var\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.circassiancenter.com\/cc-turkiye\/arastirma\/0530-avrupa-1.htm\"><span lang=\"en-us\">1. B<\/span>\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00a0<span lang=\"en-us\">&gt;&gt;&gt;<\/span><\/a><span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.circassiancenter.com\/cc-turkiye\/arastirma\/0531-avrupa-2.htm\"><span lang=\"en-us\">2.B<\/span>\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00a0<span lang=\"en-us\">&gt;&gt;&gt;<\/span><\/a><span lang=\"en-us\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.circassiancenter.com\/cc-turkiye\/arastirma\/0532-avrupa-3.htm\">3<span lang=\"en-us\">.B<\/span>\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00a0<span lang=\"en-us\">&gt;&gt;&gt;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial;\"><b><span lang=\"en-us\">3. B\u00d6L\u00dcM D<\/span>\u0130PNOTLARI:<br \/>\n346)<\/b>\u00a0Kenar, a. g. e., 2005, s. 391.<br \/>\n<b>347)<\/b>\u00a0Bkz: \u041f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u0440\u0430\u043c\u043c\u0430 \u0424\u0430\u0439\u0440 (PHARE Program\u0131), (30.06.07); PHARE, 30.06.07.<br \/>\n<b>348)\u00a0<\/b>Smith, a. g. e., 2004, s. 77.<br \/>\n<b>349)\u00a0<\/b>E. Zengin, R. \u0130brahimov, \u201cAzerbaycan\u2019\u0131n Petrol ve Gaz Kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n \u0130\u015fletilmesine Alternatif Olarak Nakliyat Koridorlar\u0131\u201d, Avrasya Et\u00fctleri, Ankara, T\u0130KA Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, No 27-28, (Sonbahar- K\u0131\u015f, 2005), s. 200.<br \/>\n<b>350)\u00a0<\/b>Y. Rafiko\u011flu, \u201cBak\u00fc-Tiflis-Ceyhan Trabzona Kadar Uzat\u0131labilir, (\u0411\u0430\u043a\u0443-\u0422\u0431\u0438\u043b\u0438\u0441\u0438-\u041a\u0430\u0440\u0441 \u041c\u043e\u0436\u0435\u0442\u0411\u044b\u0442\u044c \u041f\u0440\u043e\u0434\u043b\u0435\u043d \u0414\u043e \u0422\u0440\u0430\u0431\u0437\u043e\u043d\u0430)\u201d, Zerkalo Gazetesi, No 147, 3 A\u011fustos, 2007.<br \/>\n<b>351)\u00a0<\/b>Fuad, a. g. m., 19 A\u011fustos, 2005.<br \/>\n<b>352)<\/b>\u00a0Mustafa G\u00fcn, et al, a. g. m., 2007.<br \/>\n<b>353)\u00a0<\/b>Samir Merdanov, Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nin Kafkasya Politikas\u0131, Ankara, Naturel Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2007, s. 67.<br \/>\n<b>354)<\/b>\u00a0Lutz Kleveman, Yeni B\u00fcy\u00fck Oyun, Orta Asya\u2019da Kan ve Petrol, \u0130stanbul, Erevest Yay\u0131nlar\u0131,2004, s. 26.<br \/>\n<b>355)<\/b>\u00a0Rovshan Ibrahimov, Nabucco: Project w\u0131th Strange Name and Mysterous \u0130ntentions, 25 Mart,2007, http:\/\/www.turkishweekly.net\/energyreview\/TurkishWeekly-EnergyReview12.pdf, (25.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>356)\u00a0<\/b>Rovshan \u0130brahimov, Again About Nabucco Project, 18 Haziran 2007, http:\/\/www.turkishweekly.net\/comments.php?id=2635, (25.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>357)\u00a0<\/b>Bkz: F. Alizade, \u201cAvrupa Hazar Do\u011falgaz\u0131na Muhta\u00e7t\u0131r, (\u0415\u0432\u0440\u043e\u043f\u0430 \u041d\u0443\u0436\u0434\u0430\u0435\u0442\u0441\u044f \u0432 \u041a\u0430\u0441\u043f\u0438\u0439\u0441\u043a\u043e\u043c<br \/>\n\u0413\u0430\u0437\u0435)\u201d, Zerkalo Gazetesi, Bak\u00fc, 9 Haziran, 2007.<br \/>\n<b>358)<\/b>\u00a0Yuriy Simonyan, Hazar Denizinde Amerikan \u00c7\u0131karmas\u0131 (\u0410\u043c\u0435\u0440\u0438\u043a\u0430\u043d\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0414\u0435\u0441\u0430\u043d\u0442 \u0432<br \/>\n\u041a\u0430\u0441\u043f\u0438\u0439\u0441\u043a\u043e\u043c \u0420\u0435\u0433\u0438\u043e\u043d\u0435), 07.06.2007, http:\/\/www.ng.ru\/cis\/2007-06-07\/1_desant.html, (15.07.07).<br \/>\n<b>359)<\/b>\u00a0Rovshan \u0130brahimov, a. g. m., 18 Haziran 2007.<br \/>\n<b>360)\u00a0<\/b>Enerji Oyunlar\u0131, (\u042d\u043d\u0435\u0440\u0433\u0435\u0442\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0435 \u041f\u0430\u0441\u044c\u044f\u043d\u0441\u044b),<br \/>\nhttp:\/\/www.eurasianhome.org\/xml\/t\/expert.xml?lang=ru&#038;nic=expert&#038;pid=1114&#038;qmonth=0<br \/>\n&amp;qyear=0, (13.07.08)<br \/>\n<b>361)<\/b>\u00a0\u0130brahimov, a. g. m., 18 Haziran 2007.<br \/>\n<b>362)\u00a0<\/b>Bu konuda Bkz: Merdanov, a. g. e., 2007, ss. 9-10.<br \/>\n<b>363)\u00a0<\/b>The European Union and Azerbaijan Republic: Partneship and Cooperation Agreement, http:\/\/ec.Europa.eu\/external_relations\/ceeca\/pca\/pca_azerbaijan.pdf, (12.08.07), s. 2; The European Union and the Republic of Georgia: Partnership and Cooperaiton Agreement,<br \/>\nhttp:\/\/ec.Europa.eu\/external_relations\/ceeca\/pca\/pca_georgia.pdf, (12.08.07), s. 2;<br \/>\nThe European Union and The Republic of Armenia: Partnership and Cooperation<br \/>\nAgreement, http:\/\/ec.Europa.eu\/external_relations\/ceeca\/pca\/pca_armenia.pdf, (12.08.07), s. 2.<br \/>\n<b>364)\u00a0<\/b>Her \u00fc\u00e7 metine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 zaman b\u00f6lge i\u00e7i \u00e7at\u0131lmalar konusunda bir kelimeyle bile s\u00f6z edilmemektedir: The European Union and Azerbaijan Republic: Partneship and Cooperation Agreement,(12.08.07); The European Union and the Republic of Georgia: Partnership and Cooperaiton Agreement, (12.08.07); The European Union and The Republic of Armenia: Partnership and Cooperation Agreement, (12.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>365)<\/b>\u00a0Arbatova, a. g. m., 2006.<br \/>\n<b>366)\u00a0<\/b>\u0130gor Leshukov, Rusya ve Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n Temel G\u00fcvenlik Kurumlar\u0131: 21 Y\u00fczy\u0131la Girerken, (\u0420\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u044f \u0438 \u041e\u0441\u043d\u043e\u0432\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u0418\u043d\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0442\u0443\u0442\u044b \u0411\u0435\u0437\u043e\u043f\u0430\u0441\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438 \u0412 \u0415\u0432\u0440\u043e\u043f\u0435: \u0412\u0441\u0442\u0443\u043f\u0430\u044f \u0412 XXI \u0412\u0435\u043a), http:\/\/www.carnegie.ru\/ru\/pubs\/books\/volume\/36467.htm, (19.07.07).<br \/>\n<b>367)<\/b>\u00a0Arbatova, a. g. m., 2006.<br \/>\n<b>368)<\/b>\u00a0H\u00fcseynov, a. g. e., 2003, s. 60-61.<br \/>\n<b>369)\u00a0<\/b>Polonya\u2019n\u0131n Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019ne Yolculu\u011fu, (\u0414\u043e\u0440\u043e\u0433\u0430 \u041f\u043e\u043b\u044c\u0448\u0438 \u0432 \u0415\u0432\u0440\u043e\u043f\u0435\u0439\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0421\u043e\u044e\u0437), http:\/\/poland.poland.su\/union_doroga.html, (14.07.07).<br \/>\n<b>370)\u00a0<\/b>Strengthening the European Neighbourhood Policy, 4 December, 2006, http:\/\/www.delarm.ec.Europa.eu\/en\/press\/04_12_2006.htm, (15.07.07).<br \/>\n<b>371)\u00a0<\/b>AB Komisyonu Beyaz Rusya\u2019n\u0131 \u201cYeni Kom\u015fuluk\u201d Program\u0131ndan \u00c7\u0131kartt\u0131, (\u0415\u0432\u0440\u043e\u043a\u043e\u043c\u0438\u0441\u0441\u0438\u044f \u0418\u0441\u043a\u043b\u044e\u0447\u0438\u043b\u0430 \u0411\u0435\u043b\u043e\u0440\u0443\u0441\u0441\u0438\u044e \u0438\u0437 \u041f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u0440\u0430\u043c\u043c\u044b \u00ab\u041d\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0421\u043e\u0441\u0435\u0434\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0430\u00bb), 13.05.2004, http:\/\/www.charter97.org\/rus\/news\/2004\/05\/13\/eu, (01.09.07).<br \/>\n<b>372)\u00a0<\/b>Aliboni, a. g. m., 2006, s. 3.<br \/>\n<b>373)\u00a0<\/b>\u201cAvrupa \u0130stikameti, (\u0415\u0432\u0440\u043e\u043f\u0435\u0439\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0435 \u041d\u0430\u043f\u0440\u0430\u0432\u043b\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435)\u201d, Rossiya: Monitoring, Analiz, Prognoz, No21-22, Ocak-Aral\u0131k, 2004, http:\/\/www.niiss.ru\/rus2004_21-22_24.shtml, (01.09.07).<br \/>\n<b>374)\u00a0<\/b>Merdanov, a. g. e., 2007, s. 112.<br \/>\n<b>375)\u00a0<\/b>A\u015fot Voskanyan, G\u00fcney Kafkasya Devletlerin AB\u2019ye B\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme S\u00fcrecinde Muhtemel Modeller, (\u041e \u041a\u043e\u043c\u043f\u043b\u0435\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0430\u0440\u0438\u0437\u043c\u0435 \u0438 \u0412\u043e\u0437\u043c\u043e\u0436\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u041c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u044f\u0445 \u0415\u0432\u0440\u043e\u043f\u0435\u0439\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0439 \u0418\u043d\u0442\u0435\u0433\u0440\u0430\u0446\u0438\u0438 \u0421\u0442\u0440\u0430\u043d \u042e\u0436\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u041a\u0430\u0432\u043a\u0430\u0437\u0430), http:\/\/scirs.org.ge\/russian\/analytic\/round_three\/print\/voskanyan.htm, (10.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>376)<\/b>\u00a0Ata\u00e7 Ak\u00e7a, AB\u2019nin Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131n\u0131n Gelece\u011fi, 26.02.07, http:\/\/www.tusam.net\/makaleler.asp?id=839&amp;sayfa=8, (09.07.07).<br \/>\n<b>377)<\/b>\u00a0European Neighbourhood and Partnership Instrument: Azerbaijan, Country Strategy Paper,<br \/>\n2007\u20132013, (com(2005)72), Brussels, 02.03.2005, SEC (2005)286\/3, http:\/\/ec.Europa.eu\/world\/enp\/pdf\/country\/azerbaijan_country_report_2005_en.pdf, s.,1.<br \/>\n<b>378)\u00a0<\/b>Reetz Dietrich, \u201cKafkasya, Orta Asya, G\u00fcney ve Do\u011fu Asya\u2019daki Kriz Kaynaklar\u0131 ve B\u00f6lgelerinin Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nin G\u00fcvenli\u011fine Etkileri\u201d, T\u00fcrkiye, NATO ve Avrupa Birli\u011fi Perspektifinden Kriz B\u00f6lgelerin \u0130ncelenmesi ve T\u00fcrkiye G\u00fcvenli\u011fine Etkileri, Re\u015fat \u00d6d\u00fcn (Edit\u00f6r), Ankara, Genelkurmay Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Askeri Tarih ve Stratejik Et\u00fct Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2004, s.190.<br \/>\n<b>379)<\/b>\u00a0Bu konuda daha geni\u015f bilgi i\u00e7in bkz: Hatem Cabbarl\u0131, \u201cBa\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k Sonras\u0131 Ermenistan\u2019\u0131n Enerji Politikas\u0131\u201d, Avrasya Dosyas\u0131, Enerji \u00d6zel, Cilt 9, Say\u0131 1, Ankara, ASAM Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, (Bahar, 2003), s. 242-243.<br \/>\n<b>380)\u00a0<\/b>European Neighbourhood and Partnership Instrument: Georgia, Country Strategy Paper,2007\u20132013, s. 7.<br \/>\n<b>381)\u00a0<\/b>European Neighbourhood and Partnership Instrument: Armenia, Country Strategy Paper,2007\u20132013, s., 17.<br \/>\n<b>382)\u00a0<\/b>European Neighbourhood and Partnership Instrument: Azerbaijan, Country Strategy Paper,2007\u20132013, s. 7.<br \/>\n<b>383)<\/b>\u00a0Mevl\u00fct Kat\u0131k, \u201cAvrupa Kom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131\u2019na\u201d G\u00fcveni Az, 8.10.06, Sofya, Br\u00fcksel, http:\/\/www.voanews.com\/turkish\/archive\/2006-10\/2006-10-08-voa5.cfm, (05.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>384)<\/b>\u00a0Kat\u0131k, a. g. m., 2006.<br \/>\n<b>385)<\/b>\u00a0Kahraman, a. g. m., 2006, ss. 41\u201342.<br \/>\n<b>386)<\/b>\u00a0Aliboni, a. g. m., 2006, s. 3.<br \/>\n<b>387)<\/b>\u00a0Kat\u0131k, a. g. m., 2006.<br \/>\n<b>388)\u00a0<\/b>The Republic of Azerbaijan and the OSCE, Azerbaycan D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Resmi Sitesi, http:\/\/www.mfa.gov.az\/eng\/international\/organizations\/osce.shtml, (10.02.2007).<br \/>\n<b>389)<\/b>\u00a0OSCE Handbook,OSCE, Vienna Austria, June, 2000, s. 63.<br \/>\n<b>390)<\/b>\u00a0E\u015f ba\u015fkanlar b\u00f6lgede \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 olan devletler taraf\u0131ndan temsil olunmaktayd\u0131, Fransa ise AB\u2019yi temsil etmektedir.<br \/>\n<b>391)\u00a0<\/b>The Republic of Azerbaijan and the OSCE,<br \/>\nwww.mfa.gov.az\/eng\/international\/organizations\/osce.shtml<br \/>\n<b>392)<\/b>\u00a0Minsk Group proposal (&#8216;common state deal&#8217;), Nowember, 1998, http:\/\/www.c-r.org\/our- work\/accord\/nagorny-karabakh\/keytexts20.php, (02.02.2008).<br \/>\n<b>393)\u00a0<\/b>Adi\u015f Memmedov, \u201cErmenistan-Azerbaycan, Da\u011fl\u0131q Qaraba\u011f M\u00fcnaqi\u015fesi\u201d, Dir\u00e7eli\u015f XXI Esr, Bak\u00fc, Azerbaycan D\u00f6vlet Quruculu\u011fu ve Beynelxalq M\u00fcnasibetler \u0130nstitutu, No 84\u201385, (\u015eubat- Mart, 2005), ss. 185\u2013188.<br \/>\n<b>394)\u00a0<\/b>Neil S. Macfarlane, \u201cA Role for the EU in Preventing Ethnic Conflict\u201d, Rethinking European Union Relations with the Caucasus, Baden-Baden, Reinhardt Rummel ve Claude Zullo, (ed.), Nomos Verlagsgeselleschaft, 1999, ss. 60\u201361.<br \/>\n<b>395)\u00a0<\/b>OSCE Handbook, 2000, ss. 59\u201360.<br \/>\n<b>396)\u00a0<\/b>Elif Hatun K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7beyli, a. g. m. 2006, s., 84.<br \/>\n<b>397)\u00a0<\/b>A\u015fot Voskanyan, a. g. m., http:\/\/scirs.org.ge\/russian\/analytic\/round_three\/print\/voskanyan.htm, (10.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>398)\u00a0<\/b>Kamer Kas\u0131m, \u201cArmenia\u2019s Foreign Policy: Basic Parameters of the Ter-Petrosian and Kocharian Era\u201d, Review of Armenian Studies, Ankara, ASAM Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, Cilt 1, No 1, (2002), s. 97.<br \/>\n<b>399)<\/b>\u00a0Da\u011fl\u0131k Qaraba\u011f: S\u00fclh Plan, Interantional Crisis Group Raporu, No 167, 11.10.05, s. 9.<br \/>\n<b>400)\u00a0<\/b>Da\u011fl\u0131k Qaraba\u011f: S\u00fclh Plan, Interantional Crisis Group Raporu, 2005, s. 9.<br \/>\n<b>401)\u00a0<\/b>Kamil A\u011facan, \u201cG\u00fcrcistan\u2019da Bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n \u00d6n\u00fcnden En \u00d6nemli Engel: Bar\u0131\u015f G\u00fcc\u00fc\u201d, Stratejik Analiz<br \/>\nDergisi, Say\u0131 76, Ankara,Asam Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, (A\u011fustos, 2006), s., 15.<br \/>\n<b>402)<\/b>\u00a0Kleveman, a. g. e., 2004,s. 36.<br \/>\n<b>403)\u00a0<\/b>Kleveman, a. g. e., 2004,s. 48.<br \/>\n<b>404)\u00a0<\/b>A\u011facan, a. g. m., 2006, s. 15<br \/>\n<b>405)\u00a0<\/b>NATO Handbook, Brusselss, NATO Office of Information and Press, 1110, 2001, s. 67.<br \/>\n<b>406)\u00a0<\/b>Yuryeva, a. g. m., 2003, ss. 359\u2013360.<br \/>\n<b>407)\u00a0<\/b>Yuryeva, a. g. m., 2003, s. 358.<br \/>\n<b>408)<\/b>\u00a0Ramil Memmedov, \u201cG\u00fcney Kafkasya\u2019daki Yeni Jeostratejik Oyunun G\u00fcvenlik Yap\u0131lanmas\u0131 ve<br \/>\nAzerbaycan\u201d, Stratejik \u00d6ng\u00f6r\u00fc Dergisi, \u0130stanbul, TASAM, Say\u0131 4, (2005), ss. 57\u201358.<br \/>\n<b>409)\u00a0<\/b>18 Aral\u0131kta Ermenistan-NATO Bireysel Plan\u0131 Y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe Girecek, (18 \u0434\u0435\u043a\u0430\u0431\u0440\u044f \u0432\u0441\u0442\u0443\u043f\u0438\u0442 \u0432 \u0441\u0438\u043b\u0443 \u041f\u043b\u0430\u043d \u0438\u043d\u0434\u0438\u0432\u0438\u0434\u0443\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043f\u0430\u0440\u0442\u043d\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0430 \u0410\u0440\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f-\u041d\u0410\u0422\u041e),<br \/>\nhttp:\/\/www.regnum.ru\/news\/georgia\/560805.html, (15.12.2005).<br \/>\n<b>410)\u00a0<\/b>Memmedov, a. g. m., s. 58.<br \/>\n<b>411)\u00a0<\/b>Ahto Lobjakas, Georgia: NATO Chief Says \u201cThe Door Is Open\u201d, 28.11. 2005, http:\/\/www.rferl.org\/featuresarticle\/2005\/11\/d4cc1f10-0b09-45f0-9aa9-6a9c9ee0f373.html, (20.09.07).<br \/>\n<b>412)\u00a0<\/b>Riga Summit Declaration, http:\/\/www.nato.int\/docu\/pr\/2006\/p06-150e.htm, (20.09.07).<br \/>\n<b>413)\u00a0<\/b>Aksar Nur\u015fa, NATO\u2019nun Kafkas ve Afganistan\u2019daki Stratejisi: Mevcut Durum ve<br \/>\nPerspektifler, (\u0421\u0442\u0440\u0430\u0442\u0435\u0433\u0438\u044f \u041d\u0410\u0422\u041e \u041d\u0430 \u041a\u0430\u0432\u043a\u0430\u0437\u0435 \u0438 \u0412 \u0410\u0444\u0433\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0430\u043d\u0435: \u0421\u043e\u0441\u0442\u043e\u044f\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u0438 \u041f\u0435\u0440\u0441\u043f\u0435\u043a\u0442\u0438\u0432\u044b ), 10.07.07, http:\/\/www.eurasianhome.org\/xml\/t\/expert.xml?lang=ru&amp;nic=expert&amp;pid=1168, (10.07.07).<br \/>\n<b>414)\u00a0<\/b>Bkz: Verena Wohlleben, Stability in The Three South Caucasian Republics: Ten Years After Independence, Progress and New Challenges, http:\/\/www.nato- pa.int\/Default.asp?SHORTCUT=503, (06.09.07).<br \/>\n<b>415)\u00a0<\/b>Nur\u015fa, a. g. m., 2007.<br \/>\n<b>416)<\/b>\u00a0Yaln\u0131z NATO\u2019da Tam \u00dcyelik Azerbaycan\u2019a Karaba\u011f\u2019\u0131 Almaya Yard\u0131m Edebilir, (\u0422\u043e\u043b\u044c\u043a\u043e \u0412\u0441\u0442\u0443\u043f\u043b\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u0432 \u041d\u0410\u0422\u041e \u041f\u043e\u043c\u043e\u0436\u0435\u0442 \u0410\u0437\u0435\u0440\u0431\u0430\u0439\u0434\u0436\u0430\u043d\u0443 \u0412\u0435\u0440\u043d\u0443\u0442\u044c \u041a\u0430\u0440\u0430\u0431\u0430\u0445), 27.01.07, http:\/\/www.prognosis.ru\/news\/news\/2007\/1\/29\/azer_nato_karabakh.html, (17.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>417)\u00a0<\/b>Federico Bordonaro, EU: Strategic Relations with S Caucasus, http:\/\/www.res.ethz.ch\/news\/sw\/details.cfm?ID=17365&amp;nav1=1&amp;nav2=2&amp;nav3=2, (23.08.07).<br \/>\n<b>418)\u00a0<\/b>Nur\u015fa, a. g. m, 2007.<br \/>\n<b>419)<\/b>\u00a0Christoph Bluth, \u201cKafkasya, Orta Asya, G\u00fcney ve Do\u011fu Asya\u2019daki Kriz Kaynaklar\u0131 ve B\u00f6lgelerin NATO\u2019nun G\u00fcvenli\u011fine Etkisi\u201d, Re\u015fat \u00d6d\u00fcn (ed.), Ankara, Genelkurmay Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Askeri Tarih ve Stratejik Et\u00fct Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2004, s. 186.<br \/>\n<b>420)\u00a0<\/b>Nur\u015fa, a. g. m, 2007.<br \/>\n<b>421)\u00a0<\/b>Korkmaz, a. g. m., 2004, s. 157.<br \/>\n<b>422)\u00a0<\/b>www.socar.az\/projects-az.html, (08.09.07).<br \/>\n<b>423)\u00a0<\/b>Korkmaz, a. g. m., 2004, s. 163.<br \/>\n<b>424)<\/b>\u00a0http:\/\/www.auswaertiges-amt.de\/diplo\/en\/Laender\/Georgien.html#Inhalt, (07.09.07).<br \/>\n<b>425)<\/b>\u00a0Korkmaz, a. g. m.,2004, s.163.<br \/>\n<b>426)\u00a0<\/b>Soner Karag\u00fcl, \u201cAvrupa Birli\u011fi ve Ermeni Sorunu\u201d, Ermeni Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Dergisi, Cilt 2, Say\u0131 8, Ankara, Eraren Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, (K\u0131\u015f, 2003), s. 186.<br \/>\n<b>427)\u00a0<\/b>Samim Akg\u00f6n\u00fcl, \u201cFransa Ermeni Toplulu\u011fu ve T\u00fcrkiye: Propaganda ve Lobicilik\u201d, Ermeni Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Dergisi, Cilt 2, Say\u0131 5, Ankara, Eraren Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, (Bahar 2002), s. 231.<br \/>\n<b>428)\u00a0<\/b>Korkmaz, a. g. m., 2004, s. 157.<br \/>\n<b>429)\u00a0<\/b>Franz-Josef Meiers, \u201cThe German Predicament: The Red Lines of the Security and Defence Policy of the Berlin Republic\u201d, International Politics, Volume 44, No 5, London, Palgrave, (September,2007), s. 629.<br \/>\n<b>430)\u00a0<\/b>Da\u011fl\u0131k Qaraba\u011f: S\u00fclh Plan, International Crisis Group Raporu, 2005, s. 11.<br \/>\n<b>431)\u00a0<\/b>Esra Hatipo\u011flu, \u201cKom\u015fuluk Politikas\u0131: Avrupa Birli\u011fi ve Yak\u0131n \u00c7evresi \u0130\u00e7in S\u0131nav G\u00fcney Kafkasya \u00dclkeleri\u201d, Ge\u00e7mi\u015ften G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fen Orta Asya ve Kafkasya, Yelda Demira\u011f-Cem Karadeli, (der.), Ankara, Palme Yay\u0131nc\u0131l\u0131k, 2006, s. 132.<br \/>\n<b>432)\u00a0<\/b>Bkz: Ermenistan ve Almanya \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fin Geli\u015ftirilmesi Konusunda Protokol \u0130mzalayacaklar,(\u0410\u0440\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0438 \u0413\u0435\u0440\u043c\u0430\u043d\u0438\u044f \u041f\u043e\u0434\u043f\u0438\u0448\u0443\u0442 \u041f\u0440\u043e\u0442\u043e\u043a\u043e\u043b \u043f\u043e \u0420\u0430\u0437\u0432\u0438\u0442\u0438\u044e \u0421\u043e\u0442\u0440\u0443\u0434\u043d\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0430), http:\/\/www.arka.am\/rus\/economy\/2007\/09\/10\/5385.html, (10.09.07).<br \/>\n<b>433)<\/b>\u00a0A\u015fot Egiazaryan, 2006 Y\u0131l\u0131nda Azerbaycan, Ermenistan ve G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131n Sosyo-Ekonomik Geli\u015fminin Temel G\u00f6stericileri, (\u041e\u0441\u043d\u043e\u0432\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u0418\u0442\u043e\u0433\u0438 \u0421\u043e\u0446\u0438\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u043e-\u042d\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0420\u0430\u0437\u0432\u0438\u0442\u0438\u044f \u0410\u0437\u0435\u0440\u0431\u0430\u0439\u0434\u0436\u0430\u043d\u0430, \u0410\u0440\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0438 \u0438 \u0413\u0440\u0443\u0437\u0438\u0438 \u0432 2006 \u0413\u043e\u0434\u0443), 24.05.07, http:\/\/www.regnum.ru\/news\/832649.html, (10.09.07).<br \/>\n<b>434)\u00a0<\/b>Egiazaryan, a. g. m., (10.09.07).<br \/>\n<b>435)\u00a0<\/b>Egiazaryan, a. g. m., (10.09.07).<br \/>\n<b>436)\u00a0<\/b>Egiazaryan, a. g. m., (10.09.07).<br \/>\n<b>437)\u00a0<\/b>Hatipo\u011flu, a. g. m., 2006, s. 133.<br \/>\n<b>438)\u00a0<\/b>Karag\u00fcl, a. g. m., 2006, s. 140.<br \/>\n<b>439)<\/b>\u00a0Demir, T\u00fcrk D\u0131\u015f Politika Perspektifinden G\u00fcney Kafkasya, Ankara, Ba\u011flam Yay\u0131nevi, 2003, s.153.<br \/>\n<b>440)\u00a0<\/b>Merdanov, a. g. e., 2007, s. 124.<br \/>\n<b>441)\u00a0<\/b>Mustafa Ayd\u0131n, \u201cKafkasya ve Orta Asya ile \u0130li\u015fkiler\u201d, T\u00fcrk D\u0131\u015f Politikas\u0131: Kurtulu\u015f Sava\u015f\u0131ndan Bug\u00fcne Olgular, Belgeler, Yorumlar, Cilt II: 1980-2001, Bask\u0131n Oran (ed.), \u0130stanbul, \u0130leti\u015fim Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2003, s. 413.<br \/>\n<b>442)<\/b>\u00a0O. N. Barabanov, \u201cABD\u2019nin Merkezi Asya\u2019da ve TransKafkasyada\u2019ki Politikas\u0131 ( \u041f\u043e\u043b\u0438\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0430 \u0421\u0428\u0410 \u0432 \u0426\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0440\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u043e\u0439 \u0410\u0437\u0438\u0438 \u0438 \u0417\u0430\u043a\u0430\u0432\u043a\u0430\u0437\u044c\u0435)\u201d, Yujn\u0131y Flang SNG. Sentralnaya Aziya-Kaspiy-Kafkaz: Vozmojnosti i V\u0131zov\u0131 dlya Rossii, Moskva, \u0130nosentr, Logos, 2003, s. 338.<br \/>\n<b>443)\u00a0<\/b>Erel Tellal, \u201cG\u00fcney Kafkasya Devletlerin D\u0131\u015f Politikalar\u0131\u201d, M\u00fclkiye Dergisi, Cilt XXIV, Ankara, Say\u0131 225, s. 101.<br \/>\n<b>444)\u00a0<\/b>Kas\u0131m, a. g. m., 2002, s. 439.<br \/>\n<b>445)\u00a0<\/b>Samir Quliyev, Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131ktan Sonra Azerbaycan-ABD \u0130li\u015fkileri, Erzurum, Bask\u0131 Bakanlar Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2004, s. 33.<br \/>\n<b>446)\u00a0<\/b>Merdanov, a. g. e., 2007, s. 120.<br \/>\n<b>447)\u00a0<\/b>Quliyev, a. g. e., 2005, s. 179.<br \/>\n<b>448)\u00a0<\/b>Georgia, Foreign Policy, http:\/\/www.auswaertiges- amt.de\/www\/en\/laenderinfos\/laender\/laender_ausgabe_html?type_id=11&amp;land_id=49, (19.06.07).<br \/>\n<b>449)\u00a0<\/b>Memmedov: a. g. m., 2005, s. 56.<br \/>\n<b>450)\u00a0<\/b>Kleveman, a. g. e., 2004, s. 38.<br \/>\n<b>451)<\/b>\u00a0Ermenistan D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Vardan Oskanyan 2003 y\u0131l\u0131n Yekunlar\u0131 Konusunda Raporu, (\u041c\u0438\u043d\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0440 \u0418\u0414 \u0410\u0440\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0438 \u0412\u0430\u0440\u0434\u0430\u043d \u041e\u0441\u043a\u0430\u043d\u044f\u043d: \u043e\u0442\u0447\u0435\u0442 \u043e\u0431 \u0438\u0442\u043e\u0433\u0430\u0445 \u0432\u043d\u0435\u0448\u043d\u0435\u0439 \u043f\u043e\u043b\u0438\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0438 \u0410\u0440\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0438 \u0432 2003 \u0433\u043e\u0434\u0443): `K` news, 2004.<br \/>\n<b>452)\u00a0<\/b>Sergey Markedonov, De-facto Geriye \u00c7ekilme, (\u0414\u0435-\u0444\u0430\u043a\u0442\u043e \u041e\u0442\u0441\u0442\u0443\u043f\u043b\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435), 20.06.07, http:\/\/www.prognosis.ru\/news\/region\/2007\/6\/20\/coldwar.html, (08.07.07).<br \/>\n<b>453)<\/b>\u00a0Sergey Markedonov, a. g. m., 2007.<br \/>\n<b>454)\u00a0<\/b>Post Sovyet Mek\u00e2n\u0131nda 365 G\u00fcn, (365 \u0414\u043d\u0435\u0439 \u041d\u0430 \u041f\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0441\u043e\u0432\u0435\u0442\u0441\u043a\u043e\u043c \u041f\u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0435), 29..11.03, www.gazetasng.ru, (29.11.03).<br \/>\n<b>455)\u00a0<\/b>Kamil A\u011facan, \u201cAcaristan Sorunu ve Saaka\u015fvili\u2019nin Mevzi Kazan\u0131m\u0131\u201d, Stratejik Analiz Dergisi, Cilt 4, Say\u0131 48, Ankara, ASAM Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, (Nisan 2004), ss., 62\u201365.<br \/>\n<b>456)\u00a0<\/b>\u201cAzerbaijan: How to Fix an Election\u201d, The Economist, (12 November 2005), s., 35.<br \/>\n<b>457)<\/b>\u00a0Oktay Azer, \u201cAsadov-Parlamento\u2019nun Yeni Ba\u015fkan\u0131 m\u0131? (\u041e\u043a\u0442\u0430\u0439 \u0410\u0441\u0430\u0434\u043e\u0432 &#8211; \u041d\u043e\u0432\u044b\u0439 \u0421\u043f\u0438\u043a\u0435\u0440 \u041f\u0430\u0440\u043b\u0430\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0430?)\u201d, Zerkalo Gazetesi, Bak\u00fc, 02.12.2005.<br \/>\n<b>458)\u00a0<\/b>Markedonov, a. g. m, 2007.<br \/>\n<b>459)\u00a0<\/b>Kleveman, a. g. e., 2004, s. 47.<br \/>\n<b>460)<\/b>\u00a0Demir, a. g. e., 2003, s. 156.<br \/>\n<b>461)\u00a0<\/b>Kamil A\u011facan,\u201cDe\u011fi\u015fim Zaman\u0131: Federasyonu\u2019nun G\u00fcney Kafkasya Politikas\u0131\u201d, Stratejik AnalizDergisi, Cilt 6, Say\u0131 1, Ankara, ASAM Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, (May\u0131s, 2005), ss. 53-54.<br \/>\n<b>462)<\/b>\u00a0Nazim Cafersoy, Eyalet-Merkez D\u00fczeyden E\u015fit Stat\u00fcye: Azerbaycan-Rusya \u0130li\u015fkileri (1991\u20132000), Ankara \u00c7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131, No1, Ankara, ASAM Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, (Ekim, 2000), ss. 19\u201320.<br \/>\n<b>463)\u00a0<\/b>\u0130lyas Kamalov, \u201cSo\u011fuk Sava\u015f Sonras\u0131nda Rusya\u2019n\u0131n G\u00fcney Kafkasya Politikas\u0131\u201d, Stratejik Analiz Dergisi, Ankara, Asam Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, (Kas\u0131m, 2006), s. 91.<br \/>\n<b>464)<\/b>\u00a0Nazim Cafersoy, El\u00e7ibey D\u00f6nemi Azerbaycan D\u0131\u015f Politikas\u0131, Ankara, ASAM Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2001, s.97.<br \/>\n<b>465)<\/b>\u00a0A\u011facan, a. g. m., 2005, s. 52.<br \/>\n<b>466)\u00a0<\/b>Sedat La\u00e7iner, \u201cErmenistan D\u0131\u015f Politikas\u0131 ve Belirleyici Temel Fakt\u00f6rler 1991\u20132002\u201d, ErmeniAra\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Dergisi, Ankara, ASAM Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, Say\u0131 5, (Bahar, 2002), ss.,193\u2013194.<br \/>\n<b>467)<\/b>\u00a0A\u011facan, a. g. m., 2005, s. 52.<br \/>\n<b>468)\u00a0<\/b>Cafersoy, a. g.m., 2001, ss. 30\u201331.<br \/>\n<b>469)\u00a0<\/b>Merdanov, a. g. e., 2007, s. 125.<br \/>\n<b>470)\u00a0<\/b>Kas\u0131m, a. g. m., 2002, s. 97.<br \/>\n<b>471)\u00a0<\/b>Ayd\u0131n, a. g. m., 2003, ss. 412\u2013413.<br \/>\n<b>472)\u00a0<\/b>Memmedov, a. g. m., 2005, s. 56.<br \/>\n<b>473)\u00a0<\/b>Kamalov, a. g. m., 2006, s. 97.<br \/>\n<b>474)<\/b>\u00a0\u00d6mer G\u00f6ksel \u0130\u015fyar, \u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Azerbaycan-Ermenistan Uyu\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131na Y\u00f6nelik Politikas\u0131:1992-2004\u201d, Ge\u00e7mi\u015ften G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fen Orta Asya ve Kafkasya, Yelda Demira\u011f-Cem Karadeli, (der.), Ankara, Palme Yay\u0131nc\u0131l\u0131k, 2006, s. 299.<br \/>\n<b>475)\u00a0<\/b>\u0130\u015fyar, a. g. m., 2006, s. 298.<br \/>\n<b>476)\u00a0<\/b>Kamalov, a. g. m., 2006, ss. 92-93.<br \/>\n<b>477)\u00a0<\/b>Zaal Andjaparidze, Rus-G\u00fcrci Kar\u015f\u0131durmas\u0131ndan Kim Karl\u0131 \u00c7\u0131kacak?, (\u041a\u0442\u043e \u041e\u0441\u0442\u0430\u043d\u0435\u0442\u0441\u044f \u0412 \u0412\u044b\u0438\u0433\u0440\u044b\u0448\u0435 \u041e\u0442 \u0420\u0430\u0437\u0434\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0420\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u0439\u0441\u043a\u043e-\u0413\u0440\u0443\u0437\u0438\u043d\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0433\u043e \u041f\u0440\u043e\u0442\u0438\u0432\u043e\u0441\u0442\u043e\u044f\u043d\u0438\u044f?), 5.04.2006, http:\/\/www.eurasianhome.org\/xml\/t\/expert.xml?lang=en&amp;nic=expert&amp;pid=820, 01.02.2008<br \/>\n<b>478)\u00a0<\/b>Bu konuda bkz: Igor Plugatarev, G\u00fcrcistan\u2019\u0131n NATO\u2019ya \u00dcyeli\u011fin Sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 Bug\u00fcn \u00d6ng\u00f6r\u00fcmek Zordur, (\u041f\u043e\u0441\u043b\u0435\u0434\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0438\u044f \u0412\u0441\u0442\u0443\u043f\u043b\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0413\u0440\u0443\u0437\u0438\u0438 \u0412 \u0421\u0435\u0432\u0435\u0440\u043e\u0430\u0442\u043b\u0430\u043d\u0442\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0410\u043b\u044c\u044f\u043d\u0441 \u0421\u0435\u0433\u043e\u0434\u043d\u044f \u0422\u0440\u0443\u0434\u043d\u043e \u041f\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0441\u043a\u0430\u0437\u0430\u0442\u044c),01.02.2008, http:\/\/nvo.ng.ru\/wars\/2008-02-01\/2_gruzia.html, 02.02.2008.<br \/>\n<b>479)\u00a0<\/b>K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7beyli, a. g. m., 2006, s. 96.<br \/>\n<b>480)<\/b>\u00a0A\u011facan, a. g. m., 2005, s. 55.<br \/>\n<b>481)\u00a0<\/b>Aliboni, a. g. m., 2006, ss. 13-14.<br \/>\n<b>482)\u00a0<\/b>\u201cRusya\u2019n\u0131n Uluslararas\u0131 Konumu, Avrupa Y\u00f6n\u00fc, (\u041c\u0435\u0436\u0434\u0443\u043d\u0430\u0440\u043e\u0434\u043d\u043e\u0435 \u041f\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0436\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u0420\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u0438: \u0415\u0432\u0440\u043e\u043fe\u0439\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0435 \u041d\u0430\u043f\u0440\u0430\u0432\u043b\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435)\u201d, Rossiya, Monitoring, Analiz, Prognoz, No21-22, Ocak-\u015eubat, 2004, http:\/\/www.niiss.ru\/rus2004_21-22_24.shtml<br \/>\n<b>483)\u00a0<\/b>Aliboni, a. g. m., 2006, s. 13.<br \/>\n<b>484)\u00a0<\/b>Arbatova, a. g. m., 2006.<br \/>\n<b>485)\u00a0<\/b>Dartan ve Hatipo\u011flu, a. g. m., 2001, s. 92.<br \/>\n<b>486)\u00a0<\/b>Anton Klyu\u00e7kin, Gaz Savunmas\u0131 (\u0413\u0430\u0437\u043e\u0432\u0430\u044f \u041e\u0431\u043e\u0440\u043e\u043d\u0430), 20.09.07, http:\/\/lenta.ru\/articles\/2007\/09\/20\/Eurono\/, (21.09.07).<br \/>\n<b>487)\u00a0<\/b>Markedonov, a. g. m., 2007.<br \/>\n<b>488)\u00a0<\/b>Aliboni, a. g. m., 2006, s. 14.<br \/>\n<b>489)<\/b>\u00a0\u0130dris Bal, \u201cT\u00fcrkiye-Ermenistan \u0130li\u015fkileri\u201d, 21. Y\u00fczy\u0131lda T\u00fcrk D\u0131\u015f Politikas\u0131, \u0130dris Bal, (ed.), Ankara, Nobel Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2004, ss. 398-399.<br \/>\n<b>490)\u00a0<\/b>Ayd\u0131n, a. g. m., 2002, s. 378.<br \/>\n<b>491)\u00a0<\/b>Ayd\u0131n, a. g. m., 2003, s. 416.<br \/>\n<b>492)\u00a0<\/b>Ayd\u0131n, a. g. m., 2003, s. 371.<br \/>\n<b>493)\u00a0<\/b>Araz Aslanl\u0131, \u0130lham Hesenov, Haydar Aliyev D\u00f6nemi Azerbaycan D\u0131\u015f Politikas\u0131, Ankara, Platin Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2005, s. 143.<br \/>\n<b>494)\u00a0<\/b>Ayd\u0131n, a. g. m., 2003, ss. 371-372.<br \/>\n<b>495)\u00a0<\/b>Aslanl\u0131 ve Hesenov, a. g. e., 2005, s. 145.<br \/>\n<b>496)\u00a0<\/b>Cafersoy, a. g. e., 2000, ss. 30\u201331.<br \/>\n<b>497)\u00a0<\/b>Aslanl\u0131 ve Hesenov, a. g. e., 2005, ss. 144-145.<br \/>\n<b>498)\u00a0<\/b>Kas\u0131m, a. g. m., 2002, s. 437.<br \/>\n<b>499)\u00a0<\/b>Ayd\u0131n, a. g. m., 2003, s. 406.<br \/>\n<b>500)\u00a0<\/b>Kas\u0131m, a. g. m., 2002, ss. 438\u2013439.<br \/>\n<b>501)\u00a0<\/b>Ayd\u0131n, a. g. m., 2003, s. 418.<br \/>\n<b>502)<\/b>\u00a0S. B. Drujilovskiy, V.V. Xuttorskaya, \u201c\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Merkezi Asya ve TransKafkasya\u2019daki Politikalar\u0131 (\u041f\u043e\u043b\u0438\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0430 \u0418\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0430 \u0438 \u0422\u0443\u0440\u0446\u0438\u0438 \u0432 \u0420\u0435\u0433\u0438\u043e\u043d\u0435 \u0426\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0440\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u043e\u0439 \u0410\u0437\u0438\u0438 \u0438 \u0417\u0430\u043a\u0430\u0444\u043a\u0430\u0437\u044c\u044f)\u201d, Etnonasionalnaya i Sosialno-Ekonomicheskaya Kartina Yujnogo Flanga SNG, Yujn\u0131y Flang SNG. Sentralnaya Aziya-Kaspiy-Kafkaz: Vozmojnosti i V\u0131zov\u0131 dlya Rossii, Moskva, \u0130nosentr, Logos, 2003, s. 228.<br \/>\n<b>503)\u00a0<\/b>Ayd\u0131n, a. g. m., 2003, ss. 417\u2013421.<br \/>\n<b>504)\u00a0<\/b>Svetlana Gamova, S\u00f6hbet Memmedov, Bak\u00fc Tiflis\u2019i Kredile\u015ftiriyor, (\u0411\u0430\u043a\u0443 \u041a\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0438\u0442\u0443\u0435\u0442<br \/>\n\u0422\u0431\u0438\u043b\u0438\u0441\u0438), 16.08.07, http:\/\/www.ng.ru\/cis\/2007-08-16\/6_baku.html?insidedoc, (04.09.07).<br \/>\n<b>505)\u00a0<\/b>La\u00e7iner, a. g. m., 2002, ss. 199\u2013200.<br \/>\n<b>506)\u00a0<\/b>Ayd\u0131n, a. g. m., 2003, s. 410.<br \/>\n<b>507)<\/b>\u00a0Ayd\u0131n, a. g. m., 2003, ss. 414\u2013415.<br \/>\n<b>508)\u00a0<\/b>Bal, a. g. m., 2004, s. 404.<br \/>\n<b>509)<\/b>\u00a0\u0130brahim S. Canbolat, \u201cAvrupa Birli\u011fi ve T\u00fcrkiye\u201d, 21. Y\u00fczy\u0131lda T\u00fcrk D\u0131\u015f Politikas\u0131, \u0130dris Bal, (ed.), Ankara, Nobel Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2004, s., 217.<br \/>\n<b>510)\u00a0<\/b>Bal, a. g. e., 2004, s. 415.<br \/>\n<b>511)\u00a0<\/b>Aliboni, a. g. m., 2006, ss. 9-10.<br \/>\n<b>512)\u00a0<\/b>Bu konuda bkz: Aliboni, a. g. m., 2006, ss. 9-10; Serhat G\u00fcven\u00e7 ve Oya Memi\u015fo\u011flu, \u201cTurkey and Regional Security\u201d, Turkey and EU Enlargement, Richard Griffiths ve Durmu\u015f \u00d6zdemir, (ed.), \u0130stanbul, \u0130stanbul Bilgi \u00dcniversitesi, 2004, s. 216.<br \/>\n<b>513)\u00a0<\/b>Karag\u00fcl, a. g. m., 2003, s.184.<br \/>\n<b>514)\u00a0<\/b>\u0130\u015fyar, a. g. m., 2006, s. 252.<br \/>\n<b>515)\u00a0<\/b>Sedat La\u00e7iner, T\u00fcrkler ve Ermeniler: Bir Uluslararas\u0131 \u0130li\u015fkiler \u00c7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, Ankara, USAK Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, 2005, ss. 119-120.<br \/>\n<b>516)\u00a0<\/b>Ayd\u0131n, a. g. m., 2003, s. 419.<br \/>\n<b>517)<\/b>\u00a0Kenar, a. g. e., 2005, s. 412.<br \/>\n<b>518)<\/b>\u00a0Ayd\u0131n, a. g. m., 2003, s. 419.<br \/>\n<b>519)\u00a0<\/b>Hatem Cabbarl\u0131, \u201cG\u00fcney Kafkasya\u2019n\u0131n Jeopoliti\u011fi ve B\u00f6lgesel G\u00fcvenlik \u00d6rgitleri Projeleri\u201d,M\u00fcsteqillik Sonras\u0131 Cenubi Qafqaz ve Merkezi Asya Regionunda Tehl\u00fckesizlik ve Emekda\u015fl\u0131q Sahesinde \u0130nteqrasiya Prosesleri, Qloballa\u015fma Prosesinde Qafqaz ve Merkezi Asiya: \u0130qtisadi ve Beynelxalq M\u00fcnasibetler II Beynelxalq Konqres Materiallar\u0131, Bak\u00fc, Qafqaz Universiteti, 2007, s. 1059.<br \/>\n<b>520)\u00a0<\/b>Ayd\u0131n, a. g. m., s. 419.<br \/>\n<b>521)\u00a0<\/b>Cabbarl\u0131, a. g. m., 2007, s. 1058.<br \/>\n<b>522)\u00a0<\/b>Rovshan \u0130brahimov, \u201cDa\u011fl\u0131k Karaba\u011f S\u00f6zde Cumhuriyeti\u2019nin Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n Tan\u0131nmas\u0131Durumunda, Uluslararas\u0131 Ortamda Ortaya \u00c7\u0131kabilecek Sorunlar\u201d, Ermeni Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Dergisi, Ankara, Eraren Yay\u0131nlar\u0131, No 6, (Yaz, 2002), s.117.<br \/>\n<b>523)<\/b>\u00a0Ayd\u0131n, a. g. m., 2003, s. 401.<br \/>\n<b>524)\u00a0<\/b>Edward Ozhignov, The Republic of Georgia: Conflict in Abhazia and South Ossetia,<br \/>\nManaging Conflict in the Former Soviet Union, London, The MIT Pres, Alexei Akbatov et al, (ed.),1997, ss. 347\u2013348.<br \/>\n<b>525)<\/b>\u00a0Ozhignov, a. g. m., 1997, ss. 346\u2013347.<br \/>\n<b>526)\u00a0<\/b>S\u0131rbistan Kosova\u2019y\u0131 Vermeyecek, (\u0421\u0435\u0440\u0431\u0438\u044f \u043d\u0435 \u0423\u0441\u0442\u0443\u043f\u0438\u0442 \u041a\u043e\u0441\u043e\u0432\u043e), 14.08.2007, http:\/\/www.1news.az\/articles.php?item_id=20070814101547071&amp;sec_id=5, (21.09.07).<br \/>\n<b>527)\u00a0<\/b>Anatoliy Gordienko, Saaka\u015fvili Sava\u015fma\u011fa Haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor: Askeri Harcamalar Bu Sene<br \/>\nB\u00fct\u00e7enin \u00dc\u00e7te Birini Olu\u015fturacak, (\u0421\u0430\u0430\u043a\u0430\u0448\u0432\u0438\u043b\u0438 \u0413\u043e\u0442\u043e\u0432\u0438\u0442\u0441\u044f \u0412\u043e\u0435\u0432\u0430\u0442\u044c: \u0412\u043e\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u0420\u0430\u0441\u0445\u043e\u0434\u044b \u0432 \u041d\u044b\u043d\u0435\u0448\u043d\u0435\u043c \u0413\u043e\u0434\u0443 \u041f\u0440\u0435\u0432\u044b\u0441\u044f\u0442 \u0422\u0440\u0435\u0442\u044c \u0413\u043e\u0441\u0443\u0434\u0430\u0440\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0435\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0411\u044e\u0434\u0436\u0435\u0442\u0430 \u0413\u0440\u0443\u0437\u0438\u0438), http:\/\/www.ng.ru\/cis\/2007-09-12\/6_geogia.html, (18.09.07).<br \/>\n<b>528)<\/b>\u00a0Viktor Myasnikov, Azerbaycan \u201cKurtarma Y\u00fcr\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne\u201d Haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor, (\u0410\u0437\u0435\u0440\u0431\u0430\u0439\u0434\u0436\u0430\u043d<br \/>\n\u0413\u043e\u0442\u043e\u0432\u0438\u0442\u0441\u044f \u043a \u041e\u0441\u0432\u043e\u0431\u043e\u0434\u0438\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0443 \u0414\u0432\u0438\u0436\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044e), 21.09.07, http:\/\/nvo.ng.ru\/wars\/2007-09-21\/2_karabah.html, (21.09.07).<br \/>\n<b>529)\u00a0<\/b>Levon Ter-Petrosyan, Ermenistan\u2019\u0131 Mafiyala\u015fm\u0131\u015f, T\u00fcm\u00fcyle Yap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f Bir Rejim Y\u00f6netiyor, (\u041b\u0435\u0432\u043e\u043d \u0422\u0435\u0440-\u041f\u0435\u0442\u0440\u043e\u0441\u044f\u043d: \u0410\u0440\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435\u0439 \u041f\u0440\u0430\u0432\u0438\u0442 \u041c\u0430\u0444\u0438\u043e\u0437\u043d\u044b\u0439, \u041f\u043e\u043b\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u044c\u044e \u0421\u0442\u0440\u0443\u043a\u0442\u0443\u0440\u0438\u0437\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u0420\u0435\u0436\u0438\u043c), 22.09.07, http:\/\/www.day.az\/news\/armenia\/92892.html, (30.09.07).<br \/>\n<b>530)<\/b>\u00a0Mustafa Ayd\u0131n, \u201cRegional Cooperation in the Black Sea\u201d, Perception Journal of InternationalAffairs, Volume X, No 3, Ankara, (Autum, 2005), ss., 75-76.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rovshan &#304;brahimov Ankara &Uuml;niversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstit&uuml;s&uuml; Uluslararasi &#304;li&#351;kiler Anabilim Dal&#305; I. B&Ouml;L&Uuml;M I. 1991 SONRASINDA AB&rsquo;N&#304;N AVRUPA KITASINDAK&#304; DI&#350; POL&#304;T&#304;KASI VE ARA&Ccedil;LARI 1. AB Ortak D&#305;&#351; ve G&uuml;venlik Politikas&#305;n&#305;n Olu&#351;umu ve Ama&ccedil;lar&#305; AB ile G&uuml;ney Kafkasya devletleri aras&#305;ndaki ili&#351;kilerin nas&#305;l geli&#351;ti&#287;ini anlamak i&ccedil;in, bu kurumun d&#305;&#351; politikas&#305;n&#305;n ne oldu&#287;unu ve nas&#305;l geli&#351;ti&#287;ini anlamak gerekmektedir. 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